Monday 8-28-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 mlb free pick

San Francisco vs. San Diego, 08/28/2017 22:10 EDT

Total: -107/+7½ Under

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Fp: sd ranks at the bottom of the mlb in scoring and only sf is worse .. 8 runs to beat us will be a chore making the under my mlb free pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN - 7 IN A ROW?

Atlanta vs. Philadelphia, 08/28/2017 19:05 EDT

Money Line: -150 Philadelphia

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Going for free pick winner #6 in a row!

The Atlanta Braves will be on the road all week, starting with a three-game set at Philadelphia. The Phillies have won each of the last seven meetings here at Citizens Bank Park, and I think they have a clear advantage on the mound in tonight's matchup.

Lucas Sims (2-3, 4.13 ERA) will take the ball for Atlanta. The 23 year old is coming off six innings of three-hit ball against Seattle, but this will mark just his sixth career start in the big leagues, and inexperienced pitchers often struggle with consistency.

The Phillies turn to a young pitcher themselves, but 24 year old Aaron Nola (9-9, 3.58 ERA) is already considered the ace of the rotation here in his second season in the Major Leagues. The right-hander has taken a beating in each of his last two outings, but this is a good opportunity to get back on track as he's 4-1 with a solid 2.08 ERA in seven career meetings with Atlanta.

The Phillies own an 11-2 overall record over their division foe this season.

My free pick is on the Philadelphia Phillies ML.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

My free play on Monday night is the Under on the Miami Marlins-Washington Nationals, one day after scoring an Over in the Nationals-New York Mets early game.

Tonight, in Washington D.C., we're going to see a pitchers' duel.

MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager, and I want you to be sure the following pitchers are the starters of record on your ticket when making your play: Jose Urena and Max Scherzer. If one or both of these pitchers is not going, this is a no-play.

Urena is the club leader with 12 wins, and rolls into this one with a 3-0 mark and 2.95 ERA in four starts in August. The right-hander's four-seam fastball has been top-noch, sitting around 95 miles per hour while he is on the bump. His WHIP is 1.22, while he has struck out 89 in 129.2 innings.

On the other hand, Scherzer returns from the disabled list after missing his turn through the rotation with left neck inflammation. The staff-ace continues a campaign that has made him the frontrunner for the National League Cy Young Award.

Take this one under as the pitchers are the stars.

4* UNDER Marlins/Nationals (Urena/Scherzer)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Wilton

Monday night comp play is the Red Sox and Blue Jays Under the total.

Boston has been in a slump at the plate, as the Red Sox were held to only 4 runs total in their 3 games over the weekend at home against the Orioles.

The Red Sox enter this series at 5-3-1 Under the posted total their last 9 games played, and now they face Marcus Stroman and the Toronto Blue Jays.

Stroman totes in an ERA just over 3 in his last 3 starts, with 2 of those 3 starts holding Under the posted price. For the season, Stroman owns a 2.63 ERA in his home starts, so look for the BoSox to struggle at the dish again tonight.

On the flip side, the Jays should have issues scoring off of Drew Pomeranz who brings in a 1.76 ERA for his last 3 starts, and owns a season ERA of just 3.18.

The Jays have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the posted total, so why not look for another Under to open this A.L. East series on Monday night?

Red Sox-Blue Jays Under.

3* BOSTON-TORONTO UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 28

Detroit @ Colorado

Game 919-920
August 28, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 13.868
Colorado
(Semztela) 15.127
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
15
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-165
12 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-165); Over

Oakland @ LA Angels

Game 917-918
August 28, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Gossett) 14.259
LA Angels
(Heaney) 17.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-170
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-170); Under

Tampa Bay @ Kansas City

Game 915-916
August 28, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Pruitt) 12.772
Kansas City
(Kennedy) 15.833
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-125
10
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-125); Under

Boston @ Toronto

Game 913-914
August 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Pmeranz) 12.572
Toronto
(Stroman) 15.962
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-110); Over

Seattle @ Baltimore

Game 911-912
August 28, 2017 @

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gonzales) 16.398
Baltimore
(Tillman) 14.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-120
11
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+100); Over

Cleveland @ NY Yankees

Game 909-910
August 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Kluber) 16.279
NY Yankees
(Severino) 18.833
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-105); Under

San Francisco @ San Diego

Game 907-908
August 28, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 15.293
San Diego
(Chacin) 12.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-105); Under

Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs

Game 905-906
August 28, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 16.673
Chicago Cubs
(Mntgmry) 14.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-170
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+150); N/A

Miami @ Washington

Game 903-904
August 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Urena) 14.474
Washington
(Scherzer) 16.256
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-220
8
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-220); Under

Atlanta @ Philadelphia

Game 901-902
August 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Sims) 13.353
Philadelphia
(Nola) 15.109
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-160
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-160); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, August 28

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ATLANTA (57 - 71) at PHILADELPHIA (48 - 81) - 7:05 PM
LUCAS SIMS (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 55-55 (+19.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-10 (+9.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season.
ATLANTA is 65-78 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 29-27 (+16.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 47-50 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-56 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-7 (+10.0 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-81 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-57 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-62 (-26.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 (+10.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
9 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.8 Units)

LUCAS SIMS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.

AARON NOLA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
NOLA is 4-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.179.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

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MIAMI (66 - 63) at WASHINGTON (78 - 51) - 7:05 PM
JOSE URENA (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 54-25 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 66-63 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 17-8 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
MIAMI is 53-48 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 54-48 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
URENA is 15-6 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
URENA is 9-1 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
URENA is 5-0 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 18-21 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-7 (+1.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

JOSE URENA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
URENA is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. MIAMI since 1997
SCHERZER is 6-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.040.
His team's record is 9-4 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-6. (-0.9 units)

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PITTSBURGH (63 - 68) at CHICAGO CUBS (69 - 60) - 8:05 PM
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. MIKE MONTGOMERY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 92-111 (-32.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 39-49 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 65-49 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 69-60 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 359-300 (-81.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 34-28 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 273-323 (-70.5 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 414-376 (-86.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 49-50 (-28.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 817-771 (-162.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 244-201 (-49.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 7-5 (+6.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WILLIAMS is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.615.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

MIKE MONTGOMERY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (52 - 80) at SAN DIEGO (57 - 73) - 10:10 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. JHOULYS CHACIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 52-80 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-20 (-9.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 21-45 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-34 (-18.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 34-51 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-56 (-26.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-15 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 19-37 (-26.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-17 (-11.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
SAMARDZIJA is 26-33 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 57-73 (+1.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 33-30 (+6.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 42-46 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 76-90 (+13.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-20 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-28 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHACIN is 10-4 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-36 (+24.4 Units) against the money line in road games after getting shut out since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 9-4 (+7.7 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.6 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 6-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.14 and a WHIP of 1.161.
His team's record is 8-5 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-5. (+2.2 units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CHACIN is 8-6 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 9-9 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-10. (-5.2 units)

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CLEVELAND (73 - 56) at NY YANKEES (70 - 59) - 7:05 PM
COREY KLUBER (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 73-56 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KLUBER is 49-43 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 49-31 (+15.5 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 82-71 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 106-79 (+42.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

COREY KLUBER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KLUBER is 4-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.4 units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SEVERINO is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 0.964.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

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SEATTLE (66 - 65) at BALTIMORE (65 - 65) - 7:05 PM
MARCO GONZALES (L) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 153-139 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 71-52 (+17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 38-26 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 65-42 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 35-29 (+6.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TILLMAN is 112-86 (+35.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 79-62 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 58-44 (+29.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 84-72 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

MARCO GONZALES vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GONZALES is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 8.31 and a WHIP of 2.079.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
TILLMAN is 7-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.36 and a WHIP of 1.101.
His team's record is 8-2 (+6.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (+0.1 units)

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BOSTON (73 - 57) at TORONTO (61 - 69) - 7:05 PM
DREW POMERANZ (L) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 15-24 (-10.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
POMERANZ is 16-31 (-22.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
POMERANZ is 10-2 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
POMERANZ is 14-4 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 61-69 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 57-63 (-20.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 34-45 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 11-19 (-12.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 22-34 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-3 (+4.7 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

DREW POMERANZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
POMERANZ is 2-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.472.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
STROMAN is 4-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.402.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.7 units)

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TAMPA BAY (65 - 67) at KANSAS CITY (64 - 65) - 8:15 PM
AUSTIN PRUITT (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 133-160 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-23 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 82-106 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 100-113 (-20.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 64-65 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 81-56 (+24.3 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 82-64 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 49-45 (+8.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-1 (+3.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

AUSTIN PRUITT vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

IAN KENNEDY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
KENNEDY is 1-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.64 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.8 units)

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OAKLAND (58 - 72) at LA ANGELS (66 - 65) - 10:05 PM
DANIEL GOSSETT (R) vs. ANDREW HEANEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 195-259 (-52.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 21-41 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 50-79 (-20.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 32-48 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 45-78 (-33.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 66-65 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 26-19 (+10.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 50-47 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 36-28 (+13.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 7-6 (-0.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

DANIEL GOSSETT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

ANDREW HEANEY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HEANEY is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.85 and a WHIP of 1.154.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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DETROIT (56 - 73) at COLORADO (71 - 59) - 8:40 PM
JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R) vs. ANTONIO SENZATELA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 56-73 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 32-53 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 37-55 (-17.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 71-59 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 32-36 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. COLORADO since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 6-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.48 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 7-3 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.3 units)

ANTONIO SENZATELA vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday, August 28


National League
Braves @ Phillies
Sims is 2-0, 1.64 in his last two starts (under 3-2). Braves split his two road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3

Nola is 0-2, 11.12 in his last two starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. Phillies are 6-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-7

Braves lost three of last four games; over is 6-2 in their last eight road games. Atlanta is 0-4 in its last four road series openers. Phillies are 5-4 in last nine games; over is 8-4-1 in their last 13 games. Philly is 6-14 in home series openers.

Marlins @ Nationals
Urena is 3-0, 3.38 in his last four starts; under is 4-2-2 in his last eight. Miami is 9-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-6-3

Jackson is 2-1, 1.89 in his last three starts (under 6-1). Washington is 2-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3-2

Marlins are 13-3 in last 16 games; over is 4-1 in their last five games. Miami is 10-11 in road series openers. Washington is 11-6 in its last 17 games; their last three games went over. Nationals are 13-9 in home series openers.

Pirates @ Cubs
Williams is 0-2, 6.35 in his last three starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Pirates are 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-3

Montgomery is 2-0, 0.75 in his last two starts; his last four starts went over. Cubs are 1-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-3-1

Pirates are 5-10 in last 15 games; over is 7-4-1 in their last 12 games. Bucs are 8-14 in road series openers. Cubs lost three of last four games; over is 8-4-1 in their last 13. Chicago is 9-12 in home series openers.

Giants @ Padres
Samardzija is 4-1, 3.89 in his last six starts; over is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Giants are 5-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-13-6

Chacin is 0-2, 5.23 in his last four starts; under is 8-4-1 in his last 13. Padres are 8-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-13-4

Giants are 3-13 in last 15 road games; six of their last seven games overall stayed under. SF is 2-8 in last ten road series openers. Padres are 1-4 in their last five games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games overall. San Diego is 13-8 in home series openers.

——————————–

American League
Indians @ New York
Kluber is 4-1, 1.93 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Indians are 6-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-9-2

Severino is 6-1, 3.35 in his last seven starts; his last six starts went over. New York is 7-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-9-3

Indians are 13-4 in their last 17 games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games. Tribe is 11-11 in road series openers. New York is 9-4 in its last 13 games; under is 7-3 in their last ten home games. NY is 13-7 in home series openers.

Mariners @ Orioles
Gonzales is 0-1, 6.23 in four starts this year (over 3-1). Seattle split his two road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-1

Tillman is 0-2, 14.66 in his last three starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Orioles are 4-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-11-3

Mariners are 3-4 in last seven games; under is 8-6 in their last 14 games. Seattle is 10-2 in last 12 road series openers. Orioles won five of last six games; six of their last eight games stayed under. Baltimore is 14-7 in home series openers.

Red Sox @ Blue Jays
Pomeranz is 3-0, 1.59 in his last five starts; over is 9-5-1 in his last 15 starts. Boston is 5-1 in his last six road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-9

Stroman is 1-1, 4.79 in his last four starts; over is 4-2 in his last six starts. Toronto is 8-2 in his last ten home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-11-1

Boston lost its last four games; under is 6-3 in its last nine games. Red Sox are 9-12 in road series openers. Blue Jays lost seven of last nine games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 home games. Toronto is 8-13 in home series openers.

Rays @ Royals
Pruitt is 0-2, 5.96 in his last four starts (under 6-1). Tampa Bay is 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-5

Kennedy is 0-3, 8.75 in his last five starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Royals are 5-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-14-3

Tampa Bay won five of last seven games; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Rays are 13-8 in road series openers. Royals lost their last four games; they haven’t scored a run in 34 innings. KC is 11-10 in home series openers- under is 4-2 in their last six games.

A’s @ Angels
Gossett is 2-0, 4.00 in his last three road starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six starts overall. A’s are 3-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-7

Heaney is 0-0, 8.10 in two starts this year (over 2-0). Angels lost his only home start— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-1

A’s won five of last seven games; under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Oakland is 6-14 in road series openers. Angels lost five of last seven games; under is 9-5 in their last 14. Halos are 7-14 in home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague

Tigers @ Rockies
Zimmerman is 0-3, 10.45 in his last four starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. Detroit is 3-10 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-14

Senzatela is 0-1, 5.14 in his last three starts; over is 13-3 in his last 16 starts. Rockies are 7-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-5-2

Tigers are 3-10 in last 13 games; their last three games stayed under. Detroit is 4-10 in last 14 road series openers. Colorado won three of its last four games; over is 4-1 in their last five home games. Rockies are 16-4 in home series openers.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Atl-Phil: Sims 2-3; Nola 10-11
Mia-Wsh: Urena 15-6; Jackson 4-3
Pitt-Chi: Williams 9-11; Montgomery 4-5
SF-SD: Samardzija 11-15; Chacin 13-13 (0-4 last 4)

American League
Clev-NY: Kluber 14-8; Severino 15-10
Sea-Balt: Gonzales 2-2; Tillman 5-11
Bos-Tor: Pomeranz 17-8; Stroman 16-10
TB-KC: Pruitt 2-5; Kennedy 12-12
A’s-LAA: Gossett 4-7; Heaney 0-2

Interleague
Det-Colo: Zimmerman 9-16; Senzatela 12-7

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Atl-Phil: Sims 2-5; Nola 5-21
Mia-Wsh: Urena 3-21; Jackson 3-7
Pitt-Chi: Williams 7-20; Montgomery 2-9
SF-SD: Samardzija 11-26; Chacin 11-24

American League
Clev-NY: Kluber 4-22; Severino 5-25
Sea-Balt: Gonzales 1-4; Tillman 7-16
Bos-Tor: Pomeranz 7-25; Stroman 5-26
TB-KC: Pruitt 3-7; Kennedy 6-24
A’s-LAA: Gossett 0-11; Heaney 0-2

Interleague
Det-Colo: Zimmerman 9-25; Senzatela 8-19

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 76-55 AL, favorites +$103
AL @ NL– 70-63 NL, favorites +$344
Total: 140-124 AL, favorites +$447

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 65-65-3
AL @ NL: Over 71-56-7
Total: Over 136-121-10

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/27/17
Ariz 25-26-16……34-21–11……..59-47
Atl 23-30-9……23-35-7………..46-65
Cubs 30-30-7…….29-21-12………59-51
Reds 21-37-7……..24-35–7……….45-72
Colo 34-27-6…….34-24-4………..68-51
LA 30-19-12…….41-20-7……….71-39
Miami 28-29-8…….33-22-9………61-51
Milw 33-24-9…….31-26-8……….63-50
Mets 30-30-3……..25-36-6……..55-66
Philly 15-38-14……25-29-8……….40-67
Pitt 30-30-5…….26-28-11………57-58
St. Louis 25-28-8……35-24-9…………60-52
SD 20-39-8……..30-25–8……….50-64
SF 13-43-9……..27-28-11……….40-71
Wash 39-20-6……29-27-8………….68-47

Orioles 27-33-5……..28-31-5………55-64
Boston 29-28-8………30-33-2……..59-61
White Sox 21-35-9………24-36–4……..45-70
Cleveland 35-22-7……..31-24-8………66-46
Detroit 24-33-9…….27-29-8……..51-62
Astros 32-23-9……..40-24-4……..72-47
KC 24-30-9……..26-26-12…….50-56
Angels 25-31-8………27-26-13……..52-57
Twins 37-19-10………28-31-7……..65-49
NYY 28-36-6……….32-24-4…..…60-60
A’s 23-32-7……..28-30-11……..51-62
Seattle 26-33-8……..34-22-9………60-55
TB 32-23-10……..36-21-8……..68-44
Texas 30-24-11……..32-24-8………62-48
Toronto 24-36-4……..26-31-8……..50-67

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/27/17)
Ariz 20-65……..22-64………..42
Atl 13-61……….18-66……….31
Cubs 18-67……..23-62………..41
Reds 24-65……..25-65……….49
Colo 17-67……..23-62..………40
LA 18-61……..24-67..……..42
Miami 28-65……..23-64………51
Milw 22-66……25-66…..…..47
Mets 27-63……..22-67……….49
Philly 16-67……..20-63……….36
Pitt 19-65……..21-66……….40
StL 13-62……..21-67………..34
SD 23-67……….20-62……….43
SF 15-66……….20-66……….35
Wash 25-65……..25-64……….50

Orioles 15-66……..20-65……….35
Boston 20-65……..14-65……….34
White Sox 21-65……16-64………..37
Clev 15-64……..21-65……….36
Detroit 16-66…….26-64………42
Astros 19-64……..26-67……….45
KC 16-64……..13-66……….29
Angels 23-66…….17-67…………40
Twins 15-64……..14-65……….29
NYY 16-69……..17-60……….33
A’s 15-62……..26-69………41
Seattle 21-67…….22-66………43
TB 19-65……..23-67……….42
Texas 25-66……..27-64………52
Toronto 22-64……..18-68………40

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Monday, August 28

Trend Report

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Seattle is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
Miami is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami

7:07 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:08 PM
CLEVELAND vs. NY YANKEES
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 7-15 SU in their last 22 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 15-7 SU in their last 22 games when playing at home against Cleveland
NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland

8:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

8:15 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Tampa Bay's last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games

8:40 PM
DETROIT vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Detroit's last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

10:07 PM
OAKLAND vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Oakland's last 20 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Oakland is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games
LA Angels are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland

10:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DAVE COKIN

TIGERS VS. ROCKIES
PLAY: ROCKIES -165

This is the time of the baseball season where I’m more liberal in terms of being willing to spot bigger prices.

A good example is this game between the Tigers and Rockies. Detroit is playing out the string in what has been a very disappointing season. I’m sure the players are still trying, but everyone knows there are lame ducks galore on the roster right now. Heading to Denver for what is a nothing series from the Tigers perspective makes them potential fade material.

The Rockies have not played great ball recently, and they have to be thrilled at the prospect of getting back in gear for their playoff drive in what is a very winnable series.

Beyond that, I have little problem going against Jordan Zimmermann. He’s not the pitcher he used to be, and has morphed into a fly ball type who doesn’t get many swings and misses. That makes Zimmermann very vulnerable in a hitter’s heaven such as Coors. Mot that I’m wild about Antonio Senzatela, who’s pretty much little more than a back of the rotation type, but I give him an advantage here.

I’m actually a little surprised at the betting line here. The opener was considerably lower than I anticipated, and even after some adjustment, I still feel there’s actually a big of value on the hosts. I’m willing to spot the price here to back the Rockies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Darryl Tucholski
Aug 28 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Marlins vs Nationals
Play on: Nationals -215 at 5Dimes

1* play on the Nationals, despite being without Bryce Harper - the Nats are 6-4 in their last 10. Max Scherzer has allowed 4 ER in his last 14 IP, with 19 strikeouts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA
Aug 28 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | CLE vs NYY
Play on: UNDER 7 -110

ASA FREE PLAY on UNDER the total in New York Yankees vs Cleveland Indians @ 7:05 ET Monday

Very low total for an American League game but runs will be very hard to come by in this one. The Indians just finished a 3 game weekend sweep of the Royals where they did not allow a single run versus Kansas City. Not only has it been back to back to back shutouts for Cleveland, they've got staff ace Corey Kluber on the mound for this one. Kluber is 12-4 with a 2.65 ERA this season. Since June 1st, Kluber has an incredible 1.87 ERA in 16 starts! The Yankees will have Luis Severino toeing the rubber in this one. The Yanks right-hander overall numbers his last 8 starts doesn't really tell the full story of just how well Severino has pitched. The numbers are skewed by one bad start. Incredibly, in the other 7 starts, Severino has allowed 1 earned run or less in all 7 starts. In these 7 outings, Severino has compiled a phenomenal 0.79 ERA. You can see why we're expecting a true old-time pitchers duel in this one. The under is 38-21 in Indians road games this season and also 43-24 when they are off of a win. The under is 17-8 in the Yankees last 25 games facing teams with a winning record. FREE PLAY: Bet the UNDER in the New York Yankees game in early evening action Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee
Aug 28 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | CLE vs NYY
Play on: UNDER 7 -112

10* FREE MLB PICK (Under 7)

I'll take my chances on the Yankees and Indians finishing below this low total on Monday, as we have two of the AL's best starters facing off. Cleveland sends out Corey Kluber, who is 12-4 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.911 WHIP in 22 starts. He's also 4-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Yankees. New York will send out Luis Severino, who is 11-5 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 25 starts and has a 1.93 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in 3 career starts against the Indians. Take the UNDER 7!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
Aug 28 '17, 8:15 PM
MLB | Rays vs Royals
Play on: Rays +105 at BMaker

Free Pick on Rays+

I like the value here with Tampa Bay against a Royals team that is playing with zero confidence right now. Kansas City has list 4 straight overall and were just swept in a 3-game series against division rival Cleveland. A series in which they didn't score a single run, getting outscored 20-0. The Rays on the other hand come in of a 3-2 win yesterday in the series finale at St Louis and are 5-2 over their last 7.

Tampa sends out Austin Pruitt, who will be making his 8th start. While he's got a 4.86 ERA overall, he owns a strong 3.14 ERA and 0.977 WHIP in 3 road starts. He should have an edge here with this being his first start against KC. The Royals will counter with Ian Kennedy, who is 0-6 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.442 WHIP in 12 home starts and enters this with an ugly 7.24 ERA and 1.902 WHIP in his last 3 outings.

Royals are a mere 4-14 over the last 2 seasons off a loss by 8 runs or more, 4-14 in their last 18 home games after being swept in a series by a division rival and 1-10 in their last 11 off a loss by 10 or more runs to a division rival. Take Tampa Bay!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams
Aug 28 '17, 8:40 PM
MLB | Tigers vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies -167 at betonline

1* on Rockies -167

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Wallace
Aug 28 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Marlins vs Nationals
Play on: Marlins +200 at 5Dimes

I'm taking the Marlins in this match-up against the Nationals. Marlins are 13-3 in their last 16 games overall. Urena this year is 12-5 with a 3.86 ERA. In his last 3 starts he is 2-0. Urena does have a career ERA of 1.13 against the Nationals. The Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 road games with Urena on the mound. The Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.