Tuesday 8-29-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton

Tuesday freebie is the Phillies over the Braves.

4* PHILADELPHIA

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

My free play is on the Baltimore Orioles, who delivered a 1,000♦ win for me last night, when they returned home after sweeping the American League East-leading Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park and extended their win streak to five games. Now sitting one game above .500, the Orioles are 1 1/2 games back from the second wild-card spot and they're 39-26 at home.

The momentum is real, and in hosting a west coast team that lost two straight in the Bronx against the New York Yankees, and a third in a row in this series-opener, I think the Orioles will continue to take advantage of a tired Mariners team that is likely now beleaguered.

Seattle, which will be playing its 11th road game in 12 days after previous trips to Tampa Bay, Atlanta and the Bronx, lost a close one last night to the O's, 7-6.

I'll leave it up to you if you want to list Erasmo Ramirez and Dylan Bundy, or just one of them. I can tell you I'm confident with Baltimore's Bundy, as he aims to make it an undefeated August in his final start of the month, as he returns from the bereavement list and is 3-0 in four starts - all Orioles wins. Bundy has a 2.67 ERA and has struck out 33 in 27 innings this month.

Look for Baltimore to roll past Seattle in this one, while laying a cheap price doing so.

5* ORIOLES (Bundy over Ramirez)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Wilton

Tuesday's comp play is the Rays over the Royals.

Simply put, no case can be made right now for backing the Kansas City Royals who are on the verge of history of the wrong kind. KC comes into this one having been shutout in 4 straight games, and can break the Major League record of 48 straight scoreless innings if they go out and hang some more goose eggs on their home scoreboard tonight.

The Rays are back in the Wild Card mix thanks to 6 wins over their last 8 games, and they will go with Alex Cobb to try and extend their winning ways. He has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 6 of his last 9 outings.

Jake Junis counters for the punchless Royals. Junis has been a bright spot of late, as he is 3-0 with a 3.18 ERA in his last 5 starts. The obvious problem is when you don't score runs, you cannot win games!

The drought continues.

Tampa Bay over Kansas City.

3* TAMPA BAY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin
Aug 29 '17, 8:40 PM
MLB | Tigers vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies -141 at 5Dimes

#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN - 8 IN A ROW?

Going for free pick winner #8 in a row!

The Colorado Rockies dropped the opener of this three-game series with the Detroit Tigers 4-3 on Monday. The Tigers are still just 2-9 in their last 11 road games while the Rockies have one of the best home records in baseball, and this looks like a fair price on the home team to bounce back with a win.

Colorado hands the ball to German Marquez (10-5, 4.18 ERA). The Rockies are 8-0 in the right-handers' last eight home starts and he's 6-0 with a 3.12 ERA in those games.

Michael Fulmer (10-11, 3.69 ERA) will take the ball for the Tigers. The 24 year old right-hander has taken the loss in each of his last three turns on the road, giving up 20 runs (16 earned) on 21 hits in just 13 2/3 frames in the process. He's 1-5 with a 5.06 ERA in seven starts overall since the All Star break.

The Tigers are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings at Colorado, and think the Rockies will give Fulmer a really hard time here in his first career start at Coors Field while Marquez knows what it's all about already.

My free pick is on the Colorado Rockies.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones
Aug 29 '17, 7:40 PM
MLB | Cardinals vs Brewers
Play on: Cardinals -114 at 5Dimes

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: St. Louis Cardinals -114

The St. Louis Cardinals must get going if they want a shot at making the playoffs. It hasn't been a great August for them, but there's still time to turn it around. And they clearly have the edge on the mound tonight over the Milwaukee Brewers.

Matt Garza has failed to complete six innings in seven consecutive starts. He is 6-7 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last three. He is 7-5 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 16 career starts against St. Louis.

Luke Weaver is pitching significant games for the Cardinals down the stretch. He has handled himself well, going 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in three starts with 23 K's in 18 1/3 innings. Weaver is also 1-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.927 WHIP in three career starts against Milwaukee, striking out 26 batters in 18 1/3 innings.

The Cardinals are 40-17 in their last 57 meetings in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 2-5 in Garza's last seven starts. Milwaukee is 36-79 in its last 115 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Bet the Cardinals Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cajun Sports

Tampa Bay vs. Kansas City
Play: Tampa Bay +107

The boys from Cigar City took Game One of their three-game set in Kansas City versus the Royals on Monday winning 12 to 0. That loss extended their current losing skid to five games having lost their last two games by a final score of 12 to 0. The Royals entered this home series against the Rays off a three-game set in Cleveland in which they were swept 3 to 0 and the Royals failed to score a single run in any of the three games. The Royals lost Game Three in Cleveland 12 to 0 and repeated that performance and score in Game One last night versus the Rays losing 12 to 0 at home. Our MLB TPR Index projects a run advantage of 1.58 runs in favor of the Rays on Tuesday night. A check of our MLB Database reveals several league-wide systems that are active for tonight’s contest. We want to play ON MLB road underdogs coming off a shutout victory in their last game, 529-659 SU (+6094). We want to play ON MLB underdogs when they scored two or fewer runs for their starter in his last start, 610-780 SU (+4484). Play ON MLB teams coming off a game which they held the largest lead in the AL winning by more than one run and their opponent did not score more than seven runs and a current line less than +200, 667-489 SU (+12468). Finally we want to Play ON MLB teams coming off a game which they won by the largest margin in the AL in their last game winning by more than one run and their opponent did not score more than seven runs and a current line less than +200, 700-502 SU (+13899). With our Team Performance Ratings Index projecting the Rays with more than a 1.5 run advantage over the Royals and additional support from several key systems we will back the boys from Cigar City on Tuesday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers

Detroit vs. Colorado
Pick: Over 11

The set-up: Colorado lost 4-3 at home last night to Detroit. Most of the Rockies woes since shortly before the All Star break have come on the road but losing at home to the Tigers, hurts. Detroit had entered the series having lost 16 of their previous 21 and owned the AL's second-worst record. Colorado is now just 11-14 in August and sits two games back of Arizona, which owns the top wild card spit in the National League. The Rockies are three games up on the Brewers for that final wild card spot but with 31 games still left to play, it's not quite time to 'pop' the champagne corks just yet.

The pitching matchup: Michael Fulmer (10-11 & 3.69 ERA) starts for Detroit and rookie German Marquez (10-5 & 4.18 ERA) for Colorado. Speaking of rookies, Fulmer was 2016's AL rookie-of-the-year, going 11-7 with a 3.06 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and .231 BAA. His numbers aren't that much worse in 2017 (3.69 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 3.69 ERA) but he's just 10-11. The biggest difference is that after Detroit went 19-7 (plus-$1292) in his 2016 starts, the Tigers are just 12-12 in Fulmer's starts this season (minus-$115). This marks his first start against the Rockies. Marquez made just six appearances last year (including three starts), throwing only 20 2/3 innings. However, the 22-year-old rookie has made 22 starts in 2017, with the Rockies going 14-8, plus-$675 vs the moneyline, including a sweet 8-2 in his 10 home starts.

The pick: This is not just the first time Fulmer will see the Rockies, it's also his first appearance in Coors Field, where the Rockies average 6.09 RPG. I'm not so sure he'll 'like the view,' As for Marquez, the Rockies may be 8-2 in his 10 Coors Fields starts in 2017 but it's not because he's a 'shut down' pitcher (4.50 home ERA)! Play the Over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Detroit vs. Colorado
Pick: Colorado -138

The Rockies opened a three-game home series against the Tigers last night and lost 4-3. Colorado has struggled in August, going just 11-14 and has fallen two games back of Arizona for the No. 1 wild card spot in the NL. The Rockies also have to be "looking over their shoulders," as the Brewers trail them by just three games. By no means is Colorado 'safe,' as the Rockies still have 31 games remaining. The win for Detroit was just its sixth in its last 22 and at 57-73, are ahead of only the 52-77 White Sox in the American League.

Taking the mound for Detroit will be 2016's AL rookie-of-the-year, Michael Fulmer (10-1 3.69 ERA). He'll be opposed by Colorado's German Marquez (10-5, 4.18 ERA). Fulmer's 3.69 ERA is just a half-run higher than last year's mark (3.06) and he is again allowing fewer hits (142) than innings pitched (158.1). His WHIP (1.14) is about the same as in 2016 (1.12), as is his BAA (.240 in 2017, compared to .231 in 2016). However, the results are nowhere near the same. The Tigers were in 19-7 Fulmer's 2016 starts, giving him MLB's 6th-best moneyline mark (plus-$1292). However, here in 2017, he looks to snap a six-start win-less streak in which he had lost five straight decisions, before taking a no-decision against the New York Yankees in his last outing (Tigers won 10-6). The bottom line is, Detroit is 12-12 in Fulmer's starts this season, leaving him minus-$115 against the moneyline.

The fact that Marquez has allowed five HRs in his last two starts, after allowing just 12 over his first 20, is troubling. However, after pitching just 20.2 innings last season (six appearances, including three starts), this 22-year-old rookie has made 22 starts in 2017, with the Rockies going 14-8, plus-$675 vs the moneyline (ranks 12th among all starters). Here in Coors Field, the Rockies are 8-2 in his 10 starts.

Fulmer's had a tough go of it herein 2017 and while Detroit has nothing to play for, the Rockies can 'smell' a wild card berth with just over a month to go in the regular season. The Tigers have allowed an average of 5.45 RPG away from home, while the Rockies are averaging 6.09 RPG at home. I'll play the home team.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Power Sports

Athletics at Angels
Pick: Angels -155

I was correct in saying that Oakland (fresh off a sweep of Texas) would "cool off" in LA Monday. They lost, 3-1, and for the Angels this remains a very important series as they try and catch Minnesota for the elusive 2nd Wild Card spot in the American League. The Halos are only two back of the Twins in the loss column (same number of wins) and need to build off last night's success as the Twins are hosting Chicago this week, which means it will be difficult to make up ground. Thankfully, Oakland and its lousy 21-42 road record should help oblige.

Mike Trout sat out last night, but should be back in the lineup Tuesday. I certainly expect him to start improving upon his recent performance at the plate as he's 0 for his last 17, just one AB short of the longest hitless streak of his entire career! Maybe facing Oakland's Chad Smith will help. Smith because the oldest pitcher in A's franchise history to make his first career start, doing so at age 36 last month. He's still yet to win in seven tries and almost appears to be regressing as he's gone out four straight times w/o delivering a quality start. His strikeout numbers are very unimpressive and he's given up at least one HR in all but one of the seven starts.

Smith shouldn't expect much run support here either as Oakland doesn't even average 4.0 rpg on the road. They're one of the worst road teams in baseball in fact, currently being outscored by 1.3 rpg. The bullpen is bad, the offense is bad and they have a 36-year old journeyman starter on the mound. Meanwhile, the Angels turn to Troy Scribner, who has a 0.929 WHIP in three big league starts. Oakland managed only four hits yday and struck out 14 times. I look for a repeat of yesterday's result here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 29


Detroit @ Colorado

Game 979-980
August 29, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Fulmer) 14.245
Colorado
(Marquez) 15.750
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-140
11
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-140); Under

Oakland @ LA Angels

Game 977-978
August 29, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Smith) 15.865
LA Angels
(Scribner) 14.702
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-165
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+145); Over

Tampa Bay @ Kansas City

Game 975-976
August 29, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Cobb) 16.001
Kansas City
(Junis) 12.604
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-105); Under

Texas @ Houston

Game 973-974
August 29, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Perez) 16.432
Houston
(Fiers) 13.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
N/A

Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota

Game 971-972
August 29, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Shields) 16.258
Minnesota
(Santana) 13.010
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-220
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+185); Over

Boston @ Toronto

Game 969-970
August 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Sale) 15.616
Toronto
(Andrson) 13.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-230
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-230); Under

Seattle @ Baltimore

Game 967-968
August 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Ramirez) 14.667
Baltimore
(Bundy) 17.549
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-140); Over

Cleveland @ NY Yankees

Game 965-966
August 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Bauer) 18.563
NY Yankees
(Garcia) 16.549
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-105); Over

San Francisco @ San Diego

Game 963-964
August 29, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Moore) 14.943
San Diego
(Perdomo) 13.542
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+100); Under

LA Dodgers @ Arizona

Game 961-962
August 29, 2017 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Hill) 16.741
Arizona
(Godley) 13.706
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-120); Under

Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs

Game 959-960
August 29, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Kuhl) 14.358
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 16.839
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-210
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-210); N/A

St. Louis @ Milwaukee

Game 957-958
August 29, 2017 @ 7:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Weaver) 14.294
Milwaukee
(Garza) 15.280
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
N/A

NY Mets @ Cincinnati

Game 955-956
August 29, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Flexen) 12.662
Cincinnati
(Romano) 15.843
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 3
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-160
10
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-160); Over

Atlanta @ Philadelphia

Game 953-954
August 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Dickey) 15.654
Philadelphia
(Leiter) 12.808
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-105); Over

Miami @ Washington

Game 951-952
August 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Worley) 16.245
Washington
(Jackson) 14.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, August 29

National League
Braves @ Phillies
Dickey is 2-1, 3.66 in his last five starts (under 4-1). Dickey is 1-0, 1.29 in two starts vs Philly this season. Atlanta is 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-9-4.

Leiter is 2-2, 4.45 in five starts this year (under 3-1-1). Phillies are 1-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3

Braves lost four of last five games; over is 6-3 in their last nine road games. Phillies are 6-4 in last ten games; over is 8-5-1 in their last 14 games.

Marlins @ Nationals
Worley is 0-1, 8.78 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Miami is 3-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-4-2

Jackson is 2-1, 1.89 in his last three starts (under 6-1). Washington is 2-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3-2

Marlins are 13-4 in last 17 games; over is 5-1 in their last six games. Washington is 12-6 in its last 18 games; their last four games went over.

Mets @ Reds
Flexen is 3-1, 4.09 in his last four starts, last three of which stayed under. Mets are 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-3

Romano is 1-0, 1.93 in his last two starts (under 6-4). Reds are 2-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-6-1

Mets are 4-11 in their last 15 games; their last three games went over. New York is 11-9 in road series openers. Cincinnati lost five of last seven games; under is 3-1 in their last four games. Reds are 11-10 in home series openers.

Cardinals @ Brewers
Weaver is 2-1, 2.95 in his first three MLB starts (under 2-1). St Louis won his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1

Garza is 1-2, 10.50 in his last four starts; under is 7-2-1 in his last ten. Garza is 2-0, 4.22 vs St Louis this year. Milwaukee is 6-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-3

Cardinals lost six of last eight games; over is 7-1-1 in their last nine road games. St Louis is 8-12 in road series openers. Milwaukee won their last four home games; their last eight games stayed under. Brewers are 12-9 in home series openers.

Pirates @ Cubs
Kuhl is 1-2, 5.14 in his last three starts; under is 6-1-1 in his last eight. He is 0-1, 19.28 in two starts vs Chicago this year. Pirates are 3-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-10-3

Arrieta is 3-0, 2.22 in his last four starts, 0-2, 5.63 in three starts vs Pittsburgh. Over is 4-2-2 in his last eight starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-7-4

Pirates are 5-11 in last 16 games; over is 7-5-1 in their last 13 games. Cubs lost three of last five games; over is 8-5-1 in their last 14.

Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Hill is 1-1, 3.24 in his last four starts; he had a no-hitter in 10th inning in his last start. Under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Hill is 0-1, 2.70 in two starts vs Arizona this year. Dodgers are 5-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-4

Godley is 0-3, 5.06 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-2 in his last six. Godley is 0-1, 2.92 in two starts against the Dodgers this year. Arizona is 4-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-3

Dodgers are 4-4 in their last eight games; their last five games stayed under. LA is 11-2 in its last 13 road series openers. Arizona won six of last seven games; four of their last five games stayed under. Snakes are 15-6 in home series openers.

Giants @ Padres
Moore is 1-0, 2.21 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five. Giants are 2-10 in his road starts this year— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-17-6

Perdomo is 0-2, 6.00 in his last three starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight starts. Perdomo is 0-0, 5.25 in two starts vs SF this year. Padres are 6-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-9-4

Giants are 4-13 in last 17 road games; seven of their last eight games overall stayed under. Padres are 1-5 in their last six games; under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games overall.

——————————–

American League
Indians @ New York
Bauer is 6-0, 2.58 in his last seven starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six. Cleveland is 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-8-3

Garcia is 0-1, 7.32 in four starts for New York (under 3-1). New York won his only home start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-3-1

Indians are 14-4 in their last 18 games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games. New York is 9-5 in its last 14 games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.

Mariners @ Orioles
Ramirez is 1-0, 2.50 in his last three starts (over 3-2). Seattle is 3-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-1

Bundy is 4-0, 3.99 in his last six starts; over is 10-2 in his last 12 starts. Orioles scored 55 runs in his last six starts; they’re 9-3 in his home starts. O’s’ first 5-inning record with him: 14-8-2

Mariners are 3-5 in last eight games; over is 5-4 in their last nine games. Orioles won six of last seven games; six of their last nine games stayed under.

Red Sox @ Blue Jays
Sale is 0-2, 6.35 in his last three starts; under is 8-3 in his last 11. Boston is 10-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-6-7

Anderson is making his first start for Toronto; he was 2-2, 9.00 in six starts for the Cubs this year (over 4-2). Anderson is 40-45, 3.99 in 121 MLB starts.

Boston lost four of its last five games; under is 6-4 in its last ten games. Blue Jays lost eight of last ten games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 home games.

White Sox @ Twins
Shields is 0-0, 4.15 in his last three starts; his last four starts stayed under. Chicago is 2-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-9-3

Santana is 2-0, 4.09 in his last five starts; under is 5-2-2 in his last nine. Minnesota is 5-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-8-6

White Sox won four of last five games; their last six games stayed under. Chicago is 6-15 in road series openers. Minnesota won its last four home games; under is 5-1 in their last six games overall. Twins are 11-10 in home series openers.

Rays @ Royals
Cobb is 0-2, 6.08 in his last three starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. Tampa Bay is 6-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-8-3

Junis is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Royals are 3-1 in his last four— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-4

Tampa Bay won six of last eight games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Royals lost their last five games; they haven’t scored a run in 43 innings. Under is 4-3 in their last seven games.

Rangers vs Astros (@ St Petersburg)
Perez is 4-0, 3.00 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Perez is 0-2, 14.04 vs Houston this year. Rangers’ first 5-inning record with him: 10-12-3

Fiers is 1-4, 6.61 in his last six starts; under is 2-0-1 in his last three. Fiers is 0-1, 9.90 in two starts vs Texas this year. Astros’ first 5-inning record with him: 11-11-3

This is series is in the Trop where the Rays normally play. Rangers lost four of last five games (over 4-1). Texas is 9-12 in series openers away from home. Houston won three of last four games; under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Astros are 15-6 in series openers away from home.

A’s @ Angels
Smith is 0-3, 5.67 in seven starts this year (under 5-1-1). Oakland is 1-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4-1

Scribner is 1-1, 5.79 in three starts this year (under 2-1). Angels are 2-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-2

A’s won five of last eight games; under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Angels lost five of last eight games; under is 10-5 in their last 15.

__________________________

Interleague

Tigers @ Rockies
Fulmer is 0-5, 6.75 in his last six starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven road starts. Detroit is 4-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-10-3

Marquez is 1-1, 4.18 in his last five starts; under is 6-0-1 in his last seven. Colorado is 8-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-6-3

Tigers are 4-10 in last 14 games; their last four games stayed under. Colorado won three of its last five games; under is 4-1 in their last five games.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Atl-Phil: Dickey 13-12; Leiter 3-2
Mia-Wsh: Worley 7-3; Jackson 4-3
NY-Cin: Flexen 4-2; Romano 4-6
StL-Mil: Weaver 2-1; Garza 9-11
Pitt-Chi: Kuhl 10-16; Arrieta 14-12
SF-SD: Moore 8-18; Perdomo 10-13
LA-Az: Hill 11-5; Godley 11-8

American League
Clev-NY: Bauer 14-11; Garcia 2-2
Sea-Balt: Ramirez 3-2 (6-2); Bundy 16-8
Bos-Tor: Sale 18-8; Anderson 0-0 (3-3)
Chi-Min: Shields 6-9; Santana 15-11
Tex-Hst: Perez 11-14 (4-0 last 4); Fiers 14-11
TB-KC: Cobb 12-12; Junis 6-3
A’s-LAA: Smith 3-4; Scribner 2-1

Interleague
Det-Colo: Fulmer 12-12; Marquez 14-8

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Atl-Phil: Dickey 6-25; Leiter 2-5
Mia-Wsh: Worley 5-10; Jackson 3-7
NY-Cin: Flexen 3-6; Romano 3-10
StL-Mil: Weaver 1-3; Garza 6-20
Pitt-Chi: Kuhl 5-26; Arrieta 7-26
SF-SD: Moore 9-26; Perdomo 8-23
LA-Az: Hill 3-16; Godley 4-19

American League
Clev-NY: Bauer 4-25; Garcia 3-4
Sea-Balt: Ramirez 8-13; Bundy 4-24
Bos-Tor: Sale 2-26; Anderson 4-6
Chi-Min: Shields 5-15; Santana 5-26
Tex-Hst: Perez 11-25; Fiers 7-25
TB-KC: Cobb 4-24; Junis 3-9
A’s-LAA: Smith 3-7; Scribner 0-3

Interleague
Det-Colo: Fulmer 8-24; Marquez 6-22

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Atl-Phil: Four of last five Carapazza games went over.
Mia-Wsh: Five of last six Gibson games stayed under.
Pitt-Chi: Six of last seven Scheurwater games stayed under.
SF-SD: Underdogs are 8-8 (+$403) in last 16 Vanover games.

American League
Clev-NY: Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Hoberg games.
Sea-Balt: Over is 15-3-2 in last 20 Gonzalez games.
Bos-Tor: Six of last eight Tumpane games went over.
TB-KC: Six of last seven Estabrook games stayed under.
A’s-LAA: Under is 11-6 in last 17 Foster games.

Interleague
Det-Colo: Underdogs won last three Everitt games.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 76-55 AL, favorites +$103
AL @ NL– 70-64 NL, favorites +$179
Total: 140-125 AL, favorites +$282

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 65-65-3
AL @ NL: Over 71-57-7
Total: Over 136-122-10

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 8/28/17
Ariz 25-26-16……34-21–11……..59-47
Atl 23-31-9……23-35-7………..46-66
Cubs 30-30-7…….30-21-12………60-51
Reds 21-37-7……..24-35–7……….45-72
Colo 34-27-6…….34-25-4………..68-52
LA 30-19-12…….41-20-7……….71-39
Miami 28-30-8…….33-22-9………61-52
Milw 33-24-9…….31-26-8……….63-50
Mets 30-30-3……..25-36-6……..55-66
Philly 15-38-14……26-29-8……….41-67
Pitt 30-31-5…….26-28-11………57-59
St. Louis 25-28-8……35-24-9…………60-52
SD 20-39-8……..30-26–8……….50-65
SF 14-43-9……..27-28-11……….41-71
Wash 39-20-6……30-27-8………….69-47

Orioles 27-33-5……..29-31-5………56-64
Boston 29-29-8………30-33-2……..59-62
White Sox 21-35-9………24-36–4……..45-70
Cleveland 35-23-7……..31-24-8………66-47
Detroit 25-33-9…….27-29-8……..52-62
Astros 32-23-9……..40-24-4……..72-47
KC 24-30-9……..26-27-12…….50-57
Angels 25-31-8………28-26-13……..53-57
Twins 37-19-10………28-31-7……..65-49
NYY 28-36-6……….33-24-4…..…61-60
A’s 23-33-7……..28-30-11……..51-63
Seattle 26-34-8……..34-22-9………60-56
TB 33-23-10……..36-21-8……..69-44
Texas 30-24-11……..32-24-8………62-48
Toronto 24-36-4……..27-31-8……..51-67

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 8/28/17)
Ariz 20-65……..22-64………..42
Atl 13-62……….18-66……….31
Cubs 18-67……..23-63………..41
Reds 24-65……..25-65……….49
Colo 17-67……..23-63..………40
LA 18-61……..24-67..……..42
Miami 28-66……..23-64………51
Milw 22-66……25-66…..…..47
Mets 27-63……..22-67……….49
Philly 16-67……..20-64……….36
Pitt 19-66……..21-66……….40
StL 13-62……..21-67………..34
SD 23-67……….20-63……….43
SF 15-67……….20-66……….35
Wash 25-65……..26-65……….51

Orioles 15-66……..20-66……….35
Boston 20-66……..14-65……….34
White Sox 21-65……16-64………..37
Clev 16-65……..21-65……….37
Detroit 16-66…….26-64………42
Astros 19-64……..26-67……….45
KC 16-64……..13-67……….29
Angels 23-66……..18-68………..41
Twins 15-64……..14-65……….29
NYY 16-69……..17-61……….33
A’s 15-63……..26-69………41
Seattle 21-68…….22-66………43
TB 20-66……..23-67……….43
Texas 25-66……..27-64………52
Toronto 22-64……..19-69………41

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, August 29

Trend Report

7:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. NY YANKEES
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 8-15 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
NY Yankees are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Atlanta's last 22 games on the road
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Seattle is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games
Baltimore is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

7:07 PM
BOSTON vs. TORONTO
Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston

7:10 PM
NY METS vs. CINCINNATI
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games at home

7:10 PM
TEXAS vs. HOUSTON
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas

7:40 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 15 of St. Louis's last 20 games
St. Louis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 19 games at home

8:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CHI CUBS
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games at home

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games

8:15 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. KANSAS CITY
Tampa Bay is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing Kansas City
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing Tampa Bay

8:40 PM
DETROIT vs. COLORADO
Detroit is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
Detroit is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Detroit

9:40 PM
LA DODGERS vs. ARIZONA
LA Dodgers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers

10:07 PM
OAKLAND vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
LA Angels are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Oakland
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games

10:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Betting Recap - 8/21-8/27

League Betting Notes (Monday, Aug. 21 through Sunday, Aug. 27)

-- Favorites went 8-6 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 8-6 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 10-4 SU record
-- Home teams posted an 8-6 ATS record
-- The 'under' went 9-4-1

Team Betting Notes

-- Atlanta (12-20) must’ve received the wake-up call last week as the team captured not one but two straight victories after dropping nine consecutive games. Closing the season with three or four in a row might be tough knowing the Dream end with road games at Los Angeles on Friday and Phoenix on Sunday.

-- Chicago (12-19) snapped its two-game losing skid on Friday with a 96-83 win at Connecticut as an eye-opening 10-point road underdog. Unfortunately the club followed that performance up with a 92-62 setback at New York on Sunday afternoon. Including those results, the Sky are now 8-8 on the road opposed to 4-11 at home. The ‘over’ has gone 5-1 in their last six games.

-- After rolling off a handful of easy wins, Connecticut (20-11) struggled to a 1-1 record last week and it burned bettors twice at the betting counter. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four games when laying more than eight points and that’s something to keep an eye. The Sun will likely be the third or fourth seed in the playoffs but closing with their last three games on the road won’t be easy, especially with two on the West Coast (Phoenix, Los Angeles).

-- Dallas (15-17) went 1-1 last week and still sits in the eighth and final playoff spot in the WNBA. The Wings did go 2-0 ATS last week and is 5-2 over its last seven games. The club visits Chicago on Wednesday before hosting New York in the season finale on Sunday.

-- Indiana (9-23) couldn’t stop the bleeding this week as it dropped two more games and saw its losing skid reach six games. They did manage to cover in Saturday’s 79-74 loss at Atlanta as a 10-point road underdog. The ‘under’ cashed in both games. The club welcomes Minnesota on Wednesday before closing the season at home against San Antonio, which could be a winnable game.

-- Los Angeles (24-8) looks like it’s ready for the playoffs. The club went 2-0 last week and has now won five in a row and all of the victories have come by double digits. The Sparks are 5-0 ATS during this run and Sunday’s wire-to-wire home victory over Minnesota made a serious statement. The ‘under’ went 2-0 last week and is 7-1 over the last eight for Los Angeles. The club finishes the season with two home games versus Atlanta and Connecticut.

-- The Lynx (24-7) went 1-1 last week and the setback came on Sunday at Los Angeles. Minnesota still owns the top overall seed in the playoffs but will likely have to win out to lock up homecourt in the postseason. A trip to Indiana on Wednesday is followed with home games versus Chicago and Washington over the weekend.

-- Stop the presses in New York (20-12) because the Liberty cannot be stopped! The club extended its winning streak to eight straight games last week by going 3-0 both SU and ATS. The defense continues to be lights our and they held teams to 50, 66 and 62 points during this week’s action. The ‘under’ cashed in all of those games and is 7-0-1 during their winning streak. The club closes the season with winnable games versus San Antonio and at Dallas this week.

-- Phoenix (16-16) started the week with back-to-back losses and the offense (69, 67) looked dismal in both efforts. It didn’t improve much on Sunday but the Mercury snapped a three-game losing skid with a 75-71 win at Seattle as a five-point home underdog. Phoenix finishes the season home games versus Connecticut on Friday before Atlanta visits on Sunday. The Mercury are currently slated for the sixth seed in the playoffs but could improve to the fifth or possibly drop to as low as the eighth.

-- San Antonio (7-25) wasn’t expected to win this week as it was listed as double-digit underdogs against the top two teams in the WNBA. The Stars lost at Los Angeles by 20 on Tuesday before dropping their home finale to Minnesota by 19. The club will finish the season with a pair of road games at New York and Indiana this week.

-- The Storm (14-18) went 0-2 both SU and ATS last week as a favorite and both outcomes were decided by six points or less. Those setbacks came after the club ripped off four straight wins. Seattle (14-18) hasn’t technically clinched a playoff spot yet but it needs one win over its final two games or at least one loss by Chicago in their three games. Coincidentally, the pair play in “The Windy City” on Sunday evening.

-- Washington (17-14) will be participating in this year’s postseason and an early exit wouldn’t be surprising. The Mystics lost two games last week and they’re 1-4 over their last five games. They failed to over the spread in any of the setbacks and even the return of All-Star Elena Delle Donne might be enough to get the club on track. She returned from a six-game absence this week and dropped 15 and 29 in the losses. Washington finishes with three games this week, two at home and the season finale at Minnesota on Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 29

Connecticut @ Washington

Game 629-630
August 29, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
111.359
Washington
110.486
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 1
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 2 1/2
169 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+2 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, August 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (20 - 11) at WASHINGTON (17 - 14) - 8/29/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a division game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 308-367 ATS (-95.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons