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Tuesday 9-5-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
The 71-66 Minnesota Twins currently own the AL's second wild card spot, even after losing the first of a three-game series against the Tampa Rays last night. Coming off losing two of three to Kansas City at home this past weekend, the Twins had hoped to kick off their seven-game road trip with a win but instead, lost 11-4 to the Rays. The Angels won 11-9 (in 11 inn. at Oakland) and now sit just a half-game back of the Twins, while FIVE other teams lurk within three games of the Twins. The Rays are now 69-70 after last night's win and reside three games back of the Twins in the AL's congested scramble for the AL's final wild card spot.
Bartolo Colon (6-10 & 6.25 ERA) gets the nod for Minnesota and Jake Odorizzi (7-7 & 4.85 ERA) for Tampa Bay. Colon, a complete bust for the Braves in going 2-8 with an 8.14 ERA, has made a huge impact since coming to Minnesota, especially of late. He is 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA over his last six starts, as the Twins have posted wins in five of those six starts! Colon is 9-6 with a 4.07 ERA lifetime against the Rays in 24 starts (teams are 12-12).
Odorizzi earned the 5-3 victory last time out while permitting three runs, four hits and three walks over five innings to end a five-game win-less drought and even his record at 7-7. However, he has completed more than five innings once in his past six starts, yielding 19 ERs and 20 walks over 26 1/3 innings during that span for a 6.49 ERA. Odorizzi gave up two runs on seven hits across 5 2/3 innings of a no-decision against Minnesota on May 27 and is now 0-1 with a 4.71 ERA in four career starts vs Minnesota (team is 1-3).
Three Tampa Bay players, Corey Dickerson, Kevin Kiermaier and Logan Morrison, had three hits each in Monday's game. It is that kind of hitting up and down the lineup that kept the Rays in wild-card contention in the first half of the season and the Rays will need to hit like that in September to somehow work their way through this maze of wild card contenders. Let's not get ahead of ourselves.
Stephen Nover
Sep 05 '17, 10:05 PM
MLB | Angels vs A's
Play on: A's +133 at 5Dimes
It's nice to see Garrett Richards return to the mound after being out since April 5 because of an irritated nerve in his right biceps. It's also nice to see that the linesmaker has overrated Richards and the Angels in this matchup giving value to the home underdog A's. Richards has only pitched once since his injury going two innings for Triple-A Salt Lake this past Wednesday. He's going to be on a low limit pitch count and figures to be extremely rusty. Richards doesn't have that strong of a history either against the A's with a 4.20 ERA in 15 appearances. The Angels are 3-8 the past 11 times Richards has started versus Oakland. Kendall Graveman goes for Oakland. He's tough at home with a 3-0 mark and 2.70 ERA. The Angels have more big name players in their lineup than the A's. That partly explains their road favorite price. But do note the A's are a very underrated 37-32 at Oakland Coliseum while the Angels are three games below .500 when playing on the road. (Stephen Nover had another winning baseball day Monday and has his Run Line Game of the Year headlng his Tuesday ticket today.)
The Colorado Rockies looked to be a lock to make the postseason at the All-Star Break. But a rough second half has them sitting just 1.5 games of the Milwaukee Brewers as of today. They can't afford to overlook teams any longer, and they certainly won't be overlooking the Giants, who are 54-86 on the season.
Ty Blach is a soft tosser who is likely to get rocked today. Blach is 8-11 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 3-6 with a 5.43 ERA and 1.451 WHIP in 10 road starts. He has only struck out 68 batters in 144 1/3 innings.
Tyler Chatwood has not put up good numbers this year, but he certainly loves facing the Giants. He is 7-3 with a 2.82 ERA in 14 career starts against them. The Rockies are 6-0 in Chatwood's last six starts vs. San Francisco.
The Rockies are 13-3 in their last 16 home meetings with the Giants. San Francisco is 22-64 in its last 86 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Rockies are 20-7 in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Giants are 0-4 in Blach's last four starts. Bet the Rockies on the Run Line Tuesday.
Jimmy Boyd
Sep 05 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Yankees vs Orioles
Play on: Orioles +105 at BMaker
Free Pick on Orioles +
I like the value here with Baltimore as a short home dog against division rival New York on Tuesday. Despite losing the series opener 4-7 on Monday, the Orioles are still a red-hot 9-3 in their last 12 games.
On paper the starting pitching matchup would look to favor the Yankees, as Baltimore's Jeremy Hellickson has an ugly 8.81 ERA in his last 3 starts. However, he was sharp two outings ago at Boston, allowing just 2 earned runs in 7 innings and more importantly has pitched well against New York, posting a 3.07 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 7 starts against them. Yankees counter with C.C. Sabathia, who has been throwing well of late, but was torched for 7 runs on 9 hits in just 5 2/3 innings in his last start against Baltimore.
Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 home games against a left-handed starter and 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss. Yankees are just 14-22 on the season in road games after a win and 7-17 over the last 2 years on the road when they come in having won 3 of their last 4. Take Baltimore!
John Martin
Sep 05 '17, 10:10 PM
MLB | Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
Play on: Diamondbacks +115 at 5Dimes
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Arizona Diamondbacks +115
The Arizona Diamondbacks have now won a whopping 12 straight games coming in. Yet they are still dogs against a Dodgers team that has packed it in already. The Dodgers are just 1-9 in their last 10 games. JD Martinez homered four times in a 13-0 win over the Dodgers yesterday. Look for Zack Greinke to try and extend this streak and build on an already great season. Greinke is 16-6 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 27 starts. He's up against Hyun-Jin Ry, who is 5-7 with a 3.85 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 20 starts. Greinke gave up just 1 earned run in 6 innings in his last start against the Dodgers on August 31st. Ryu faced the DBacks on August 30th, giving up 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 innings.
GAME: New York Yankees (74-63) at Baltimore Orioles (70-68)
DATE/TIME: Tuesday, September 05 - 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Yankees at Orioles
Gracenote
Sep 4, 2017
The New York Yankees look to slug their way to another big divisional win when they continue a three-game series at the Baltimore Orioles on Tuesday. After taking three of four against American League East-leading Boston over the weekend - capped by a four-homer barrage in Sunday's 9-2 victory - the Yankees again used the long ball to rally for a 7-4 win in the series opener at Camden Yards on Labor Day.
They've clubbed eight home runs during the three-game winning streak, with Didi Gregorius and Starlin Castro both hitting two-run shots Monday. "You want to keep it going," Yankees manager Joe Girardi told reporters after his team pulled to within 2 1/2 games of the Red Sox and strengthened its hold on the No. 1 wild card in the AL. "The other teams are chasing us and we're chasing the Red Sox. Every day we win it makes it easier for us to try to accomplish our goals. So we've got to play good again (Tuesday)." The Orioles had won nine of 11 entering the series and are 1 1/2 games behind Minnesota in the race for the second wild card. They will give the ball to Jeremy Hellickson on Tuesday opposite CC Sabathia for New York.
TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, YES (New York), MASN (Baltimore)
PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees LH CC Sabathia (11-5, 3.71 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Jeremy Hellickson (8-8, 5.15)
Sabathia made waves with his comments railing against the Red Sox for bunting against him in the first inning, which overshadowed his third straight strong start. The 37-year-old is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA in those three outings since coming off the disabled list in the middle of August. He was pounded for seven runs in 5 2/3 innings against Baltimore in the previous meeting April 28, but is 19-10 with a 3.47 ERA in 40 career starts versus the Orioles.
Hellickson's 200th career outing was a rough one Thursday in Toronto, where he was reached for seven runs over 4 2/3 frames. The loss left him 2-3 with a 6.55 ERA in six starts since being acquired from Philadelphia, and he has a 13.50 mark in his last two home appearances. The Iowa native is 4-2 with a 3.21 ERA in his career against the Yankees.
WALK-OFFS
1. Yankees C Gary Sanchez began serving a three-game suspension Monday.
2. Orioles 2B Jonathan Schoop has gone three straight games without an RBI after driving in 15 runs over his previous 12 contests.
3. New York has won eight of the last 11 meetings.
GAME: Chicago Cubs (75-62) at Pittsburgh Pirates (66-72)
DATE/TIME: Tuesday, September 05 - 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Cubs at Pirates
Gracenote
Sep 4, 2017
The Chicago Cubs are still sitting atop the National League Central, but their pitching staff has taken a beating the past three games. The Cubs turn to right-hander Kyle Hendricks to reverse that trend when they play the second contest of a four-game road series against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday.
The Pirates hammered the Cubs 12-0 in the series opener, handing Chicago its second straight defeat. The Cubs maintained their 3 1/2-game lead over Milwaukee in the division, but they’ve allowed 29 runs in their past three outings. Pittsburgh is out of contention but has won three straight and relishes the role of spoiler. The PIrates’ pitching staff has been outstanding during the winning streak, posting two shutouts and allowing just one run in the other contest.
TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, CSN Chicago, AT&T SportsNet Pittsburgh
PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (6-4, 3.32 ERA) vs. Pirates LH Steven Brault (0-0, 5.93)
Hendricks is 2-1 with a 2.31 ERA in eight starts since coming off the disabled list on July 24. The 27-year-old has recorded four straight quality starts and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any outing since his return. Hendricks is 4-2 with a 3.31 ERA in nine career starts against Pittsburgh and has split a pair of meetings this season.
Brault will make his first big-league start of the season after six appearances out of the bullpen. The 25-year-old made seven major-league starts last season and went 0-3 with a 4.26 ERA, so he is still looking for his first major-league win. Brault has allowed 17 runs (nine earned) in 8 2/3 innings over four career appearances (one start) against the Cubs.
WALK-OFFS
1. Pittsburgh 1B Josh Bell homered Monday and has hit six blasts in 26 games against the Cubs, his most against any opponent.
2. Cubs INF/OF Ian Happ is 8-for-19 with two homers during a five-game hitting streak.
3. Pirates CF Andrew McCutchen is 3-for-19 with six strikeouts and no extra-base hits against Hendricks.
GAME: Philadelphia Phillies (52-85) at New York Mets (59-78)
DATE/TIME: Tuesday, September 05 - 7:10 PM EST
WHERE: Citi Field, New York City, New York
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A
Preview: Phillies at Mets
Gracenote
Sep 4, 2017
Jose Reyes is making the most of an otherwise difficult stretch run for the New York Mets and looks to stay hot when they host the Philadelphia Phillies on Tuesday in the second of a three-game series. Reyes homered, singled and walked twice in Monday's 11-7 win and is batting .419 with nine walks, 12 runs and four stolen bases since coming off the disabled list Aug. 26.
His 10-game hitting streak is his longest since 2015 and the 34-year-old has scored at least one run in each of those contests, the longest string of his career. New York snapped a four-game slide with the victory and improved to 36-16 against Philadelphia since the start of the 2015 season. Jacob deGrom has helped fuel the Mets' recent dominance in the rivalry and is 2-0 with a 1.37 ERA in three starts against the Phillies in 2017. He gets the nod Tuesday opposite Philadelphia rookie Ben Lively.
TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, CSN Philadelphia, SNY (New York)
PITCHING MATCHUP: Phillies RH Ben Lively (2-5, 4.22 ERA) vs. Mets RH Jacob deGrom (14-8, 3.43)
Lively has allowed exactly two earned runs in four of his last five starts but was not victorious in that stretch until defeating Miami his last time out. The Central Florida product let up two runs in 6 1/3 innings in a tough loss at Citi Field on June 30. He is 1-3 with a 3.82 ERA in six road starts.
The initial attempt for deGrom at becoming a 15-game winner for the first time was unsuccessful, although he was solid in six innings of a loss at Cincinnati on Thursday. He limited the Phillies to a run and three hits while fanning 12 in the previous meeting at home June 30. Few Philadelphia hitters have done well against deGrom, but Freddy Galvis is 6-for-22 and Nick Williams has two hits in six career at-bats.
WALK-OFFS
1. The Mets plan to start RHP Matt Harvey on Wednesday on short rest, despite the fact that he gave up seven runs in two innings Saturday at Houston in his return from shoulder surgery.
2. New York OF Norichika Aoki is 5-for-14 with two doubles, three RBIs and three runs scored in three games since being acquired from Toronto.
3. The Phillies activated CF Odubel Herrera (hamstring) from the 10-day disabled list.
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