Wednesday 9-6-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 53

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 SEAGOLD 3/1

# 3 CHAMPAGNE WALTZ 5/1

# 8 PRETTY SOON 5/2

SEAGOLD looks to be a respectable contender. Should compete very well in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group of animals. Could beat this group of animals given the 51 Equibase Speed Fig put up in her last outing. The average Equibase class rating of 48 makes this horse tough to beat. CHAMPAGNE WALTZ - Don't let this filly slip past you. Could score at high odds. Must be carefully examined as she drops to compete against this easier lot. PRETTY SOON - She has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most respectable in this group of animals. This filly is a solid contender based on her earnings per start in dirt sprint events.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 7

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)


Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 61 • Purse: $31,000 • Post: 4:53P
(PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BEHOLD is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BEHOLD: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. T oday is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
7
BEHOLD
5/1

6/5

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #5 - Post: 5:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 55

Rating: 3

#6 FORT STEVENS (ML=3/2)


FORT STEVENS - I like to see fast morning drills. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. This gelding is in nice physical condition, having run a strong race on August 23rd, finishing second. This equine picks up a lot of money per start. Tops in this affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 HONEST BOND (ML=5/2), #5 PRO TRIBUTE (ML=5/1), #2 ZACTLY (ML=6/1),

HONEST BOND - Multiple chances for this pony at Louisiana Downs and still hasn't received his first victory here. PRO TRIBUTE - 5/1 is not pegged at the proper price for any horse in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race lately. Awfully hard to wager on this questionable contender when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness recently. ZACTLY - Tough to back any racer in a short distance affair if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - FORT STEVENS - I've checked and double checked my database. This horse is the only solid stalker in this group. Should make a big move at the top of the stretch on his way to the winner's circle.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 FORT STEVENS is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [2,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 60

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 6, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 MELOVEDA 3/5

# 4 BUBBICIOUS 2/1

# 1 SUNDAY DINNER 6/1

MELOVEDA has a solid shot to take this race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look competitive in this contest. Will almost certainly go to the lead and might never look back. Has to be carefully examined in here if only for the solid Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last contest. BUBBICIOUS - This horse is ranked high in this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Always seems to be right there at the wire. SUNDAY DINNER - The speedy return to the races points to a sound effort this time around. Jurado has one of the best jockey ROI's on the grounds, returning to wagerers +2 percent.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7 - Post: 7:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 54

Rating: 4

#1 CLUB LEVEL (ML=8/1)
#6 FANTASTIC LADY (ML=2/1)


CLUB LEVEL - Another way to identify class is earnings per race entered. This entrant has the top in the field. I think she'll be close at the end. FANTASTIC LADY - Pino was aboard this filly last time out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This filly is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprint horses that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 TOGA DANCE (ML=5/2), #5 LACEE (ML=3/1), #3 SUMMATRIX (ML=6/1),

TOGA DANCE - A bit of a lackluster try when this mare finished sixth. LACEE - I find it hard to bet on any racer in a short distance contest at 3/1 when she hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last sixty days. This filly hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last couple of outings. SUMMATRIX - Just don't think she is offering enough value at the expected odds.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 CLUB LEVEL to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 2

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $9,500 • Post: 2:10P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Trailer. WINTERVELD is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WINTERVELD: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface. AROMA BLUE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
5
WINTERVELD
6/1

5/2
6
AROMA BLUE
4/1

6/1

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CAPPERS ACCESS
Mets
Rangers

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WNBA Cheat Sheet - First Round

The first round of the WNBA playoffs begin on Wednesday with a single-elimination format. The winners of these games will travel to either No. 3 New York or No. 4 Connecticut for second round matchups on Sunday.

Those games will be single-elimination as well with the winners advancing to the semifinals against either No. 1 Minnesota or No. 2 Los Angeles for a five-game series.

No. 7 Dallas at No. 6 Washington (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Wings went 2-1 both straight up and against the spread versus the Mystics this season.

-- The road team went 3-0 in the three regular season encounters and the visitor has win eight straight meetings in this head-to-head series.

-- The ‘under’ went 2-1 in the three meetings this season and the low side cashed in both matchups from D.C.

-- Dallas went 6-11 SU as a visitor this season but managed to produce a winning record (9-8) at the betting counter.

-- The Wings saw the ‘over’ go 12-5 in their away games.

-- Washington went 11-6 SU and 9-8 ATS at home while the ‘over’ went 9-8.

-- The Mystics closed the season with a 2-5 (1-6 ATS) record and one of the losses came versus Dallas.

-- The Wings finished 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in the final two weeks of the season and the two losses came by a combined seven points.

-- Dallas went 9-9 versus the Eastern Conference this season while Washington was just 6-12 against the West.

-- Washington hasn’t had much success in the playoffs, going 4-16 overall since the 2002 postseason. They are a combined 1-4 in their most recent trips (2014, 2015) and bettors should note that the ‘over’ has gone 10-2 in the last 12 playoff battles.

-- This will be the first playoff game for the Wings since they moved the franchise to Dallas.

No. 8 Seattle at No. 5 Phoenix (ESPN2, 10:00 p.m. ET)

-- Phoenix won and covered two of its three meetings against Seattle this season.

-- The Mercury won both of those games on the road, but the Storm earned a 98-89 win at Phoenix on Aug. 12 as a five-point road underdog.

-- Including those results, Phoenix is 7-3 in the last 10 encounters versus Seattle and the ‘over’ has gone 6-4 during this stretch.

-- Among the eight playoff teams, Seattle owns the worst road mark at 5-12 SU and 7-9-1 ATS.

-- The Storm did close the season with a 3-2 mark both SU and ATS as visitors and the offense helped that cause by averaging 95 points per game.

-- Phoenix went 9-8 SU and 8-10 ATS at Talking Stick Resort Arena this season.

-- After mired in a 2-7 slump, the Mercury ended the regular season with three straight wins and covers. The defense only allowed 69 PPG during this stretch, which helped the ‘under’ go 3-0.

-- Seattle stopped Chicago 85-50 last Sunday in their road finale, which snapped a three-game losing skid.

-- Phoenix went 2-0 in last year’s playoffs, winning both single-elimination games before getting swept by Minnesota in the semifinals.

-- Seattle dropped a 94-85 decision at Atlanta in the first round of last year’s playoffs.

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WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 6

Seattle @ Phoenix

Game 679-680
September 6, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
107.319
Phoenix
114.958
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 7 1/2
172
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 4
164
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-4); Over

Dallas @ Washington

Game 677-678
September 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
104.146
Washington
115.521
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 11 1/2
176
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
172 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Over

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WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 6

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DALLAS (16 - 18) at WASHINGTON (18 - 16) - 9/6/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 309-369 ATS (-96.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (15 - 19) at PHOENIX (18 - 16) - 9/6/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games on Wednesday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 38-62 ATS (-30.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
SEATTLE is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Wednesday, September 6

Trend Report

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 23 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. PHOENIX
Seattle is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Seattle is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
Phoenix is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty won with the Indians on Tuesday and likes the Rays on Wednesday.

The deficit is 1070 sirignanos.

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Tony's *5 mlb free pick

Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati, 09/06/2017 12:35 EDT

Money Line: -150 Cincinnati

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

Fp: they don't call it home field advantage for nothing sometimes it's the deciding factor in the game .. both team struggling from the plate and the mound it seems just the home ball park is the deciding factor with the brew crew winning just 2xs in 7 tries here .. games not played on paper but some stats can't be ignored making cicny my mlb free pick.

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Brian Bitler

Brian's 9* MLB Electric Dog

Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati, 09/06/2017 12:35 EDT

Money Line: +144 Milwaukee

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Super investment potential here as the Brewers have lost the first two games of this series at a time when wins are most important. Brewers are still 6-5 in their last 10 and just 2.5 behind the final wild card spot with a big series against the Cubs on deck. Love the plus money invest a 9 unit investment on the Brewers here.