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Sunday 9-10-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Free Play Cincinnati Bengals on the Money Line -140
The Bengals have dominated Baltimore at home over the last 5 seasons going 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread. One of those games was a 3-point victory while the rest of them were won by 17, 8, 17, and 6 points. Cincinnati has also went 3-0-1 ATS in their last four opening games of the season. The Bengals have been fast starters in September going 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games in September. The Ravens are picking up where they left off last season, injured. The biggest question is QB Joe Flacco who has only been practicing for about 10 days and he has really struggled against the Bengals as of late. This is a very bad matchup for the Ravens in Week 1. Take Cincinnati -140 as our free play for Sunday.
People just can't wait to bet the Raiders here in Las Vegas and around the rest of the country as Derek Carr has caught the media's attention. Oakland make the playoffs for the first time in 14 years last season only to see Carr break his leg in Week 16 and the Raiders lost in the opening round of the playoffs. Tennessee finished a respectable 9-7 last season and has the same issue...how to keep our quarterback healthy. Marcus Mariota has shown he can play with the best and with DeMarco Murray running free they can sneak up on Oakland who has beaten them in each of the last two seasons. Not, this time. Take TENNESSEE!
RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 5:13 PM EASTERN POST
The Allied Forces Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEAR OLDS STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#7 BIG HANDSOME
#6 WHITE FLAG
#9 TOGA CHALLENGER
#1 HARDENED
This race honors the career of Allied Forces, a grandson of Mr. Prospector, and a multiple graded stakes winner. Here in just the 3rd running of The Forces, #7 BIG HANDSOME has hit the board in each of his last five outings, winning three times, with two of those "Circle Trips" also qualifying as "POWER RUN WINS." Jockey Javier Castellano has been in his irons on 6 previous occasions, hitting the board in each, winning three times, and is back this afternoon here in Elmont for his 7th ride, gunning for a "Grand Slam Win" here in the "Sunday Feature." #6 WHITE FLAG qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his last two starts.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7500 Class Rating: 63
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 6 CAVE WOLF 20/1
# 10 SCIENCE TO WIN 20/1
# 3 STORM BOURNE 20/1
CAVE WOLF has a decent shot to take this contest particularly if the morning line of 20/1 holds. The extreme drop in class can only aid this one this time around. Must be given a chance here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. Is a definite contender - given the 67 speed figure from his most recent race. SCIENCE TO WIN - Had one of the top speed figs of this group in his last race. STORM BOURNE - Macias has a solid 21 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. This handler has done solidly as of late with entries racing at this distance and surface.
Allowance • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 2:30P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * TIMELESS HOPE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figur e at the distance/surface. SNOW PHOENIX: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5
TIMELESS HOPE
6/1
Laurel - Race #1 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $33,000 Class Rating: 60
Rating: 4
#6 ARBUTUS (ML=6/1)
#1 ROSE COLORED (ML=6/1)
#5 LISA LIMON (ML=8/1)
ARBUTUS - This horse could be tough in today's contest, especially since Gomez rode in the last race and now should be familiar with this one. The rider and conditioner combination have a positive ROI when they partner up. Was in a Maiden Special race at Timonium in the last race. That event had a class figure of 66 and she is moving down in today's race. A certain contender. The 56 last race speed rating looks good in black and white. Have to give this filly a chance. Ran a strong race in the last race within the last 30 days. ROSE COLORED - Trombetta brings her right back. I recommend you stick with this hot filly. I like when a pony has dropped in class at least 5 class points like this one did in the last race and then runs against a similar field right back. Trombetta must've found the right level. Filly made a nice late run going 5 furlongs on Aug 19th. I have to like her chances stretching out today. LISA LIMON - She finished second August 16th, but was well clear of the show horse. Perkins brings her back again. I suggest you stay with this live filly.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 WAR TWEET (ML=8/5), #8 STILLSEXYATSIXTY (ML=3/1), #1A LADY OF THE EMPIRE (ML=6/1),
WAR TWEET - This filly garnered a speed rating in her last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's race. LADY OF THE EMPIRE - Registered a disappointing speed fig last time around the track in a $40,000 Maiden Claiming race on Aug 28th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #6 ARBUTUS on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,5,6] with [1,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] Total Cost: $36
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 75
FOR REGISTERED NEW JERSEY BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 12 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $30,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 9 BEACH TAG 8/1
# 8 CHUBOFFTHEOLDBLOCK 2/1
# 5 KODIAK KATIE 3/1
BEACH TAG is my pick especially at a such a nice price. Reason to like this filly as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. Garnered a reliable speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. She should have a strong showing versus this less demanding field. CHUBOFFTHEOLDBLOCK - This racer enters today's competition with second time Lasix. Has been running solidly lately and will almost certainly be close to the lead early on. KODIAK KATIE - The average class fig alone makes this horse a definite contender. Should be given a chance based on the decent speed figure earned in the last outing.
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