Monday 9-11-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Monday 9-11-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Mark Lawrence's PLAYBOOK
New Orleans by 3 over Minnesota
LA Chargers by 10 over Denver -
The Gold Sheet
New Orleans 23 - Minnesota 16 (Key Release)
Denver 20 - LA Chargers 19Comment
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Powers' Picks NL (Brad Powers)
Minnesota 26-23
Denver 23-20Comment
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Platinum Sheet
Statfox Forecast
New Orleans 25-24
Denver 23-20Comment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 106
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 11, 2017 ALLOWED 5 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 LINE OF BEST FIT 6/1
# 1 BISHOP'S POND 9/5
# 2 LOVE CAME TO TOWN 5/2
LINE OF BEST FIT is my choice. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. Magee has her trained very well to break promptly out of the gate. Her earnings per start in dirt route contests alone makes you take a look at her. BISHOP'S POND - Could provide positive profits based on competitive recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 92. The speed figure of 96 from her latest affair looks very strong in here. LOVE CAME TO TOWN - The speed figure of 93 from her latest affair looks respectable in here. Is worth thinking about and may be a wager - strong speed figures (87 average) at today's distance and surface lately.Comment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19200 Class Rating: 84
FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 11 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 TAINTED ANGEL 3/5
# 1 STONE SUPPLIER 5/1
# 3 GROTON ST SCOUT 6/1
I think TAINTED ANGEL is a very good choice. Should best this field here, showing respectable figures of late. Lately Rodriguez has provided wagerers with a quite good winning percentage with horses running in dirt sprint races. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint races in this lot. STONE SUPPLIER - When a trainer brings any equine back this quickly it is a positive signal. She has been racing well recently while recording strong speed figures.Comment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Louisiana Downs - Race #1 - Post: 3:15pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 55
Rating: 4
#3 MY SILVER OAKS (ML=5/1)
#1 SHIPLAP (ML=3/1)
MY SILVER OAKS - When Dominguez and Foster combine forces on horses the return on investment has been great at +705. SHIPLAP - First-timer has morning works over the Louisiana Downs strip, which is always a plus. Delany, the trainer, shows intent by adding Lasix in this race. A positive sign.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FLYING ROSIE (ML=5/2), #5 N. D. FREE (ML=9/2), #2 VALINA (ML=9/2),
FLYING ROSIE - This runner hasn't been near the winner at the wire lately. N. D. FREE - Not a good enough price on this entrant at the probable odds of 9/2. VALINA - Not easy to play this questionable contender today. Make her show you something in a short distance event before you play her in a race of 6 furlongs. This filly notched a rating in her last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 MY SILVER OAKS to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
NoneComment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Mountaineer Park - Race #5 - Post: 8:28pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,300 Class Rating: 67
Rating: 4
#5 KODIAK CUTIE (ML=8/1)
#3 INDYGO TIGRESS (ML=4/1)
KODIAK CUTIE - Filly won on May 21st at this class and distance. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fourth). Should rebound right here, with some pretty good odds. Recent speed figs show strong pattern of improvement. INDYGO TIGRESS - Could be an overlay in today's race at morning line odds of 4/1. Finished fourth in last race at Mountaineer Park but was close at the finish. This filly is certainly on the improve with Equibase speed figs of 27, 44, 71 last three out.
Vulnerable Contenders: #8 CHERYL'S WAY (ML=6/5), #1 DUNKIRK SURVIVOR (ML=6/1), #9 MY STAR OASIS (ML=8/1),
CHERYL'S WAY - This racer hasn't been on the track since August 16th. Not even any morning activity. Lower level horses have a difficult time coming back after two grueling stretch runs. DUNKIRK SURVIVOR - Won't be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the questionable challengers list. MY STAR OASIS - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint affairs in order to back her. This mount hasn't shown much effort in the last pair of races. Finished seventh in her most recent race with a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #5 KODIAK CUTIE on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
PassComment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown
Thistledown - Race 1
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) $1 Daily Double (Races 1-2) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $10,700 • Post: 1:40P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. BROOK'S BAY B is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BROOK'S BAY B: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SECRET INVASION: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DISCREET INVESTOR: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1A
BROOK'S BAY B
7/2
9/2
6
SECRET INVASION
8/1
6/1
5
DISCREET INVESTOR
3/1
7/1Comment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA
ZIA - Race 2
2nd Half Early Daily Double / $1 Exacta / Fifty Cent Trifecta Ten Cent Superfecta / 2nd Leg of Fifty Cent Pick 4 1st Leg of Fifty Cent Pick 3
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 12:37
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Stalker. ELEUTHEROS is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ELEUTHEROS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the hi ghest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
ELEUTHEROS
6/5
6/5Comment
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Arthur Ralph Sports
MON Toronto w/ Estrada -125Comment
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Tony Brown
Tony's *5 mlb free pick
Colorado vs. Arizona, 09/11/2017 21:40 EDT
Total: +107/+8½ Under
Sportsbook:
Betonline
Fp: grinke has been lights out at home going 13-1 with a sub 2 era i expect him to stay hot and shut down Colorado and 9 runs to beat us will be a chore making the under my mlb free pick .Comment
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When: 7:10 PM ET, Monday, September 11, 2017
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Preview: Saints at Vikings
Adrian Peterson may have served as the face of the Minnesota Vikings' franchise for the majority of his 10-year career, but the 2012 NFL MVP plans to show his now-former team that he has plenty left in the tank. Peterson brings his new club, the New Orleans Saints, into U.S. Bank Stadium on Monday night for its season opener against the Vikings.
"Of course I want to stick it to them. I want to stick it to everyone we play," the 32-year-old Peterson told the Minneapolis Star-Tribune. "But going back to Minnesota, playing the Vikings? Yeah, I want to stick it to them." That plan of attack likely will go through quarterback Drew Brees (NFL-best 5,208 passing yards in 2016), who looks to keep New Orleans' top-ranked total offense (426.0 yards per game) in gear with second-year wideout Michael Thomas aiming to take the next step in the wake of the offseason departure of Brandin Cooks (New England). Minnesota boasted five Pro Bowl selections on its defense that ranked third in the league last season in yards allowed per game (314.9). "It makes it more interesting once he bounces it outside or catches the ball," Pro Bowl cornerback Xavier Rhodes told the newspaper. "You have that extra adrenaline, whatever you want to call it, if you can stop him so you can talk trash later on that day."
TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Vikings -3. O/U: 48
ABOUT THE SAINTS (2016: 8-8, 3RD PLACE IN NFC SOUTH): Long the centerpiece in Minnesota's backfield, Peterson likely will take a complementary role with third-round rookie Alvin Kamara joining incumbent starter Mark Ingram, who is coming off career highs in rushing yards (1,043), scrimmage yards (1,362) and total touchdowns (10). While the offense rarely is an issue, New Orleans' defense has languished near the bottom of the NFL for the last three seasons - including a 31st rank in points allowed in 2016. Cameron Jordan (team-leading 7.5 sacks) and linebacker Craig Robertson (club-best 114 tackles) made their marks last year and rookie cornerback Marshon Lattimore is hoping to do the same with the NFL's worst pass defense. "People think we're still at the bottom of the barrel. ... I love proving people wrong anyway, so I'm ready for it," the 21-year-old said.
ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2016: 7-9, 3RD PLACE IN NFC NORTH): Sam Bradford benefited from a short-yardage passing game to set an NFL record for completion percentage last season, due in large part to the team's inability to run the ball. Minnesota addressed its sputtering running game by selecting Florida State's Dalvin Cook in the second round of the 2017 draft and acquiring Latavius Murray in the offseason, shortly after Peterson bolted to the Bayou. Stefon Diggs (team-leading 84 receptions) and Adam Thielen (career-high 967 receiving yards) serve as Bradford's wideouts while Kyle Rudolph's 83 catches in 2016 were the most by a tight end in franchise history.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Minnesota DE Danielle Hunter recorded 12.5 sacks, which ranked tied for third last season in the NFL.
2. New Orleans WR Willie Snead will serve the first contest of his three-game suspension following an offseason DWI arrest.
3. The Vikings enjoyed a plus-11 turnover ratio in 2016 while the Saints were minus-3.
PREDICTION: Saints 27, Vikings 21Comment
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When: 10:20 PM ET, Monday, September 11, 2017
Where: Sports Authority Field, Denver, Colorado
Preview: Chargers at Broncos
The Denver Broncos aim to rebound from a subpar season by their standards, while the Los Angeles Chargers begin a new era when the two long-time AFC West rivals meet on Monday night in the Mile High City. Both teams also feature new coaches - Vance Joseph for Denver, Anthony Lynn for Los Angeles - while the Chargers play their initial game since unceremoniously ditching San Diego after 56 seasons.
The Broncos missed the playoffs last season after winning the Super Bowl following the 2015 campaign and once again will revolve around a defense led by star linebacker Von Miller. Denver rehired Mike McCoy to rev up the offense after he spent the last four seasons as the Chargers' coach, going a woeful 9-23 over the past two years before being fired. Broncos cornerback Aqib Talib took notice that Los Angeles wideout Keenan Allen is healthy after tearing an ACL in the 2016 season opener and cautioned that the Chargers are a dangerous foe. "They're healthy now, and they've got all of their guys and all of their guns are on deck," Talib told reporters. "They have Philip Rivers as their quarterback, so if you have a future Hall-of-Fame quarterback, you're probably going to be pretty good on offense."
TV: 10:20 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Broncos -3.5. O/U: 43
ABOUT THE CHARGERS (2016: 5-11, fourth in AFC West): Rivers still wings the ball all over the field at age 35 and has topped 4,000 yards eight times to go along with five seasons of 30 or more touchdown passes. Melvin Gordon missed a 1,000-yard rushing season by three yards when he sat out the final three games with hip and knee injuries, while veteran Antonio Gates has 111 career touchdown receptions - tied with Tony Gonzalez for most by a tight end in NFL history. Pass rushers Joey Bosa (10.5 sacks as a rookie) and Melvin Ingram (eight) will test a Denver offensive line that has four new starters while cornerback Casey Hayward (NFL-best seven interceptions) leads the secondary.
ABOUT THE BRONCOS (2016: 9-7, third in AFC West): Trevor Siemian begins his second year as a starter after passing for 3,401 yards last season and has a solid pair of receivers at his disposal in Demaryius Thomas (five straight 1,000-yard seasons) and Emmanuel Sanders (three straight). Running back C.J. Anderson is healthy after playing just seven games in 2016 before undergoing season-ending knee surgery while former Kansas City star Jamaal Charles will try to revive his career after appearing in only eight contests over the last two seasons due to his own knee woes. Miller is second in the NFL in both sacks (73.5) and forced fumbles (19) since entering in 2011 while Talib is tied for fourth in league history with nine career interceptions returned for touchdowns.
EXTRA POINTS
1. The Broncos have won five of the last six meetings and hold a 63-50-1 series advantage.
2. Allen, who recorded 1,046 receiving yards as a rookie in 2013, played in just nine games over the last two seasons.
3. Miller has registered 13 sacks in 12 contests versus the Chargers.
PREDICTION: Broncos 26, Chargers 16Comment

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