Service Plays Monday 9/18/17

[havoc3011]

Rainman


NFL
*Bet 11.5 Units to WIN 10 Units: #289 Detroit Lions +3.5 -115 8:30pm est




MLB
**Bet 10 Units to WIN 6 Units: #951 LA Dodgers -1.5 RL -165 7:05pm est


*Bet 11 Units to WIN 10 Units: #960 Baltimore Orioles ML -122 7:05pm est


*Bet 5 Units to WIN 5.5 Units: #957 Arizona DBacks -1.5 RL +110 10:10pm est


*Bet 10 Units to WIN 6.9 Units: #957 Arizona DBacks ML -145 10:10pm est

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Ocal Sports

NFL
(3) Lions +3
(5) DET @ NYG Under 42

MLB
(7) Dodgers -1.5 -165
(4) OAK @ DET Over 10
(4) NYM @ MIA Over 8.5

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Northcoast

monday night magic play

ny giants

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Paul Leiner

100* Tigers -110

100* Brewers -110

100* Mets / Marlins Over 8.5

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Dr Bob

Detroit Lions @ New York Giants

Lean – NEW YORK GIANTS (-3) over Detroit

The Giants offense could only manage 3 points last week and many will be blaming the absence of top receiver Odell Beckham. However, since the start of Beckham’s career, New York’s offensive adjEPA has been about the same in the 5 other games he has missed compared to when he’s played. The Giants have a 0.15 offensive adjEPA when he does not start and a 0.14 offensive adjEPA when does. Contrary to fantasy football, most top wide receivers mean very little to the point spread. In truth, the Giants offense was just outplayed by Dallas but they should look better against a much easier opponent this week – the Lions defense ranked 26th last season in adjEPA/play.

Detroit had another 4th quarter comeback after setting the NFL record last season, but their 12 point win flatters them as adjEPA only expected them to win by 3. The Lions benefitted from four Cardinals’ turnovers and had some luck scoring touchdowns on all 3 of their Redzone trips.

Our model favors the Giants by 4½ points if Beckham doesn’t play and by 5½ points if he does play, so I’ll lean with the Giants either way.

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Las vegas pipeline

Detroit lions +3

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Diamond Trends - Monday
September 18, 2017
TOP SU TREND:

-- The Tigers are 10-0 since Apr 29, 2013 in the first game of a series with no rest after a game as a home favorite in which they won by 5+ runs.

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TOP OU TREND:

-- The Phillies are 0-13-2 OU (-2.43 ppg) since Jun 18, 2016 as a 140+ dog coming off a home game in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

TOP STARTER TREND:

-- The Twins are 10-0 RUN LINE ON since Jul 23, 2015 when Ervin Santana starts on the road after he went 6+ innings gave up 6 or fewer hits in a win in his last start.

TOP CHOICE TREND:

-- The Diamondbacks are 10-0 since May 03, 2010 with no rest as a road favorite in the first game of a series after a loss where they never led.

[havoc3011]

Millerlocks

8:30 PM EST NFL DETROIT LIONS VS. NEW YORK GIANTS PICK: UNDER 42 (-110) RISK: 11 UNITS 8:30 PM EST NFL DETROIT LIONS VS. NEW YORK GIANTS PICK: NEW YORK GIANTS -3 (-123) RISK: 11 UNITS 10:10 PM EST MLB ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS. SAN DIEGO PADRES PICK: ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (-161) RISK: 11 UNITS

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Wayne Root

Perfect play- Giants

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Marco/Sports Unlimited

4% MLB Pirates

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JR Tipps
10,000,000*- DETROIT+3.5

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11th: MLB 8u: 960 BAL-.5 1st 5+125. BAL-1.5gm+165. 954 PIT+105 1st 5. PIT+110gm. 958 SD+135 1st 5. SD+140gm.
11th: NFL 8u: 290 NYG-.5 1st Q. NYG-2 1st H. NYG U 21 1st H. NYG-3gm. NYG U 42gm. MLB 8u: 952 PHI+275 1st 5. PHI+280gm. PHI O 4 1st 5. PHI O 7.5gm.

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BB Documented Plays

Mon Sep 18th, 2017 7:05pm EDT

6 Unit Side Play · [954] Pittsburgh Pirates

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Line Drive Sports

Yankees
Diamondbacks

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Best Sports Capper

Arizona Diamondbacks -155