Sunday 9-17-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Trend Report:

TENNESSEE (0 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-2 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CLEVELAND (0 - 1) at BALTIMORE (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BUFFALO (1 - 0) at CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NEW ENGLAND (0 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 108-77 ATS (+23.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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ARIZONA (0 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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PHILADELPHIA (1 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
__________________________________________________ ___________________

MINNESOTA (1 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 100-71 ATS (+21.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
__________________________________________________ ___________________

CHICAGO (0 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (0-0) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________________________________________ ___________________

MIAMI (0-0) at LA CHARGERS (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 40-17 ATS (+21.3 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________________________________________ ___________________

NY JETS (0 - 1) at OAKLAND (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OAKLAND is 73-101 ATS (-38.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________________________________________ ___________________

WASHINGTON (0 - 1) at LA RAMS (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS is 176-224 ATS (-70.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 176-224 ATS (-70.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-114 ATS (-45.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 126-176 ATS (-67.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 58-90 ATS (-41.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________________________________________ ___________________

DALLAS (1 - 0) at DENVER (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
__________________________________________________ ___________________

SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 1) at SEATTLE (0 - 1) - 9/17/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
__________________________________________________ ___________________

GREEN BAY (1 - 0) at ATLANTA (1 - 0) - 9/17/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 232-189 ATS (+24.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 232-189 ATS (+24.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 2 lines that make you go hmmm...

Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7, 43)

Chicago visits Tampa Bay and I agree with the knee-jerk reaction of the early money on Tampa Bay.

This opened at -6.5 and by Tuesday was a universal -7. The advantage for chalk players in this game is that it will take a monumental amount of money to get off the key -7, so there’s no need to rush in on this game early in the week.

A huge advantage for Tampa Bay in having their opener canceled is that the Buccaneers don’t have any tape to give to the Bears to dissect. Tampa Bay torched this team last year in Florida and the circumstances seem right for the results to mirror that game. You always like to be on the side of the team that has the incentive and energy, and with this game being possibly the first major event since the horrific weather in the south, the unity of the team and its fans may peak perfectly for the home town Bucs. Emotion is a big factor for almost anything in life.

At -7, you might think the wise guys take the dog. I say let them. This line won’t get any higher. It’s the typical game that will be teased down to PK for most parlay players. Call this a gut feeling, but this game gets out of hand for Chicago and the white towel is raised early.

Minnesota Vikings at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5, 45)

Minnesota is at Pittsburgh in a game that’s been slow to be exposed by Bookmakers early in the week.

In a curious sequence of events, Pinnacle sported a -4 on the home favorites and within a minute, took down the game and reposted at -7. My feeling was that the original -4 was good. Those Bookmakers who like to copy the line and hang whatever is out there, posted -7’s and have already been hit on the dog and are resting at –6.5.

At this point, I definitely see more money being drawn to the underdog after a solid performance by the Vikings in Week 1. I know the public has a short memory, me being in that group as well, but seeing the Steelers struggle with the Browns and Minnesota’s sharp play, I have to think this line will be closer to the original -4 than -7 by kickoff.

So, with that being said, the value on Minnesota is to grab the line early in the week. If you like the Steelers, you might just want to come back on the weekend and see where the line sits and benefit from the over-reactionaries. My feeling is that this game is way closer than the spread indicates.

Pinnacle will realize that their first opinion was their best in this game. They, like the rest of the sportsbooks, will probably need Pittsburgh by the time this game closes.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Titans (0-1) @ Jaguars (1-0)— Hurricane Irma disrupted life in Jacksonville this week. Home side won last six series games; teams have split series last 8 years. Titans lost last three visits here, by 8-6-21 points. Tennessee won its last four road openers SU, all as an underdog, allowing 12 pts/game- under is 16-3 in their last 19 AO’s. Home side won last six series games; Titans lost last three visits here, by 8-6-21 points. Average total in last three series games, 64.7. Jaguars lost last five home openers, losing 4 of 5 games by 11+ points. Under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 HO’s. Jax is 5-4 as a home underdog the last two years- since 2011, they’re 7-14 vs spread coming off a win. Last three years, Titans are 0-2-1 as a road favorite.

Browns (0-1) @ Ravens (1-0)— Since 2012, Baltimore is 13-18-1 as a home favorite; last there years, they’re 11-11 coming off a win. Ravens forced five turnovers (+4), allowed only 221 yards in 20-0 win at Cincy LW. Browns are 1-15 SU on road, 6-10 as road underdogs last two years; they lost home opener 21-18 to Pitt- they were 3-17 on 3rd down, had punt blocked for TD. Cleveland lost its last five road openers, is 1-10 in its last 11; over is 8-4 in their last 12 AO’s. Ravens are 10-2 in last 12 home openers; three of last four stayed under. Ravens won five of last six series games; Browns lost 8 of last 9 visits here. Baltimore swept series 25-20/28-7 LY. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. First road tilt for rookie QB Kiser, who was sacked 7 times by Steelers LW.

Bills (1-0) @ Panthers (1-0)— Buffalo ran ball for 190 yards in 21-12 win over Jets LW; they were 8-17 on 3rd down, had 8 plays of 20+ yards, TD drives of 77-64-80 yards. Bills are 9-6 vs spread in last 15 road openers, 3-5 SU in last eight. Over is 4-2 in their last six AO’s. Carolina won its opener easily at SF; red flag is their two TD drives were just 42-28 yards- they held 49ers to 217 yards, started three drives in SF territory. Panthers won four of last five home openers, covered five of last six; under is 3-1 in their last four. Buffalo is 5-1 in this seldom-played series, winning both visits here, 30-14/20-9. Carolina’s only series win was in 2005. Last three years, NFC South home teams are 17-25-2 vs spread as a non-divisional home favorite.

Patriots (0-1) @ Saints (0-1)— Last three times New England lost in Week 1, they won Super Bowl that year- they went 2-1 in Week 2 those years. Last four years, NE is 10-2 vs spread coming off a loss; they were 6-1 as a road favorite LY, after being 4-12 from 2013-15. Short week for Saints coming off 29-19 loss in Minnesota; NO drove to red zone five time in eight drives Monday, but had only one TD, kicked four goals- they miss WR Snead (suspended) in red zone. Patriots won five of last six road openers; they were underdog in last two. Patriots are 9-4 in series, winning four of five visits to Bourbon Street- they lost last visit here, 38-17 in 2009. Saints are 2-3 in last five home openers; under is 5-2 in last seven.

Cardinals (0-1) @ Colts (0-1)— Indy has severe QB issues until Luck returns; he is out here. They haven’t said if Tolzien/Brissett will start; to me, Brissett is better choice. Colts offense was outscored 16-9 by LA’s defense LW. Colts are 8-2 as home underdog under Pagano. Arizona is 10-5 as a road favorite under Arians; they turned ball over four times (-3) in Detroit LW, ran ball for only 45 yards, scored only 16 points in 4 red zone drives. Arians returns to Indy, where he was interim coach for Colts when Pagano was ill a few years back. Indy won four of last five series games, losing last matchup 40-11 in desert in ’13. Redbirds lost last three visits here; their last win in Indy was in 1984. Colts are 0-3 in last three home openers; over is 7-5 in their last 12— they lost last four Week 2 games.

Eagles (1-0) @ Chiefs (1-0)— Andy Reid hosts his old team here. Last 15 years, NFL teams coming off the Week 1 Thursday game are 17-13 vs spread in Week 2; Chiefs rang up 537 yards on Patriots in Foxboro; five of their six TD drives were 75+ yards. KC is 6-10 as a home favorite the last two years; they lost S Berry for year (achilles) in Foxboro. Eagles are 11-10 as road dogs the last four years; they’re 10-2 vs spread vs AFC teams, 14-20 coming off a win. Wentz is 2-7 as a road starter; their road drives last week were 56-39 yards. Philly is 4-3 in series where road team won five of seven games- they’re 3-1 in four visits to Arrowhead. Chiefs are 3-6 in last nine HO’s (over 4-2 in last six)- last six years, they’re 1-5 in Week 2.

Vikings (1-0) @ Steelers (1-0)— Short week off a win for Viking squad that gained 470 yards with no turnovers in 29-19 home win Monday nite; they had 10 plays of 20+ yards. Under Zimmer, they’re 15-6 vs spread coming off a win, 11-6 as road dogs. Last five years, Steelers are 19-12 as home faves, 28-17-1 coming off a win- they had 7 sacks LW. Pitt won three of last four series games; Vikings won last meeting 34-27 in London 4 years ago. Vikes lost last two visits here, 21-16/27-17. Minnesota is 4-9 in last 13 road openers; under is 5-2 in last seven. Steelers are 13-1 in last 14 home openers, 9-3 vs spread in last 12— under is 6-2 in their last eight. Big Ben was 11-11/182 targeting Brown LW; he was 12-25/73 with all his other passes. Vikings will try and take Brown away.

Bears (0-1) @ Buccaneers (0-0)— Hurricane Irma disrupted things in Bay Area, but game will go on as scheduled. Bucs didn’t play LW; they’re 2-8 vs spread as a home favorite last three years, 1-2 under Koetter. Chicago is 7-7-1 as a road underdog under Fox; they’re 9-11-1 coming off a loss. Bears had chance to win opener- they had ball on 10-yard line down 23-17 in last 30 seconds. Tampa Bay (+2.5) waxed the Bears 36-10 here LY, ending 3-game skid vs Chicago. Teams split last six series games played here. Chicago is 2-4 in last six road openers; under is 11-2 in their last 13. Tampa Bay is 3-8 in last 11 openers; they lost last four home openers, and were favored in last three. Under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 HO’s.

Dolphins (0-0) @ Chargers (0-1)— Dolphins practiced in Oxnard all week after re-gathering after their makeshift bye week; Fish are 3-1 in last four season openers. Miami is 15-17 SU on road last four years, 7-10 as road underdog since ’14. Short week for Chargers after their late rally in Denver fell just short Monday nite. LA ran ball for just 64 yards; 2 of their 3 TD drives started in Denver territory. Home opener for Bolts in their new, smaller temporary home venue. Miami won three of last four series games; they lost three of last four visits to San Diego. Home side won six of last seven series games. Miami is 3-9 in last 12 road openers; under is 13-2 in their last 15. Bolts are 6-1 in last seven HO’s, covering last five, but this is a new home for them.

Jets (0-1) @ Raiders (1-0)— Jets are 2-5-2 as road underdogs under Bowles; they ran ball for only 38 yards, were outgained 408-214 LW in 21-12 loss at Buffalo. Last 2+ years, Gang Green is 12-16 vs spread coming off a loss. Raiders gained 359 yards, didn’t turn ball over in 26-16 win at Tennessee LW. Oakland is 4-5 as home favorite under Del Rio- this is first time since ‘03 they’ve been a double digit favorite. Home side won last four series games; Jets lost last three visits to Oakland, by 3-10-14 points. Jets’ last win in Oakland was in ’03. Raiders won last two home openers; they’re 7-2-1 vs spread in last ten. Over is 12-5-1 in their last 18 HO’s. Since 2010, Jets are 3-1-1 against the spread as a double digit underdog.

Redskins (0-1) @ Rams (1-0)— Sean McVay worked for Washington the last six years, so lot of familiarity here. Redskins allowed 298 PY to Eagles LW, were outgained 356-264 as Philly was 8-14 on 3rd down. Skins are 11-11 as road underdogs under Gruden, 9-4 coming off a loss the last two years. Rams threw for 310 yards LW, held Colts to 0-10 on 3rd down, but that was vs backup QB’s. Since 2013, LA is 7-6 as a home favorite; they’re 10-14 vs spread coming off a win. Teams split last six meetings; 5 of last 7 series totals were 36 or less. Washington is 2-7 in last nine road openers; over is 6-2 in their last eight. Rams had a 13-yard edge in field position last week- their TD drives were 69-58-57 yards.

Cowboys (1-0) @ Broncos (1-0)— Dallas held Giants to 233 yards, 3 points in opening win LW; Cowboys are 7-3 as road favorite the last three years- they’re 16-7-1 in last 24 games vs AFC foes. Dallas had only one TD, kicked four FG’s last week, a red flag. Short week for Broncos after they held on for 24-21 win after almost blowing 24-7 lead; Denver is 3-1 as a home underdog the last four years- they’re 14-6 vs spread in last 20 games vs NFC teams. Denver won last five series games, winning last one 51-48 in 2013, but that was with now-retired Manning at QB. Cowboys lost four of last five visits here, with last Mile High win in 1992. Dallas covered its last six road openers (4-2 SU); four of last five stayed under total.

49ers (0-1) @ Seahawks (0-1)— Under Carroll, Seattle is 25-14-1 vs spread coming off a loss, 26-15 as a home favorite- last three years, they’re 8-3 as a double digit favorite. Seahawks’ D held Rodgers to 17 points LW; one of the two TD’s was a 6-yard drive. 49ers gained only 217 yards, had 73 penalty yards in 23-3 home loss to Carolina; Niners are 5-10 as road underdogs the last two years. Seattle won its last eight home openers (7-1 vs spread); under is 13-2-1 in their last 16. Seahawks won last seven series games; 49ers lost last last six visits here, with four of six losses by 16+ points. Seattle is 10-1-1 vs spread in last 12 series games. 49ers lost three of last four road openers; over is 8-5-1 in their last 14. 49ers are 1-5 as a double digit underdog the last two years.

Packers (1-0) @ Falcons (1-0)— New dome opens in Atlanta. Falcons beat Green Bay twice LY, 33-32, 44-21, both in GeorgiaDome— home side won last four series games. Falcons threw for 392 yards in the 44-21 playoff win. Green Bay held Seattle to 225 yards LW; the last four years they’re 3-8 as a road underdog. Last three years, Pack is 17-12-1 vs spread coming off a win. Atlanta held on at end to win its opener in Chicago; they’re 6-16 as home favorites the last four years, 3-10 under Quinn. Average total in last three series games is 70. Packers won last two road openers (31-23/27-23); over is 9-2 in their last 11. Falcons won/covered 8 of last 9 home openers, but this is a new home for them.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Trend Report

OTTAWA (4 - 7 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 8 ) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 7-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 7-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

__________________________________________________ ___________________

OTTAWA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Montreal's last 15 games
Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
__________________________________________________ ___________________

OTTAWA @ MONTREAL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Ottawa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ottawa (4-7-1) @ Montreal (3-8 ) — Ottawa won six of last seven games with Montreal, beating them twice this year, 24-19 (-4.5) at home, then 32-4 (pick) here two weeks ago. RedBlacks won their last four visits to Montreal. Under is 4-1 in last five series games. Ottawa had 3-game win streak ended by Hamilton last week; they’re 2-3 SU on road, 4-1 vs spread, 2-1 as road underdogs. Under is 7-1-2 in their last ten games. Alouettes lost their last four games, allowing 36.4 pts/game; they’re 3-3 at home. Under is 7-4 in their games this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes

Ottawa RedBlacks (4-7-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS)

Point-spread: Ottawa -2
Total: 48

Game Overview

Ottawa’s recent three-game run both SU and ATS came to a sudden end last week, but it still has the slight edge in the East to repeat as division champions. The total stayed UNDER in that loss to the Tiger-Cats and it has now stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in nine of the RedBlacks’ last 10 games. Adding injury to insult, quarterback Trevor Harris is expected to be out several weeks after badly bruising his shoulder in that loss.

With Harris out of the lineup for Ottawa, Montreal has an excellent opportunity to make up some ground in the East, but it is going to need a much better effort from its defense. The one strength of this team coming into this season was its defense, but going back to a 41-40 loss to Winnipeg on July 27, the Alouettes have allowed at least 32 points in five of their last six games.

Betting Trends

Ottawa has won seven of the last eight meetings both SU and ATS including a 32-4 victory against Montreal on Aug. 31 in a game that closed as a PICK. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PHILADELPHIA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home
Kansas City is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home


CHICAGO vs. TAMPA BAY
Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games


ARIZONA vs. INDIANAPOLIS
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona


MINNESOTA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games


TENNESSEE vs. JACKSONVILLE
Tennessee is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Jacksonville is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games


NEW ENGLAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England


CLEVELAND vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland


BUFFALO vs. CAROLINA
Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games at home


MIAMI vs. LOS ANGELES
Miami is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Miami
Los Angeles is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home


NY JETS vs. OAKLAND
NY Jets are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games


DALLAS vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Dallas


SAN FRANCISCO vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home


WASHINGTON vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Los Angeles's last 11 games when playing Washington
Los Angeles is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Washington


GREEN BAY vs. ATLANTA
Green Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Green Bay is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 13

OTTAWA (4 - 7 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 8) - 9/17/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 7-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 7-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 13

Sunday, September 17

Ottawa @ Montreal

Game 607-608
September 17, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
111.319
Montreal
105.947
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 5 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 1 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(-1 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 2


Sunday, September 17

Tennessee @ Jacksonville

Game 261-262
September 17, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
134.551
Jacksonville
131.128
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 3 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1 1/2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-1 1/2); Over

Cleveland @ Baltimore

Game 263-264
September 17, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
124.819
Baltimore
137.436
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 12 1/2
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 8
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-8); Under

Buffalo @ Carolina

Game 265-266
September 17, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
127.877
Carolina
136.912
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 9
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 7
43
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-7); Under

New England @ New Orleans

Game 267-268
September 17, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
137.668
New Orleans
138.965
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 7
56
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+7); Over

Arizona @ Indianapolis

Game 269-270
September 17, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
130.992
Indianapolis
131.949
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 1
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 7 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+7 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Kansas City

Game 271-272
September 17, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
136.822
Kansas City
146.062
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 9
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 5
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-5); Under

Minnesota @ Pittsburgh

Game 273-274
September 17, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
131.299
Pittsburgh
138.644
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 7 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 5
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-5); Under

Chicago @ Tampa Bay

Game 275-276
September 17, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
129.982
Tampa Bay
131.146
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 7
43
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+7); Over

Miami @ LA Chargers

Game 277-278
September 17, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
128.850
LA Chargers
130.330
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 1 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 5
45
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+5); Over

NY Jets @ Oakland

Game 279-280
September 17, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
121.976
Oakland
134.062
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 12
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 14
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+14); Over

Washington @ LA Rams

Game 281-282
September 17, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
129.706
LA Rams
123.494
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 6
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3
45
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3); Over

Dallas @ Denver

Game 283-284
September 17, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
141.062
Denver
131.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 9 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 2
43
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-2); Under

San Francisco @ Seattle

Game 285-286
September 17, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
119.481
Seattle
135.373
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 16
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 13 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-13 1/2); Under

Green Bay @ Atlanta

Game 287-288
September 17, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
141.513
Atlanta
140.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 1
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3
54
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+3); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Sunday, September 17

Sunday Night Football Betting Preview: Packers at Falcons

Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons (-3, 55.5)

The last visit to Atlanta is one the Green Bay Packers won't soon forget -- a beating at the hands of the Falcons in the NFC Championship Game in January. With the stakes much lower, the Packers get a chance to avenge that loss to Atlanta on Sunday night in what will mark the first regular-season game at the Falcons' new Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Green Bay entered last season's conference title game on an eight-game winning streak but was never in it against Atlanta, falling behind by 24 points at halftime in a 44-21 blowout. "If you're thinking about last year and talking about last year, you're just wasting time and energy," Packers coach Mike McCarthy said. "To get to the point where you're playing in January and the opportunity to play in the Super Bowl, you've got to focus on what's going on today. That's really what our guys are focused on." The Falcons will be looking to beat Green Bay for the third time in 11 months -- they squeezed out a 33-32 victory at home last October on a last-minute touchdown pass by Matt Ryan. The league's highest-scoring team in 2016 with an average of 33.8 points, Atlanta needed a late defensive stand to escape with a 23-17 victory at Chicago in Week 1.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

POWER RANKINGS: Packers (-4) - Falcons (-3.5) + home field (-3) = Falcons -2.5

LINE HISTORY: The Falcons opened as two-point home chalk and by Saturday night that number had been bet up to three. The total hit the betting board at 53.5 and has jumped up three points to 56.5.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: ‘The Packers will be looking to spoil the celebration of the new Mercedes Benz stadium in Atlanta when they tackle the Falcons Sunday night . Revenge from a pair of losses suffered last year in this series- including a 44-21 loss in the NFC title game - sets the table for Green Bay. But Atlanta counters with a sterling 8-1 SU and ATS mark in home opening games behind QB Matt Ryan. This game should be played with playoff intensity this evening.’ - Marc Lawrence

WHAT BOOKS SAY: ‘Only public money has showed up for this marquee matchup thus far. Not sure if the sharps will get involved on the side as this appears to be a pretty tight number. We've taken some smart money on the over, and of course the squares are hammering the over every day. Currently, we have 55 percent of the money on Green Bay, and 67 percent on the over.’ Scott Cooley of BookMaker.eu

INJURY REPORT:

Packers - OT Bryan Bulaga (Questionable, Ankle), S Kentrell Brice (Questionable, Quadricep), DT Mike Daniels (Questionable, Hip), OT David Bakhtiari (Questionable, Hamstring), DT Montravius Adams (Questionable, Foot), LB Ahmad Brooks (Questionable, Concussion), OT Jason Spriggs (Questionable, Hamstring), OT Don Barclay (Questionable Week 7, Foot), LB Vince Biegel (Questionable Week 7, Ankle).

Falcons - C Alex Mack (Probable, Back), OL Austin Pasztor (Probable, Chest), S Kemal Ishmael (Questionable, Hamstring), LB Duke Riley (Questionable, Knee), TE Eric Saubert (Questionable, Hamstring), RB Brian Hill (Questionable, Ankle), RB Terron Ward (Questionable, Hamstring).

WEATHER REPORT: Dome

ABOUT THE PACKERS (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Aaron Rodgers, who threw for 311 yards with one touchdown and one interception in last week's 17-9 victory over Seattle, has a passer rating of 117.0 in seven matchups against Atlanta while throwing for 29 scoring passes against two picks. Running back Ty Montgomery had 93 total yards and a touchdown while wide receivers Randall Cobb and Jordy Nelson combined for 16 receptions and a score last week. Green Bay could be in trouble along the offensive line Sunday with left tackle David Bakhtiari battling a hamstring issue and right tackle Bryan Bulaga dealing with illness and a sprained ankle. The Packers' defense limited the Seahawks to 225 total yards and 12 first downs.

ABOUT THE FALCONS (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Ryan connected on an 88-yard scoring strike to tight end Austin Hooper in the fourth quarter and finished with 321 yards passing in the season opener. The league's reigning MVP has put up huge numbers over the past three matchups against the Packers, passing for 1,055 yards with 11 touchdowns against one interception. Wideout Julio Jones, who had four catches for 66 yards last week, torched Green Bay in the NFC title game with nine catches for 180 yards and two scores, and had an 11-catch, 259-yard monster performance against the Packers in 2014. The backfield tandem of Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman combined for only 53 yards rushing on 20 carries in Week 1.

TRENDS:

* Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

* Over is 7-1 in Packers last 8 games overall.

* Over is 11-0 in Falcons last 11 home games.

* Over is 7-1 in Packers last 8 games overall.

* Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the road dog Packers at a rate of 60 percent and the Over is picking up 64 percent of the totals action.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL action report: NFC Championship rematch drawing spit action at betting windows in Las Vegas

Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons – Open: -3; Move: None

Atlanta didn’t look much like the defending NFC champion in Week 1, but still managed to come away with a victory. The Falcons held off Chicago in the red zone late, nabbing a 23-17 victory as a 6.5-point road favorite.

Green Bay passed a stout Week 1 test in a battle of perennial playoff contenders. The Packers beat Seattle 17-9 as a 2.5-point home chalk, but now travel to face the team that ended their 2016-17 season. The Falcons rolled to a 44-21 victory in last season’s NFC final to advance to the Super Bowl.

“A very fun matchup here, obviously a rematch of that big game from last year,” Simbal said of this Sunday night clash at 8:30 p.m. ET. “We haven’t seen any line movement all week. It’s been pretty good action on both sides. A very public game. The public likes the Falcons -3, likes the Packers moneyline.”

Dallas Cowboys at Denver Broncos – Open: -2; Move: -2.5

Ezekiel Elliott and Dallas overcame a turbulent few weeks to nab a season-opening victory. Elliott, who got an injunction to put a hold on his six-game suspension, rushed for 104 yards, and the Cowboys’ defense put the clamps on the New York Giants in a 19-3 win as a 6-point home chalk.

Denver also got off on the right foot – barely. The Broncos let a 24-7 fourth-quarter lead evaporate, but blocked a field goal in the final seconds to secure a 24-21 win over San Diego to push as a 3-point home fave.

“Probably our biggest decision of the day is Cowboys at Broncos,” Shelton said of action at MGM Resorts books, while adding the modest half-point uptick in the line doesn’t tell the whole story. “We’re gonna get crushed if the Cowboys win and cover.”

Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars – Open: Pick; Move: +1; Move: +1.5; Move: +2; Move: +2.5; Move: +2; Move: +1.5

Tennessee got out of the gates slowly with a 26-16 home loss to Oakland as a 2.5-point fave in Week 1.
Quarterback Marcus Mariota, returning from a broken leg suffered in Week 16 last year, had a 10-yard run for the Titans’ only touchdown, midway through the first quarter.

Jacksonville, a team everyone expected to be a laughingstock, got to do some chuckling of its own after a Week 1 upset at Houston. The Jaguars led 19-0 at halftime en route to a 29-7 victory as a 5.5-point ‘dog. That hasn’t really swayed the bettors, though.

“On Monday afternoon, we got sharp play on Tennessee pick 'em, so we moved the game to Titans -1.5,” Jerome said, noting that’s where the total returned by Friday after ticking up to 2.5. “We also got sharp action on the total for this game, as the sharpies are keen on this going under 44. The total is 42 now. With Leonard Fournette looking so good in his debut, I can see the Jags feeding him the ball a lot, so I can see why wiseguy action is on the under in this contest.”

Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Open: -6.5; Move: -7

Chicago had a respectable showing in Week 1 against defending NFC champion Atlanta, and nearly pulled the upset. The Bears were driving late and had a potential winning TD dropped, resulting in a 23-17 home setback, though they cashed as 6.5-point underdogs.

Tampa Bay is running a week behind everyone else, with its opening game against Miami postponed due to Hurricane Irma. But that’s not scaring off the wiseguys.

“Tampa coming off that unplanned bye week,” Simbal said. “That game opened 6.5, and the sharp guys bet that up to 7. So despite Chicago having a good performance last week, the sharp guys are not backing them here.”

Arizona Cardinals at Indianapolis Colts – Open: +7.5; Move: +7

Indianapolis had arguably one of the worst Week 1 performances, coming against one of the worst teams from last season. The Colts, minus Andrew Luck – who might not return from offseason shoulder surgery until October – got boatraced by the Los Angeles Rams 46-9 as a 3.5-point road underdog.

Meanwhile, Arizona gave up four touchdowns to turn a 17-9 third-quarter lead into a 35-17 fourth-quarter deficit on the way to a 35-23 loss at Detroit laying 2.5 points. That was enough to sway early action toward the Colts this week.

“We saw Indianapolis have that pretty horrible game last week, where they got destroyed by the Rams,” Simbal said. “Arizona opened as a 7.5-point favorite in this game, that’s down to 7. Sharp guys actually backing the Colts, believe it or not, after that first week.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Spartan

Eagles +6

I week one I had the Chiefs against the Patriots and it cashed easily. My triple star on sunday was the Eagles against the Redskins. Well, going to fade one of these teams here and I am going to take Doug Pederson's Eagles and the, my my view, generous points. That was a huge win for the Chiefs in Foxboro and everyone around Chiefs nation has been jerking off over them for some time now. Was also a costly win as safety Eric Berry has been lost for the season. God I hated to see that, Berry battled back from his cancer challenges and now this. A lot of people were very suspect of the Chiefs running game but I had a feeling it was just a matter of becoming familiar with Kareem Hunt. The kid is no flash in the pan, he is the real deal. Charles will not be missed on the field at Arrowhead. With that being said I still say this Eagles team is better than most suspect. The chink in the armor I saw sunday at Washington that stood out to me was the weak run blocking. They need to step that up. But, in my view these two teams are closer in talent than most suspect. The Eagles are capable of generating some decent pass rush and as always that will be a key to slowing down Alex Smith. It's big that Cox and Graham put some heat on Smith. I think Wentz and Torrey Smith can make some big plays happen against this Chiefs secondary without Berry on the back end. Chiefs, as usual, have the edge on special teams but overall I see this as a close, hard fought battle. I say take the Eagles and the points, presently readily available at plus the six.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Essler

Jacksonville +2

Some books have +2 without buying, and I'd have loved +3. which Bovada still has. Although I'm not a Jaguars fan I do live in the general area. I wasn't sold on them until I watched them beat the Patriots in New England in an exhibition game, and then watch the way they played in Houston. They're quite confident and Fournette is indeed the real deal. When teams stack the box to try and stop him, they've made Borltes look much better than he really is. The Jags defense is actually well above average - Myles Jack is playing well, they brought in Calais Campbell from Arizona, and added three new faces (Bouye, Barry Church, and Tashaun Gipson) in the defensive backfield. They're at home, where fans are generally apathetic by October - but there's an actual buzz that'll fire them up for their first home game, which I suspect they win. I know Tennessee is up and coming, but a division road favorite is yet another thing and IMO it's strictly public perception versus what I see as reality.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, September 17, 2017
Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington

Preview: 49ers at Seahawks
Gracenote
Sep 15, 2017

The Seattle Seahawks couldn't reach the end zone in their season opener but look to get the offensive attack unleashed when they host the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday. Seattle managed just three field goals in the 17-9 loss to Green Bay while registering just 225 total yards and 12 first downs.

The Seahawks are aiming to avoid their second 0-2 start in three seasons, and coach Pete Carroll insists there is no reason to hit the panic button. "We've only played one game. There's time," Carroll told reporters. "We're going to do really well, we're going to have a really good season, and I hope it shows sooner than later. I don't have any hesitation in telling you that. I love our club." San Francisco is looking for its first victory under new coach Kyle Shanahan after dropping a 23-3 decision to Carolina. "We're both 0-1, and somebody is going to be 0-2," 49ers strong safety Eric Reid told reporters. "I don't want it to be us."

TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Seahawks -14. O/U: 42.5

ABOUT THE 49ERS (0-1): San Francisco totaled just 217 yards and 13 first downs in the first game under Shanahan's system, and new quarterback Bobby Hoyer was 24-of-35 for 193 yards and one interception. Carlos Hyde averaged five yards per carry (45 yards) and matched his career best of six receptions while wideout Pierre Garcon made six catches for 81 yards in his team debut. The defense didn't record a sack in the season-opening loss and might be without rookie outside linebacker Reuben Foster (ankle) for the rest of the month.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (0-1): New running back Eddie Lacy gained just three yards on five carries and Russell Wilson also was mediocre with just 158 yards on 14-of-27 passing while operating behind an offensive line experiencing major issues. "Well, I think we can all be better," Wilson told reporters. "It's not just those guys. I'm the biggest critic of myself, I think there's a couple of throws in there that I could hit and find a way to make those throws. I think winners find a way to win." Cornerback Richard Sherman (hamstring) is in jeopardy of missing the first regular-season game of his seven-year career for a unit that received strong performances from defensive end Michael Bennett (1.5 sacks) and free safety Earl Thomas (11 tackles) in the opener.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Seahawks have won each of the last six meetings and eight of the last nine.

2. Hoyer's interception in the opener gives him more than he threw all last season, when he attempted 200 passes for Chicago.

3. Seattle hopes to have RB Thomas Rawls (ankle) available after missing the opener, as he gained a career-high 209 yards against the 49ers in 2015.

PREDICTION: Seahawks 27, 49ers 17