Monday 9-18-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, September 18, 2017
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

Preview: Lions at Giants
Gracenote
Sep 15, 2017

Odell Beckham Jr. is many things but he doesn't profess to be a doctor, so it should come as no surprise that the superstar wide receiver was all over the map with his diagnosis of his ailing ankle. Beckham initially revealed that he's dealing with a six-to-eight-week timeline before later shifting gears and declaring it could be a four-to-12-week issue heading into the New York Giants' home opener against the Detroit Lions on Monday.

Simple math suggests that the prime-time tilt will be exactly four weeks since Beckham initially sustained the injury in a preseason game against Cleveland on Aug. 21. The flashy wideout, who was limited in practice on Thursday and Friday, watched helplessly as New York's vanilla offense mustered just two first downs in the first half en route to a 19-3 setback versus Dallas last weekend. While Eli Manning was held out of the end zone, Detroit quarterback Matthew Stafford overcame an early pick-six and threw for 292 yards and four touchdown passes in a 35-23 victory over Arizona last week. Signed to a five-year, $135 million contract extension, Stafford completed 70.7 percent of his passes last week - well above both the averages of last season (65.3) and his career (61.6).

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Giants -3 O/U: 43.5

ABOUT THE LIONS (1-0): While Golden Tate reeled in team highs in catches (10) and receiving yards (107) last week, rookie Kenny Golladay made a favorable impression with a pair of fourth-quarter touchdown grabs. Pass-catching specialist Theo Riddick also had six catches with a TD reception, but his rushing contribution, when added with those of Ameer Abdullah and Dwayne Washington, resulted in just 51 yards on 22 carries for a 2.3-yard average per attempt. "It needs work," Lions coach Jim Caldwell said of the sputtering rushing attack. "It needs work. We just got to keep working at it and (it's) not where we want it yet."

ABOUT THE GIANTS (0-1): New York isn't thrilled with its ground game either, as Paul Perkins accounted for 16 of the team's 35 yards rushing in the season opener. Running back Shane Vereen did not record a carry but did provide Manning with a serviceable option out of the backfield by grabbing a team-high nine receptions. Second-year wideout Sterling Shepard, who had seven catches last week, joined Beckham in reeling in a touchdown reception in New York's 17-6 win over Detroit on Dec. 18. Veteran Brandon Marshall struggled to step up in Beckham's absence last week as he had just one catch for 10 yards in his debut with his new team.

EXTRA POINTS

1. New York DE Olivier Vernon had a sack last week to increase his total to 8.5 in his last 10 games.

2. Lions TE Eric Ebron, a New Jersey native, had just two catches last week and four in the previous encounter versus the Giants.

3. New York will celebrate the 10th anniversary of the Super Bowl XLII championship team at halftime.

PREDICTION: Giants 27, Lions 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Detroit at N.Y. Giants

ATS Trends
Detroit

Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Lions are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
Lions are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Lions are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
Lions are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Lions are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Lions are 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Lions are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 2.
Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.

N.Y. Giants

Giants are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Giants are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Giants are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Giants are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Giants are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
Giants are 5-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Giants are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 2.

OU Trends
Detroit

Under is 6-0 in Lions last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 7-0 in Lions last 7 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-0 in Lions last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Lions last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-0-1 in Lions last 5 games in Week 2.
Under is 6-1 in Lions last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Lions last 12 games overall.
Under is 9-3 in Lions last 12 games on fieldturf.
Under is 20-7 in Lions last 27 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 20-7 in Lions last 27 road games.
Under is 8-3 in Lions last 11 Monday games.
Under is 20-8 in Lions last 28 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Lions last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Lions last 10 vs. NFC.

N.Y. Giants

Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 home games.
Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Giants last 10 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-2 in Giants last 9 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Under is 8-3 in Giants last 11 vs. NFC.
Under is 5-2 in Giants last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-3-1 in Giants last 11 games in Week 2.
Over is 17-8 in Giants last 25 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Head to Head

Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 2

Monday, September 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (1 - 0) at NY GIANTS (0 - 1) - 9/18/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
DETROIT is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
DETROIT is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 2

Trend Report

Monday, September 18

9:30 PM
DETROIT vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games at home
NY Giants are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 2

Lions (1-0) @ Giants (0-1)— How much of Giants’ anemic offense LW was Dallas’ defense; how much was absence of Beckham? Big Blue was 3-1-1 coming off a loss LY- they’re 12-10 in last 22 games as a home favorite. Giants are 2-9-1 vs spread the week after playing Dallas. Detroit is 7-11 as a road dog under Caldwell; 11-13-2, coming off a win. Giants won four of last five series games; Detroit lost its last two visits here, 28-20/17-6- their last series win here was in 2004. Detroit is 4-2 vs spread in last six Monday night games. Giants covered five of last six Monday nite home games. Detroit is 2-7 in last nine road openers; over is 8-3-1 in their last 12. Giants are 1-4 in last five home openers, scoring 18 pts/game (under 4-1). Giants didn’t force any 3/outs LW; they lost field position by 13 yards.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 2

Monday, September 18

Detroit @ NY Giants

Game 289-290
September 18, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
131.363
NY Giants
132.362
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 1
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 3 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ajax Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 67

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 LUMMIS FIRST 7/2

# 2 A SPLASH OF ROYALTY 5/2

# 3 FURR SHEAR 5/1

LUMMIS FIRST is the best bet in this race. Garnered a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Reid and Jeschke have a very good win percentage together. Profitable jock and conditioner team, with a +21 return on investment. FURR SHEAR - Robertson has one of the most competitive winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. Should come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the lead recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:15pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: 4

#4 SASS MASTER (ML=5/1)
#9 MUSIC MAKES SENSE (ML=4/1)


SASS MASTER - This front running sort should profit from this shorter trip. Good return on investment for this jock and trainer twosome. This mount ran out of the money at Suffolk Downs last out on the mud. She should improve right here with the benefit of a fast track. MUSIC MAKES SENSE - The jockey/handler tandem of Martinez and Parra has a strong return on investment together.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 BOXING BETTY (ML=3/1), #5 CANDY EXPRESS (ML=6/1), #10 HONOR N GRACE (ML=8/1),

BOXING BETTY - This filly finished outside the top 3 on Jul 29th and wasn't close to winning last out either. CANDY EXPRESS - The effort last time around the track on Sep 7th probably won't hold up against stiffer competition when they turn for home. HONOR N GRACE - This mare hasn't had any recent good fortune in sprint races. Not easy to invest in her in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #4 SASS MASTER on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 5

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 5-6) * PICK 5 WITH CARRYOVER (50 Cent Minimum Races 5-6-7-8-9)


Allowance • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 2:58P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. I WIN is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * I WIN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SQUEEZE THETRIGGER: Horse has run a G ood Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DAN THE MAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6
I WIN
3/1

3/1
5
SQUEEZE THETRIGGER
8/5

5/1
1
DAN THE MAN
7/2

8/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

Louisiana Downs - Race 8

Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Super High Five


Claiming $17,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 6:24P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500, IF FOR $15,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. JAVIERA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JAVIERA: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ran ks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7
JAVIERA
2/1

2/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #3 - Post: 1:49pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,500 Class Rating: 68

Rating: 2

#1 LA CAMEDOR (ML=12/1)
#3 VOUCH FOR KITTEN (ML=5/2)
#8 ICONA (ML=8/1)
#2 PINK SATIN N LACE (ML=8/5)


LA CAMEDOR - The ROI when Bowman and Jenkins team up is terrific. Filly's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. This filly is in good physical condition, having run a nice race on Aug 23rd, finishing first. VOUCH FOR KITTEN - After the affair aboard this horse on August 28th, the jockey is going to know the mare much better. This mare is in first-rate physical condition right now. Ran first in the last race and comes back soon. ICONA - I definitely see positive things for this mount right here. PINK SATIN N LACE - This mare earned a nice speed fig of 66 in her last event. That speed rating should be strong enough to prove victorious today. Have to make this mare a strong challenger; she comes off a sharp effort on September 4th. Look at this pattern of improvement. 51/55/66 are the last three speed ratings.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 COOKIE COOKIE (ML=5/1),

COOKIE COOKIE - Tough to put your cash on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as regularly as this thoroughbred does.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 LA CAMEDOR to win if you can get at least 6/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9500 Class Rating: 73

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 CONTINENTAL CLUB 3/1

# 3 M G JUNIOR 9/2

# 8 PENALTY KILL 10/1

My selection for this event is CONTINENTAL CLUB. In this field, this entrant is prominent in earnings per start in dirt sprint contests. Sound average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this horse a key contender. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Houghton in the irons. M G JUNIOR - Has some interesting handicapping angles which make this horse a bet. He should have a strong showing versus this softer field. PENALTY KILL - Profitable rider and conditioner team, with a +11 return on investment.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Zia Park

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Zia Park, Race 1 (Monday September 18, 2017)

ROYAL DESCENT
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

ZIA-1 6.5f DIRT Six Horses
"A" MCL 20,000 F/M 3YUP $16,000
P# dd ex p4 t s ML WP TVL

3 ROYAL DESCENT 9/5 38% 8/5 Strong Favorite icon
2 MAGGIE GOT MARRIED 2/1 22% 7/2
6 MISS JAZZY 5/2 22% 7/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Boston Red Sox (85-64) at Baltimore Orioles (73-77)
DATE/TIME: Monday, September 18 - 7:05 PM EST
WHERE: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Preview: Red Sox at Orioles
Gracenote
Sep 17, 2017

The Boston Red Sox will try to start a new winning streak and inch closer to clinching the American League East when they visit the Baltimore Orioles on Monday for the opener of a three-game series. The Red Sox had won three in a row before dropping a 3-2 decision at Tampa Bay on Sunday while managing just three hits.

Boston remained three games up on the New York Yankees in the AL East and has a magic number of five to clinch a playoff spot. Boston played again Sunday without designated hitter Hanley Ramirez (shoulder) and lost right fielder Mookie Betts, who is day-to-day after leaving with a thumb contusion due to a collision at first base. The Orioles snapped a three-game slide with a 6-4 win in Yankee Stadium on Sunday, but they have a 5 1/2-game deficit to overcome in the race for the AL's second wild card. A pair of right-handers enjoying late-season success meet in the opener when Boston's Doug Fister opposes Dylan Bundy for the hosts.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, NESN (Boston), MASN (Baltimore)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH Doug Fister (5-8, 4.40 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Dylan Bundy (13-9, 4.03)

Fister has surprisingly worked his way into potential postseason rotation discussions amid a solid run, although he hit a snag last time out against Oakland. The Fresno State product had posted a 1.50 ERA through his previous four starts before giving up six runs in four frames versus the Athletics. He limited the Orioles to two runs in seven innings Aug. 27 and has a 4.24 ERA in 10 career encounters (nine starts) with Baltimore.

The Orioles are being careful with Bundy's workload down the stretch and he will be making just his second start in a span of 14 days. He has won five of his last six decisions and boasts quality starts in six of seven outings. The 24-year-old faced the Red Sox four times in the first two months of the season and held them to seven runs in 25 1/3 innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Red Sox 2B Dustin Pedroia is 0-for-12 over his last two games.

2. Baltimore swept three straight at Fenway Park last month by a combined margin of 25-4.

3. Orioles LF Trey Mancini has three doubles, one triple and one home run during a seven-game hitting streak.

PREDICTION: Orioles 5, Red Sox 4