Service Plays Monday 9/25/17

[Mr. IWS]

Sorry to clutter the thread but is there a way to mute people? golden contender adds zero positivity to this site, just trying to sell their picks. Is there a way to stop them from posting or at least cluttering the thread......

Settings >>> Edit Ignore List >>> Add Username

[uwinnow]

Arthur Ralph
Super PK Houston w/Mchugh -130, TROPHY play Arizona +3 FREE play ChiWhiteSox's w/Shields +140

[havoc3011]

Millerlocks


8:10 PM EST NFL

LOS ANGELES ANGELS VS. CHICAGO WHITE SOX

PICK: LOS ANGELES ANGELS (-151)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:30 PM EST NFL
DALLAS COWBOYS VS. ARIZONA CARDINALS

PICK: DALLAS COWBOYS -3 (-101)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:40 PM EST MLB
MIAMI MARLINS VS. COLORADO ROCKIES

PICK: COLORADO ROCKIES (-155)

RISK: 11 UNITS

[Johnny Capone]

SC INVESTORS....MONDAY NIGHT GOY!!
Ratings are 5, 7, 10 units...Tonight's play is a 20 UNIT BOMB... ARIZONA +3.5 (BUY)...Hit with Washington last night on Sunday Night GOY!!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wayne Root

Millionaire- Arizona cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Insider Sports Report

4* St. Louis (Weaver) -125 over Chicago Cubs (Lester)
Range: -110 to -150

3* Dallas/Arizona UNDER 46.5 (NFL)
Range: 48.5 to 44

[Can'tPickAWinner]

National Sports Service

4* L.A. Dodgers (Darvish) -1.5 runs -130 over San Diego (Wood)

3* Dallas -2.5 over Arizona (NFL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NSA The Legend

MONDAY PICKS 9/25/17
25* NFL Dallas -3
20* NFL Dallas OVER 46.5
20* MLB St Louis -135
(Top 3 Plays - Play Same Amount Each or
just play 25* if you only want TOP Play)
------------------------
10* MLB Colorado -155
10* MLB Houston -125
5* MLB Dodgers -1.5

[Big Dogg]

Xpert Picks

Play Arizona +2.5 over Dallas----Top NFL Play

Dallas has lost 24 of the last 43 games against the spread when playing on a Monday and they have lost 9 of the last 12 games against the spread coming off a game with 50 or more pass attempts.

EXTRA FOOTBALL PLAYS

Play UNDER 46.5 Arizona/Dallas (NFL)

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BASEBALL

Play Colorado -160 over Miami -- Top Play
Play Boston -200 over Toronto– Top Play

[Big Dogg]

Winning Angle

FOOTBALL

Play Arizona +2.5 over Dallas (Top Play)
8:30 PM EST
Arizona has won 11 of the last 16 home games and they have won 17 of the last 26 games vs. NFC Conference Opponents. Arizona has won 10 of the last 15 games after gaining 300 or more passing yards in their last game and they have won 8 of the last 9 games coming off a road win in their last game.

[Big Dogg]

The Sports Capper

10000* Play Arizona +2.5 over Dallas (NFL)

Arizona has covered the spread in 19 of the last 31 games vs. NFC East Division Opponents and they have covered the spread in 26 of the last 40 games when playing as a home underdog of three points or less.

[Big Dogg]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB

1000* Play New York Yankees -195 over Kansas City
500* Play Boston -200 over Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mario Rojas
Best pick:
(# 907) Cubs vs Cardinals (Game Total: under 8.5)


Secondaries picks:
(# 489) Cowboys vs Cardinals (Arizona +3)
(# 901) Braves vs Mets (NY Mets +115) (DH Game #1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob
Dallas Cowboys @
Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Sep 24 5:30 PM
Rotation: 489, Odds: Arizona Cardinals +3, Total: 46.5
Game Analysis view matchup stats
Strong Opinion – Under (46.5) – ARIZONA vs Dallas

Lean – ARIZONA (+3)

It took overtime for the Cardinals to beat the Colts last week but the game should not have been that close by on metrics as Arizona outgained Indianapolis by more than 2 yards per play and were unlucky not to score a touchdown on any of their Redzone trips.

Dallas was beaten badly on both sides of the ball in Denver last week but as I mentioned in the Broncos write-up, I think some of the Cowboys poor play can be attributed to early season fatigue caused by the unfamiliar altitude.

This line is certainly different than it would have Last season, Arizona led the NFL with 40.7 expected points added when targeting running backs. Johnson averaged 0.33 EPA/target while the other Cardinals running backs only averaged 0.06 EPA/target. Last week without Johnson, Arizona averaged -0.25 EPA/target to its running backs and Palmer will need to be better throwing to his wide receivers than he’s been so far this season.

Even with Arizona’s struggles we feel the line on this game should be +2.5 points with Johnson out and the Cardinals apply to an 87-34-2 ATS Monday night situation, so I will lean with Arizona.

However, our model sees more value on the under and this game also applies to a 38-13 week 3 Under situation. I’ll consider the Under a Strong Opinion at 46 points or higher.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril

No official NFL play for Monday, but I do have a light TV opinion below.

(1% opinion) DALLAS -2.5/-3 (at Arizona) - 8:30 pm ET (ESPN) #489

NOTE: This line is currently -2.5 in some locations and -3 in others. The extra half-point is worth an additional 25-cents in this game.

-Dallas looking to bounce back after poor performance in Denver; a 42-17 letdown loss after SNF revenge win vs. Giants
-offense is averaging 4.9 yards per play, but they’ve played defenses that only give up 4.8 yppl
-Cowboys' defense has been good, giving up only 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yppl

-Arizona playing their home opener after splitting their first two games on the road vs. weaker opponents
-offense has underperformed; 19.5 points per game versus two bad defenses that allow 25.5 ppg
-Cardinals' defense is terrible, giving up 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 4.7 yppl