Sunday 9-24-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 3

Sunday, September 24

Baltimore @ Jacksonville

Game 461-462
September 24, 2017 @ 9:30 am

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
130.166
Jacksonville
134.392
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 4
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 4
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(+4); Over

Cleveland @ Indianapolis

Game 463-464
September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
129.088
Indianapolis
125.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 1
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-1); Under

Pittsburgh @ Chicago

Game 465-466
September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
137.086
Chicago
125.676
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 11 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 7
44
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-7); Under

Miami @ NY Jets

Game 467-468
September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
128.937
NY Jets
121.657
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 7 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 6
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-6); Over

Denver @ Buffalo

Game 469-470
September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
138.199
Buffalo
130.683
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 7 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 3
40
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-3); Over

Houston @ New England

Game 471-472
September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
127.961
New England
146.449
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 18 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 13
44
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-13); Under

New Orleans @ Carolina

Game 473-474
September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
129.184
Carolina
136.705
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 8 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 6
47
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-6); Under

Tampa Bay @ Minnesota

Game 475-476
September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
135.452
Minnesota
132.857
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

Atlanta @ Detroit

Game 477-478
September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
138.479
Detroit
141.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 3
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3); Under

NY Giants @ Philadelphia

Game 479-480
September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
127.180
Philadelphia
139.695
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 12 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 5 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-5 1/2); Over

Seattle @ Tennessee

Game 471-482
September 24, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
130.574
Tennessee
136.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 5 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 2 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-2 1/2); Over

Kansas City @ LA Chargers

Game 483-484
September 24, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
143.188
LA Chargers
130.243
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 13
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-3); Over

Cincinnati @ Green Bay

Game 485-486
September 24, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
126.479
Green Bay
139.706
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 13
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 8 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-8 1/2); Over

Oakland @ Washington

Game 487-488
September 24, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
133.381
Washington
133.337
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
Even
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 3 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+3 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 3
Monty Andrews

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-5.5, 48)

Saints third-down D problems vs. Panthers' drive extension skills

The Panthers have been the toughest team to score against through two games - but that hot defensive start will be put to the test this weekend as they host a Saints team that is winless so far, but can still put points on the board. Yet, while the main focus will be on whether Drew Brees can generate enough offense to offset the Saints' struggling defense, the Panthers will look to exploit what could be a major advantage: third-down production.

Not much has gone right for the New Orleans defense so far, as it has allowed a whopping 65 points in losses to the Minnesota Vikings and New England Patriots. You could probably identify several problem areas here, but one of the most significant is the Saints' inability to force teams into fourth-down situations, allowing foes to convert on third down 57.7 percent of the time - the worst rate in football. New England ranked 27th in the category last season, so this trend isn't a new one.

What is new, however, is Carolina's ability to extend drives. Cam Newton and the Panthers' offense was an efficient 7-of-13 in third-down situations in a season-opening win over the San Francisco 49ers, and despite doing little with the football in a 9-3 triumph over Buffalo in Week 2, Carolina was still a solid 7-of-16 on third down. While this might not last - the Panthers converted just 37.2 percent on third downs last season - it should at least continue through this week against a leaky Saints D.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears (+7.5, 45.5)

Steelers' rushing troubles vs. Bears' stout run D

The Steelers are off to a 2-0 start and are heavily favored to remain unbeaten after this weekend as they visit a Bears team that has been outscored 52-24 in consecutive losses to open the season. Yet, while Pittsburgh has considerable advantages in several key areas, there is a chance the Bears could make things a little more even - though this mismatch Chicago enjoys might be more of a two-week aberration than a potential season-long trend.

After struggling to run the football in a narrow Week 1 triumph over the Cleveland Browns, it was thought that Steelers star running back Le'Veon Bell was simply working his way back into game shape. But Pittsburgh didn't fare much better in Week 2 versus the Minnesota Vikings, as Bell needed 27 carries to record 87 yards on the ground. The Steelers average an NFL-worst 2.8 yards per carry, and with the Pittsburgh offense far less prolific on the road than at home, there's reason for concern this week.

Chicago has had it rough, with quarterback Mike Glennon looking abysmal and the receiving corps absolutely decimated by injury. But the Bears' defense has actually been better than the point differential might suggest - particularly on the ground. Chicago is allowing a scant 3.2 YPC, tied for the ninth-lowest rate in the league. The Bears can't hope to keep Bell completely contained, but minimizing his impact could give the home side a chance at victory.

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 43.5)

Giants' secondary struggles vs. Eagles' pass-heavy approach

Fans who like to see footballs flying through the air should be in for a real treat Sunday as the Giants and Eagles renew hostilities in an NFC East showdown. The Giants are off to an 0-2 start and have scored a paltry 13 points in the process, while the Eagles have split a pair of games to open the campaign and haven't been shy about airing it out. That should work in their favor this weekend, with New York's secondary struggling to make an impact.

Much was made about the Giants' attempts to fix their defense in the offseason, but the results through two games have been rough. New York comes into Week 3 action as one of nine teams without an interception, and its four sacks rank in the lower half league-wide. In a two-week stretch that has seen passing yards way down across the NFL, the Giants have allowed opposing QBs to post a 100.0 combined passer rating - good for 26th overall.

QB Carson Wentz and the Philadelphia pass attack has already seen dramatic improvement over last season - boasting a QB rating 10 points higher than their 2016 figure so far - and haven't been shy about challenging opposing secondaries. Philadelphia has thrown the ball on 69.4 percent of its total offensive plays, the fourth-highest rate in the league and a 10-percent bump over last season. With the Giants sitting first at 72.2 percent, the ball will be flying - and that benefits the Eagles.

Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers (-9, 44.5)

Bengals' bad TOP numbers vs. Packers' elite clock control

The Bengals are off to such a terrible offensive start, they've already replaced their offensive coordinator. Whether that will be enough to stem the tide is the only question in Cincinnati fans' minds as the 0-2 Bengals travel to Lambeau Field for a date with the 1-1 Packers. For Cincinnati to improve on the nine points it has scored through two games, it will need to do a batter job controlling the clock - something Green Bay has done tremendously well so far.

A lot of factors go into time of possession, so there are plenty of reasons why the Bengals rank 27th in the category at 26:52 per game. Cincinnati has converted just eight of its 27 third-down opportunities into first downs, so far, while its 13 first downs per game rank ahead of only San Francisco. The Bengals have also generated just 4.3 yards per play, good for 29th overall. Simply put, QB Andy Dalton hasn't been able to do much of anything - and that means less time with the football.

The Packers, on the other hand, have done an exquisite job of controlling the clock. After holding the ball for more than 39 minutes of a season-opening 17-9 win over Seattle, QB Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense had the ball for 31:23 but ultimately dropped a 34-23 decision to the quick-striking Falcons. With Jordy Nelson questionable (and expected to be limited if he does play), Rodgers will have to rely even more on short passes and a vaunted run game - and that's bad news for the Bengals.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 4

Trend Report

Sunday, September 24

12:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. CONNECTICUT
East Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
East Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Connecticut is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Sunday, September 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (0 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 1) - 9/24/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[New York Knight]

TONY KARPINSKI

NFL | Sep 24, 2017
Ravens vs. Jaguars

Jaguars+3½

The Ravens are drawing a lot of buzz after starting 2-0, but let's hold off on the coronation after beating two teams with major issues. Baltimore is a different team on the road and this is their first trip across the pond. This is Jacksonville's 5th trip so they are used to the travel patterns and I like this team. The Ravens O-line is decimated, and their offensive skill players haven't really impressed, just taking what their defense gives them. If the Jaguars can protect the ball -- a big if with Blake Bortles under center, I know -- their run game should dictate this matchup, especially with Ravens DT Brandon Williams out, and put them in a position to win. Take Jax PLUS THE PTS in this early Sunday morning kickoff.

[New York Knight]

Atlantic Sports


Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Milwaukee Brewers + 120

[New York Knight]

The Vegas Steam Line


Your free winner for Sunday: Take GREEN BAY -7½ over Cincinnati

[New York Knight]

Nevada Sharpshooter


Your free winner for Sunday: Take NEW ORLEANS +5½ over Carolina

[New York Knight]

Razor Sharp


YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: Take DENVER/BUFFALO UNDER the total of 39½

[New York Knight]

High Stakes Syndicate


Free Selection for Early Sunday: Miami Dolphins - 5 1/2

[New York Knight]

Hawkeye Sports


Early Sunday's Free Pick: Cleveland Browns - 1 1/2

[New York Knight]

Huddle Up Sports


Free Play: Chicago +7

[New York Knight]

Golden Dragon Sports

Free Pick
Cleveland -1'

[New York Knight]

Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Sunday, September 24, 2017

(973) KANSAS CITY ROYALS (I KENNEDY - R) VS (974) CHICAGO WHITE SOX (L GIOLITO - R).

Play UNDER the total.

[New York Knight]

Platinum Plays


Free Pick: NFL Kansas City/LA Chargers UNDER 47½ Points