Tuesday 9-26-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358391

    #46
    Tommy Brunson

    Tuesday's free play release is the Indians on the Run Line over the Twins.

    It's a game that means a little something to both clubs, as Minny is trying to secure that second Wild Card spot, while Cleveland looks to keep the best record in the league on their side as we head towards October.

    The difference tonight is on the mound.

    Bartolo Colon just got rocked by the Yankees, as he has now dropped all 4 of his September starts, and has an over 9 ERA for the month. His last start against Cleveland saw him allow 3 solo homers in 5 innings as he took the loss back in August.

    Josh Tomlin counters and is unbeaten in his 4 starts since returning from a 5 week stay on the DL. He is 2-0 with 7 runs allowed in that stretch. Since his team is on a 29-2 run their last 31 games, it would seem apparent that the play tonight is on the Tribe on the Run Line to grab the 2 runs or better victory.

    Cleveland Run Line your comp play.

    5* CLEVELAND -1 1/2 RUNS
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358391

      #47
      Tony Brown

      Tony's *5 mlb free pick

      Washington vs. Philadelphia, 09/26/2017 19:05 EDT

      Total: -120/+9 Under

      Sportsbook:
      Bodog

      Fp: Nationals already clinched so they may just be going thru the motions and Philly offensively has been bad all year 10 runs to win may be a chore making the under my mlb top pick.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358391

        #48
        Brian Bitler

        Brian's 9* MLB NO Non-Sense Winner

        Chi Cubs vs. St. Louis, 09/26/2017 20:15 EDT

        Money Line: -113 St. Louis

        Sportsbook:
        Bookmaker

        Big game for the Cardinals who are in a must win spot versus the Cubs. Carlos Martinez goes for the Cards and he got torched by the Cubs two starts ago so revenge will be on his mind and the Cards will be going all out. Love the low juice we will invest 9 units in the Cardinals tonight. (Lost my game on Arizona last night but still a rock solid 11-3 79% on the season in the NFL get my Season Pass or 30 day pass onsale now at rock bottom prices)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358391

          #49
          Brandon Lee
          Sep 26 '17, 8:40 PM
          MLB | MIA vs COL
          Play on: UNDER 11½ -105

          10* FREE MLB PICK (Marlins/Rockies UNDER 11.5)

          The UNDER is worth a look here in Tuesday's matchup between the Marlins and Rockies. Coors Field isn't typically a place I look to play the UNDER, but I feel we are getting enough value with a total at 11.5 given that conditions aren't going to be ideal for hitting with temps in the low 60's and the wind blowing in from center. Not to mention a couple of hot starting pitchers on the mound with the Marlins Jose Arena and Rockies Tyler Anderson. Arena has a 2.37 ERA in his last 3 starts, having just allowing 2 run in 8 innings against the Mets in his last outing. Anderson has given up just 3 runs in his last 11 2/3 innings of work. All we need is one of these guys to throw well and we should fly under this total. Give me the UNDER 11.5!
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358391

            #50
            Dustin Hawkins
            Sep 26 '17, 8:15 PM
            MLB | Cubs vs Cardinals
            Play on: Cubs +105 at GTBets

            Free Play on Cubs +105
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358391

              #51
              Cheat Sheet - WNBA Finals

              (1) Minnesota vs. (2) Los Angeles

              Best-of-Five (2-2-1 Format)

              Game 1 – Sunday, Sept. 24
              Game 2 – Tuesday, Sept. 26
              Game 3 – Friday, Sept. 29
              Game 4 – Sunday, Oct. 1
              Game 5 – Wednesday, Oct. 4

              Series Price – per BookMaker.eu

              Minnesota -160
              Los Angeles +140

              Betting Notes - Minnesota

              -- Minnesota swept Washington 3-0 in the semifinals, winning all three games by double digits. The Lynx went 2-1 against the spread in the series.

              -- Including the playoffs, the Lynx have won six straight games by 10-plus points and they’ve covered the number in four of those games.

              -- The ‘over’ went 2-1 in the semifinals.

              -- Minnesota has gone 17-2 SU and 9-10 ATS at the Xcel Energy Center this season while the ‘under’ produced a 10-9 record.

              -- The Lynx were 13-5 SU and 11-7 ATS on the road this season.

              -- The ‘under’ has gone 6-1 in the last seven away games for Minnesota.

              Betting Notes – Los Angeles

              -- Los Angeles advanced to the WNBA Finals with a three-game sweep over Phoenix in the semifinals.

              -- The Sparks went 2-1 versus the number and only failed to cover Game 3 as they nipped the Mercury 89-87 as 4 ½-point road favorites.

              -- Los Angeles will bring a 10-game winning streak into the finals and the club has gone 9-1 ATS during this run while the ‘under’ is 7-3 over this span.

              -- The Sparks went 18-1 SU and 14-5 ATS at home this season.

              -- Los Angeles went 11-9 SU and 10-8 ATS away from home this season.

              -- Similar to Minnesota, the ‘under’ has been a solid wager for L.A. on the road lately with a 5-2 mark in its last seven.

              2017 Regular Season Encounters

              July 6 – Minnesota 88 (-6.5) vs. Los Angeles 77 (Under 166.5)

              August 11 - Los Angeles 70 (+5.5) at Minnesota 64 (Under 161.5)

              August 27 – Los Angeles 78 (-2.5) vs. Minnesota 67 (Under 155.5)

              2016 WNBA Finals

              Game 1 – Los Angeles 78 (+6.5) at Minnesota 76 (Under 161)

              Game 2 – Minnesota 79 (-7) vs. Los Angeles 60 (Under 159)

              Game 3 – Los Angeles 92 (+1) vs. Minnesota 75 (Over 159.5)

              Game 4 – Minnesota 85 (+1) at Los Angeles 79 (Over 160)

              Game 5 – Los Angeles 77 (+5.5) at Minnesota 76 (Under 156.5)

              WNBA Finals History – 1997-2016

              -- The league went to a best-of-five format during the 2005 season. In the 12 series, we’ve seen five sweeps (3-0), four matchups go to a decisive Game 7 and three series end in four games (3-1).

              -- The Sparks have won the WNBA Championship three times, including last year’s victory over Minnesota.

              -- The previous title for the Sparks came in 20012 when the franchise pulled off the rare repeat.

              -- Los Angeles failed to three-peat in 2003 as it was defeated by the now defunct Detroit Shock.

              -- Since the 2011 season, Minnesota has won three championships and finished runner-up twice. The victories included two sweeps.

              -- The Lynx have alternated titles the last six years and if that trend continues, they’ll be champions this seasons.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358391

                #52
                WNBA
                Dunkel

                Tuesday, September 26


                Los Angeles @ Minnesota

                Game 665-666
                September 26, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Los Angeles
                115.159
                Minnesota
                128.751
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Minnesota
                by 13 1/2
                155
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Minnesota
                by 5 1/2
                158 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Minnesota
                (-5 1/2); Under
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358391

                  #53
                  WNBA
                  Long Sheet

                  Tuesday, September 26


                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  LOS ANGELES (30 - 8) at MINNESOTA (30 - 8) - 9/26/2017, 8:00 PM
                  Top Trends for this game.
                  LOS ANGELES is 26-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1997.
                  MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                  LOS ANGELES is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
                  LOS ANGELES is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in August or September games this season.
                  LOS ANGELES is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a division game this season.
                  LOS ANGELES is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
                  LOS ANGELES is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
                  LOS ANGELES is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                  LOS ANGELES is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games this season.
                  LOS ANGELES is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
                  LOS ANGELES is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

                  Head-to-Head Series History
                  LOS ANGELES is 11-8 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                  MINNESOTA is 10-9 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
                  12 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358391

                    #54
                    WNBA

                    Tuesday, September 26


                    Trend Report

                    8:00 PM
                    LOS ANGELES vs. MINNESOTA
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
                    Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358391

                      #55
                      MLB
                      Dunkel

                      Tuesday, September 26


                      Baltimore @ Pittsburgh

                      Game 979-980
                      September 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Baltimore
                      (Gausman) 17.077
                      Pittsburgh
                      (Williams) 14.033
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Baltimore
                      by 3
                      7
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Baltimore
                      -120
                      8 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Baltimore
                      (-120); Under

                      Seattle @ Oakland


                      Game 977-978
                      September 26, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Seattle
                      (Paxton) 14.904
                      Oakland
                      (Mengden) 16.817
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Oakland
                      by 2
                      10
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Seattle
                      -125
                      8 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Oakland
                      (+105); Over

                      Detroit @ Kansas City


                      Game 975-976
                      September 26, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Detroit
                      (Sanchez) 15.204
                      Kansas City
                      (Vargas) 13.380
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Detroit
                      by 2
                      12
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Kansas City
                      -175
                      10
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Detroit
                      (+155); Over

                      LA Angels @ Chicago White Sox


                      Game 973-974
                      September 26, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      LA Angels
                      (Bridwell) 14.692
                      Chicago White Sox
                      (Volstad) 16.526
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Chicago White Sox
                      by 2
                      8
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Chicago White Sox
                      No Line
                      N/A
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Chicago White Sox
                      N/A

                      Houston @ Texas


                      Game 971-972
                      September 26, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Houston
                      (Keuchel) 14.338
                      Texas
                      (Hamels) 15.636
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Texas
                      by 1 1/2
                      9
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Houston
                      -130
                      9 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Texas
                      (+110); Under

                      Toronto @ Boston


                      Game 969-970
                      September 26, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Toronto
                      (Happ) 15.905
                      Boston
                      (Sale) 16.976
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Boston
                      by 1
                      7
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Boston
                      -230
                      8
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Boston
                      (-230); Under

                      Minnesota @ Cleveland


                      Game 967-968
                      September 26, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Minnesota
                      (Colon) 16.443
                      Cleveland
                      (Tomlin) 18.276
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Cleveland
                      by 2
                      8
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Cleveland
                      -200
                      9 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Cleveland
                      (-200); Under

                      Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees


                      Game 965-966
                      September 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Tampa Bay
                      (Snell) 16.016
                      NY Yankees
                      (Mntgmry) 17.531
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      NY Yankees
                      by 1 1/2
                      7
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      NY Yankees
                      No Line
                      N/A
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      NY Yankees
                      N/A

                      San Diego @ LA Dodgers


                      Game 963-964
                      September 26, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      San Diego
                      (Lamet) 12.535
                      LA Dodgers
                      (Wood) 14.714
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      LA Dodgers
                      by 2
                      6
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      LA Dodgers
                      -230
                      7 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      LA Dodgers
                      (-230); Under

                      San Francisco @ Arizona


                      Game 961-962
                      September 26, 2017 @ 9:40 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      San Francisco
                      (Moore) 15.155
                      Arizona
                      (Ray) 12.933
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      San Francisco
                      by 2
                      12
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Arizona
                      -210
                      9
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      San Francisco
                      (+180); Over

                      Miami @ Colorado


                      Game 959-960
                      September 26, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Miami
                      (Urena) 15.077
                      Colorado
                      (Andrson) 13.857
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Miami
                      by 1
                      13
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Colorado
                      -155
                      11 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Miami
                      (+135); Over

                      Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis


                      Game 957-958
                      September 26, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Chicago Cubs
                      (Arrieta) 14.985
                      St. Louis
                      16.500
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      St. Louis
                      by 1 1/2
                      9
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      St. Louis
                      -115
                      8
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      St. Louis
                      (-115); Under

                      Cincinnati @ Milwaukee


                      Game 955-956
                      September 26, 2017 @ 7:40 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Cincinnati
                      (McGuire) 14.391
                      Milwaukee
                      (Davies) 15.910
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Milwaukee
                      by 1 1/2
                      11
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Milwaukee
                      -185
                      9 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Milwaukee
                      (-185); Over

                      Atlanta @ NY Mets


                      Game 953-954
                      September 26, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Atlanta
                      (Dickey) 13.843
                      NY Mets
                      (Montero) 12.081
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Atlanta
                      by 2
                      10
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      NY Mets
                      -110
                      8 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Atlanta
                      (-110); Over

                      Washington @ Philadelphia


                      Game 951-952
                      September 26, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Washington
                      (Gonzalez) 12.812
                      Philadelphia
                      (Thmpson) 14.661
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Philadelphia
                      by 2
                      10
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Washington
                      -150
                      9
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Philadelphia
                      (+130); Over

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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358391

                        #56
                        MLB

                        Tuesday, September 26


                        National League
                        Braves @ Mets
                        Dickey is 1-2, 7.66 in his last four starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. Atlanta is 5-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-11-5

                        Montero is 0-2, 8.31 in his last two starts; under is 10-4 in his last 14. Mets are 3-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-2

                        Atlanta won four of its last six games; under is 9-3 in their last 11 games. Mets are 4-11 in their last 15 games; under is 5-3 in their last eight home games.

                        Nationals @ Phillies
                        Gonzalez is 7-2, 2.51 in his last nine starts; over is 4-0-1 in his last five. Washington is 10-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-8-5

                        Thompson is 1-1, 3.80 in his last four starts (over 5-2). Phillies are 3-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-2-1

                        Washington won six of last eight games; under is 10-3-2 in their last 15 games. Phillies lost four of their last five games; under is 8-1-2 in their last 11.

                        Reds @ Brewers
                        McGuire is making his first MLB start; he was 9-9, 2.79 in 27 AA starts this year He’s thrown 5.2 scoreless innings in four relief stints in the majors this season.

                        Davies is 1-2, 4.18 in his last four starts; under is 9-3-1 in his last 13. Milwaukee is 8-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-11-6

                        Reds lost their last six games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Cincy is 5-13 in last 18 road series openers. Milwaukee lost three of last four games (under 3-0-1); they’re 9-6 in last 15 home series openers. Brewers are 1.5 games out in the Wild Card race.

                        Cubs @ Cardinals
                        Arrieta is 4-1, 2.39 in his last seven starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Cubs are 10-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-8-4

                        Martinez is 2-1, 4.39 in his last four starts; over is 11-5 in his last 16 starts. St Louis is 9-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-12-3

                        Cubs won 11 of last 13 games; under is 6-2–1 in their last nine. St Louis won five of last seven home games; under is 6-2 in their last eight.

                        Marlins @ Rockies
                        Urena is 2-0, 2.08 in his last four starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Miami is 10-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-7-5

                        Anderson is 1-2, 6.16 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Colorado is 3-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-7

                        Marlins won six of last nine games; 10 of their last 12 road games went over. Colorado lost six of its last eight games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Rockies have 1.5-game lead in race for the last Wild Card spot.

                        Giants @ Diamondbacks
                        Moore is 2-2, 4.50 in his last four starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Giants are 3-11 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-19-6

                        Ray is 5-0, 2.70 in his last six starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Arizona is 7-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-6-8

                        Giants won five of their last seven games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Arizona lost five of last eight games; over is 4-1 in their last five games.

                        Padres @ Dodgers
                        Lamet is 0-3, 3.71 in his last six starts (under 5-1). San Diego is 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8-2

                        Wood is 1-0, 1.50 in his last two starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Dodgers are 8-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-9-2

                        San Diego won five of its last eight games (under 8-4). Dodgers are 4-1 in their last five games; under is 8-2-3 in their last 13.

                        ——————————–

                        American League
                        Rays @ New York
                        Snell is 4-0, 2.95 in his last seven starts; under is 10-5 in his last 15. Rays are 5-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-4

                        Severino is 2-0, 2.63 in his last four starts; over is 10-1 in his last 11 starts. NY is 10-5 in his home starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 17-10-3

                        Tampa Bay is 4-6 in its last ten games; their last three games went over. Rays are 3-6 in last nine road series openers. New York won nine of last 12 games; under is 4-3-1 in their last eight. NY is 11-3 in last 13 home series openers.

                        Twins @ Indians
                        Colon is 0-4, 8.24 in his last four starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Minnesota is 2-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-6-1

                        Tomlin is 3-0, 2.70 in his last five starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Cleveland is 7-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-10-6

                        Twins won their last four games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Minnesota is 5-3 in last eight road series openers. Cleveland is 29-2 in its last 31 games; under is 10-3 in their last 13 home games. Indians are 10-0 in last ten home series openers.

                        Blue Jays @ Red Sox
                        Happ is 3-1, 3.28 in his last four starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. Toronto is 5-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-13-1

                        Sale is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts; his last four starts went over. Boston is 9-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-8-8

                        Toronto lost four of last seven road games; under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games. Boston won nine of last 11 games; under is 6-3 in their last nine.

                        Astros @ Rangers
                        Keuchel is 1-1, 2.25 in his last two starts; over is 4-2 in his last six starts. Houston is 8-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-7-2

                        Hamels is 2-1, 2.53 in his last three starts (under 3-0). Rangers are 7-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-3-2

                        Houston won nine of its last 11 games; under is 6-2 in their last eight. Texas lost its last four games; under is 7-2 in their last nine.

                        Angels @ White Sox
                        Bridwell is 1-1, 3.12 in his last three starts; under is 11-3 in his last 14 starts. Angels are 8-0 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-5-3

                        Fulmer is 1-1, 5.14 in four starts this year (under 2-1-1). Chicago split his two home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1-1

                        Angels lost seven of their last eight games; seven of their last eight road games stayed under. Chicago won four of last five games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight home games.

                        Tigers @ Royals
                        Sanchez is 0-4, 8.58 in his last seven starts (over 5-2). Detroit is 2-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-7-2

                        Vargas is 3-0, 2.20 in his last three starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Royals are 9-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-12-3

                        Detroit lost its last seven games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11. Tigers are 6-11 in last 17 road series openers. Royals are 4-8 in their last 12 games; under is 8-5 in their last 13. KC is 1-5 in last six home series openers.

                        Mariners @ A’s
                        Paxton is 0-2, 6.35 in his last three starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Seattle is 4-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-7-4

                        Mengden is 2-0, 0.00 (16 IP) in his last two starts (under 3-2). A’s won both his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-2-1

                        Seattle lost eight of its last ten games; under is 14-6 in their last 20. Oakland is 14-4 in its last 18 games; over is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.

                        __________________________

                        Interleague

                        Orioles @ Pirates
                        Gausman is 2-1, 1.71 in his last five starts; under is 9-2 in his last 11 starts. Baltimore is 7-8 in his road starts— their 1st 5-inning record with him: 15-15-2

                        Williams is 1-3, 2.91 in his last four starts; Pirates scored five runs in the four games. Under is 14-2 in his last 16 starts. Bucs are 5-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-12-3

                        Orioles lost seven of last ten games; over is 8-3 in their last 11. Baltimore is 6-11 in last 17 road series openers. Pittsburgh won three of last four games; under is 16-5 in their last 21 games. Pirates are 1-5 in last six home series openers.

                        ______________________________

                        Record with this pitcher starting:
                        National League
                        Wsh-Phil: Gonzalez 18-12; Thompson 4-3
                        Atl-NY: Dickey 16-14; Montero 7-10
                        Cin-Mil: McGuire 0-0; Davies 19-13
                        Chi-StL: Arrieta 16-13; Martinez 16-15
                        Mia-Colo: Urena 17-9; Anderson 6-8
                        SF-Az: Moore 10-20; Ray 18-8
                        SD-LA: Lamet 9-11; Wood 17-7

                        American League
                        TB-NY: Snell 10-11; Severino 19-11
                        Min-Clev: Colon 5-8; Tomlin 13-12
                        Tor-Bos: Happ 10-14; Sale 22-9
                        Hst-Tex: Keuchel 15-7; Hamels 13-9
                        LA-Chi: Bridwell 15-3; Fulmer 2-2
                        Det-KC: Sanchez 7-8; Vargas 19-11
                        Sea-A’s: Paxton 13-9; Mengden 4-1

                        Interleague
                        Balt-Pitt: Gausman 16-16; Williams 10-14

                        Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
                        National League
                        Wsh-Phil: Gonzalez 11-30; Thompson 2-7
                        Atl-NY: Dickey 7-30; Montero 4-17
                        Cin-Mil: McGuire 0-0; Davies 9-32
                        Chi-StL: Arrieta 8-29; Martinez 11-31
                        Mia-Colo: Urena 4-26; Anderson 1-14
                        SF-Az: Moore 10-30; Ray 9-26
                        SD-LA: Lamet 6-20; Wood 4-24

                        American League
                        TB-NY: Snell 6-21; Severino 6-30
                        Min-Clev: Colon 1-13; Tomlin 7-25
                        Tor-Bos: Happ 4-24; Sale 3-31
                        Hst-Tex: Keuchel 5-22; Hamels 9-22
                        LA-Chi: Bridwell 2-18; Fulmer 0-3
                        Det-KC: Sanchez 3-15; Vargas 7-30
                        Sea-A’s: Paxton 3-22; Mengden 0-5

                        Interleague
                        Balt-Pitt: Gausman 10-32; Williams 7-24

                        _________________________

                        Umpires
                        National League
                        Atl-NY: Under is 5-2 in last seven West games.
                        Wsh-Phil: Over is 3-1-1 in last five Ortiz games.
                        Chi-StL: Under is 6-2 in last eight Hoberg games.
                        Mia-Colo: Home team is 16-4 in last 20 Iassogna games.
                        SF-Az: Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Nelson games.
                        SD-LA: Under is 8-4 in last 12 Timmons games.

                        American League
                        Tor-Bos: Four of last five Rackley games stayed under.
                        Hst-Tex: Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Torres games.
                        LA-Chi: Over is 6-2-2 in last ten Winters games.
                        Sea-A’s: Under is 13-4 in last 17 TBarrett games.

                        Interleague play
                        NL @ AL– 84-57 AL, favorites -$280
                        AL @ NL– 73-72 NL, favorites +$416
                        Total: 156-130 AL, favorites +$136

                        Totals in interleague games
                        NL @ AL: Over 71-68-4
                        AL @ NL: Over 74-64-8
                        Total: Over 145-132-12

                        Teams’ records in first five innings:
                        Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/19/17
                        Ariz 28-26-20……43-25–12……..71-51
                        Atl 27-35-10……26-42-8………..53-77
                        Cubs 33-31-8…….39-25-14………..72-56
                        Reds 23-43-9……..30-37-9…………53-80
                        Colo 38-31-7………40-29-5………..78-60
                        LA 38-24-13…….41-25-9…………79-49
                        Miami 32-36-10…….36-26-11………68-62
                        Milw 37-27-10…….38-29-10……….74-56
                        Mets 33-39-5……..30-37-7………….63-76
                        Philly 19-43-16……30-36-9………..49-79
                        Pitt 31-37-9…….28-33-13………..60-70
                        St. Louis 32-34-9……..39-25-10………..71-59
                        SD 21-46-8……..38-29–9…………59-75
                        SF 16-49-9……..30-33-13……….46-81
                        Wash 43-23-7……34-33-10………….77-56

                        Orioles 29-39-5……..31-39-8………..60-78
                        Boston 31-35-11………34-37-3……….65-72
                        White Sox 25-40-11………29-42–4…….54-82
                        Cleveland 45-23-8……..39-24-10……..84-47
                        Detroit 27-38-10…….30-36-11……..57-74
                        Astros 37-28-11……..47-24-5………84-52
                        KC 26-35-13……..30-31-13…….56-66
                        Angels 26-39-8………31-31-14……..57-70
                        Twins 38-24-13………38-33-8……..76-57
                        NYY 34-38-7……….40-28-5…..…74-66
                        A’s 29-39-10……..32-32-12……..61-71
                        Seattle 29-39-9……..39-25-11………68-64
                        TB 36-29-11……..40-24-9……..76-53
                        Texas 35-27-12……..38-28-9……..73-55
                        Toronto 30-40-5……..30-33-12……..60-73

                        %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/19/17)
                        Ariz 24-76……..27-74………..51
                        Atl 17-71……….19-79………36
                        Cubs 20-72……..26-78………..46
                        Reds 30-76……..27-76……….57
                        Colo 20-76……..25-74..……..45
                        LA 23-76……..26-74..…….49
                        Miami 32-78……..27-73……….59
                        Milw 24-74……29-78…..…..53
                        Mets 34-75……..26-75……….60
                        Philly 17-78……..24-74……….41
                        Pitt 22-77……..22-75……….44
                        StL 16-76……..23-73………..39
                        SD 23-75……….26-75……….49
                        SF 17-75……….22-77……….39
                        Wash 26-73……..30-77……….56

                        Orioles 17-76……..25-77……….42
                        Boston 21-77……..18-74……….39
                        White Sox 24-76……20-75……….44
                        Clev 22-77……..26-75………48
                        Detroit 18-74…….27-77………45
                        Astros 21-77……..29-74………50
                        KC 18-75……..16-76………..34
                        Angels 27-75……..22-77……….49
                        Twins 17-73……..20-77……….37
                        NYY 19-78……..21-73……….40
                        A’s 20-76……..27-76………47
                        Seattle 21-77…….25-77……….46
                        TB 22-74……..26-77………48
                        Texas 29-76……..30-74………59
                        Toronto 26-76……..21-78………47
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358391

                          #57
                          MLB

                          Tuesday, September 26


                          Trend Report

                          7:05 PM
                          BALTIMORE vs. PITTSBURGH
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
                          The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 11 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home

                          7:05 PM
                          TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
                          Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
                          NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

                          7:05 PM
                          WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
                          Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
                          Philadelphia is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Washington

                          7:10 PM
                          TORONTO vs. BOSTON
                          The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Toronto's last 18 games when playing on the road against Boston
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Boston
                          Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games

                          7:10 PM
                          ATLANTA vs. NY METS
                          Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
                          Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                          NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
                          NY Mets are 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Atlanta

                          7:10 PM
                          MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
                          Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
                          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 16 games
                          Cleveland is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games

                          7:40 PM
                          CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
                          Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
                          The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games at home
                          Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

                          8:05 PM
                          HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
                          Houston is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Texas
                          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
                          Texas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games

                          8:10 PM
                          LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
                          LA Angels are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
                          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games when playing LA Angels
                          Chi White Sox are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against LA Angels

                          8:15 PM
                          CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
                          Chi Cubs are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games
                          St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

                          8:15 PM
                          DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
                          Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
                          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
                          Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit

                          8:40 PM
                          MIAMI vs. COLORADO
                          The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 16 games when playing Colorado
                          Miami is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
                          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 15 games when playing at home against Miami
                          Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

                          9:40 PM
                          SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
                          The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Francisco's last 14 games when playing on the road against Arizona
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona's last 14 games when playing at home against San Francisco

                          10:05 PM
                          SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
                          Seattle is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
                          Oakland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

                          10:10 PM
                          SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
                          San Diego is 5-10 SU in their last 15 games when playing LA Dodgers
                          The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
                          LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358391

                            #58
                            Will Rogers

                            Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh
                            Pick: Baltimore -120

                            The set-up: The Pirates stalled division rival St. Louis' bid for a playoff spot by taking two of the final three games over the weekend but enter this final week of the regular season at 71-85 and nothing to play for at all. The Orioles opened the 2017 season 22-10 but quickly fell into a funk. The team got back into contention by late-August but Baltimore's long-shot playoff hopes were officially snuffed out this past Saturday night. Sunday's win versus Tampa Bay was only their fourth in 18 games. This two-game interleague series will feature a pair of teams with nothing to play.

                            The pitching matchup: Kevin Gausman (11-10 & 4.61 ERA) will go for Baltimore and Trevor Williams (6-9 & 4.18 ERA) for Pittsburgh. Gausman has been excelelnt in his last two starts, allowing just one ER on nine hits over 15 inning (0.60 ERA) with a 13 Ks and just two walks. He's only faced Pittsburgh once in his career (0-1 & 5.40 ERA). Williams owns a 2.12 ERA over his last five starts but has just one win to show for it (he's 1-3 and the team 2-3). Williams is a rookie who has never faced Baltimore.

                            The pick: The Pittsburgh Pirates clearly have their sights fixed on 2018, as five of the eight position players who started for them on Sunday were rookies. In this one, I'll back the suddenly hot Gausman.
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358391

                              #59
                              Teddy Davis

                              Sep 26 '17, 8:15 PM

                              MLB | Cubs vs Cardinals
                              Play on: Cardinals -110 at BMaker

                              I lost last night backing the Cardinals, but will take them here as quite simply they are playing for their playoff lives here tonight. The Cardinals will give the ball to their ace here in Martinez and I believe he responds well here as he has pitched very well at home with a 3.18 ERA on the year.
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358391

                                #60
                                Teddy Covers

                                Sep 26 '17, 8:15 PM

                                MLB | Cubs vs Cardinals
                                Play on: Cubs +103 at 5Dimes

                                Take the Chicago Cubs (#957)


                                Here’s the quote from Cubs manager Joe Maddon following Chicago’s blowout win in St Louis last night: “We're definitely arriving at the same mental level we've had the last two seasons. The guys have been there, done that. They know what it's about.” That’s a pretty strong ‘bet-on’ quote for a team priced as underdogs tonight, with a chance to clinch the NL Central title on their biggest rival’s home field with a victory here.
                                The betting markets are doing what they do – overvaluing the starting pitching matchup at the expense of all other factors. And there’s not much love for Jake Arrieta in the markets right now. Arrieta was sharp in his first start back from a stint on the DL, throwing five innings of one run ball in Milwaukee. Maddon, following that start: “I didn't know what to expect. I thought (Arrieta) was really sharp. I was really surprised at how good he looked.” Chicago’s bullpen behind him is as good as any in baseball, and it’s a fresh pen, working only three innings over the past two days.
                                The Cubs might not even need a gem from Arrieta to win here if their lineup continues to click. Chicago hung ten runs on St Louis last night, pounding out 86 runs during an 11-2 hot streak over the past two weeks. They beat up Carlos Martinez when they saw him in Chicago less than two weeks ago, and Martinez struggled again in his last outing, giving up a pair of homers in Cinci. The Cardinals aren’t playing good ball, losers of three straight in ‘must win’ situations after dropping a pair to slumping Pittsburgh over the weekend. Wrong team favored here. Take the Cubs.
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