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Brian Hay
5* Solid Gold Play Akron over 57
Bowling Green's team they put on the field to face their opponents offense can't be called a defense. They are giving up an average of 549 yards per game, yes 549 yards per game. They only gave up 24 last week to Middle Tennessee which looks good until you find out Middle Tennessee had half their starting offense out with injuries. Bowling Green has No Defense. Akron's offense has faced a very good Troy defense and two Big Ten defenses now they get to have a feast today against Bowling Green's No Defense. Go over like Rover.Comment
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Brian Hay
5* Solid Gold Play Michigan State -3.5
Michigan State and Iowa enter this game off misleading finals as Michigan State had a 496-355 yard edge but three Sparty turnovers led to three Notre Dame touchdowns.The Spartans simply beat themselves last week against the Irish. Iowa was out gained by Penn State 579-273 yet lost by only 2 points.Penn State had a 31-11 first down edge against Iowa last week. Three weeks ago Iowa had to rally late to take Iowa State to overtime, before finally getting the win. Two weeks ago the Hawkeyes trailed North Texas at home in the second half. Michigan States defense is holding their opponents to 171 yards per game less than their average. Iowa's defense was on the field for 98 plays last week against Penn State. Iowa team will be totally deflated after their last play loss last week to Penn State. Great spot here for Michigan State and we are getting a great number because of last weeks misleading final scores.Comment
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Rex Factor
BAYLOR +14.5
TULSA +8
SMU -17
NORTH TX +7.5
UCF -4
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Mike Tierney ' Top Dog'
GEORGIA TECH -9.5
MIN -13
FSU -7.5Comment
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Brad M
FL -9.5
ARMY -24
WYO -16
ND -21
MEM +160
WMU -14
VT+255
SD STATE -10.5
COLORADO +7
CAL/ORE OVER 68Comment
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Marc Lawrence's Preferred Picks All Sports Service
Game 195 - Virginia Tech (+7.5)
Edges - Hokies: 21-6 SUATS home with conference revenge, including 7-0 ATS as a dog; and 14-3-1 ATS L18 games as a home dog, including 8-0 ATS versus an opponent off a win of 24 or more points; and head coach Justin Fuente is 6-1 ATS in his career as a dog with revenge against winning foes… Tigers: 3-7 ATS as road favorites of 10 or fewer points; and 4-9 ATS away in conference games versus avenging opponents… Finally, there are no less than three clinchers come from our well-oiled machine that reminds us 1) that conference dogs of 12 of fewer points off a non-conference shutout win in which they beat the spread by 8 or more points are 11-0 ATS since 1980 if they won 6 or more game games season and are facing an undefeated opponent. Plus, 2) undefeated road favorites that scored 30 or more points in its last game who allow more than 8 PPG in Game Five of the season are 0-11 ATS since 1980 if they are facing an undefeated opponent that won 11 or fewer games last season. And 3) defending CFB national champions are 0-6 ATS as road favorites since 1980 against undefeated opponents that are off a win of 30 or more points. With the Hokies playing with revenge from a loss to the Tigers in the ACC championship game last season,
Game 185 - Miami Ohio (+21)
Edges - RedHawks: 6-2 ATS as dog of 20 or more points under Chuck Martin; and 8-2 SU last 10 regular season games with the two losses by a combined total of 9 points… Fighting Irish: 5-25 ATS last 30 games as a double-digit favorite following a double-dig win, including 0-15 ATS at home versus opponents that allow 26 or fewer PPG; and 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS last six games after facing Michigan State… The clincher is the fact that the Irish are 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS since 1980 in games following a double-digit SUATS win against a Big Ten opponent in games in which Notre Dame allows more than 11 PPG on the season when facing a foe that allows less than 19 PPG… With Notre Dame off a 20-point win over the Spartans in which they were outgained by 141 yards in the contest, and the RedHawks a 17 returning starter team that lost by one-point to Mississippi State in a bowl game last seasonComment
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Joe Gavazzi
Northwestern at Wisconsin (-14-) Noon ET ABC
We have a near 50 point AFP solution with the Wildcats standing 1-2 ATS (-20 AFP) and Wisconsin 2-1 ATS (+27 AFP). The resulting (-47) net AFP has lifted this pointspread to over 2 touchdowns. While Wisconsin has Steamrolled to a 3-0 SU start allowing just 10 PPG, Northwestern has struggled out of the gate with a non-cover vs. Nevada and a shocking loss at Duke before righting the ship with a 49-7 trouncing of Bowling Green. That confidence-building win along with 2 weeks to prepare, will see the Wildcats bring their best as they begin Conference play with games against Wisconsin and Penn State in the next two weeks. Long time followers of Wildcat HC Fitzgerald know this is his best role with a recent record of 8-1 ATS as road dog and a longer term mark of 8-3 ATS as double digit road dog. Veteran play of QB Thorson and RB Jackson enough to keep the Wildcats competitive in this game which may replicate the 28 total points scored in last year’s contest.
Colorado at UCLA (-7) 10:30 PM ET ESPN2
Long time followers know I will choose the defensive dog almost every time against the offensive favorite. In that regard, the Bruins truly are a false favorite in this game. They are in the bottom 5 in both total defense as well as run defense. Witness what happened to them last week when our Game Day Selection of Stanford rolled overland 405-115 in a 58-34 win. UCLA, behind QB Rosen, passed the ball 60 times compared to only 15 runs. That’s a 20% run ratio that is rarely successful. Aside from the Buffs ability to control this game overland, they have QB Montez, who has stepped up ably this year for 70% completions. After being overwhelmed by Top 10 Washington last week, look for Colorado to bounce back on the road where they have gone 7-2 ATS recently.
California at Oregon (-14) 10:30 PM ET FS1
We cashed winning tickets for Game Day clients in contests involving each of these teams last week. Under 1st year HC Taggart, the Oregon mantra of scoring fast and often worked well against teams like South Utah, Nebraska, Wyoming, and Arizona State. Last week, they put up 35 but still lost to Arizona State by 2 in a game where the yardage favored the Sun Devils, 489-401. Further north, Cal was proving their mettle as a far improved defensive team under 1st year HC Wilcox. Despite committing 6 offensive turnovers, they still got the cover in a game where they outyarded the explosive Trojans, 416-356. If they can hold down USC, they will do so against Oregon. Big game for Wilcox who hails from Eugene!Comment
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PICKS 2 PLAY
Southern Miss -7.5Comment
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Vernon croy CFL
5-Unit Play. Take #623-624 Winnipeg/Edmonton GAME TOTAL OVER 60 (Saturday, September 30th at 9:30 PM ET)
Take Winnipeg/Edmonton GAME TOTAL OVER as my 4-Unit CFL Smash for Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top CFL systems and the O/U is 9-0 for the Bombers in their last 9 games when playing a team with a winning record. The O/U is 16-5 for the Bombers in their last 21 road games and the O/U is 5-1 for the Bombers in their last 6 games against a Divisional opponent. The Bombers have averaged 35.8 ppg on the road this season and the Eskimos have averaged 28.2 ppg at home this season. The Eskimos have allowed 32.7 ppg over their last 3 games and the Bombers have allowed 32.7 ppg on the road this season. I expect a lot of fireworks in this one Saturday night with two of the best offenses in the CFL going off. Play the Over.Comment
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Alan Harris
**8U CFB GOY SAT 8:00 PM**
VA TECH HOKIES +7 1/2Comment
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Lee Sterling Paramount Sports:
Northwestern 35 Units
Syracuse
Florida St
Northern Illinois
Oregon
Virginia Tech
HoustonComment
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ASA
9* Georgia -8
4* Miss St +8
3* Mich St -4, South Carolina +8Comment
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