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8-Unit Play. Take #269-270 NY Giants/Tampa Bay GAME TOTAL OVER 44.5 (Sunday, October 1st at 4:05 PM ET)
Take NY Giants/Tampa Bay GAME TOTAL OVER as my 8-Unit NFL Total of the Year. This pick falls into one of my top NFL systems and I have this game flying over the posted total Sunday. The Bucs just gave up 34 points to the Vikings who had averaged just 19 ppg over their first two games so the Giants will get a boost offensively Sunday against a Bucs defense that has injuries. The Giants do have the 8th most passing yards in the NFL, and they just put up 24 points on the road in Philadelphia. The Bucs have averaged 23 ppg this season, and I look for them to also get a boost with their offensive numbers at home Sunday. The Bucs have one of the best receiving corps in the NFL and the Giants secondary will have their hands full Sunday. Winston did pass for 328 yards against the Vikings while completing 70% of his passes, however he did throw 3 interceptions which will not happen at home Sunday. The O/U is 6-2 for the Bucs in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 passing yards in their previous game and the O/U is 5-0 for the Giants in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 rushing yards in their previous game. The Bucs ability to run the ball against this Giants defense will open up the Bucs passing game, and Manning will be able to put up big numbers against this Bucs secondary. I would not be shocked if we win this total by 14+ points like my previous two big NFL plays. Play the OVER as we move to 5-0 the last 5 weeks with my top football plays 7-Units or higher
11th: CORRECTION: Disregard last Release. Correct Release: 8u: 252 MIA+.5 1st Q. MIA+1.5 1st H. MIA+3gm. MIA U 10.5 1st Q. MIA U 28 1st H MIA U 50.5gm.
NFL 5% BIG TICKET PLAY ~ MONTH (5-0)
Game: (253) Carolina Panthers at (254) New England Patriots
Date/Time: Oct 1 2017 1:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 48.0 (-105)
View Analysis
Play is OVER the TOTAL OF 48 points (play is good to 50 points)
5% play rating
(253) Carolina Panthers at (254) New England Patriots
The Panthers defense, a unit that had experienced success in the first two weeks of the regular season, was exposed last week in a loss to the New Orleans Saints, in Carolina none the less. After allowing just three points per game versus San Francisco and Buffalo the Saints' Drew Brees had little issue slicing and dicing the Carolina secondary.
The Panther now have to travel to Gillette Stadium to face Tom Brady and the Patriots. The summer and preseason talk about one of the top ranked defensive units in 2016, the Pats, have also been soft to begin the 2017 campaign. New England was fortunate to win last week and has looked defensively vulnerable through a 2-1 start.
The Patriots are led by a 40-year old quarterback that isn't who he once was, period. The defense last season benefited from a soft schedule and career years from a number of their player personnel. This year the situation and a number of injuries has created a different unit and the coaching staff is forced to play softer in the secondary.
Carolina hadn't faced a capable offense until last week and they were soundly beaten. While the Panthers are averaging a mere 15 points per game that figures to improve against the Patriots stop-unit. Cam Newton’s inaccuracy has taken a hit with his recovering shoulder but he figures to be primed for this matchup in New England.
Expect the Bill Belichick staff to challenge Newton with a stacked box and press coverage. Additionally, expect Newton to beat the Pats on occasion with this game plan.
Brady and company figure to put the pedal to the medal after last week’s close encounter with the offensively challenged Houston Texans, who happened to push 33 points to the scoreboard. It is reasonable to expect Newton to be more in sync with his receivers after taking the most practice reps, this week, than he has in the first three weeks of September.
New England has gone OVER the TOTAL at a 7-0 clip in their last seven games
The OVER is 5-0 for Brady and company coming off a straight up win the previous week.
The Over is 8-2 in the Panthers last 10 games as a visitor against a team with a winning record.
TOTAL OVER 48 POINTS
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