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When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, October 2, 2017
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Preview: Redskins at Chiefs
Gracenote
Sep 29, 2017
The Washington Redskins vie for their second straight dominating prime-time performance against an AFC West opponent on Monday night when they face the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. The Redskins handed the Oakland Raiders their first loss of the season under the lights on Sunday night, forcing three turnovers and limiting Derek Carr. and Co. to just 128 total yards of offense in a 27-10 rout.
"There was some fundamental clinic tape in that game that I am very, very impressed with," Washington coach Jay Gruden said of his defense that limited the Raiders to 32 rushing yards and did not allow them to convert on third down last week (0-for-11). "Now the standards are set very high around here now. The ability to maintain it is going to be critical for us." That improved defense could have a tall task in corralling electrifying rookie Kareem Hunt, who stepped in for the injured Spencer Ware in the preseason and leads the NFL with 401 rushing yards. The third-round selection ran for 172 yards in a 24-10 win over the Los Angeles Chargers last week and is the first rookie since 1981 to record six touchdowns through his first three career games. Kansas City averages a league-leading 162.0 rushing yards, and its 397.3 yards of total offense is third-best in league.
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Chiefs -7. O/U: 49.5
ABOUT THE REDSKINS (2-1): Kirk Cousins threw for 365 yards and three touchdowns last week while boasting a 150.7 passer rating to earn NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors. Fresh off his best start of the season, Cousins could also see the returns of two key offensive cogs on Monday as tight end Jordan Reed (ribs, shoulder) and running back Rob Kelley (ribs) each have expressed confidence in getting back to action after a one-game absence. Their respective understudies did quite well in their stead, with veteran tight end Vernon Davis reeling in a touchdown pass and fourth-year back Chris Thompson amassing 188 all-purpose yards and a score in last week's rout. Washington's ground game could pay dividends against a Kansas City defense that is 21st in yards per carry (4.3) and 19th in rushing yards per game (111.7).
ABOUT THE CHIEFS (3-0): Kansas City has recorded at least one touchdown of more than 50 yards in an NFL-record nine straight regular-season games, with 11 scores in total coming in that stretch. "We've got big-play guys that can go, when given the opportunity. (They) can take it the distance," quarterback Alex Smith said. Second-year wide receiver Tyreek Hill (team-leading 16 receptions, 253 yards) was responsible for six of those touchdowns while Hunt has three. Tight end Travis Kelce, who has one of those scores, is looking to rebound after a one-reception, one-yard performance on the heels of making eight grabs for 103 yards and a touchdown the previous week.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Kansas City LB Justin Houston is third in the AFC with four sacks.
2. Washington LB Zach Brown's 33 tackles are second in the league, trailing only Jatavis Brown (36) of the Chargers.
3. The Chiefs are hosting their first Monday Night Football game since dominating New England 41-14 in 2014.
PREDICTION: Chiefs 27, Redskins 20 -
Trends - Washington at Kansas City
ATS Trends
Washington - Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Redskins are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Redskins are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Redskins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 4.
- Redskins are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- Redskins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
- Redskins are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Redskins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
- Redskins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
- Redskins are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Redskins are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Redskins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
OU TrendsKansas City - Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Chiefs are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Chiefs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Chiefs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.
- Chiefs are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Washington - Over is 6-0 in Redskins last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Redskins last 6 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 7-1 in Redskins last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
- Over is 14-2 in Redskins last 16 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Redskins last 6 Monday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Redskins last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Redskins last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 18-6 in Redskins last 24 games on grass.
- Over is 20-8 in Redskins last 28 games overall.
- Over is 5-2 in Redskins last 7 games in October.
- Under is 10-4-1 in Redskins last 15 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3 in Redskins last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Head to HeadKansas City - Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 games in October.
- Over is 9-2-1 in Chiefs last 12 games in Week 4.
- Under is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Chiefs last 9 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 8-3 in Chiefs last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 Monday games.
- Under is 14-6 in Chiefs last 20 games on grass.
- Under is 39-17 in Chiefs last 56 home games.
- Under is 9-4 in Chiefs last 13 games following a straight up win.
- Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Redskins are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Comment
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NFL
Long Sheet
Week 4
Monday, October 2
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WASHINGTON (2 - 1) at KANSAS CITY (3 - 0) - 10/2/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
Comment
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NFL
Week 4
Trend Report
Monday, October 2
9:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. KANSAS CITY
Washington8-3-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Kansas City is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Comment
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NFL
Dunkel
Week 4
Monday, October 2
Washington @ Kansas City
Game 279-280
October 2, 2017 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
134.236
Kansas City
145.864
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 11 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 6 1/2
49
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-6 1/2); OverComment
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NFL
Week 4
Monday's game
Redskins (2-1) @ Chiefs (3-0)— Washington outgained Raiders 472-128 last Sunday night; they are 8-6 in last 14 games as road underdog, 10-7 in game following its last 17 wins; over is 13-4 in Redskins’ last 17 road games. Chiefs are off to 3-0 start, they’re 14-17 as a home favorite under Reid; they’ve run ball for 162 yards/game so far, unusual for a Reid team. Thee of their last five TD drives were less than 45 yards. KC is +5 in turnovers their last two games. Skins allowed only 60.7 rushing yards/game so far this season. KC won last six series games; their last loss to Redskins was in 1983. Washington is 0-4 in Arrowhead, losing by 7-19-21-7 points. AFC West teams are 5-3 vs spread outside the division; NFC East teams are 3-3.
Comment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Century Downs - Race #5 - Post: 5:06pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 63
Rating: 4
#6 COTTON CANDY COOL (ML=6/1)
#4 SWANKY LASS (ML=7/2)
COTTON CANDY COOL - Although it's been awhile, this filly won at a higher class level and at today's distance. I think she could run back to that old form today. When Rycroft gives Walcott a leg up on any racer, you sense that with their winning pct you have at worst a fighting chance. Horse made up some ground down the stretch in the last race on August 26th at Northlands Park. That race is better than it looked. SWANKY LASS - Although it's been awhile, this filly won at a higher class level and at today's distance. I think she could run back to that old form today. This filly is in good physical condition. Ran third on September 2nd.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 YZITMYFAULT (ML=5/2), #2 VIVACISSIMA (ML=3/1), #3 PADESROYAL JANDAYA (ML=9/2),
YZITMYFAULT - Didn't show much run last out. Probably won't do much running in today's event. This filly notched a speed fig in her last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's event. VIVACISSIMA - While Equibase's speed ratings are strong, I would not seriously consider the high one from the September 15th in the mud. Some horses just run well on the off going. PADESROYAL JANDAYA - Usually I need a sprinter to have some success lately in short distance races in order to wager on her.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #6 COTTON CANDY COOL on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
SkipComment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
Finger Lakes - Race 3
EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 3-4-5) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 3-4)
Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 2:04P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 2, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Class. ONCE MORE FOR LOVE is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ONCE MORE FOR LOVE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TOWN KITTY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. ADONVDO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
4
ONCE MORE FOR LOVE
5/2
4/1
8
TOWN KITTY
3/1
9/2
1
ADONVDO
6/1
7/1Comment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Mountaineer Park - Race #4 - Post: 8:06pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 61
Rating: 4
#6 RASCALS RUNNING (ML=5/1)
RASCALS RUNNING - This horse could be tough this time, especially since Gonzalez rode in the last race and now should be plenty familiar with this one. When Gonzalez and Miller combine forces on equines the return on investment has been wonderful at +170.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 COCOS EDDY (ML=5/2), #5 THE WHEELMAN (ML=7/2), #1 MO SATIN (ML=9/2),
COCOS EDDY - This gelding hasn't had any recent favorable outcomes in short distance events. I find it hard to bet on him in this race. THE WHEELMAN - Couldn't close any ground at all on September 18th. Hard to play this time around at the expected odds. This horse doesn't have a tenacious state of mind. Always finishes close, but no cigar. Will be tough for this mount to beat this field off of that last fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list. MO SATIN - Hasn't been close to winning at all recently. This horse doesn't win here at Mountaineer Park. He needs some alternative venue to show his best. Based on the pace scenario in this contest, this horse doesn't fit in here. With a single front-runner and this equine having to race from behind, he sure has a tough assignment.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #6 RASCALS RUNNING on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
SkipComment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 89
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2017. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 BOSS MAN BOB 7/2
# 2 TROUBLED WATERS 9/2
# 4 ROCKINMEBABY 4/1
BOSS MAN BOB has a formidable shot to take this race. Shows evidence of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 81 speed fig which is one of the top in this group. Ran a sharp last race. TROUBLED WATERS - Has to be given consideration based on the very good speed rating earned in the last competition. Looks to have a quite good class edge based on the recent company kept. ROCKINMEBABY - Hogue is very serious with this one, wheeling him right back.Comment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21500 Class Rating: 74
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE AUGUST 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 GADWALL 8/5
# 4 MISS MAMACITA 6/1
# 3 ALEXIA 8/1
I think GADWALL is a formidable choice. Rivera has a win percentage of 15 over the last month. Looks respectable against this field and will probably be one of the front-runners. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group of horses in her last contest. MISS MAMACITA - Has been racing quite well and has among the top speed in the race for today's distance. A solid 84 avg class fig may give this filly a distinct class edge against this field. ALEXIA - Lake has her trained strongly to break sharply out of the gate. Lately Lake has provided wagerers with a competitive winning percentage with horses moving in dirt route races.Comment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown
Thistledown - Race 6
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
SO $12,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $16,700 • Post: 4:10P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2016 - 2017 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 2 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES) (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SOUTH TO THE SEA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FARLEYS MANDATE: Ho rse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. LEOMBRUNO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EKATI'S ICE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. CAN'T GET ENOUGH: Horse has run a Good Race within th e last 30 days.
4
SOUTH TO THE SEA
9/2
5/1
3
FARLEYS MANDATE
8/1
6/1
8
LEOMBRUNO
10/1
7/1
6
EKATI'S ICE
7/2
8/1
1
CAN'T GET ENOUGH
3/1
10/1Comment
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Handicapped by Valuline at Zia Park
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Zia Park, Race 6 (Monday October 2, 2017)
STORMIN THE JEWELS
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
ZIA-6 6f DIRT Eight Horses
"A" ALW 3YUP $34,500
P# ex p4 t s ML WP TVL
7 STORMIN THE JEWELS 6/5 42% 7/5 Strong Favorite icon
6 TEN PENNY CENTS 15/1 18% 9/2
3 FORGER 4/1 14% 6/1Comment
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Joey Juice
Monday night's comp play is the Redskins-Chiefs to hold Under the total.
Both of these teams feature very stingy defenses. We saw this with the Kansas City defense versus Philip Rivers and the San Diego offensive machine.
We also saw this with the Washington Redskins defense versus the red hot Oakland Raiders last week, giving up only 128 total yards on the entire day. They put Derek Carr in a chokehold and held him to less.then 120 passing yards.
Leading the defensive charge for the Redskins is Preston Smith. He made made one of four Redskin sacks vs the Raiders, and he has now made 3 sacks already so far this season.
This after only recording 4.5 total sacks last year. Add to that the fact that Alex Smith is not a big play quarterback and tends to try to control the clock with short passes, this game is an under.
2* WASHINGTON-KANSAS CITY UNDERComment
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