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GAME: Minnesota Twins (85-77) at New York Yankees (91-71)
DATE/TIME: Tuesday, October 03 - 8:00 PM EST
WHERE: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A Playoff Series: Wild Card Showdown; Series Tied 0-0
Preview: Twins at Yankees
Gracenote
Oct 2, 2017
The New York Yankees have traditionally dominated the Minnesota Twins in the postseason and hope to continue that trend when the teams meet Tuesday night in the American League Wild Card Game at Yankee Stadium. New York defeated Minnesota in the AL Division Series in 2003, 2004, 2009 and 2010, claiming 12 of 14 contests in that span.
This encounter will be the first taste of October for the Yankees' "Baby Bombers," putting MVP candidate Aaron Judge - who led the AL in homers (52) and walks (127) - on a big stage in the Bronx that has played host to many legends. "This is what it's all about," Judge told reporters Monday. "This is where a lot of those numbers that are hanging out there in left field (Monument Park), this is where they made a name for themselves, in the postseason." The Twins authored one of the great turnarounds in baseball history by going from 59 victories in 2016 to 85 this year, but must overcome the pressure of past postseason failures, having lost 12 straight playoff games and 19 of their last 21 dating to the 2002 ALCS. Ervin Santana, who is 0-5 with a 6.43 ERA in six career starts at Yankee Stadium, gets the start for Minnesota opposite New York ace Luis Severino.
TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN
PITCHING MATCHUP: Twins RH Ervin Santana (16-8, 3.28 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Severino (14-6, 2.98)
Santana tied Cleveland's Corey Kluber, the AL Cy Young Award favorite, for most shutouts (three) and complete games (five) in the AL in an All-Star campaign in which he posted the second-lowest ERA of his 13-year-career. The 34-year-old finished the regular season with three straight road starts, including a tough loss at Yankee Stadium on Sept. 18 in which he allowed two runs and seven hits in 5 2/3 innings. Judge went deep in that one against Santana, who owns a 5.66 ERA in 20 career starts versus New York -- his highest mark against an AL team.
Severino finished his breakout regular season by going 3-0 with a 2.10 ERA in five September starts, during which he allowed 15 hits and struck out 38 in 30 dominant innings. The one outlier in that stretch was a three-inning, three-run outing against Minnesota on Sept. 20, when the 23-year-old was pulled following a 46-pitch third inning. That was the only career meeting with the Twins for Severino, who was 8-5 with a 3.71 ERA at home this year.
WALK-OFFS
1. The winner plays Game 1 of the ALDS at Cleveland on Thursday night.
2. The Yankees have also won 11 straight season series over the Twins, posting a 55-23 head-to-head record in that span.
3. Twins DH Joe Mauer, one of the few Minnesota players with playoff experience, is 8-for-24 with a double and an RBI in six postseason games against New York.
PREDICTION: Yankees 5, Twins 4 -
Trends - Minnesota at NY Yankees
W/L Trends
Minnesota - Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Twins are 7-2 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
- Twins are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
- Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 games on grass.
- Twins are 9-4 in their last 13 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-21 in their last 26 playoff games.
- Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League East.
- Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 playoff road games.
- Twins are 5-0 in Santanas last 5 Tuesday starts.
- Twins are 4-1 in Santanas last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 7-2 in Santanas last 9 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 12-4 in Santanas last 16 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Twins are 5-2 in Santanas last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Twins are 9-20 in Santanas last 29 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Twins are 3-7 in Santanas last 10 starts vs. American League East.
OU TrendsNY Yankees - Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Yankees are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 home games.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 18-6 in their last 24 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 20-7 in their last 27 games following a loss.
- Yankees are 20-7 in their last 27 games on grass.
- Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 overall.
- Yankees are 7-3 in their last 10 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 13-6 in their last 19 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 games following an off day.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff home games.
- Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 playoff games.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severinos last 4 home starts.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Severinos last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Severinos last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 6-1 in Severinos last 7 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 5-1 in Severinos last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 13-3 in Severinos last 16 starts.
- Yankees are 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 12-3 in Severinos last 15 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 7-2 in Severinos last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 19-7 in Severinos last 26 starts on grass.
- Yankees are 3-10 in Severinos last 13 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 1-5 in Severinos last 6 Tuesday starts.
Minnesota - Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games following an off day.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Twins last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Twins last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Twins last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-2 in Twins last 8 playoff road games.
- Over is 5-2-1 in Twins last 8 road games.
- Under is 5-2 in Twins last 7 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Twins last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3 in Twins last 10 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 33-16-3 in Twins last 52 games following a win.
- Under is 13-3-1 in Santanas last 17 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Santanas last 16 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 16-4 in Santanas last 20 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 12-4-1 in Santanas last 17 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-2 in Santanas last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 14-6 in Santanas last 20 road starts.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Santanas last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 15-7-3 in Santanas last 25 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 15-7-1 in Santanas last 23 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 31-15-2 in Santanas last 48 starts on grass.
Head to HeadNY Yankees - Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 playoff home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 playoff games.
- Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 9-3 in Yankees last 12 Tuesday games.
- Over is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 20-8-1 in Yankees last 29 games following a loss.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 games following an off day.
- Over is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Severinos last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-0 in Severinos last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
- Over is 8-1 in Severinos last 9 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Over is 7-1 in Severinos last 8 home starts.
- Over is 6-1 in Severinos last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 6-1 in Severinos last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 10-2 in Severinos last 12 starts on grass.
- Over is 10-2 in Severinos last 12 starts overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Severinos last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Severinos last 5 Tuesday starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Severinos last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 7-3-1 in Severinos last 11 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Umpire Trends - Name unavailable- Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York.
- Twins are 17-50 in the last 67 meetings.
- Twins are 14-42 in the last 56 meetings in New York.
No trends available.Comment
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Minnesota/NY Yankees over 7'Comment
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Golden Dragon Sports
Free Pick
MLB Tuesday NY Yankees Severino -230Comment
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American League Wild Card playoff preview and odds: Twins at Yankees
Oct 2, 2017 |
American League Wild Card playoff preview and odds: Twins at Yankees
The Yankees have won 11 straight season series over the Twins, posting a 55-23 head-to-head record in that span.
Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees (A: +220, H: -250, Total: 7.5)
The New York Yankees have traditionally dominated the Minnesota Twins in the postseason and hope to continue that trend when the teams meet Tuesday night in the American League Wild Card Game at Yankee Stadium. New York defeated Minnesota in the AL Division Series in 2003, 2004, 2009 and 2010, claiming 12 of 14 contests in that span.
This encounter will be the first taste of October for the Yankees' "Baby Bombers," putting MVP candidate Aaron Judge - who led the AL in homers (52) and walks (127) - on a big stage in the Bronx that has played host to many legends. "This is what it's all about," Judge told reporters Monday. "This is where a lot of those numbers that are hanging out there in left field (Monument Park), this is where they made a name for themselves, in the postseason." The Twins authored one of the great turnarounds in baseball history by going from 59 wins in 2016 to 85 this season, but they must overcome the pressure of past postseason failures, having lost 12 straight playoff games and 19 of their last 21 dating to the 2002 ALCS. Ervin Santana, who is 0-5 with a 6.43 ERA in six career starts at Yankee Stadium, gets the start for Minnesota opposite New York ace Luis Severino.
TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN
INJURY REPORT:
Twins - RP J.T. Chargois (Out For Season, Elbow), SP Hector Santiago (Out For Season, Back), SP Phil Hughes (Out For Season, Shoulder), RP Trevor May (Out For Season, Elbow), RP Ryan O’Rourke (Out For Season, Elbow).
Yankees - SP Luis Cessa (Out For Season, Ribs), SP Michael Pineda (Out For Season, Elbow).
PITCHING MATCHUP: Ervin Santana, Minnesota Twins (16-8, 3.28 ERA, $ 407) vs. Luis Severino, New York Yankees (14-6, 2.98 ERA, $495)
Santana led the AL in shutouts (three) and complete games (five) in an All-Star campaign in which he posted the second-lowest ERA of his 13-year-career. The 34-year-old finished the regular season with three straight road starts, including a tough loss at Yankee Stadium in which he allowed two runs and seven hits in 5 2/3 innings. Judge went deep in that one against Santana, who owns a 5.66 ERA in 20 career starts versus New York, his highest mark against an AL team.
Severino finished his breakout regular season by going 3-0 with a 2.10 ERA in five September starts, during which he allowed 15 hits and struck out 38 in 30 dominant innings. The one outlier in that stretch was a three-inning, three-run outing against Minnesota on Sept. 20, when the 23-year-old was pulled following a 46-pitch third inning. That was the only career meeting with the Twins for Severino, who was 8-5 with a 3.71 ERA at home this year.
TRENDS:
* Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 playoff road games.
* Yankees are 13-3 in their last 16 home games.
* Yankees are 13-3 in Luis Severino’s last 16 starts.
* Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 playoff games.
* Under is 7-1 in Yankees last 8 playoff home games.
* Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
COVERS CONSENSUS: The Covers public is siding with the home chalk Bombers at a rate of 68 percent and the Over is picking up 55 percent of the totals action on Covers. View full consensus data here.Comment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie
Fort Erie - Race 1
WPS, Exactor, Triactor, 20 Cent Superfecta, 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Daily Double
Claiming $3,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $9,240 • Post: 1:20P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 3 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000 (LIMITED TO 10 STARTERS). IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN ON THE TURF, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF FIVE FURLONGS ON THE MAIN TRACK.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Stalker. STARLIGHT ANGEL is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GAELIC REBELLION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. EARLY RINGALING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. STARLIGHT ANGEL: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks i n the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DOUBLE EX'S: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6
GAELIC REBELLION
7/5
4/1
4
EARLY RINGALING
8/1
6/1
1
STARLIGHT ANGEL
9/5
7/1
2
DOUBLE EX'S
12/1
8/1Comment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 64
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 1 CHICA ZOOM 3/1
# 4 FLORIA TOSCA 8/1
# 6 SISTERS FOR EVER 7/2
I think CHICA ZOOM is a very good choice. Could provide positive gains based on solid recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 58. The speed rating of 55 from her last contest looks solid in here. Has performed well recently in route races, posting a nifty 58 avg speed rating. FLORIA TOSCA - Has raced very well in dirt route races. This animal ought to be wagered on at the expected big odds. SISTERS FOR EVER - Have to wager on this filly with the sound earnings per start in dirt route races. Has been travelling in the most competitive company of the group lately.Comment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Mountaineer Park - Race #6 - Post: 8:50pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,100 Class Rating: 61
Rating: 4
#6 BILLY JOE (ML=8/1)
#2 SPINNING PEGASUS (ML=5/1)
BILLY JOE - You'll be making money right and left by turning your bankroll onto this jockey/handler combination. SPINNING PEGASUS - You'll be generating profits left and right by turning your gambling cash onto this jockey/handler combination. Gets help from Martin with the addition of Lasix.
Vulnerable Contenders: #9 BALIZAR (ML=5/2), #5 PAR PLAY (ML=5/1), #1 DUDE COWBOY (ML=6/1),
BALIZAR - Not likely that the speed figure he garnered on September 20th will be enough in this affair. PAR PLAY - Almost certainly won't make much of a mark in today's event. DUDE COWBOY - Unlikely that this horse will finish better than he did last time out of the box when finishing fourth.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #6 BILLY JOE to win if we can get at least 9/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
SkipComment
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 79
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 3 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 LIAM'S PRINCE 5/2
# 7 C THE KING 7/2
# 8 ARCH OF HONOR 12/1
I think LIAM'S PRINCE is a quite good choice. Shows solid speed figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this field. Ought to come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved quickly to the front end recently. Recorded a very strong speed figure last time out. C THE KING - Has put up strong Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past.Comment
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Portland Meadows
Portland Meadows - Race 1
Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 1-2) NO SHOW WAGERING
Claiming $2,500 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 12:00
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED AT A 2017 OREGON FAIR MEET. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * I B TANNER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BRUTALLY HANDSOME: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. I'LBEAMONKEYSUNCLE: Today is a spri nt and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
4
I B TANNER
7/2
5/2
2
BRUTALLY HANDSOME
9/2
6/1
3
I'LBEAMONKEYSUNCLE
3/1
7/1Comment
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Parx Racing - Race #8 - Post: 4:04pm - Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $41,000 Class Rating: 101
Rating: 4
#6 FUNDY'S TIDE (ML=8/1)
#2 LARCO MAR (ML=3/1)
FUNDY'S TIDE - This gelding likes to be near the lead. Today's event is a shorter distance and should enhance his winning probability. You have to consider the solid works of late. LARCO MAR - This gelding's last speed rating is good enough to win here, I'll play him right back this time.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MIDTOWNCHARLYBROWN (ML=2/1), #7 GRAVES ISLAND (ML=5/1), #4 COWBOY MZ (ML=6/1),
MIDTOWNCHARLYBROWN - This chalk horse hasn't been to the track in awhile. No drills since last race. The fourth place finish position in the last race was not the greatest. The fig last time out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this racer as a questionable contender. GRAVES ISLAND - Finished fourth last time out of the box. Would have to improve to land in the top three in today's race. COWBOY MZ - Doubtful that this horse will finish better than he did last time out of the box when finishing seventh. Somewhat easily forgotten speed figure last time out at Parx Racing at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this mount will improve too much in today's event.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 FUNDY'S TIDE is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
SkipComment
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Handicapped by Valuline at Thistledown
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Thistledown, Race 3 (Tuesday October 3, 2017)
SPRINKLE TIME
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
TDN-3 6f DIRT Six Horses
"A" ALW F/M 3YUP $34,200
P# ex p3 p6 t s ML WP TVL
2 SPRINKLE TIME 9/5 36% 9/5 Strong Favorite icon
5 BLANCONIA 3/1 29% 5/2
3 OHIO SILVER 4/1 18% 9/2Comment
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Tommy Brunson
Tonight's free play is to stay Under in the Twins-Yankees game.
Both teams feature a ton of youngsters going through their very first postseason experience, and both teams are facing quality pitching any way you slice it.
Minnesota starter Ervin Santana finished the regular season with 16-wins, and is among the league leaders in ERA, New York starter Luis Severino finished with 14-wins and is also among the league leaders in ERA.
The Yankees bullpen has been lights-out down the stretch, and I am sure manager Joe Girardi will not hesitate to use that bullpen as early as the third inning if he needs to!
Just too many good arms out there tonight, and I will play this Minnesota-New York Wild Card battle to hold Under this low American League total.
2* MINNESOTA-N.Y. YANKEES UNDERComment
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: CFB Toledo -13½ Over Eastern Michigan SaturdayComment
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