Sunday 10-8-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Belterra Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 71

Rating: 4

#6 BIG BOB KENNEDY (ML=7/2)


BIG BOB KENNEDY - I think the shorter trip will help this colt stay the trip.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 HEART SHAPED BOX (ML=2/1), #8 VALID BLUE (ML=9/2), #4 MIZZING FRAZIER (ML=5/1),

HEART SHAPED BOX - The Brain tells me to keep away from ponies in sprint contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance events lately. That was simply not a very good display in the last clash. VALID BLUE - Speed kills. Plenty of zip in this race compromises this horse's dreams at winning. MIZZING FRAZIER - This animal doesn't have a winning temperament. Habitually finishes near the winner. This entrant hasn't been close at the finish line of late.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #6 BIG BOB KENNEDY to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #7 - Post: 4:37pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 89

Rating: 4

#4 DREAMY MARTINI (ML=8/1)
#2 LIL'S FAST BOY (ML=4/1)


DREAMY MARTINI - Biancone brings this gelding back into a race rather than a workout. He knows his gelding is on top of his game. Santana comes to ride again after getting to know the gelding in the last race. No needing to look any further. This horse has my money. Way too much pace. This gelding is in fine condition, having run a nice race on Sep 30th, finishing third. LIL'S FAST BOY - When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after his last outing, it generally means he's fit. Taking a trip down the ladder based on class; has the class ability to make his presence felt. This thoroughbred collects a lot of dough per race around the track. I believe he can increase that total right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 GADSBY TAVERN (ML=5/2), #6 QUENANE (ML=3/1), #1 FUELEDBYDRAMA (ML=6/1),

GADSBY TAVERN - This gelding hasn't had any recent good fortune in short distance races. No picnic to bet on him in this race. QUENANE - Difficult to bet on this steed this time. Make him show you something in a short distance race before you play him in a race of 7 furlongs. FUELEDBYDRAMA - Only beat maiden claimers last race out. It's going to be very tough for this mount to repeat versus winners. Recorded a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig last time out in a $10,000 Maiden Claiming race on Sep 20th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that rating.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - DREAMY MARTINI - Has been racing regularly since a layoff. Based on my data, horses hit their peak cycle in their 3rd or 4th race back. Watch out for this horse in this race.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 DREAMY MARTINI to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4] with [2,4] with [1,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $10

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,4] with [2,4] with [3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $24

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
[2,4] with [2,4] with [1,3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6] with [1,3,5,6] Total Cost: $48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Stakes - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 96

BALLERINA S. - GRADE 3 FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $200 TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION BY SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 30, 2017, WITH $1,500 TO ENTER AND $2,000 TO START. A SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION FEE OF $5,000 WILL BE ACCEPTED AT THE TIME OF ENTRY IN ADDITION TO THE RACES NOMINATION, ENTRY AND START FEES. 100% OF ALL SUPPLEMENTAL MONIES WILL BE


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 SHE'S A WARRIOR 9/5

# 2 CITIZEN KITTY 5/2

# 7 VICTRESS 9/2

SHE'S A WARRIOR has a competitive shot to take this race. The average class rating of 90 makes this entrant tough to beat. Has recorded reliable speed figures in dirt route races in the past. Gutierrez has an excellent return on investment over the past 30 days (+13) which should help players with this choice. CITIZEN KITTY - Has to be considered against this group displaying strong figures recently and an average speed rating of 95 under similar conditions. This conditioner has the most favorable ROI in this field with entries running at this distance and surface. VICTRESS - Could provide positive dividends based on strong recent speed figures with an average of 88.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 1

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Place Pick All Starts Here/Superfecta (.10 cent minimum) $1 Early Double / $1 Pick Four


Claiming $2,500 • 4 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $8,500 • Post: 5:15P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500 (MAIDEN RACES AND RACES FOR $2,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * CARULLI: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than t he Class Rating of its last race. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey win percentage over the last 30 days is at least 18. SACRIFICIAL ACTION: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6
CARULLI
3/1

5/2
2
SACRIFICIAL ACTION
5/1

7/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 1

First Half $2 Early Daily Double (Races 1 &2) $2 Trifecta $2 Exacta $1 Trifecta Box $1 Exacta Box ($.50) Superfecta


Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $9,100 • Post: 7:00P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. (IF NECESSARY WILL BE RUN SAME DISTANCE MAIN TRACK.).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. BEAR'S CONDUCTOR is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BEAR'S CONDUCTOR: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BEBOPALEON: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ROBIE THE C AT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NORTHERN MERIT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. FORCED MOTION: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
6
BEAR'S CONDUCTOR
3/1

9/2
9
BEBOPALEON
6/1

6/1
1
ROBIE THE CAT
6/1

8/1
8
NORTHERN MERIT
8/1

9/1
2
FORCED MOTION
6/1

9/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $8900 Class Rating: 66

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 EURAPOLLITICAL GIRL 5/2

# 9 ONE CHORD SONG 6/1

# 1 COTTON CLANCE 8/1

EURAPOLLITICAL GIRL has a respectable shot to take this race. Her 53 average has this filly with among the most favorable speed figures in this race. Could beat this group of horses given the 56 Equibase speed fig garnered in her last outing. A solid 77 avg class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge against this group. ONE CHORD SONG - This racer has to be played at the expected high odds. Seems to have a strong class edge based on the latest company kept. COTTON CLANCE - Will more than likely be one of the early speedsters of the bunch going into the midpoint of the race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Houston Astros (103-61) at Boston Red Sox (93-71)
DATE/TIME: Sunday, October 08 - 2:30 PM EST
WHERE: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Playoff Series:

Divisional Playoff; Houston leads 2-0

Preview: Astros at Red Sox

Gracenote
Oct 7, 2017

The Boston Red Sox have not won a postseason contest since the clinching game of the 2013 World Series and are in danger of being swept out of the American League Division Series for the second straight October. The Red Sox will try to begin a climb out of a 2-0 hole in the best-of-five series when they host the Houston Astros in Game 3 on Sunday.

Boston finished second in the AL with a 3.70 ERA this regular season but surrendered eight runs in each of the first two ALDS games in Houston as starters Chris Sale and Drew Pomeranz combined to allowed 11 runs in seven innings and serve up five home runs. "These guys are all coming out swinging and swinging at a lot of stuff, being very aggressive, and every time we've made a mistake, they've made us pay for it," Pomeranz told reporters. The Astros, who will send Brad Peacock to the mound Sunday against the Red Sox's Doug Fister, led the majors with 896 runs scored in the regular season and every spot in the lineup provided at least one hit over the course of the first two games. "We have a number of guys that have contributed," Houston manager A.J. Hinch told reporters. "So obviously you're seeing what's possible when we link things together and the hitters start to feed off of one another. We have a lot of guys that are putting up really good at-bats."

TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Brad Peacock (13-2, 3.00 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Doug Fister (5-9, 4.88)

Peacock gets the Game 3 start largely because of his consistency after he held his last seven opponents to two or fewer earned runs. The 29-year-old, who began the season in the bullpen, did not yield more than five hits in any of his five starts in September and earned the win in each of the last three. Peacock started at Fenway Park on Sep. 28 and held Boston to two runs on four hits and a walk in five frames.

Fister was chosen over Eduardo Rodriguez and reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Rick Porcello despite going 0-2 with a 9.18 ERA over his last four starts. The California native, who was signed by the Red Sox as a free agent in June, enjoyed a four-start stretch from Aug. 22 through Sep. 6 in which he allowed a total of five runs in 30 innings. Fister suffered a home loss to the Astros on Sep. 29 and is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA in nine career postseason games (eight starts).

WALK-OFFS

1. Red Sox RF Mookie Betts aggravated a wrist injury Friday and is day-to-day.

2. Houston 2B Jose Altuve is 5-for-7 with three homers, four RBIs and five runs scored in the series.

3. Boston finished last in the AL with 168 home runs in the regular season and has yet to go deep in the playoffs.

PREDICTION: Astros 6, Red Sox 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Houston at Boston

W/L TRENDS

Houston

Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 road games. Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East. Astros are 14-3 in their last 17 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day. Astros are 18-5 in their last 23 games following a win. Astros are 24-8 in their last 32 overall. Astros are 24-8 in their last 32 games on grass. Astros are 20-8 in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 44-18 in their last 62 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 39-17 in their last 56 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 35-16 in their last 51 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Astros are 80-37 in their last 117 games vs. a right-handed starter. Astros are 7-0 in Peacocks last 7 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 5-1 in Peacocks last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 4-1 in Peacocks last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 4-1 in Peacocks last 5 starts. Astros are 4-1 in Peacocks last 5 starts on grass. Astros are 18-5 in Peacocks last 23 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 12-4 in Peacocks last 16 road starts. Astros are 5-2 in Peacocks last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 3-9 in Peacocks last 12 starts during game 3 of a series. Astros are 1-4 in Peacocks last 5 starts with 9 or more days of rest.

Boston

Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day. Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 Divisional Playoff home games. Red Sox are 19-9 in their last 28 playoff home games. Red Sox are 29-14 in their last 43 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. American League West. Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 overall. Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 games on grass. Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 Sunday games. Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 playoff games. Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games. Red Sox are 1-4 in Fisters last 5 home starts. Red Sox are 0-4 in Fisters last 4 starts vs. American League West.

OU TRENDS

Houston

Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 playoff games. Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 games following a win. Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 Divisional Playoff road games. Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 8-2 in Astros last 10 on grass. Under is 8-2 in Astros last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 8-2 in Astros last 10 overall. Over is 10-3 in Astros last 13 games following an off day. Over is 16-5 in Astros last 21 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 27-9-2 in Astros last 38 Sunday games. Over is 19-7-1 in Astros last 27 vs. American League East. Over is 10-4 in Astros last 14 road games. Over is 10-4 in Astros last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 41-19-4 in Astros last 64 during game 3 of a series. Over is 5-0 in Peacocks last 5 starts vs. American League East. Under is 5-1 in Peacocks last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. Under is 4-1 in Peacocks last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Peacocks last 5 road starts. Over is 4-1 in Peacocks last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in Peacocks last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 11-3 in Peacocks last 14 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Peacocks last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Boston

Over is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 games following a loss. Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games following an off day. Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 13-3 in Red Sox last 16 Sunday games. Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 on grass. Over is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 overall. Over is 8-3-2 in Red Sox last 13 playoff home games. Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 home games. Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 20-8 in Red Sox last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 35-14-2 in Red Sox last 51 during game 3 of a series. Under is 28-12-2 in Red Sox last 42 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 7-3 in Red Sox last 10 Divisional Playoff games. Under is 4-0 in Fisters last 4 Sunday starts. Under is 5-0 in Fisters last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. Under is 6-0-1 in Fisters last 7 home starts. Under is 4-0 in Fisters last 4 starts vs. American League West. Under is 6-1 in Fisters last 7 starts on grass. Under is 6-1 in Fisters last 7 starts overall. Under is 5-1 in Fisters last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 3-1-1 in Fisters last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-2 in Fisters last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Over is 4-0 in Peacocks last 4 starts vs. Red Sox. Astros are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Boston. Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings. Astros are 7-15 in the last 22 meetings in Boston.

UMPIRE TRENDS - TED BARRETT

Over is 4-0 in Barretts last 4 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Boston. Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 Sunday games with Barrett behind home plate. Over is 5-1 in Barretts last 6 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Houston. Home team is 4-1 in Barretts last 5 Sunday games behind home plate vs. Boston. Under is 15-5-3 in Barretts last 23 games behind home plate. Home team is 20-7 in Barretts last 27 games behind home plate vs. Boston. Home team is 5-2 in Barretts last 7 Sunday games behind home plate. Road team is 5-2 in Barretts last 7 games behind home plate. Over is 9-4 in Barretts last 13 games behind home plate vs. Boston.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Cleveland Indians (104-60) at New York Yankees (92-73)
DATE/TIME: Sunday, October 08 - 7:30 PM EST
WHERE: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Playoff Series:

Divisional Playoff; Cleveland leads 2-0

Preview: Indians at Yankees

Gracenote
Oct 7, 2017

The Cleveland Indians won 33 of their final 37 games in the regular season and are 2-0 in the playoffs following a 13-inning Game 2 triumph in which they recorded the largest comeback in postseason franchise history. The Indians will go for a sweep in the best-of-five American League Division Series when they visit the New York Yankees for Game 3 on Sunday.

Cleveland rallied from an 8-3 deficit on the strength of a grand slam by Francisco Lindor and a solo shot from Jay Bruce before Yan Gomes drove in the walk-off run in the 13th. "That was what you call October baseball right there," Gomes told reporters. "We've had tremendous comebacks. That's probably one of the top ones we've had all year. Going up 2-0 against the Yankees into New York, it's a good feeling right now." Yankees manager Joe Girardi found himself answering questions about his decision not to challenge a hit-by-pitch call that preceded Lindor's blast and his decision to pull starter CC Sabathia in the sixth inning after 77 pitches. "There was nothing that told us that he was not hit on the pitch," Girardi, who will start Masahiro Tanaka on Sunday against Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco, told reporters. "By the time we got the super slow-mo, we are beyond a minute. It was way too late. They tell us we have the 30 seconds. They will take longer in replay."

TV: 7:38 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (18-6, 3.29 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (13-12, 4.74)

Carrasco has not lost since Aug. 22 and finished out the regular season by allowing one or zero runs in six of his final seven turns. The Venezuela native saved his best for last while striking out 14 over 8 1/3 scoreless innings against the Minnesota Twins. Carrasco, who is making his postseason debut after sitting out last October with a broken hand, endured one of his few rough outings during the regular season against New York on Aug. 6, when he was reached for five runs in 5 2/3 innings and suffered a loss.

Tanaka saved his best for last as well and earned a spot in the postseason rotation by striking out 15 without a walk and yielding three hits in seven scoreless innings against Toronto on Sep. 29. The Japan native allowed seven earned runs in two of his three previous starts but finished the regular season with a career-high 194 strikeouts. Tanaka lost his only previous postseason start in the 2015 wild-card game against Houston and is 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA in four career starts against Cleveland.

WALK-OFFS

1. Indians DH Edwin Encarnacion left Game 2 with a sprained ankle and will continue to be evaluated.

2. New York RF and MVP candidate Aaron Judge is 0-for-7 with five strikeouts in the series.

3. Cleveland LF Michael Brantley (ankle) came on in place of Encarnacion Friday and could play the field in Game 3

PREDICTION: Indians 5, Yankees 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Cleveland at NY Yankees

W/L TRENDS

Cleveland

Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff games. Indians are 11-0 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series. Indians are 6-0 in their last 6 Sunday games. Indians are 8-1 in their last 9 games following an off day. Indians are 44-8 in their last 52 overall. Indians are 10-2 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Indians are 42-9 in their last 51 games on grass. Indians are 45-10 in their last 55 games following a win. Indians are 42-12 in their last 54 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 16-5 in their last 21 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 40-13 in their last 53 games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 21-7 in their last 28 vs. American League East. Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff road games. Indians are 36-15 in their last 51 road games. Indians are 12-5 in their last 17 playoff games. Indians are 37-16 in their last 53 vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 40-18 in their last 58 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Indians are 35-17 in their last 52 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 5-0 in Carrascos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Indians are 4-0 in Carrascos last 4 starts during game 3 of a series. Indians are 7-1 in Carrascos last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 4-1 in Carrascos last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 23-6 in Carrascos last 29 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 7-2 in Carrascos last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 27-11 in Carrascos last 38 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Indians are 40-17 in Carrascos last 57 starts. Indians are 36-16 in Carrascos last 52 road starts. Indians are 9-4 in Carrascos last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Indians are 36-17 in Carrascos last 53 starts on grass. Indians are 1-9 in Carrascos last 10 starts with 9 or more days of rest.

NY Yankees

Yankees are 9-0 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 14-3 in their last 17 home games. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 16-6 in their last 22 games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 21-8 in their last 29 games following a loss. Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. American League Central. Yankees are 20-8 in their last 28 games on grass. Yankees are 38-17 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Yankees are 17-8 in their last 25 overall. Yankees are 87-42 in their last 129 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Yankees are 39-19 in their last 58 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Yankees are 4-9 in their last 13 games following an off day. Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff games. Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Yankees are 4-0 in Tanakas last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 5-0 in Tanakas last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Yankees are 9-1 in Tanakas last 10 starts vs. American League Central. Yankees are 10-3 in Tanakas last 13 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Yankees are 6-2 in Tanakas last 8 starts. Yankees are 38-16 in Tanakas last 54 home starts. Yankees are 35-17 in Tanakas last 52 starts on grass. Yankees are 1-4 in Tanakas last 5 Sunday starts.

OU TRENDS

Cleveland

Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 Sunday games. Under is 4-0 in Indians last 4 during game 3 of a series. Under is 6-1 in Indians last 7 playoff road games. Under is 6-1-1 in Indians last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. American League East. Under is 3-1-1 in Indians last 5 Divisional Playoff road games. Under is 12-4 in Indians last 16 playoff games. Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 on grass. Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 overall. Under is 35-14-3 in Indians last 52 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Indians last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 14-6 in Indians last 20 games following a win. Under is 39-18-7 in Indians last 64 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 51-24-5 in Indians last 80 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 10-0 in Carrascos last 10 starts with 9 or more days of rest. Over is 5-1 in Carrascos last 6 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 10-3 in Carrascos last 13 starts on grass. Under is 9-3 in Carrascos last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 14-5 in Carrascos last 19 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Carrascos last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Over is 10-4 in Carrascos last 14 starts overall. Over is 5-2 in Carrascos last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 19-8 in Carrascos last 27 road starts.

NY Yankees

Under is 5-0 in Yankees last 5 Divisional Playoff home games. Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Sunday games. Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Divisional Playoff games. Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 vs. American League Central. Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 during game 3 of a series. Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 playoff home games. Over is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Over is 19-6-2 in Yankees last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Under is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 home games. Under is 13-6 in Yankees last 19 games following a loss. Under is 5-1 in Tanakas last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Tanakas last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Under is 4-1-1 in Tanakas last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 12-3 in Tanakas last 15 starts vs. American League Central. Over is 6-2 in Tanakas last 8 starts overall. Under is 6-2-1 in Tanakas last 9 home starts.

HEAD TO HEAD

Indians are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Indians are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in New York. Over is 4-1 in Carrascos last 5 starts vs. Yankees.

UMPIRE TRENDS - DANA DEMUTH

Under is 5-0 in DeMuths last 5 Sunday games behind home plate. Under is 4-0-1 in DeMuths last 5 games behind home plate. Road team is 5-0 in DeMuths last 5 games behind home plate vs. New York. Road team is 5-1 in DeMuths last 6 Sunday games behind home plate. Under is 5-1-1 in DeMuths last 7 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland. Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games with DeMuth behind home plate. Home team is 16-5 in DeMuths last 21 games behind home plate. Home team is 10-4 in DeMuths last 14 games behind home plate vs. Cleveland.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When:

7:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 8, 2017

Where:

Madison Square Garden, New York, New York

Preview: Canadiens at Rangers

Gracenote
Oct 8, 2017

Two teams in need of strong goaltending and defensive performances face off Sunday as the Montreal Canadiens conclude their season-opening three-game road trip against the New York Rangers. Both clubs were on the wrong end of lopsided affairs on Saturday, leaving New York still in search of its first victory of the campaign.

The Rangers put on the better showing despite surrendering eight goals in their loss at Toronto, as they rallied from a 5-1 deficit to forge a tie before yielding three tallies in the third period. New York has given up 12 goals in losing its first two games of 2017-18, with Henrik Lundqvist being victimized for eight - including five in the opening period on Saturday. Like Lundqvist, Carey Price lasted only 20 minutes as he surrendered four goals - three to Alex Ovechkin, who finished with four - on 14 shots in Montreal's 6-1 setback at Washington. The Canadiens also could afford to rev it up offensively, as they've scored a total of three goals while splitting their first two contests this season.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NHL Network, Sportsnet One, RDS (Montreal), MSG Plus (New York)

ABOUT THE CANADIENS (1-1-0): Montreal, which plays six of its first eight games of the campaign on the road, outshot Washington 32-9 over the final two periods on Saturday but was outscored 2-1. Brendan Gallagher netted the team's lone goal, giving him a team-leading two points on the season. The Canadiens have scored a short-handed goal in each of their first two contests, with Phillip Danault tallying while down a skater in the season-opening victory at Buffalo.

ABOUT THE RANGERS (0-2-0): Linemates Chris Kreider, Mika Zibanejad and Pavel Buchnevich have combined for three goals and three assists over the first two games of the season. Zibanejad has scored all three of the goals, each of which has been recorded on the power play. Mats Zuccarello also is off to a strong start to 2017-18, registering a four-point performance in Toronto to give him a goal and four assists overall.

OVERTIME

1. Rangers D Kevin Shattenkirk notched a goal and an assist Saturday, with the tally being his 300th career point.

2. New York is in the midst of a stretch during which it plays nine of its first 11 games of the season at home.

3. This is the first of two meetings between the teams this month, with Montreal serving as host on Oct. 28.

PREDICTION: Rangers 4, Canadiens 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Montreal at NY Rangers

W/L TRENDS

Montreal

Canadiens are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Canadiens are 11-1 in their last 12 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Canadiens are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Canadiens are 12-5 in their last 17 road games. Canadiens are 4-10 in their last 14 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Canadiens are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Canadiens are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Canadiens are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Canadiens are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. Metropolitan.

NY Rangers

Rangers are 15-4 in their last 19 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Rangers are 8-3 in their last 11 Sunday games. Rangers are 12-5 in their last 17 games playing on 0 days rest. Rangers are 26-12 in their last 38 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Rangers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Atlantic. Rangers are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Rangers are 3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Rangers are 1-7 in their last 8 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.

OU TRENDS

Montreal

Over is 3-0-1 in Canadiens last 4 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 3-0-2 in Canadiens last 5 Sunday games. Under is 4-0 in Canadiens last 4 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Under is 7-0-1 in Canadiens last 8 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Under is 3-0-1 in Canadiens last 4 following a loss of 3 or more goals. Under is 11-3-4 in Canadiens last 18 vs. Metropolitan. Under is 13-4-4 in Canadiens last 21 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game. Over is 6-2-3 in Canadiens last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Under is 20-7-7 in Canadiens last 34 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 19-7-7 in Canadiens last 33 overall. Under is 16-6-4 in Canadiens last 26 road games. Under is 10-4-5 in Canadiens last 19 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 38-16-14 in Canadiens last 68 games playing on 0 days rest. Under is 29-14-8 in Canadiens last 51 vs. a team with a losing record.

NY Rangers

Over is 5-0-2 in Rangers last 7 overall. Over is 2-0-2 in Rangers last 4 home games. Over is 4-0-2 in Rangers last 6 vs. Atlantic. Over is 4-0-2 in Rangers last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 3-1-2 in Rangers last 6 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 14-5-4 in Rangers last 23 following a loss of 3 or more goals. Over is 19-7-3 in Rangers last 29 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Over is 33-13-6 in Rangers last 52 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Over is 10-4-1 in Rangers last 15 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Under is 20-7-6 in the last 33 meetings in New York. Under is 17-6-7 in the last 30 meetings. Canadiens are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in New York.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday's MLB Division Series Betting Preview and Odds

The National League Division series takes a break today and the titans of the American League East both find themselves returning home trying to avoid being swept.

Houston Astros at Boston Red Sox (+120, 9.5)

Astros lead series 2-0

The Boston Red Sox have not won a postseason contest since the clinching game of the 2013 World Series and are in danger of being swept out of the American League Division Series for the second straight October. The Red Sox will try to begin a climb out of a 2-0 hole in the best-of-five series when they host the Houston Astros in Game 3 on Sunday.

Boston finished second in the AL with a 3.70 ERA this regular season but surrendered eight runs in each of the first two ALDS games in Houston as starters Chris Sale and Drew Pomeranz combined to allowed 11 runs in seven innings and serve up five home runs. "These guys are all coming out swinging and swinging at a lot of stuff, being very aggressive, and every time we've made a mistake, they've made us pay for it," Pomeranz told reporters. The Astros, who will send Brad Peacock to the mound Sunday against the Red Sox's Doug Fister, led the majors with 896 runs scored in the regular season and every spot in the lineup provided at least one hit over the course of the first two games. "We have a number of guys that have contributed," Houston manager A.J. Hinch told reporters. "So obviously you're seeing what's possible when we link things together and the hitters start to feed off of one another. We have a lot of guys that are putting up really good at-bats."

TV: 2:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Brad Peacock (13-2, 3.00 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Doug Fister (5-9, 4.88)

Peacock gets the Game 3 start largely because of his consistency after he held his last seven opponents to two or fewer earned runs. The 29-year-old, who began the season in the bullpen, did not yield more than five hits in any of his five starts in September and earned the win in each of the last three. Peacock started at Fenway Park on Sep. 28 and held Boston to two runs on four hits and a walk in five frames.

Fister was chosen over Eduardo Rodriguez and reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Rick Porcello despite going 0-2 with a 9.18 ERA over his last four starts. The California native, who was signed by the Red Sox as a free agent in June, enjoyed a four-start stretch from Aug. 22 through Sep. 6 in which he allowed a total of five runs in 30 innings. Fister suffered a home loss to the Astros on Sep. 29 and is 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA in nine career postseason games (eight starts).

TRENDS:

* Astros are 14-3 in their last 17 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

* Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games.

* Over is 8-2 in Astros last 10 overall.

* Over is 6-1 in Red Sox last 7 games following a loss.

* Astros are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the Houston Astros at a rate of 53 percent and the Over is picking up 60 percent of the totals action.



Cleveland Indians at New York Yankees (+106, 8.5)

Indians lead series 2-0

The Cleveland Indians won 33 of their final 37 games in the regular season and are 2-0 in the playoffs following a 13-inning Game 2 triumph in which they recorded the largest comeback in postseason franchise history. The Indians will go for a sweep in the best-of-five American League Division Series when they visit the New York Yankees for Game 3 on Sunday.

Cleveland rallied from an 8-3 deficit on the strength of a grand slam by Francisco Lindor and a solo shot from Jay Bruce before Yan Gomes drove in the walk-off run in the 13th. "That was what you call October baseball right there," Gomes told reporters. "We've had tremendous comebacks. That's probably one of the top ones we've had all year. Going up 2-0 against the Yankees into New York, it's a good feeling right now." Yankees manager Joe Girardi found himself answering questions about his decision not to challenge a hit-by-pitch call that preceded Lindor's blast and his decision to pull starter CC Sabathia in the sixth inning after 77 pitches. "There was nothing that told us that he was not hit on the pitch," Girardi, who will start Masahiro Tanaka on Sunday against Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco, told reporters. "By the time we got the super slow-mo, we are beyond a minute. It was way too late. They tell us we have the 30 seconds. They will take longer in replay."

TV: 7:38 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Carlos Carrasco (18-6, 3.29 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (13-12, 4.74)

Carrasco has not lost since Aug. 22 and finished out the regular season by allowing one or zero runs in six of his final seven turns. The Venezuela native saved his best for last while striking out 14 over 8 1/3 scoreless innings against the Minnesota Twins. Carrasco, who is making his postseason debut after sitting out last October with a broken hand, endured one of his few rough outings during the regular season against New York on Aug. 6, when he was reached for five runs in 5 2/3 innings and suffered a loss.

Tanaka saved his best for last as well and earned a spot in the postseason rotation by striking out 15 without a walk and yielding three hits in seven scoreless innings against Toronto on Sep. 29. The Japan native allowed seven earned runs in two of his three previous starts but finished the regular season with a career-high 194 strikeouts. Tanaka lost his only previous postseason start in the 2015 wild-card game against Houston and is 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA in four career starts against Cleveland.

TRENDS:

* Indians are 11-0 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.

* Indians are 44-8 in their last 52 overall.

* Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff games.

* Over is 10-0 in Carrascos last 10 starts with 9 or more days of rest.

* Indians are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is leaning toward the Indians with 51 percent of the picks and Over is grabbing 66 percent of the totals wagers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 8

Houston @ Boston

Game 951-952
October 8, 2017 @ 2:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Peacock) 18.827
Boston
(Fister) 15.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-140); Over

Cleveland @ NY Yankees

Game 953-954
October 8, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 18.077
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 17.104
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-115); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (103 - 61) at BOSTON (93 - 71) - 2:35 PM
BRAD PEACOCK (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 103-61 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 25-8 (+12.9 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
HOUSTON is 53-28 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 80-37 (+25.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 33-18 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 18-7 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
HOUSTON is 20-8 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 689-618 (-81.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 372-294 (-47.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 0-8 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 57-58 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 226-230 (-66.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
FISTER is 9-16 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-3 (+2.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. BOSTON since 1997
PEACOCK is 1-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 9.01 and a WHIP of 2.156.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4. (-4.7 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
FISTER is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.44 and a WHIP of 1.146.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (104 - 60) at NY YANKEES (92 - 73) - 7:35 PM
CARLOS CARRASCO (R) vs. MASAHIRO TANAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 65-34 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 93-79 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TANAKA is 23-7 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 208-132 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 96-47 (+29.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 53-28 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 49-25 (+19.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-3 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 71-34 (+15.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 62-23 (+31.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 23-10 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 26-10 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CARRASCO is 23-7 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 23-31 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 14-21 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-2 (+5.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

CARLOS CARRASCO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
CARRASCO is 3-5 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-4.1 units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
TANAKA is 1-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.585.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)