Tuesday 10-10-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358248

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Mountaineer Park - Race #9 - Post: 9:56pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,300 Class Rating: 66

    Rating: 3

    #3 JOE HARDOON (ML=20/1)
    #4 ON THE ZIP (ML=9/2)
    #2 MY NICKY (ML=20/1)


    JOE HARDOON - Don't often see a beneficial ROI like +378. This jockey/handler twosome has done well together over the last year. The August 16th affair at Presque Isle Downs was at a class level of (76). Dropping to a lower level a significant amount, so he should be in a good place. ON THE ZIP - Good return on investment for this jockey and handler pair. Look at this gelding's PP lines. With each affair he keeps getting closer. The fact that this gelding is entered right back into a race so quickly means he's fit and ready. Demczyk drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to think this animal will be tough to beat at this level. Have to give this gelding a chance. Ran a nice effort last race out within the last month. MY NICKY - Trainer Cox moves this thoroughbred to a lower class level to face a lower class of horses. Look for a strong race racing against these lower level horses. Past performance data show this thoroughbred with 3 improving speed ratings. Rivera should be on a live horse right here in this race.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #10 TOOMANYFORBENNY (ML=6/5), #5 PRECIOUS ENERGY (ML=7/2),

    TOOMANYFORBENNY - Hasn't been on the Mountaineer Park oval in the last few weeks. Cause for some concern. PRECIOUS ENERGY - If you keep choosing these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disappointed frequently. Pace makes the race. Hard for this speedball to be able to handle the pace pressure from the rest of this field.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Go with #3 JOE HARDOON on top if we're getting at least 4/1 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,3,4]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,3,4] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    [2,3,4] with [2,3,4] with [1,2,3,4,6] with [1,2,3,4,6] Total Cost: $36
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358248

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

      Bar

      Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $45,000 Class Rating: 74

      Rating: 4

      #7 MOON CHANT (ML=8/1)
      #2 MRS. REMBRANDT (ML=10/1)


      MOON CHANT - Houghton brings her right back. I propose you stick with this hot filly. MRS. REMBRANDT - Rider jumped on this filly's back for the 1st ride on September 17th. Should be in touch with the equine even better in this race. Can't help but like the second time addition of Lasix by the trainer today. What that tells me is Vega thinks she can win.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ULTIMATE CHALLENGE (ML=2/1), #3 SWEET CANDY DANCE (ML=3/1), #1 LISA LIMON (ML=5/1),

      ULTIMATE CHALLENGE - This probable favorite may be out of condition without any recent morning activity. SWEET CANDY DANCE - Didn't show much run last time. Probably won't make an impact today. Finished eighth in her most recent performance with a quite unimpressive fig. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group. LISA LIMON - Most unsatisfactory speed rating last time around the track at Laurel at 1 1/16 miles. Don't feel this mount will improve too much in today's event.



      STRAIGHT WAGERS:
      #7 MOON CHANT to win at post-time odds of 2/1 or better

      EXACTA WAGERS:
      Box [2,7]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      None

      SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
      Pass
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358248

        #18
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.

        Race 2 - SA - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $18200 Class Rating: 100

        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS IN 2016 - 2017. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS.


        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        The Walker Group Picks

        # 2 SR. QUISQUEYANO 5/2

        # 1 PALTARREVENGE 3/1

        # 3 GATEWAY ARCH 6/1

        I've got to go with SR. QUISQUEYANO. Radosevich has one of the best winning percentages in this group of horses with entries running at this distance and surface. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a strong handicapping key. This horse ranks at the top in this lot. Should keep the strong string of finish positions intact this time out. PALTARREVENGE - Has run very well when racing a dirt route race. Ran a sharp last race. GATEWAY ARCH - It's a good sign that Hamm is using Rosendo on this horse. Hamm has a strong win percentage with horses racing in dirt route races.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358248

          #19
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.

          Race 6 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $38500 Class Rating: 97

          FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 10, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS.


          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          The Walker Group Picks

          # 4 STORMIN THE JEWELS 3/2

          # 6 D E LOVER 3/1

          # 8 E BAR GOLD 15/1

          STORMIN THE JEWELS looks very good to best this field. He has to be given consideration given the competitive speed figs. Must be carefully examined based on the decent speed rating posted in the last contest. He has earned respectable figures under today's conditions and will most likely fare well versus this group. D E LOVER - Reason to like this gelding as he has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. The average class figure alone makes this one a solid contender.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358248

            #20
            NHL
            Dunkel

            Tuesday, October 10



            St. Louis @ NY Rangers

            Game 1-2
            October 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            St. Louis
            12.174
            NY Rangers
            10.398
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            St. Louis
            by 2
            6
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            St. Louis
            No Line
            N/A
            Dunkel Pick:
            St. Louis
            N/A

            Columbus @ Carolina


            Game 3-4
            October 10, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Columbus
            13.372
            Carolina
            10.708
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Columbus
            by 1 1/2
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Carolina
            -125
            5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Columbus
            (+105); Over

            Chicago @ Montreal


            Game 5-6
            October 10, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Chicago
            13.002
            Montreal
            9.526
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Chicago
            by 3 1/2
            4
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Chicago
            No Line
            N/A
            Dunkel Pick:
            Chicago
            N/A

            Philadelphia @ Nashville


            Game 7-8
            October 10, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Philadelphia
            11.215
            Nashville
            9.738
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 1 1/2
            5
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Nashville
            -150
            5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Philadelphia
            (+130); Under

            Detroit @ Dallas


            Game 9-10
            October 10, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Detroit
            9.385
            Dallas
            11.693
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Dallas
            by 2 1/2
            4
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Dallas
            -185
            5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Dallas
            (-185); Under

            Ottawa @ Vancouver


            Game 11-12
            October 10, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Ottawa
            11.770
            Vancouver
            10.462
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Ottawa
            by 1 1/2
            5
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Vancouver
            -115
            5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Ottawa
            (-105); Under

            Arizona @ Vegas


            Game 13-14
            October 10, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Arizona
            11.903
            Vegas
            8.331
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Arizona
            by 3 1/2
            5
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Vegas
            -110
            5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Arizona
            (-110); Under

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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358248

              #21
              NHL

              Tuesday, October 10


              Rangers won three of last four games with St Louis, which lost 5-0/6-3 in last two visits to Manhattan. Under is 2-0-1 in last three series games. Blues are off to a 3-0 start, with road wins in SO/OT- over is 2-1 in their games. New York lost two of its first three games (over 2-1), splitting pair at home.

              Home side won last four Columbus-Carolina games; Blue Jackets lost 5-3/2-1ot in last two visits to Raleigh. Last three series games stayed under. Columbus split their first two games (over 1-1), losing 5-1 at Chicago in their only road game. Hurricanes beat Minnesota 5-4 in OT in its only game so far.

              Chicago won its last seven games with Montreal, winning last three visits here by a combined margin of 11-3. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Blackhawks won two of first three games (over 3-0), losing first road game in OT at Toronto Monday. Canadiens went 1-2 on their opening road trip (over 1-1-1)- they scored four goals in the three games.

              Flyers won four of their last five games with Nashville; they won 6-3/4-2 in last two visits to Music City. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games played here. Philly won two of its first three games, all on road (under 2-1). Predators lost 4-3/4-0 in their first two games (over 1-1), both on road.

              Detroit is 7-3 in its last ten games with the Dallas Stars; Red Wings won four of last five visits to Texas. Under is 3-1 in last four series games. Red Wings won their first two games 4-2/2-1ot (over 1-1). Dallas lost 4-2/2-1 in their first two games (over 1-1), losing in OT to Las Vegas in their only home game.

              Ottawa won four of last five games with Vancouver, but they lost two of last three visits here; home side won five of last six series games. Under is 3-1 in last four. Senators lost their first two games, both at home, both in SO (over 1-1). Canucks beat Edmonton 3-2 in their home opener Saturday, their only game so far.

              Las Vegas plays its first-ever home game after winning its first two games on road, both by 2-1 scores. Knights won 2-1 in Arizona in OT Saturday. Coyotes are 0-2 with two one-goal losses (over 1-1); they lost 5-4 at Anaheim in their only road game.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358248

                #22
                NHL

                Tuesday, October 10


                Trend Report

                8:00 PM
                COLUMBUS vs. CAROLINA
                Columbus is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Carolina
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
                Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
                The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games

                8:00 PM
                ST. LOUIS vs. NY RANGERS
                St. Louis is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
                St. Louis is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games on the road
                NY Rangers are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis
                NY Rangers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing St. Louis

                8:30 PM
                CHICAGO vs. MONTREAL
                Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
                Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                Montreal is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
                Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

                9:00 PM
                PHILADELPHIA vs. NASHVILLE
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Nashville
                The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
                Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

                9:30 PM
                DETROIT vs. DALLAS
                Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
                Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                The total has gone OVER in 18 of Dallas's last 23 games at home
                Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

                11:00 PM
                ARIZONA vs. LAS VEGAS
                Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games
                No trends available

                11:00 PM
                OTTAWA vs. VANCOUVER
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
                Ottawa is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa
                Vancouver is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Ottawa
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358248

                  #23
                  MLB
                  Dunkel

                  Tuesday, October 10


                  Washington @ Chicago Cubs

                  Game 955-956
                  October 10, 2017 @ 5:35 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Washington
                  (Roark) 14.946
                  Chicago Cubs
                  (Arrieta) 15.916
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  by 1
                  9
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  -150
                  7 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Chicago Cubs
                  (-150); Over

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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358248

                    #24
                    MLB

                    Tuesday, October 10


                    Washington @ Chicago
                    Nationals are 5-5 against the Cubs this season (over 6-4).

                    Roark is 0-2, 6.94 in his last two starts; under is 10-2 in his last 12 starts. Washington is 8-7 in his road starts. He is 1-0, 2.84 against the Cubs this season.

                    Arrieta is 0-2, 7.84 in his last three starts; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine. Chicago is 6-4 in his home starts. He is 0-1, 13.50 vs Washington this year.

                    Cubs won the World Series LY, their first title since 1908; this is their 3rd year in a row in the playoffs. Washington is in the playoffs for 4th time in six years- they lost in this round the previous three times. Nationals have never been in the World Series.

                    AL Wild Card
                    NYY 8-4 Minn -$255, O7.5

                    NL Wild Card
                    Ariz 11-8 Colo -$148, O8.5

                    Hous 8-2 Bos, -$120, O7
                    Hous 8-2 Bos, -$185, O8.5
                    Bos 10-3 Hst, +$117, O9.5
                    Hst 5-4 Bos, -$118, O8
                    Astros win series, 3-1

                    Clev 4-0 NYY -$130, U8.5
                    Clev 9-8 NYY (13), -$210, O7
                    NYY 1-0 Clev, -$109, U8.5
                    NYY 7-3 Clev, -$150, O7.5

                    Cubs 3-0 Wash +$135, U7.5
                    Wash 6-3, -$117, O8.5
                    Cubs 2-1, +$105, U7,5

                    LA 9-4 Ariz -$270, O7.5
                    LA 8-5 Ariz, -$142, O8
                    LA 2-1 Ariz, -$115, U8
                    Dodgers win series, 3-0
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358248

                      #25
                      MLB

                      Tuesday, October 10


                      Trend Report

                      5:38 PM
                      WASHINGTON vs. CHI CUBS
                      Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
                      Chi Cubs are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
                      Chi Cubs are 17-5 SU in their last 22 games

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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358248

                        #26
                        Arthur Ralph Sports

                        TUES: Washington w/ Roark +150
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358248

                          #27
                          MIKE LUNDIN
                          NHL | Oct 10, 2017
                          Flyers vs. Predators
                          Predators-146

                          The Nashville Predators have opened the season with back-to-back losses at Boston and Pittsburgh, but I think they'll record their fist W in their first home game of the season as they host the Philadelphia Flyers Tuesday night. Note that Nashville was 24-9-8 home at Bridgestone Arena last season while Philadelphia was just 14-22-5 on the road.
                          The Flyers have split their first two games of the season, on the road at LA and Anaheim. This will mark the finale of a three-game road trip before heading home to host the Capitals on Oct 14. Philly's focus might be on that game and I'm not sure how much they care about this non-conference game.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358248

                            #28
                            BEN BURNS
                            NHL | Oct 10, 2017
                            Blue Jackets vs. Hurricanes
                            Hurricanes-122

                            These teams faced each other four times from January 10th through March 30th, splitting the four meetings. In all four cases, the home team won. The Canes are already 1-0 at home; the Jackets are already 0-1 on the road. The Canes are now 17-12 the past 2+ seasons, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. During that stretch, the Jackets were just 23-37 (-11.7) on the road, when the O/U line was 5.5. With expectations high in Raleigh this season, this price could easily be a little higher. Consider Carolina.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358248

                              #29
                              BIG AL

                              Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, Oct. 10 is:

                              Vegas Golden Knights over Arizona Coyotes.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358248

                                #30
                                Joey Juice

                                When these 2 teams play, its almost always under. The pressure will cement that tonight. Don't tell me about game 2, that game was a stone-cold under until the 8th inning when 5 runs crossed.

                                When we look inside the numbers we see Under with a big advantage, Under is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a winning team, 14-4-4 last 22 when Nationals play a winning home team.

                                The Under is also 18-6-2 last 26 on road when Nationals face a righty pitcher.

                                With the Cubs, Under is 5-1 last 6 playoff games, under has gone 9-3 last 12 vs winning team, and under has gone 5-2 the last 7 "Game Four" scenarios.

                                Free Pick is under.

                                2* WASHINGTON-CUBS UNDER
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