Thursday 10-12-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Trends - Buffalo at San Jose

W/L TRENDS

Buffalo

Sabres are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. Sabres are 19-39 in their last 58 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Sabres are 28-60 in their last 88 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Sabres are 18-39 in their last 57 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Sabres are 63-139 in their last 202 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Sabres are 46-111 in their last 157 road games. Sabres are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Pacific. Sabres are 7-19 in their last 26 overall. Sabres are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. Western Conference. Sabres are 14-51 in their last 65 Thursday games. Sabres are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Sabres are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.

San Jose

Sharks are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Sharks are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Sharks are 9-3 in their last 12 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Sharks are 49-23-1 in their last 73 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. Sharks are 130-64-1 in their last 195 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Sharks are 1-4 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Sharks are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Sharks are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Sharks are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. Sharks are 0-4 in their last 4 Thursday games.

OU TRENDS

Buffalo

Over is 3-0-1 in Sabres last 4 overall. Over is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1-1 in Sabres last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1 in Sabres last 5 following a loss of 3 or more goals. Over is 4-1-1 in Sabres last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. Under is 12-4-4 in Sabres last 20 games playing on 2 days rest. Under is 3-1-1 in Sabres last 5 vs. Pacific. Over is 14-5-3 in Sabres last 22 vs. Western Conference. Under is 5-2-1 in Sabres last 8 road games. Over is 5-2-1 in Sabres last 8 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 7-3-1 in Sabres last 11 following a home loss of 3 or more goals.

San Jose

Over is 3-0-1 in Sharks last 4 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 1-0-3 in Sharks last 4 games playing on 3 or more days rest. Over is 3-0-2 in Sharks last 5 Thursday games. Over is 6-0-1 in Sharks last 7 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Over is 3-0-1 in Sharks last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 8-2-4 in Sharks last 14 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Over is 3-1-1 in Sharks last 5 overall. Under is 12-4-5 in Sharks last 21 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 7-3-1 in Sharks last 11 following a loss of 3 or more goals. Under is 27-12-10 in Sharks last 49 home games. Over is 20-9-2 in Sharks last 31 following a home loss of 3 or more goals.

HEAD TO HEAD

Sabres are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Jose. Sabres are 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in San Jose. Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

THURS NHL Nashville-125

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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Thursday, Oct. 12 is:

Tampa Bay Lightning over Pittsburgh Penguins.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MIKE LUNDIN
NHL | Oct 12, 2017
Blues vs. Panthers
Panthers-118

The St. Louis Blues are 4-0-0 on the season, but here they'll play their third game in four days while the Panthers have been off since a 5-4 victory against the Lightning on Oct. 7.
Note that the Panthers are 18-8 in their last 26 games playing on three or more days rest and I think the rest advantage will play a huge part here. The Panthers have opened the season by splitting a pair of meetings with Sunshine State rival Tampa Bay, and they've been very lively on the offensive end of the rink firing a total of 84 shots on goal.
Possible let down spot for the visitors after a perfect start and my money is on Florida.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton

Your Thursday freebie is the Nationals over the Cubs.

I am not going into any statistic copy here, I am just going to tell you that the rain out on Tuesday was a sign from the Baseball Gods that this is Washington's series.

The defending champion Cubs let yesterday's game slip away when they could not figure out a way to solve Stephen Strasburg, and while Gio Gonzalez is no Strasburg, he doesn't have to be. Tanner Roark will be ready to go at any sign of trouble, and quite frankly with Trea Turner getting off the schneid yesterday, I have a strong feeling the Nationals are going to put something together against Kyle Hendricks who they were unable to solve in Game One.

Gut feeling tonight is that good old "Uncle Mo" was on the plane flight back to D.C. with the Nationals, and NOT the Cubbies.

I am backing the Nats to advance with their first postseason series win in franchise history.

3* WASHINGTON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 nfl free pick

Philadelphia vs. Carolina, 10/12/2017 20:25 EDT

Total: -110/+46½ Under

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Fp: I think both defense shows up big . making the scoring few and far between . 47 points to beat us will be a chore making the under my nfl free pick.

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IntPicks

FREE PICK of the DAY

October 12, 2017

NHL
#008
Recommendation only
8:30 PM ET
Minnesota @ Chicago
Take Chicago ML (-145)

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MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, October 12

Chicago Cubs @ Washington

Game 959-960
October 12, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 14.921
Washington
(Gnzalez) 15.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-125
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+105); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, October 12

Chicago @ Washington
Washington is 6-5 against the Cubs this season (over 6-5).

Hendricks is 2-0, 0.70 in his last four starts; his last six starts stayed under. Cubs are 6-6 in his road starts. He is 1-1, 1.93 vs Washington this season, 2-1, 1.39 in six postseason starts.

Gonzalez is 0-2, 7.54 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four starts. Washington is 8-8 in his home starts. Gonzalez is 0-0, 4.24 in five postseason starts.

Cubs won the World Series LY, their first title since 1908; this is their 3rd year in a row in the playoffs. Washington is in the playoffs for 4th time in six years- they lost in this round the previous three times. Nationals have never been in the World Series.

AL Wild Card
NYY 8-4 Minn -$255, O7.5

NL Wild Card
Ariz 11-8 Colo -$148, O8.5

Hous 8-2 Bos, -$120, O7
Hous 8-2 Bos, -$185, O8.5
Bos 10-3 Hst, +$117, O9.5
Hst 5-4 Bos, -$118, O8
Astros win series, 3-1

Clev 4-0 NYY -$130, U8.5
Clev 9-8 NYY (13), -$210, O7
NYY 1-0 Clev, -$109, U8.5
NYY 7-3 Clev, -$150, O7.5
NYY 5-2 Clev, +$165, N7
New York wins series, 3-2

Cubs 3-0 Wash +$135, U7.5
Wash 6-3 Cubs, -$117, O8.5
Cubs 2-1 Wash, +$105, U7.5
Wash 5-0 Cubs, -$109, U7

LA 9-4 Ariz -$270, O7.5
LA 8-5 Ariz, -$142, O8
LA 2-1 Ariz, -$115, U8
Dodgers win series, 3-0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, October 12

Trend Report

8:08 PM
CHI CUBS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 15 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 15 games when playing Chi Cubs

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MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (94 - 72) at WASHINGTON (99 - 67) - 8:05 PM
KYLE HENDRICKS (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 94-72 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-34 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 71-37 (+20.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 186-111 (+37.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 24-25 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-5 (+1.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.7 Units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HENDRICKS is 3-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.17 and a WHIP of 1.018.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.5 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 3-3 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.095.
His team's record is 5-6 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.2 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday's NLDS playoff betting preview and odds: Cubs at Nationals

Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals (A: -115, H: -105, Total: 7.5)

Series tied 2-2

With an assist from the weather, the Washington Nationals have forced a winner-take-all matchup against the visiting Chicago Cubs on Thursday in their National League Division Series. Stephen Strasburg’s stellar start in Washington’s 5-0 win in Game 4 on Wednesday sent the series back to the nation’s capital and left the Nationals with plenty of flexibility with their pitching staff.

Strasburg threw seven strong innings despite manager Dusty Baker’s announcement a night earlier that Chicago-area native Tanner Roark would start Game 4. That leaves Roark and left-hander Gio Gonzalez as potential Game 5 starters and gives Washington a fully stocked bullpen - including ace Max Scherzer - for the decisive contest. The Cubs’ bullpen is slightly more taxed after burning Game 2 Jon Lester on Wednesday, but Chicago will have Kyle Hendricks on the mound as he looks to continue a recent history of strong postseason performances. The Cubs have scored only eight runs in the series and managed just three hits in Wednesday’s setback.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TBS

INJURY REPORT:

Cubs - RP K. Uehara (Out Indefinitely, Knee).

Nationals - S. Drew (Out Indefinitely, Abdominal), LF R. Raburn (Out Indefinitely, Shoulder), SP J. Ross (Out For Season, Elbow), CF A. Eaton (Out For Season, Knee).

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. TBA

Hendricks outdueled Strasburg in Game 1, allowing two hits and three walks while registering six strikeouts over seven scoreless innings. The 27-year-old has gotten the ball for the Cubs’ last two series clinchers – Game 6 of last year’s NL Championship Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers and Game 7 of the World Series versus Cleveland. He is 2-1 with a 1.98 ERA in eight postseason starts.

Baker told reporters after Game 4 he is “not sure yet” who will start on Thursday and his decision will be based on who is the best fit. Gonzalez allowed three runs and three hits over five innings in Game 2 as the Nationals got him off the hook with a late rally. Roark has not started since Sept. 27 and gave up eight runs in 5 2/3 frames over his last two regular-season appearances (one start).

TRENDS:

* Cubs are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Cubs are 6-1 in Hendricks' last 7 starts vs. National League East.
* Nationals are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff home games.
* Under is 10-1 in Hendricks' last 11 road starts.
* Under is 6-0-2 in Nationals' last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Under is 4-0 in Hendricks' last 4 starts vs. Nationals.
* Cubs are 2-7 in their last 9 games with Jerry Layne behind home plate.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home underdog Nationals at a rate of 60 percent and the Over is picking up 55 percent of the totals action.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, October 12

Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay

Game 1-2
October 12, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
10.576
Tampa Bay
12.095
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

St. Louis @ Florida

Game 3-4
October 12, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
12.219
Florida
10.848
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-105); Under

Dallas @ Nashville

Game 5-6
October 12, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
8.616
Nashville
12.257
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 3 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(-125); Under

Minnesota @ Chicago

Game 7-8
October 12, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
10.346
Chicago
12.756
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
-150
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(-150); Over

Detroit @ Arizona

Game 9-10
October 12, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
10.462
Arizona
9.475
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-105); Under

Winnipeg @ Vancouver

Game 11-12
October 12, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
9.566
Vancouver
12.324
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+105); Over

Buffalo @ San Jose

Game 13-14
October 12, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
8.906
San Jose
9.850
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
-165
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
(-165); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, October 12

Penguins won their last five games with Tampa Bay; they won three of last four games in this building. Over is 7-1 in last eight series games. Pittsburgh won last night in Washington; they won last two games after losing first two (over 2-2). Lightning won two of first three games (over 3-0), winning both home games, 5-3/4-3ot.

Blues are 4-0 to start season, with three road wins (over 2-2); they allowed five goals in last three games. Panthers split pair with Tampa Bay to start season (over 2-0), winning only home game 5-4. Road team won last five St Louis-Florida games; Blues won their last five visits here (under 3-2).

Nashville won three of last four games with Dallas; all four games went over. Dallas Stars lost three of last four visits to Music City. Stars lost two of first three games (over 2-1); they lost 4-2 in St Louis in their only road game. Predators lost two of first three games (over 2-1); they beat Flyers 6-5 in their only home game.

Chicago won its last three games with Minnesota, scoring 13 goals (over 3-0). Wild lost three of last four visits to Windy City. Minnesota lost its first two games 4-2/5-4so (over 2-0); they still haven’t played a home game. Blackhawks won three of first four games; they’re 2-0 at home, outscoring opponents 15-2 (over 2-0).

Road team won five of last six Detroit-Arizona games; Red Wings won last three visits to Arizona, with last two in SO/OT. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Detroit won two of its first three games (over 2-1), splitting pair on road, scoring 2 goals in both road games. Arizona is 0-3 (over 2-1) with two losses to an expansion team; they lost 2-1ot in only home game.

Winnipeg won six of last seven games with Vancouver; home team won seven of last nine series games. Under is 2-0-2 in last four series games. Jets won two of last three visits here. Winnipeg lost two of first three games (over 3-0), splitting pair of road games. Canucks split their first two games, both 3-2 games, both at home (under 2-0).

Buffalo won 8 of its last ten games with the Sharks; they’ve won five of last six visits to San Jose. Under is 3-1-2 in last six series games. Sabres lost first three games (over 2-0-1) by combined score of 15-7; they lost 6-3 in Brooklyn in their only road game. Sharks lost 5-3/4-1 in their first two games, both at home (over 1-0-1).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, October 12

Trend Report

8:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. TAMPA BAY
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

8:30 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of St. Louis's last 11 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Florida's last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. NASHVILLE
Dallas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Nashville
Nashville is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

9:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHICAGO
Minnesota is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Chicago is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Minnesota

11:00 PM
DETROIT vs. ARIZONA
Detroit is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Arizona
Detroit is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

11:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. VANCOUVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Vancouver is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

11:30 PM
BUFFALO vs. SAN JOSE
Buffalo is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing San Jose
Buffalo is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
San Jose is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
San Jose is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Buffalo