Monday 10-16-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Monday, Oct. 16 is:

Golden State Warriors (-195) to win the NBA Championship.

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Preview: Lightning at Red Wings

Gracenote
Oct 15, 2017

Nikita Kucherov hopes to continue his goal-scoring surge as the Tampa Bay Lightning begin a tough three-game road trip Monday, when they visit the Atlantic Division-rival Detroit Red Wings. Kucherov became the sixth player in the last 17 years and first since 2012 to score in each of his team’s first five games of the season Saturday, netting the winning goal as the Lightning knocked off St. Louis 2-1 for their third straight win.

Kucherov, who recorded a career-high 40 goals last season, has scored five and assisted on three others in the early going while playing on a line with captain Steven Stamkos and Vladislav Namestnikov. Kucherov notched three goals and five points in three games against Detroit last season as the Lightning swept the five-game set and extended their winning streak in the series to seven, including the 2016 postseason. Detroit is not the same team as the one that missed the playoffs for the first time in 26 seasons in 2016-17 as it has sprinted to a 4-1-0 start after getting four points from captain Henrik Zetterberg in Friday’s 6-3 win at Vegas. “He’s an unbelievable player and has been that for many, many years,” Red Wings forward Gustav Nyquist told reporters of the 37-year-old Zetterberg. “It’s impressive what he still does.”

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Sportsnet One, TVA, FSN Sun (Tampa Bay), FSN Detroit

ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (4-1-0): Brayden Point, who is in his second season in the NHL, has matched Kucherov with eight points in the first five games and been a key figure in all corners of the rink while skating with Ondrej Palat and Yanni Gourde. “Where the Stamkos line has probably got a little more dynamic to it, the Point line has probably got a little bit more lunch pail to it,” coach Jon Cooper told reporters. “They make you earn it every shift.” Andrei Vasilevskiy, who has been brilliant despite his modest .911 save percentage, has played in all five games thus far and likely will sit out either Monday’s contest or Tuesday at New Jersey.

ABOUT THE RED WINGS (4-1-0): Veterans Zetterberg (three goals, four assists) and defenseman Mike Green (eight assists) are off to strong starts, but young forwards Anthony Mantha and Dylan Larkin also have played major roles. Mantha has recorded three goals and four assists, Larkin has collected six points and the duo leads the team with 15 shots apiece while rookie Martin Frk has added some punch with three tallies and an assist. Trevor Daley, a key offseason free-agent signing, has been a steadying influence with a plus-4 rating in the first five contests and fellow blue-liner Niklas Kronwall was plus-3 in his second game of the season at Vegas.

OVERTIME

1. Detroit D Danny DeKeyser (lower body), who has not recorded a point in three games, is questionable after missing the last two contests.

2. Tampa Bay D Victor Hedman has scored 66 career goals and needs one to pass Dan Boyle for second on the franchise list among blue-liners.

3. The Red Wings are 21-for-23 on the penalty kill, good for third-best in the league (91.3 percent) through Saturday's action.

PREDICTION: Red Wings 4, Lightning 3

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Trends - Tampa Bay at Detroit

W/L TRENDS

Tampa Bay

Lightning are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Lightning are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Lightning are 7-1 in their last 8 overall. Lightning are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Lightning are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a win. Lightning are 5-1 in their last 6 Monday games. Lightning are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Atlantic. Lightning are 7-2 in their last 9 road games. Lightning are 9-3 in their last 12 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Lightning are 24-63 in their last 87 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Detroit

Red Wings are 7-0 in their last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Red Wings are 6-1 in their last 7 Monday games. Red Wings are 5-1 in their last 6 overall. Red Wings are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Red Wings are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Red Wings are 232-99-19 in their last 350 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Red Wings are 8-19 in their last 27 vs. Eastern Conference. Red Wings are 10-27 in their last 37 vs. Atlantic. Red Wings are 7-19 in their last 26 games playing on 2 days rest.

OU TRENDS

Tampa Bay

Over is 5-0 in Lightning last 5 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 vs. Atlantic. Over is 6-0 in Lightning last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 6-1 in Lightning last 7 overall. Over is 5-1 in Lightning last 6 games following a win.

Detroit

Over is 4-0 in Red Wings last 4 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 3-0-1 in Red Wings last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 14-2-1 in Red Wings last 17 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Over is 4-1-1 in Red Wings last 6 overall. Over is 4-1 in Red Wings last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Over is 3-1-1 in Red Wings last 5 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 3-1-1 in Red Wings last 5 home games. Over is 5-2-2 in Red Wings last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 32-15-7 in Red Wings last 54 games playing on 2 days rest.

HEAD TO HEAD

Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Detroit. Home team is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Lightning are 22-8 in the last 30 meetings.

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Monday's ALCS Playoff Betting Preview And Odds: Astros at Yankees

Houston Astros at New York Yankees (HOU +115, NYY -125, O/U 8.5)

Astros lead series 2-0

The margin of error in the first two games of the American League Championship Series was razor thin, with the Houston Astros managing to come out on top in each contest to take a commanding lead in the best-of-seven matchup. The New York Yankees will try to turn the tide in their favor when they host Game 3 on Monday.

The Astros earned 2-1 wins in each of the first two games, with Game 2's victory coming only after Jose Altuve scampered around the bases from first on a Carlos Correa's double and scored when Yankees catcher Gary Sanchez was unable to handle the relay throw from shortstop Didi Gregorius. "Both sides are really, really emphasizing staying in the game and just continuing to fight because it can shift in a heartbeat," Houston manager A.J. Hinch told reporters. "Just when you feel good about where you're at, it can shift back to momentum the other way. So it's postseason baseball at its best." Sanchez (0-for-7, five strikeouts) and Aaron Judge (1-for-7, three strikeouts) are enduring a tough series at the plate for New York, but the team has no plans to change its batting order. "I'm going to stick with the same lineup because things can turn really quickly," Yankees manager Joe Girardi told reporters. "There's a lot of guys that struggle in the postseason. That's just what it is. If you just start moving people around trying to play a hot hand, it doesn't necessarily work."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FS1

INJURY REPORT:

Astros - CF J. Marisnick (Out For Season, Thumb), SP D. Paulino (Out For Season, Suspension), RP J. Gustave (Out For Season, Elbow).

Yankees - SP L. Severino (day-to-day, Shoulder), SP L. Cessa (Out For Season, Ribs), SP M. Pineda (Out For Season, Elbow).

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Charlie Morton (0-0, 4.15 ERA) vs. Yankees LH CC Sabathia (0-0, 3.72)

Morton started the clinching game of the AL Division Series at Boston last Monday but did not factor in the decision, leaving after 4 1/3 innings. The New Jersey native surrendered seven hits and walked a pair but limited the damage to two runs in a game Houston went on to win 5-4. Morton earned a victory at New York on May 14, when he struck out 10 while allowing four runs on four hits and four walks in 5 2/3 frames.

Sabathia is coming off a performance in a clinching ALDS game as well and also lasted only 4 1/3 innings in Cleveland. The veteran registered nine strikeouts without walking a batter prior to his exit and was making his second ALDS start after working 5 1/3 solid frames in Game 2. Sabathia is 9-5 with a 4.46 ERA in 21 career postseason appearances - 20 starts - and is facing the Astros for the first time since posting a win in Houston on July 26, 2016.

TRENDS:

* Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 League Championship games.
* Astros are 4-0 in Morton's last 4 starts.
* Yankees are 1-10 in their last 11 League Championship games.
* Yankees are 13-3 in Sabathia's last 16 home starts.
* Over is 6-0 in Astros' last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Under is 5-0 in Sabathia's last 5 starts vs. American League West.
* Home team is 45-15 in Cederstrom's last 60 games behind home plate.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Yankees at a rate of 62 percent and the Over is picking up 64 percent of the totals action.

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MLB
Dunkel

Monday, October 16

Houston @ NY Yankees

Game 909-910
October 16, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Morton) 16.975
NY Yankees
(Sabathia) 18.839
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-125); Over

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MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, October 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (106 - 62) at NY YANKEES (95 - 75) - 7:05 PM
CHARLIE MORTON (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 50-50 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 51-33 (+15.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 24-8 (+12.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 67-34 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 50-35 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SABATHIA is 20-9 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 15-7 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 26-13 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 10-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 10-4 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 106-62 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 27-15 (+10.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 54-29 (+16.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 38-19 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 33-19 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 37-22 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MORTON is 29-11 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-2 (+4.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
MORTON is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.184.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SABATHIA is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.292.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

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MLB

Monday, October 16

Houston @ New York
Astros are 7-2 against New York this season, winning 3 of 4 in the Bronx.

Morton is 3-0, 2.38 in his last four starts (under 4-0); Houston is 6-4 in his road starts. Morton won his only ’17 start vs NY, allowing four runs in 5.2 IP. He is 0-1, 3.60 in two career playoff starts.

Sabathia is 3-0, 3.26 in his last five starts; under is 9-3 in his last 2 starts. NY is 10-3 in his home starts this year. Sabathia didn’t pitch against Houston this season. He is 9-5, 4.46 in 21 career playoff games (20 starts).

AL Wild Card
NYY 8-4 Minn -$255, O7.5

NL Wild Card
Ariz 11-8 Colo -$148, O8.5

Hous 8-2 Bos, -$120, O7
Hous 8-2 Bos, -$185, O8.5
Bos 10-3 Hst, +$117, O9.5
Hst 5-4 Bos, -$118, O8
Astros win series, 3-1

Clev 4-0 NYY -$130, U8.5
Clev 9-8 NYY (13), -$210, O7
NYY 1-0 Clev, -$109, U8.5
NYY 7-3 Clev, -$150, O7.5
NYY 5-2 Clev, +$165, N7
New York wins series, 3-2

Cubs 3-0 Wash +$135, U7.5
Wash 6-3 Cubs, -$117, O8.5
Cubs 2-1 Wash, +$105, U7.5
Wash 5-0 Cubs, -$109, U7
Cubs 9-8 Wash, -$115, O7.5
Cubs win series, 3-2

LA 9-4 Ariz -$270, O7.5
LA 8-5 Ariz, -$142, O8
LA 2-1 Ariz, -$115, U8
Dodgers win series, 3-0

League championship series
Hst 2-1 NYY, -$165, U8
Hst 2-1 NYY, -$118, U7.5

LA 5-2 Cubs, -$190, U7
LA 2-1 Cubs, -$160, U7.5

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MLB

Monday, October 16

Trend Report

8:08 PM
HOUSTON vs. NY YANKEES
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Houston

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IntPicks

FREE PICK of the DAY

October 16, 2017

EPL Soccer
#2528
Recommendation Only
3:00 PM ET
Leicester City vs. W.B.A
Take Leicester City ML (-103)

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NHL
Dunkel

Monday, October 16

Tampa Bay @ Detroit

Game 1-2
October 16, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
12.209
Detroit
10.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
N/A

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NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, October 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) at DETROIT (4-1-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/16/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 11-3 (+7.8 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 11-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

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NHL

Monday, October 16

Trend Report

8:30 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. DETROIT
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 8-16-1 SU in its last 25 games ,when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

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NHL

Monday, October 16

Lightning won their last seven games with Detroit; over is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Tampa Bay won its last three games in the Motor City, all by one goal- they’re 4-1 to start season (over 4-1), but lost 5-4 at Florida in their only road game. Red Wings are off a 3-1 road trip; they beat Minnesota 4-2 in their only home game so far. Over is 4-1 Detroit games so far this season.

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Tommy Brunson

Monday's comp play will be to play the Colts-Titans to land Over the total.

I know Indy is still without Andrew Luck, but Jacoby Brissett has been serviceable under center, and the Colts have played Over the total in each of Brissett's last 3 starts.

Indy is now 4-1 Over the total for the season, while Tennessee comes in with Overs played in 3 of their last 4 contests.

Marcus Mariota is bothered by a hamstring injury, but it looks like he is going to be able to answer the bell, so let's side with the Over to be the way to go in Nashville tonight.

Series numbers show 6 of the last 9 division showdowns landing Over the total, look for this one to land Over as well.

1* INDIANAPOLIS-TENNESSEE OVER

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Joey Juice

Well this game will be ugly from a quarterback standpoint. Andrew Luck is out, Marcus Mariota is dealing with hamstring issues and is questionable at best.

This may very well wind up being Brissett vs Cassel, naturally not a potential viewership explosion in a league where viewership is already down.

Well, normally you think with both quarterbacks potentially out it's a stone cold under potential, but not in this game. A look inside the numbers tells us all we need to know about betting this total. For the Colts, the over is 6-1 in the last seven in October, 6-1 in their last seven in week 6, 4-1 in their last five overall, and 4-1 in their last five on Monday Night.

For Tennessee, the over is 10-2-1 in their last 13 against teams with a losing record, 9-2 in their last 11 against AFC South, and 10-4-1 in their last 15 after a straight up loss.

So even with lousy, lackluster offenses, the fact that both defenses are complete Swiss cheese will make this game an easy over.

3* INDIANAPOLIS-TENNESSEE OVER