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Re: 12-29-08
Lenny Del Genio's #1 College Hoops BLOWOUT of the Week (2-0 Weekend)
Lenny Del Genio | CBB Sides
double-dime bet732 Oklahoma St. -9.5 (-110) BetUS vs 731 Arkansas St.
Play on Oklahoma State at 8:00 ET
Lenny Del Genio's NBA Oddsmaker Mismatch (15-8 Run)
Lenny Del Genio | NBA Sides
double-dime bet707 PHO -8.5 (-110) BetUS vs 708 OKL
Analysis:
Play on Phoenix at 8:05 ET.
Phoenix is our NBA Oddsmaker MismatchComment
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Re: 12-29-08
Vegas Sports Experts
The VSE NCAA Football Power Play for Monday is:
10* Take Missouri (-12.5) over Northwestern (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST
Missouri
• 13-1 SU in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons
• 24-4 SU as a favorite over the last 3 seasons
• 10-3 SU when the total posted is between 63.5 and 70 pointsComment
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Re: 12-29-08
Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Northwestern Wildcats @ Missouri Tigers - Monday December 29, 2008 8:00 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: Northwestern Wildcats +12.5 (-110)
This spread is simply too high for us to not take a shot on Northwestern. After all, if you are Missouri, for a team that was thought to be in the National Title hunt at the start of the year, to who miserably underperformed expectations that they now have to play in the Alamo Bowl and not even a BCS game, how do you "get-up" for against a team like Northwestern. This is a team that competed for the Big 12 Title, and now has does not even have a BCS game to show for it. Yes, Sutton is questionable for this game, but Northwestern does have other backs and I can't imagine Sutton truly missing this game. Note that Mizzou will have the crowd behind them of course, but, this is still a Big 10 team that defeated Iowa on the road which is very tough to do, beat Illinois and Zuk by 17 at home, beat Michigan on the road by a touchdown and Missouri did have four losses this year including the hiccup in the game to a nonranked team right before Oklahoma. Missouri has failed to cover their last four of five games and I believe we are on solid ground taking a Big 10 team who is catching 12.5 points having defeated some competent teams and who faces a Missouri defense that is very suspect. One thing that Northwestern does having going for them is a sound offense and in what is expected to be a high scoring game totaled at 66.5, why not take a shot on a great top 25 offense to squeeze inside the number and if a few plays go in our favor, Northwestern might be more competitive than most people realize in this game, especially if Missouri takes this team lightly by not showing up in the first half. I think Northwestern wants to be here and will wear the dog tag proud in this game.Comment
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Re: 12-29-08
DOC
2 Unit Play. #228 Take Missouri over Northwestern (Monday 12/29 5:00 PM ESPN Alamo Bowl) While Northwestern will play hard in this game and keep things close, Missouri offense is far too explosive to be held in check. Chase Daniel’s last game as a Tiger, I’m looking for a big day for the Missouri offense. Northwestern doesn’t have the offense to hang around. Missouri is 13-3 ATS in their last 16 non-conference games
DOC
4 Unit Play. #733 Take Cincinnati over Memphis (9:00 pm) Not a chance Memphis warrants to be laying this big of a spread against a decent team from the Big East. The Tigers just do not have the scoring punch of last year to be able to cover this big of a number. The Bearcats are 10-2 and 1-0 in true road games this season with a victory at UNLV. This will be much closer then what the experts think and we will easily collect in the process behind Deonta Vaughn and company.Comment
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Re: 12-29-08
JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 10* graded play UNDER Missouri/Northwestern in the Alamo Bowl. For once this season the Missouri defense will be facing a team they matchup well against and based on the AiS projections I fully expect them to play extremely well. Missouri has faced the strongest and most prolific offenses in the nation and this experience will have them well prepared to face an average offense in Northwestern. AiS also shows an 88% probability that Northwestern will not gain more than 150 rushing yards. Note that Missouri is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) when they allow 100 to 150 rushing yards over the last 2 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 37-8 UNDER for 82% since 1997 and is a perfect 7-0 UNDER this season. Play under with any team against the total in non-conference games and are off 2 straight losses to conference rivals allowing 31 points or more. Here is a second system that has gone 30-8 UNDER for 79% since 2002. Play under with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games and is a good team winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season. Reflecting the "seasoning" that Missouri has endured this season Northwestern is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) versus passing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 62% or worse since 1992. Again, Northwestern is NOT Texas tech, Texas, or Oklahoma by any stretch of analysis. Even against Michigan and Illinois, Northwestern, did not rush the ball well. Note that they are 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992. Take the UNDER.Comment
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