Wednesday 10-18-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NHL

Wednesday, October 18

Toronto won its last four games with Detroit; under is 8-2 in last ten series games. Red Wings are 2-3 in last five games in this building. Detroit won four of its first six games; they’re 3-1 on road- three of their last four games went over. Maple Leafs won five of their first six games (over 5-1); they’re 2-1 at home (over 3-0).

Road team is 6-4 in last ten Chicago-St Louis games; Blackhawks won 3 of last 4 games- they are 3-2 in last five visits to St Louis. Chicago won four of its first six games (over 4-2); they split their two road games. St Louis lost 2-1/5-2 in its last two games after winning their first four; they beat Dallas Stars 4-2 in their only home game. Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Kings are 5-3 in last 8 games with Montreal; home team won five of last seven series games. Over is 3-1-2 in last six series games. Canadiens lost 3 of last 4 games in Staples Center; they lost their last five games overall, outscored 20-7. Over is 3-2 in their last five games. Kings won 4 of their first 5 games (over 2-2-1), winning three of four home games.

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NHL

Wednesday, October 18

Trend Report

DETROIT @ TORONTO
Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing Detroit

CHICAGO @ ST. LOUIS
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

MONTREAL @ LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Montreal's last 11 games on the road
Montreal is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

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NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 18


Detroit @ Toronto

Game 1-2
October 18, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
11.599
Toronto
12.695
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
N/A

Chicago @ St. Louis

Game 3-4
October 18, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
11.258
St. Louis
12.343
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-115); Over

Montreal @ Los Angeles

Game 5-6
October 18, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
9.080
Los Angeles
11.532
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Benton

Your Wednesday freebie is the Under in the Astros-Yankees game.

I will be back by 1pm eastern with your analysis.

2* HOUSTON-N.Y. YANKEES UNDER

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Eric Schroeder

My free play for tonight is on the Boston Celtics.

With one under their belt, and a tough one at that, expect them to bounce back tonight at home against the Milwaukee Bucks and score the win and cover.

I know there is concern the C's lost Gordon Hayward, but they're resilient enought to come out and play for him tonight. And they still have enought talent to get past these Bucks.

The Celtics trailed by 18 points before rallying and almost winning the game against the Cleveland Cavaliers, so they will be playing with a chip on their shoulders tonight.

2* CELTICS

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Joey Juice

Everyone has bet over in every one of these games in this series waiting for the Cubs bats to wake up. It's over, it's not going to happen, we're not going to see any explosiveness from this Cub's lineup unfortunately this postseason.

Once again we look to the numbers for this easy free win, and the numbers significantly support the under. The Dodgers don't score a lot of runs on the road, as the under is 4-0 in the Dodgers’ last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. In fact, the Dodgers Under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games overall. More importantly the under is 6-0-1 in the Dodgers last 7 vs. NL central opponents. Besides, the Dodgers under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 playoff road games.

For Chicago we see the same type of numbers. Chicago under is 3-0-1 last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Chicago under is 7-1-1 in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. And most telling is the fact that the Cubs under is 6-1 in their last seven playoff games at home.

Stay with the Under here.

3* L.A. DODGERS-CHICAGO UNDER

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Chris Jordan

Game 4, and the defending World Series champion Chicago Cubs are up against it. And the only way this team can challenge the No. 1 seed Los Angeles Dodgers is to buckle down with pitching. The Cubs have to silence the bats, and keep things tight, otherwise this thing is over tonight.

MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager, and I want you to be sure the following pitchers are the starters of record on your ticket when making your play: Alex Wood and Jake Arrieta. If one or both of these pitchers is not going, this is a no-play.

Wood was fantastic all season for Los Angeles, finishing the regular season with a 16-3 mark, and 2.72 ERA. Tonight the left-hander makes his first career postseason start, and I think he'll be fine in silencing the Cubs bats. Wood threw two scoreless innings in Game 4 of the NLCS last year against the Cubs, so I don't think there will be any jitters.

Meanwhile, Arrieta toes the slab for Chicago tonight, making his ninth career postseason start. He will be looking to avenge a loss in his lone National League Divisional Series appearance against the Washington Nationals. He only allowed one unearned run over four innings, so he will be fired up here.

Take the under.

3* UNDER Cubs/Dodgers (Wood/Arrieta)

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Jeff Benton

Your Wednesday freebie is the Under in the Astros-Yankees game.

It is a rematch of your Game One starters, as Dallas Keuchel and Masahiro Tanaka toe the rubber again, but this time in the Bronx.

In Game One, both starters were as stingy as they come, Houston able to crack through for 2 runs while holding New York to just 1 run in an easy Under.

There is really no need to type out all of Keuchel's numbers against the Yankees, let's just say that he OWNS New York, and I find it hard to believe that New York is going to suddenly erupt on a pitcher that continually shuts them down.

On the flip side, Tanaka has been on fire in the playoffs and will be equally as stingy against a Houston team that is averaging just 2 runs per game this series!

Lots of goose eggs on the scoreboard today.

2* HOUSTON-N.Y. YANKEES UNDER

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Brandon Lee

Oct 18 '17, 5:00 PM in 3h
MLB | Astros vs Yankees
Play on: Astros -106 at 5Dimes

10* FREE MLB PICK (Astros -106)
I cashed in winning tickets on the Yankees in both Game 3 and 4, but will now shift sides and take the Astros in Game 5. Houston is still the better team and part of the reason I didn't like them in them in the previous two is they just don't have the depth at starting pitching after the two aces in Keuchel and Verlander. Tonight will feature the return of Keuchel, who was exceptional in Game 1, allowing just 4 hits with 10 strikeouts in 7 shutout innings. He's now got a 1.09 ERA and 0.780 WHIP in 8 career starts against the Yankees. New York counters with Masahiro Tanaka, who has an ugly 7.62 ERA in 6 career starts (1-5 team record) against the Astros. Give me Houston -106!

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Mike Lundin

Oct 18 '17, 10:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Blazers vs Suns
Play on: Blazers -135 at 5Dimes

#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Portland Trail Blazers will be without C.J. McCollum here in the season opener at Phoenix Wednesday night as he will be serving a one game suspension for leaving the bench area in last week's preseason clash with the Suns.
I still like the Blazers to come out ahead though as they have several players who can pick up the slack.
Phoenix is in rebuild mode and enters the season with the NBA's youngest roster at an average age of 24.5 years. I like what the Suns are doing and will no doubt pay off over time, but this will be another tough season for Phoenix.
My free pick is on Portland Trail Blazers.

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John Martin

Oct 18 '17, 10:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Blazers vs Suns
Play on: OVER 219 -105

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Blazers/Suns OVER 219

Two of the worst defensive teams in the NBA square off tonight when the Blazers travel to face the Suns on opening night. Earl Watson wants to make sure that the Suns go up-tempo and take advantage of their backcourt led by Devin Booker and Eric Bledsoe. This is a young team that will get up and down this year, and one that will likely be terrible on the defensive end again. The Blazers have the same issue as they feature a great young backcourt but one that doesn't play much defense. The OVER was 3-1 in four meetings between these teams last year with combined scores of 247, 211, 245 and 233 points. Give me the OVER.

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Scott Rickenbach

Oct 18 '17, 7:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Hornets vs Pistons
Play on: Hornets +3½ -115 at betonline

HUGE 6-1 Tuesday with all picks included 1-0 start to the NBA season courtesy of the Celtics last night! Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach is no stranger to BIG-TIME hardwood SUCCESS! In fact, his CBB is currently on a 99-77 +$15,280 RUN and his NBA is on a 113-85 +$20,570 RUN! That combines for a 212-162 hoops record - 50 GAMES ABOVE .500 - and UP $35,850 PROFIT IN HOOPS! Sounds good, doesn't it? Don't miss YOUR OPPORTUNITY at the betting window! Be sure to grab his PREMIUM PICK on the EARLY 7 ET game on ESPN as you can get Rickenbach's Smash Pass and then WATCH AND WIN! As for his FREE PICK Wednesday in NBA, here it is:
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Free Pick Wednesday Charlotte Hornets (+) @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:05 ET - Even though the Hornets will without Nicolas Batum and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist tonight, the odds makers were certainly well aware of that when they made this line. The fact is that Dwight Howard is likely to be a beast for Charlotte tonight. The big man is re-united with coach Steve Clifford. The Hornets coach was an assistant with Orlando when Howard had his biggest seasons and was the franchise player for the Magic. Howard is rejuvenated and ready to go here and the Hornets are hungry to get their season off to a strong start. Detroit won only 37 games last season and that was the 4th time in 5 seasons that they've been held to 37 wins or less. Pistons head coach Stan Van Gundy admitted he is unsure of his starters tonight and his playing rotation. All 12 guys who dress could play. I just don't expect the Pistons to be very "fluid" at all tonight and, though Detroit took 3 of the 4 meeting last season it was a bit of a fluke. The Pistons made 37 of 93 three pointers in those 3 wins. That's 40% whereas on the season Detroit only shot 33% from three point land. With one win by 1 point and another by just 6 points. Just "normal" three point shooting would have had the Pistons at 1-3 versus Charlotte last season. Couple that with the Hornets addition of Howard being a big factor on both ends of the floor and you have a great spot to back the road dog! Free Pick on CHARLOTTE

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Dave Price

Oct 18 '17, 7:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Nets vs Pacers
Play on: Pacers -3 -102 at 5Dimes

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:

1* on Indiana Pacers -3

The Key: The loss of Paul George has the Indiana Pacers a bit under the radar entering the new season. But this team still has a lot of talent on hand and should be better than expected. They have a solid backcourt with Darren Collison and Victor Oladipo, and nice veteran in Thaddeus Young, and one of the best young centers in the game in Myles Turner. The Brooklyn Nets are in rebuilding mode for sure and with all of their new pieces, they won't be hitting on all cylinders this early in the season. This is a pretty generous price here with the Pacers at home. Take Indiana.

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Jack Jones

Oct 18 '17, 7:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Heat vs Magic
Play on: UNDER 206 -110

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Heat/Magic UNDER 206

I'm taking the UNDER in this matchup between the Miami Heat and Orlando Magic. The Heat were a great defensive team last year which was the biggest reason for their second-half resurgence. They will be an elite defensive squad once again in 2017 with basically the same cast back, led by Hassan Whiteside.

Defense was the problem for the Magic last season. Orlando ranked 22nd in points allowed (107.6), 25th in defensive field-goal percentage (46.7 percent), 24th in defensive 3-point percentage (36.8) as well as 22nd in defensive rating (110.5).

While preseason numbers do not necessarily indicate how the regular season will go, the Magic are at least hopeful of an improvement after playing decently on defense during the exhibition season. They ranked ninth in defensive rating, 10th in points allowed and sixth in field-goal percentage allowed.

The Heat went 27-14 to the UNDER in road games last season, including 9-2 in their final 11 road games. I expect both teams to come in a bit rusty in the opener and for defense to prevail in this one. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

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Mike Williams

Oct 18 '17, 9:00 PM in 7h
MLB | Dodgers vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -109 at BMaker

1* on Cubs -109