Sunday 10-22-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-20-2017, 07:05 AM

Zcode Public Fade Plays - Week 7

We went 2-1 ATS in Week 6 which improves our YTD to 13-5. Let’s see if we can keep it going with a few potential plays for Week 7. The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. Books are always looking to exploit public perception so hopefully we can find a few winners by fading the public in a few heavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Monday (10/16) so always keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.
KANSAS CITY @ OAKLAND
While the Chiefs lost their first game of the season last week, the public still wants nothing to do with a disappointing Raiders team.

This is a huge, must win game for Oakland. While both teams had a short week to prepare, Oakland didn’t have to travel and I think we will get a max effort from the Raiders. Let’s take Oakland +3 (Bookmaker)
ARIZONA @ LOS ANGELES RAMS
The public took notice of Adrian Peterson and the new look Cardinals.

While the Cardinals did look much improved on offense, the Rams have quietly put together a strong start to their season. This is a great example of a team (Arizona) catching a lot of hype after a win which influences the public to overlook a good Rams team. Let’s take Los Angeles -3 (5Dimes)
DALLAS @ SAN FRANCISCO
San Francisco has not won a game yet this season and the public is on the Cowboys.

While the 49ers haven’t won a game yet, they have stayed within 3 points for five straight games. Now back at home after 3 straight road games, they will be hungry to get their first win in front of their fans. Dallas, who might be without Ezekiel Elliott, hasn’t lived up to expectations and that might continue in a tougher-than-expected road trip. Let’s take San Francisco +6 (Bookmaker)
Like I mentioned, we have a few days until these games take place with lots of wagering in between so keeping an eye on the lines and percentages throughout the week is important. Fading the public is very successful when the public side is 80%+ so keep that in mind as the week progresses and the betting volume grows.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:12 PM

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Preview: Ravens at Vikings

Gracenote
Oct 20, 2017

Despite an injury-riddled offensive backfield, the Minnesota Vikings are in good shape in the NFC North. The Vikings will try to win their third straight game and remain atop the division standings when they host the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday.

The Vikings seem to have found an answer to their injury woes at quarterback with Case Keenum excelling in place of Sam Bradford (knee), and Jerick McKinnon has put up big numbers in two games since rookie running back Dalvin Cook was lost for the season. Minnesota has the benefit of leaning on one of the league’s best defenses, which has been especially tough against the run. Baltimore is coming off a bad loss – 27-24 in overtime to visiting Chicago – and has plenty of problems on both sides of the ball. The teams are meeting for the first time since 2013.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Vikings -5.5. O/U: 39

ABOUT THE RAVENS (3-3): Baltimore’s passing game is a mess, as Joe Flacco has thrown one touchdown pass and six interceptions over the last four games and the team ranks 31st in the league in passing. Second-year running back Alex Collins has been a pleasant surprise, leading the league at 6.44 yards per carry, but he has yet to find the end zone. Baltimore’s once-vaunted defense still is tough against the pass but has been gashed on the ground of late, as it gave up 231 rushing yards against the Bears.
ABOUT THE VIKINGS (4-2): Minnesota has won back-to-back divisional games and has held three straight opponents under 275 total yards. The Vikings rank third against the run and have allowed more than 100 rushing yards only twice in six games. Keenum has been efficient in Bradford’s absence, throwing five touchdown passes and one interception while taking advantage of a talented receiving corps led by Adam Thielen, who leads the NFC with 489 receiving yards on 38 catches.

EXTRA POINTS
1. Minnesota DE Everson Griffen ranks second in the NFC with seven sacks and has recorded at least one in every game this season.
2. Baltimore WR Mike Wallace, who played for the Vikings in 2015, has three touchdown receptions in two career meetings with his former team.
3. Ravens LB C.J. Mosley leads the league with 55 tackles.

PREDICTION: Vikings 23, Ravens 17

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:13 PM

Trends - Baltimore at Minnesota

ATS TRENDS

Baltimore

Ravens are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Ravens are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 7.
Ravens are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Ravens are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games in October.
Ravens are 5-14-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss.

Minnesota

Vikings are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games.
Vikings are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games on fieldturf.
Vikings are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Vikings are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win.
Vikings are 38-15 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Vikings are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.

OU TRENDS

Baltimore
Under is 3-0-1 in Ravens last 4 games in Week 7. Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games on fieldturf. Over is 3-1-1 in Ravens last 5 games in October.

Minnesota

Under is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games in October.
Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 9-2 in Vikings last 11 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games in Week 7.
Under is 18-7-1 in Vikings last 26 games following a straight up win.
Under is 17-7-1 in Vikings last 25 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Ravens are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:14 PM

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: Twickenham Stadium, London

Preview: Cardinals at Rams

Gracenote
Oct 20, 2017

Adrian Peterson provided an instant spark in his debut with the Arizona Cardinals and aims to do more of the same when the team plays the role of visitor Sunday against the Los Angeles Rams at Twickenham Stadium in London. Peterson rushed for 134 yards and two touchdowns in Arizona's 38-33 home triumph over Tampa Bay last Sunday, earning NFC Offensive Player of the Week honors in the process.

The 32-year-old Peterson, who was acquired from New Orleans for a draft pick on Oct. 10, gave a huge boost to a Cardinals ground attack that was averaging a mere 51.8 yards per game and this week will be facing a run defense that ranks 29th in the league (139.5 yards). Los Angeles is coming off its third win in four games, a 27-17 victory at Jacksonville that featured a 103-yard touchdown return by Pharoh Cooper on the opening kickoff. The Rams have a rushing threat of their own in Todd Gurley, who is fourth in the NFL with 521 yards and tied for first with seven TDs - including three of the receiving variety. Both teams also can get things done through the air, as Arizona's Carson Palmer (1,856) is second in the league in passing yards while Los Angeles' Jared Goff (1,484) ranks seventh.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Rams -3.5. O/U: 46

ABOUT THE CARDINALS (3-3): Peterson became the ninth player in NFL history to record 50 100-yard rushing performances and needs 38 yards on Sunday to reach 12,000 for his career in the fourth-fewest amount of games (129). The former league MVP also is one rushing touchdown away from recording 100 in the fifth-fewest amount of contests and two shy of passing Marshall Faulk and Shaun Alexander for seventh place on the all-time list. Larry Fitzgerald can overtake Tim Brown (14,934) for sixth in NFL history with 81 receiving yards while Palmer, who ranks 12th all-time with 294 TD passes after snapping a tie with Warren Moon last week, trails John Elway by sixth for 11th place.

ABOUT THE RAMS (4-2): Los Angeles presents a major threat as it enters Week 7 first in the league in scoring at 29.8 points per contest. Kicker Greg Zuerlein tops the NFL in scoring with 69 points, going 17-for-18 on field-goal attempts and has converted all 18 of his extra-point tries. The Rams also are dangerous on special teams as Malcolm Brown returned a blocked punt by Cory Littleton for a touchdown against Tampa Bay to go along with Cooper's score.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Cardinals are 5-0-1 in their last six contests against NFC West rivals.

2. Cooper's kickoff return, which was the first in the NFL this season, the longest in franchise history and the first for the Rams since 2005, helped earn him NFC Special Teams Player of the Week honors.

3. The trio of Palmer (302), Peterson (104) and Fitzgerald (107) is the only one in NFL history with 300, 100 and 100 TDs, respectively.

PREDICTION: Cardinals 31, Rams 23

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:15 PM

Trends - Arizona vs L.A. Rams

ATS TRENDS

Arizona

Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Cardinals are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cardinals are 4-13 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cardinals are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Cardinals are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 7.
Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Cardinals are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

L.A. Rams

Rams are 21-47 ATS in their last 68 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Rams are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games on fieldturf.
Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Rams are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Rams are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC.
Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC West.
Rams are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Arizona

Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games on fieldturf.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games in Week 7.
Over is 7-2 in Cardinals last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 vs. NFC.
Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games in October.
Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 vs. NFC West.

L.A. Rams

Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Rams last 8 games overall.
Over is 5-1 in Rams last 6 vs. NFC.
Under is 10-3 in Rams last 13 games on fieldturf.
Under is 9-3 in Rams last 12 vs. NFC West.
Under is 6-2 in Rams last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 11-4 in Rams last 15 games following a ATS win.
Under is 11-5 in Rams last 16 games following a straight up win.

HEAD TO HEAD

Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Los Angeles.
Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Cardinals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:16 PM

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin

Preview: Saints at Packers

Gracenote
Oct 20, 2017

Aaron Rodgers is sidelined with a broken collarbone, and that leaves all eyes on quarterback Brett Hundley when the Green Bay Packers host the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. Hundley will be making his first career start and must upgrade his play after throwing three interceptions in relief of the injured Rodgers in last Sunday's loss to Minnesota.

Hundley has performed superbly in the preseason during his three years with the Packers, and he says the squad's playoff aspirations shouldn't take a hit with Rodgers lost for at least two months. "Our goals haven't changed, and they won't," Hundley told reporters. "Everything is in front of us, and we can still get to where we want to go to." The Saints have rattled off three straight wins after an 0-2 start, and quarterback Drew Brees sees things falling into place. "I think we've gotten better every week in certain ways," Brees told reporters. "Obviously, we have some momentum. We like the direction that we are going. We understand the things that have happened these last three weeks that've allowed us to win."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Saints -5.5. O/U: 47.5

ABOUT THE SAINTS (3-2): Brees tossed his first two interceptions of the campaign and compiled a season-low 186 yards in last Sunday's win over Detroit, but he has been superb this season with 1,321 yards and 10 touchdowns. Running back Mark Ingram (284 yards) started slowly but revved up his game against the Lions with a season-best 114 yards and his first two touchdowns of the season. The defense allows 23.2 points per game (21st in the NFL), but defensive end Cameron Jordan has registered five sacks as he looks to reach double digits for the third time in his career.

ABOUT THE PACKERS (4-2): The chatter all week has been about Green Bay falling apart without Rodgers due to now having a novice at the helm, so Packers coach Mike McCarthy called for an end to the comparisons. "I think it's fair and realistic to not compare guys to Aaron," McCarthy told reporters. "Aaron has the, in my opinion, complete skill set. There isn't a throw in football he doesn't make and he plays the game cerebrally on a high level. It's important for Brett to run the offense and play it to our strengths." Second-year inside linebacker Blake Martinez (team-best 48 tackles) has excelled, but the defense has struggled against the run as it is allowing 119.8 yards per game (24th in NFL).

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Packers hold a 16-8 series advantage, but the Saints won the most recent meeting 44-23 in 2014.

2. Green Bay WR Jordy Nelson (25 receptions, 290 yards) is tied for the NFL lead with six touchdown receptions.

3. New Orleans WR Willie Snead IV (hamstring) made his season debut last Sunday and had one reception after totaling 141 over his first two NFL campaigns.

PREDICTION: Saints 26, Packers 17

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:16 PM

Trends - New Orleans at Green Bay

ATS TRENDS

New Orleans

Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.
Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Saints are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games.
Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.
Saints are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Saints are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games in October.
Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Saints are 38-17-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Saints are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

Green Bay

Packers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 7.
Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Packers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games in October.
Packers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Packers are 38-16 ATS in their last 54 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC.
Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

OU TRENDS

New Orleans

Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Saints last 6 vs. NFC.
Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-1 in Saints last 8 games overall.
Under is 7-1 in Saints last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 road games.
Over is 4-1 in Saints last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 7-2 in Saints last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games in Week 7.

Green Bay

Over is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Packers last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 7-1 in Packers last 8 games on grass.
Over is 6-1 in Packers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 11-2 in Packers last 13 games overall.
Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 home games.
Over is 10-2 in Packers last 12 vs. NFC.
Over is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Packers last 9 games in October.
Over is 5-2 in Packers last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Green Bay.
Over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings.
Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:17 PM

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois

Preview: Panthers at Bears

Gracenote
Oct 20, 2017

Rookie quarterback Mitch Trubisky has faced tough assignments in his first two starts for the Chicago Bears, and now the opposition gets even tougher. Trubisky and the Bears host the Carolina Panthers and their excellent defense on Sunday.

The Bears haven’t asked too much of Trubisky in his first two starts, as he has passed for only 241 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while primarily focusing on handing off to Jordan Howard. “As a quarterback, you want to be throwing the ball,” Trubisky told reporters. “But as a competitor and a leader of this team, you're going to do whatever it takes to win. If it's running the ball, if it's passing the ball, whatever it is, that's what we're going to do.” Leaning on the ground game might not be a viable option against the Panthers, who rank fifth in the NFL against the run and allow just 3.4 yards per carry. Carolina had a two-game winning streak snapped with a 28-23 loss to Philadelphia last week.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Panthers -3. O/U: 40.5

ABOUT THE PANTHERS (4-2): Carolina has been inconsistent on offense, as quarterback Cam Newton is the only player with a rushing touchdown – he has three – and the ground game has totaled only 108 yards over the last two games. Newton could be without one of his top receivers Sunday with Kelvin Benjamin listed as questionable with a knee injury. The Panthers’ defense has been stout but might be without leading tackler Luke Kuechly, who left last week’s game with a concussion.
ABOUT THE BEARS (2-4): Chicago’s defense has been solid, ranking sixth in total defense, but the team's 14 turnovers have led to too many easy points. The Bears forced a season-high three turnovers last week but still are 31st in the league in turnover margin at minus-8. Howard and rookie Tarik Cohen have proven to form an excellent backfield duo, but the passing game hasn’t shown much life regardless of who is under center.

EXTRA POINTS
1. Panthers DE Julius Peppers has registered 150 career sacks and needs one more to move past Chris Doleman for fourth place on the all-time list.
2. Bears TE Zach Miller and Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey each have caught a touchdown pass in consecutive games.
3. Howard has recorded 995 scrimmage yards and eight rushing touchdowns in his last eight home games.

PREDICTION: Panthers 20, Bears 13

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:18 PM

Trends - Carolina at Chicago

ATS TRENDS

Carolina
Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Panthers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Panthers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Chicago

Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Bears are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
Bears are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Bears are 14-38-1 ATS in their last 53 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
Bears are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 7.

OU TRENDS

Carolina
Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games overall. Over is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 games in October. Under is 8-3-1 in Panthers last 12 games on grass. Over is 12-5-1 in Panthers last 18 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 12-5 in Panthers last 17 games in Week 7. Over is 19-9 in Panthers last 28 road games. Over is 21-10-1 in Panthers last 32 vs. NFC.

Chicago

Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games in Week 7.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games in October.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 28-11 in Bears last 39 games following a straight up win.
Under is 7-3 in Bears last 10 home games.
Over is 7-3 in Bears last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 15-7 in Bears last 22 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Panthers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Chicago.
Road team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:19 PM

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, Ohio

Preview: Titans at Browns

Gracenote
Oct 20, 2017

The Cleveland Browns are trying to gain some stability at the quarterback spot and will start DeShone Kizer this week after benching the rookie in favor of Kevin Hogan last week. The Tennessee Titans, who visit the Browns on Sunday, have no question about their quarterback spot, as long as they manage to keep Marcus Mariota healthy.

Kizer watched from the sidelines as Hogan threw three interceptions and is heading back out on the field ready to limit his own mistakes and hold himself accountable. "In this league you have to talk less and do more," Kizer, who is completing 50.9 percent of his passes and owns nine interceptions to go with just three touchdowns, told reporters. "We come in every Monday after a tough loss and we have this discussion about all the things we need to do. We need to start doing those." Mariota sat out a 16-10 loss at Miami on Oct. 8 with a hamstring injury but returned on Monday with limited mobility and threw for 306 yards in the 36-22 victory over Indianapolis while working from the pocket. "The guy's a complete stud," Titans tackle Taylor Lewan told ESPN.com "The guy's a franchise quarterback, and he deserves everything he gets. I'm just happy to be his left tackle. Just his work ethic, the kind of pro he is, the kind of guy he is, I can't say enough about Marcus Mariota. He's the bomb dot com."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Titans -5.5. O/U: 45.5

ABOUT THE TITANS (3-3): Mariota is not the only Tennessee player dealing with a hamstring issue -- running back DeMarco Murray missed practice this week and is questionable for Sunday. The Titans are sixth in the league in rushing at an average of 132 yards behind the dual threats of Murray (313 yards) and Derrick Henry, who broke out for 131 yards on 19 carries against Indianapolis and is up to 318 yards on the season. "The big emphasis last week was re-establishing the run, and that started up front," Henry told the team's website. "The O-line did a great job, and for us to be able to have the yards that we did, it starts with them and the tight ends and fullbacks -- they do a great job blocking. So credit to those guys."

ABOUT THE BROWNS (0-6): Kizer is not the only rookie under the microscope in Cleveland, and No. 1 overall pick Myles Garrett is showing signs that he is ready to live up to the hype. The defensive end did not make his debut until Week 5 due to a high ankle sprain but totaled three sacks in his first two games and helped force an interception last week against Houston. "You can see him starting to truly get back to where he was before -- the speed, the quickness, the hand placement and the movement in his body," coach Hue Jackson told reporters. "He is doing some good things, and he just has to continue to get better. I think we all know there is a whole (other) level for him in there. I think he will keep pushing and keep working at it."

EXTRA POINTS

1. Titans K Rob Bironas was named AFC Special Teams Player of the Week after going 5-for-5 on field-goal attempts Monday.

2. Cody Kessler will serve as the Browns' backup QB on Sunday, with Hogan (ribs) dropping to the No. 3 spot.

3. Mariota threw for 284 yards and three TDs in Tennessee's 28-26 win over Cleveland in the last meeting on Oct. 16, 2016.

PREDICTION: Titans 31, Browns 17

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:20 PM

Trends - Tennessee at Cleveland

ATS TRENDS

Tennessee

Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Titans are 16-33-2 ATS in their last 51 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Titans are 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 games on grass.
Titans are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.
Titans are 17-39-3 ATS in their last 59 games overall.
Titans are 15-36-1 ATS in their last 52 games following a ATS win.
Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Titans are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games.
Titans are 12-35-4 ATS in their last 51 vs. AFC.
Titans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Titans are 11-39-2 ATS in their last 52 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Titans are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Titans are 5-23-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Titans are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.

Cleveland

Browns are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. AFC.
Browns are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss.
Browns are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Browns are 6-24-1 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Browns are 6-25-1 ATS in their last 32 games overall.
Browns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games.
Browns are 5-24 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss.
Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Browns are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 7.
Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Browns are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Tennessee

Over is 11-2-1 in Titans last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Titans last 9 games in Week 7.
Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games following a ATS win.
Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Titans last 10 road games.
Over is 14-6-1 in Titans last 21 games on grass.
Over is 44-21-1 in Titans last 66 games in October.

Cleveland

Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 8-1 in Browns last 9 games on grass.
Under is 12-2 in Browns last 14 home games.
Under is 5-1 in Browns last 6 games in Week 7.
Under is 14-4 in Browns last 18 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Browns last 12 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 8-3 in Browns last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 10-4 in Browns last 14 games overall.
Under is 10-4 in Browns last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Under is 41-17-2 in Browns last 60 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Cleveland.
Road team is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:21 PM

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida

Preview: Jets at Dolphins

Gracenote
Oct 20, 2017

When the New York Jets defeated the Miami Dolphins in Week 3, it looked like a matchup of two of the league’s worst teams. Both clubs have emerged as surprise contenders in the wide-open AFC East, however, and Sunday’s rematch at Miami could play a big role in how the division shakes out.

The Dolphins have won two straight following back-to-back ugly defeats, including a 20-6 loss at New York. Miami pulled off an incredible comeback to win 20-17 at Atlanta last week after trailing 17-0 at halftime. The Jets had their unlikely three-game winning streak snapped with a 24-17 setback against New England last week. They squandered a 14-0 lead but were hurt when an apparent touchdown was ruled a fumble and a touchback on a controversial call.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Dolphins -3. O/U: 38

ABOUT THE JETS (3-3): New York leaned on quarterback Josh McCown last week and he torched the Patriots’ struggling secondary for 334 yards, but they hope to have leading rusher Bilal Powell (calf) back on Sunday. Taking care of the ball has been the biggest concern for the Jets as they have committed 11 turnovers - at least one in every game and three last week. Stopping the run also has been an issue, as New York has allowed at least 118 yards on the ground in every contest other than the first meeting the Dolphins, who managed only 30.
ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (3-2): Miami’s offense had been dismal until its third-quarter revival against the Falcons. The Dolphins rank last in the league in passing and could be without No. 2 receiver DeVante Parker (ankle) for a second straight game, but running back Jay Ajayi broke out of a slump with 130 yards last week. The league’s third-best scoring defense has kept the Dolphins in games and is excellent against the run, ranking fourth in the NFL.

EXTRA POINTS
1. Ajayi has averaged 109.5 rushing yards in his last six games against AFC East opponents.
2. Jets TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins has caught a touchdown pass in two straight contests.
3. Miami DE Cameron Wake has registered 3 1/2 sacks in his last four games overall and 6 1/2 in his last six AFC East matchups.

PREDICTION: Dolphins 17, Jets 16

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:22 PM

Trends - N.Y. Jets at Miami

ATS TRENDS

N.Y. Jets

Jets are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 7.
Jets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in October.
Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Jets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC.
Jets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Jets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Jets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Jets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Jets are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Miami
Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Dolphins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. Dolphins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games on grass. Dolphins are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC East.

OU TRENDS

N.Y. Jets

Under is 5-0 in Jets last 5 vs. AFC East.
Over is 9-1-1 in Jets last 11 games in Week 7.
Under is 6-1 in Jets last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Jets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 4-1 in Jets last 5 road games.
Under is 8-2-1 in Jets last 11 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 6-2 in Jets last 8 games overall.
Under is 9-3 in Jets last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Jets last 8 vs. AFC.
Under is 6-2 in Jets last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Jets last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Miami
Under is 6-0 in Dolphins last 6 games overall. Under is 5-0 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass. Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 vs. AFC. Over is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 vs. AFC East. Over is 10-2 in Dolphins last 12 games in Week 7. Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games in October. Over is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 home games.

HEAD TO HEAD

Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Jets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 meetings in Miami.
Jets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-21-2017, 05:23 PM

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: New Era Field, Orchard Park, New York

Preview: Buccaneers at Bills

Gracenote
Oct 19, 2017

Two teams with issues at quarterback face off when the Buffalo Bills host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. Struggling Tyrod Taylor will remain under center for the Bills but Tampa Bay is unsure who will get the call after Jameis Winston suffered a shoulder injury last week.

Winston sustained a sprained AC joint in his throwing shoulder on a sack in last week's loss at Arizona and appears headed for a game-time decision. Ryan Fitzpatrick came off the bench and rallied for the Bucs from a huge deficit last week in a 38-33 setback. Taylor has yet to throw for more than 224 yards in any game this season and posted a career-low yards per attempt in a 20-16 loss last time out at Cincinnati. Buffalo coach Sean McDermott, however, told reporters earlier in the week that Taylor retains his full confidence.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Bills -3. O/U: NL.

ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (2-3): Fitzpatrick is certainly no stranger to the Bills' Ralph Wilson Stadium, playing there 26 times since 2008 as a home and visiting quarterback and is 13-13. Led by Winston, Tampa Bay ranks second in the NFL averaging 299.6 yards passing this season. Mike Evans leads the team with 371 yards and tight end Cameron Brate has hauled in a touchdown pass in four straight games.
ABOUT THE BILLS (3-2): While Taylor has certainly struggled, his receiving corps has been decimated by injuries. Tight end Charles Clay (knee) will miss a month and wide receiver Jordan Matthews is doubtful for Sunday's game with a thumb injury. Despite the uneven beginning, Buffalo enters the contest just a half-game behind New England in the AFC East standings, buoyed by its defense which ranks first in the NFL, allowing just 14.8 points a game.

EXTRA POINTS
1. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in the series.
2. Bucs RB Doug Martin has scored one rushing touchdown in his two starts this season since returning from suspension.
3. Bills RB LeSean McCoy is averaging 93 yards from scrimmage but has yet to score a touchdown this season.

PREDICTION: Buccaneers 27, Bills 21

Sunday 10-22-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 10-22-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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