Sunday 10-22-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Trends - Tampa Bay at Buffalo

ATS TRENDS

Tampa Bay

Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Buccaneers are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Buccaneers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 7. Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Buccaneers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October. Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. Buccaneers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Buffalo

Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Bills are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bills are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Bills are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Bills are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7.

OU TRENDS

Tampa Bay

Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games in Week 7. Under is 5-1-1 in Buccaneers last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 games on turf. Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 3-1-1 in Buccaneers last 5 road games. Over is 18-6 in Buccaneers last 24 games in October. Over is 8-3 in Buccaneers last 11 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Over is 10-4 in Buccaneers last 14 games following a straight up loss. Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 9-4-1 in Buccaneers last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Buffalo

Over is 4-0 in Bills last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Over is 9-1 in Bills last 10 home games. Over is 9-1 in Bills last 10 games on turf. Under is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games overall. Over is 5-1 in Bills last 6 games in Week 7. Over is 8-2 in Bills last 10 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in Bills last 9 games following a straight up loss. Over is 7-2 in Bills last 9 games following a ATS loss. Over is 5-2 in Bills last 7 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Bills last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 7-3 in Bills last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

Preview: Jaguars at Colts

Gracenote
Oct 19, 2017

With Andrew Luck sidelined, possibly for the rest of the season, Jacoby Brissett remains under center as the Indianapolis Colts host the Jacksonville Jaguars in an AFC South Division contest on Sunday. The home team has won the last five meetings in the series, including last year's season finale when Luck's touchdown pass to Jack Doyle with nine seconds remaining provided the winning margin in a 24-20 decision.





With 1,209 yards passing, Brissett has played fairly well in Luck's stead, but the former Patriot backup has thrown just three touchdown passes on the season. The Colts have also coughed up three second-half leads and have fallen into last place in the division. Jacksonville hopes to have rookie sensation Leonard Fournette in the backfield for Sunday's game. Fournette left last week's 27-17 loss to the Rams in the second half after suffering a leg injury and he has missed two practices during the week.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Jaguars -3.5. O/U: 43.5.

ABOUT THE JAGUARS (3-3): Fournette is second in the league in rushing yards with 596, behind only Kareem Hunt's 630, and his six rushing touchdowns lead the NFL. If Fournette is unable to play, Chris Ivory (305 yards from scrimmage) would carry the bulk of the load for the Jags. Top receiver Marqise Lee (20 receptions, 291 yards) was also held out of practice during the week with a knee injury for the Jaguars, who rank 29th in the league in passing offense.
ABOUT THE COLTS (2-4): Luck's rehab from offseason shoulder surgery was halted during the week after the All-Pro experienced discomfort and his season seems to be over before it even started. The Colts also lost running back Robert Turbin for the rest of the season to an arm injury sustained in Monday night's 36-22 loss at Tennessee. Indianapolis led that game 19-9 in the third quarter, but its defense, which is ranked last in the NFL in allowing 32.5 points a game, wilted down the stretch once again.

EXTRA POINTS
1. Jacksonville, which ranks 31st in rushing defense (145.7 yards per game), replaced inconsistent kicker Jason Myers with Josh Lambo earlier in the week.
2. Colts WR T.Y. Hilton had just one reception last week and has scored only one touchdown on the season.

3. Jaguars QB Blake Bortles has thrown eight touchdown passes and five interceptions on the season and ranks 26th in the league in yards with 1,005.

PREDICTION: Colts 27, Jaguars 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Jacksonville at Indianapolis

ATS TRENDS

Jacksonville

Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC South. Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC. Jaguars are 3-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Jaguars are 7-21-2 ATS in their last 30 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Jaguars are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October. Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

Indianapolis

Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7. Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Colts are 30-10 ATS in their last 40 games following a straight up loss. Colts are 19-9-2 ATS in their last 30 vs. AFC South. Colts are 31-15-1 ATS in their last 47 home games. Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.

OU TRENDS

Jacksonville

Over is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall. Over is 8-2 in Jaguars last 10 games in October. Over is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games following a straight up loss. Over is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games following a ATS loss. Over is 6-2 in Jaguars last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 6-2 in Jaguars last 8 vs. AFC South. Over is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

Indianapolis

Over is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games overall. Over is 7-1 in Colts last 8 games in October. Over is 6-1 in Colts last 7 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Under is 6-1 in Colts last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 9-3 in Colts last 12 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Colts last 8 home games. Over is 13-6 in Colts last 19 games in Week 7.

HEAD TO HEAD

Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Indianapolis. Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Indianapolis. Favorite is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California

Preview: Cowboys at 49ers

Gracenote
Oct 20, 2017

The Dallas Cowboys are hoping a week off helps them avoid a third straight loss and the dubious distinction of falling to a winless team when they visit the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday. Dallas performed well offensively in the last two games before its bye week but struggled on defense, allowing 35 points against both the Los Angeles Rams and Green Bay Packers in back-to-back home defeats.

The Cowboys scored 30 and 31 points in the setbacks - their two highest outputs of the season - and still will have Ezekiel Elliott in the lineup as a United States District judge granted the running back a temporary restraining order against his league-imposed six-game suspension for domestic violence allegations. San Francisco is coming off its third straight road loss, a 26-24 setback at Washington. Since suffering a 20-point setback against Carolina in their season opener, the 49ers have lost by three points or fewer in each of their last five contests. San Francisco will pin its hopes this week on rookie quarterback C.J. Beathard, who will make his first career start after completing 19-of-36 passes for 245 yards and a touchdown in relief last week.

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Cowboys -6. O/U: 47

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (2-3): Dallas already has matched is loss total from last season and is sitting in third place in the NFC East, 2 1/2 games behind Philadelphia and one back of Washington. Rookie linebacker Jaylon Smith leads the team with 41 tackles, making at least seven in each of his five contests. Demarcus Lawrence tops the NFL with 8 1/2 sacks, registering at least one in every game this season.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (0-6): Beathard, whose grandfather Bobby served as general manager for Washington from 1978-88 and San Diego from 1989-2000, impressed coach Kyle Shanahan with his performance versus the Redskins last week. "I was excited with how he played," Shanahan told reporters. "Definitely at the time, I thought he gave us the best chance to win, and I think that going forward also." The 23-year-old Beathard, who played at Iowa, was the second of San Francisco's two third-round selections in the 2017 draft.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The 49ers signed Tony McDaniel and Leger Douzable to one-year contracts while placing fellow DL Arik Armstead (hand) on injured reserve.

2. Cowboys WR Dez Bryant has recorded a league-best 55 touchdown receptions since 2012, including three this season.

3. San Francisco re-signed TE Logan Paulsen to a one-year contract Thursday, two days after cutting him, and released CB Leon Hall.

PREDICTION: Cowboys 37, 49ers 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Dallas at San Francisco

ATS TRENDS

Dallas

Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 7. Cowboys are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Cowboys are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Cowboys are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on grass. Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Cowboys are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Cowboys are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC. Cowboys are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss. Cowboys are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Cowboys are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

San Francisco

49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC. 49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss. 49ers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. 49ers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 49ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 49ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October. 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. 49ers are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 7.

OU TRENDS

Dallas

Over is 6-0 in Cowboys last 6 games following a bye week. Under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 12-3 in Cowboys last 15 road games. Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 11-3 in Cowboys last 14 games on grass. Under is 7-2 in Cowboys last 9 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 14-6 in Cowboys last 20 games following a ATS loss.

San Francisco

Over is 5-1 in 49ers last 6 games in October. Over is 9-2 in 49ers last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Over is 11-4 in 49ers last 15 games in Week 7. Under is 18-7 in 49ers last 25 home games. Under is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 games following a straight up loss. Under is 20-9 in 49ers last 29 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings. Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, October 22, 2017
Where: StubHub Center, Carson, California

Preview: Broncos at Chargers

Gracenote
Oct 20, 2017

The Denver Broncos are fresh off a disappointing home loss but aim to complete a season sweep of the Los Angeles Chargers when they visit Southern California on Sunday. Denver, which suffered a 23-10 loss to the previously winless New York Giants last week, opened the season with a 24-21 victory over the Chargers.

The Broncos have dropped two of their last three games after a strong start and are looking to fight through the adversity and get back on track. "I think we're desperate every week," Denver quarterback Trevor Siemian told reporters. "That's how you approach it. These games mean so much. You only get 16 of them, and this is a divisional game, so yeah, you're desperate every week." Los Angeles has posted consecutive victories following an 0-4 start, and first-year coach Anthony Lynn has seen the progress. "We're 2-4, but we play like we're (6-0)," Lynn told reporters. "Guys show up and they play. They do their job. We just weren't finishing games earlier, and now we've figured out a way as a coaching staff and as players to finish a little better."
TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Chargers -1. O/U: 43

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (3-2): Siemian passed for a career-best 376 yards against the Giants but was intercepted twice and guided the Broncos to just 10 points. Running back C.J. Anderson has gained 347 yards but was dreadful against New York with just 17 on nine carries, although he has an opportunity for a solid bounce-back effort against a Los Angeles rushing defense (152.5 yards per game) that ranks dead last in the NFL. Denver leads the league in total defense (261.8) and is second in rushing defense (70.2) while star outside linebacker Von Miller (five sacks) has registered 13 sacks in 13 career games against the Chargers.

ABOUT THE CHARGERS (2-4): Philip Rivers tossed three touchdown passes in the season-opening loss to the Broncos and has played solidly with 1,633 yards and 10 TDs against five interceptions. Running back Melvin Gordon (356 rushing yards, tied for NFL lead with seven total touchdowns) is nursing a tender shoulder after receiving 34 touches (25 rushes for 83 yards, nine catches for 67 yards) in last week's win over Oakland. Los Angeles ranks fourth in pass defense at 186 yards per game, and the strong pass-rushing abilities of outside linebacker Melvin Ingram (7.5 sacks) and defensive end Joey Bosa (5.5) help create that prowess.

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Broncos have won six of the last seven meetings.

2. Los Angeles DT Corey Liuget (back) was injured against the Raiders and is in danger of missing Sunday's contest.

3. Denver has four ailing wideouts as Emmanuel Sanders (ankle) and Isaiah McKenzie (ankle) will miss the game, Cody Latimer (knee) appears doubtful and Demaryius Thomas (calf) is expected to play.

PREDICTION: Broncos 23, Chargers 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Denver at L.A. Chargers

ATS TRENDS

Denver

Broncos are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games on grass. Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss. Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.

L.A. Chargers

Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Chargers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. Chargers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Chargers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Chargers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Chargers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West. Chargers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC. Chargers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Chargers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass. Chargers are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

OU TRENDS

Denver

Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games following a straight up loss. Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games following a ATS loss. Under is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games in October. Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 7-2 in Broncos last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 vs. AFC West. Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Over is 12-5-1 in Broncos last 18 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 9-4-1 in Broncos last 14 games in Week 7.

L.A. Chargers

Over is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games in October. Under is 11-3-1 in Chargers last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Over is 3-1-1 in Chargers last 5 games following a straight up win. Under is 6-2 in Chargers last 8 vs. AFC. Over is 3-1-1 in Chargers last 5 games following a ATS win. Under is 5-2-1 in Chargers last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. Road team is 10-3-2 ATS in their last 15 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL opening line report: A-Rod injury turns Pack into early Week 7 pups
Patrick Everson

The Green Bay Packers are home underdogs for just the second time since the beginning of the 2014 season. Will backup QB Brett Hundley be able to carry the load for the Pack with A-Rod out?

Through six weeks of the NFL season, there are no more undefeated teams, and it’s anybody’s guess as to which squad is best. Patrick Everson checks out the opening lines on four Week 7 games, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+3)

Kansas City tumbled from the ranks of the unbeaten with a sluggish Week 6 offensive performance, failing to put up touchdown until the fourth quarter. The Chiefs (5-1 SU and ATS) lost to Pittsburgh 19-13 as a 3.5-point home favorite.

Oakland welcomed the return of star quarterback Derek Carr, then promptly mirrored KC with a lackluster effort. The Raiders (2-4 SU and ATS) had just one second-half score – a fourth-quarter touchdown after which they missed the extra point. That proved critical when the Raiders, 3-point home faves, lost 17-16 on a last-second San Diego field goal.

Both teams now have a short week, playing in the Thursday nighter.

“What a change in perception between these teams from the offseason to the present,” Cooley said. “The Chiefs finally put up a dud, but that’s expected at some point, while Oakland looks like it’s already left for Vegas. But as we’ve seen in recent weeks with teams that look disoriented, expect the Raiders’ best effort Thursday night.”

Early bettors apparently think so. Although the Raiders were still 3-point home pups late Sunday night, the price to get those points was up to -125.

Atlanta Falcons at New England Patriots (-4.5)

It’s a rematch of the Super Bowl, though neither team seems to be in championship form, particularly Atlanta. The Patriots, bettors will remember, were 3-point faves in the Super Bowl against Atlanta and needed a miracle to overcome at 27-3 second half deficit to win and cover the spread.

The Falcons (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) won their first three games, trying to put that incredible Super Bowl meltdown behind them. But they’ve now dropped the last two, including Sunday’s shocking 20-17 home loss to Miami as hefty 14-point chalk.

New England (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS) spotted the New York Jets 14 points on Sunday, not exactly looking like a 9-point road favorite. However, the Patriots scored the next 24 points and hung on for a 24-17 victory.

“Sharps loved the Falcons in the last matchup between these teams, and they’re lining up again here,” Cooley said of early action for this Sunday night clash. “We’ve already moved the spread down to -3, but it’s doubtful we’ll see it dip under the key number. The Falcons look flat of late, but it’s not as if the Pats have been world beaters the last three weeks.”

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5)

Heading into Week 7, Philadelphia surprisingly holds the lead in the NFC East. The Eagles (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) played in the first game of Week 6 and dropped Carolina 28-23 catching 3 points on the road Thursday night.

Washington (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) blew all of a 17-0 lead Sunday, but held on late to move above .500. The Redskins edged the 49ers 26-24, falling well short as 12-point home faves.

“Early money has been on Washington, which is somewhat of a surprise,” Cooley said of the Week 7 Monday nighter. “We’ve moved down to -4 already, but it’s highly unlikely it will head further south. You have to like what both of these squads are doing on the field, but Philadelphia is a few pegs ahead of where Washington is.”

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (+4)

Green Bay was 4-1 SU and appeared to be rounding into form after a big road win at Dallas. Then Aaron Rodgers broke his collarbone in the first quarter Sunday against Minnesota, and poof! The Packers (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) lost 23-10 giving 3 points on the road, and will be without their stud QB for the foreseeable future, perhaps the rest of the season.

Meanwhile, New Orleans cracked the 50-point barrier in a wild Week 6 home victory. The Saints (3-2 SU and ATS) went off as 6-point faves against Detroit, led 45-10 midway through the third quarter, then held off a furious rally for a 52-38 victory. Drew Brees and Co. have won and cashed three straight.

Cooley said Bookmaker.eu wasn’t quite ready Sunday to post a Saints-Packers line, with Green Bay now relying on unproven backup Brett Hundley.

“We’ve got to do some additional assessment with Hundley under center in Green Bay before posting a line,” Cooley said. “The public will line up to fade a team sans Aaron Rodgers, but we’ve seen this Packers bunch blow out opponents without him. We’ll open the Saints as short road chalk.”

The Wynn sportsbook in Las Vegas opened with the Saints as 4-point road favorites, while offshore sportsbook Pinnacle installed the Saints as 4.5-point chalk.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wiseguys are advising that these Week 7 NFL lines are going to move

Bill Belichick's defense has given up 300 or more passing yards in each of the Patriots last six games. Despite the high total, this could be another good opportunity to be the over with New England.

Game to bet now

Dallas at San Francisco (+6)

Call this one the National Anthem Bowl. The Cowboys, who have been ordered by owner Jerry Jones to stand for the anthem under penalty of benching (or worse), vs. the 49ers, who are the flagship franchise for protest and can stand or kneel depending on the depths of their beliefs.

There will probably be a football game after said anthem, and it’s a big game for the Boys if not the out-of-it-already Niners. Dallas is 2-3 (both SU and ATS) and staring down the barrel of a nasty October/November run that includes four straight winning teams (Washington, Kansas City, Atlanta, Philadelphia) after this Sunday.

It’s possible that all the hay will be in the barn by Thanksgiving, so the Cowboys really need this one to get some momentum for their most important four-game stretch of the season.

Game to wait on

New Orleans at Green Bay (+4.5)

Pro Football Talk has suggested that it might be time to institute even more protection for quarterbacks after Aaron Rodgers was lost for the year when he suffered a broken collar bone when hit a split second after throwing a pass last Sunday.

Maybe, maybe not. But Rodgers might be the best QB in the world, and losing him is bad for business.

The focus will now be on backup QB Brett Hundley, who has been holding a clipboard for a couple of years. Hundley threw 33 passes on Sunday and three of them wound up being intercepted. The Saints are scrambling to find tape on the kid. The line could expand based on early betting.

Total to watch

Atlanta at New England (53.5)

A week or more of warm weather is predicted in New England, and that’s good news for both offenses in this Super Bowl repeat.

The Falcons will welcome any help they can get after scoring just 34 total points in back-to-back losses to AFC East teams (Miami, Buffalo) – and the Patriots might just be the cure for what ails them.

Last Sunday vs. the Jets, New England’s defense gave up more than 300 passing yards for the sixth consecutive. Every week fans figure that Bill Belichick will get it fixed, and every week it isn’t.

Even with the high number, the over might be worth a long, hard look.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 7
Monty Andrews

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (+6, 45)

Saints' impressive O-line vs. Packers' lack of QB pressure

This was supposed to be a matchup between two of the all-time great quarterbacks in NFL history - but with Aaron Rogers out for the long-term with a broken collarbone, the host Packers come in as close to a one-touchdown underdog against Drew Brees and the high-powered Saints offense. Sorting out the offense will be Green Bay's top priority, but finding a way to get to Brees - something no team has done yet this season - should be next on the list.

The Saints have shown tremendous growth on defense over the past three weeks, producing nine turnovers in that stretch. But it is the offensive line that deserves the lion's share of the laurels; it has limited opponents to just four sacks all season, the fewest of any team in the league. It's a big reason why New Orleans ranks seventh in the NFL in total offense (372.2 yards per game) and fourth in scoring offense (29 ppg). If Brees has time to throw, he is among the most dangerous QBs in history.

The Saints' O-line owns a decided edge over a Green Bay pass rush still needs work. Only three teams - Tampa Bay, the New York Jets and Tennessee - have produced fewer sacks than the Packers (11) through the first six weeks of the season. It's a mind-boggling stat considering that four of Green Bay's five defensive line starters have Pro Football Focus grades higher than 78. A lack of quarterback pressure this weekend could make for a long day for the home side.

Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings (-5.5, 39.5)

Ravens' wretched third-down results vs. Vikings' vaunted 3D defense

The Ravens have to be wondering what went wrong last weekend as they fell behind early, rallied late and ultimately fell short in a 27-24 overtime loss to visiting Chicago. Baltimore has been one of the most maddeningly inconsistent teams in the league through six weeks, and will need to be at its best this Sunday if it hopes to prevail against the impressive Vikings. One significant area of improvement: Third down execution, something that cost the Ravens the win on Sunday.

Baltimore had the ball on its own 40-yard line on its only possession of OT, but gained just eight yards and failed in a pivotal 3rd-and-2 situation that forced the Ravens to punt. It was the story of the game for Baltimore, which went 3-for-18 on third down Sunday and ranks 28th in the league with a 34.6-percent success rate. It's no wonder, then, that Baltimore sits 29th in total offense (289.2 ypg) and averages an unimpressive 19 points per game so far this season.

They won't find things any easier this weekend, as the Vikings come in off impressive victories over the Bears and Packers in which they limited their foes to 27 total points. Chicago and Green Bay went a combined 7-for-29 on third down against Minnesota, which has held the opposition to a 25-percent success rate - tops in the NFL, and well ahead of the 38.8-percent success rate opposing teams posted against the Vikings in 2016. Look for plenty of short Baltimore drives in this one.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, 47.5)

Cardinals' second-half struggles vs. Rams' late-game ball control

Twickenham Stadium is the site of the latest NFL foray into London, with the Cardinals and Rams making the trek overseas. Both teams are coming off impressive victories, with the Cardinals outlasting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 38-33 and the Rams upending the host Jaguars 27-17. These teams are tightly bunched with Seattle atop the NFC West, but the Rams come into this one with a decided edge in ball control after the break - something Arizona will need to correct in England.

The Cardinals rank in the lower third in the league in second-half points per game at 8.8 - significantly below the 13.6 ppg average they posted in 2016. And while last week's circumstances - specifically, a 24-0 halftime lead - might have played a role, Arizona's second-half struggles allowed Tampa Bay to make a game of it in the second half. Arizona ranks 26th in the league in second-half possession rate, controlling the ball less than 46 percent of the time after the break.

On the flip side, the Rams' revamped offense has impressed in a number of ways - not the least of which being its ability to control the play in the second half of games. While Los Angeles ranks just outside the top-10 in second half points per game (11.2), that figure is still nearly five points higher than the 6.3 ppg mark it registered last season. And the Rams have masterfully dominated the football after halftime, sitting third in the NFL with a 56.1-percent possession rate.

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5, 42)

Broncos' bad red-zone play vs. Chargers' downfield dominance

The Broncos are reeling after watching the receiver-bereft New York Giants come into Sports Authority Field at Mile High and escape with a 23-10 victory. And sure, Denver could have been stronger defensively, but no one can argue that the offense was the biggest source of frustration on the night, as the team squandered one red-zone opportunity after another. A similarly underwhelming performance won't fly against a Chargers team that has been one of the stingiest when foes get inside their 20-yard line.

Denver comes into the week as one of the worst red-zone performers in football, scoring a touchdown on just 45 percent of trips inside the opponent's 20 - the sixth-lowest mark in the NFL. The Broncos have scored TDs on red zone visits just 25 percent of the time over their previous three games after going a perfect 4-for-4 in a one-sided win over Dallas in Week 2. Denver had 13 possessions against the Giants and scored just one touchdown, going 1-for-4 in the red zone.

The Chargers have offensive issues of their own; they average a paltry 79 rushing yards per game and will be in tough to increase that total against the toughest run defense in the league. But few teams defend in the red zone like Los Angeles, which has limited opponents to a 40-percent touchdown success rate inside their 20-yard line - behind only Seattle, Buffalo, Oakland and Minnesota. The Chargers won't be easy to score on downfield, which could mean even more red-zone struggles for Denver.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL divisional battles are playing Under the betting total at an incredible pace
Jason Logan

There are seven divisional matchups on the board in Week 7, including Monday Night Football. So far this season, divisional games are 8-20 Over/Under - stay below the number 71 percent of the time.

Divisional games in the NFL are always a little more heated than those contests outside of a team’s grouping. The wins count for more and the stakes are much higher, so the intensity is ratcheted up.

Giving up an inch seems like budging a foot, which could be why defense is the name of the game for divisional matchups this season. And it could also be why 20 of the 28 divisional games so far have played Under the betting total.

If you bet the Under in each divisional contest so far in the 2017 season, you’d be celebrating a 71 percent winning clip like Von Miller celebrates a sack. And the victim on the other end of this trend, your bookie, would be peeling himself off the ground and picking grass out of his facemask. A $100 wager on the Under in each of those games would have returned $1,020 – given the standard opening -110 juice on Over/Under wagers.

Heading into Week 7, divisional games have averaged just 38.9 combined points – 4.5 points fewer than the average scoring pace in the NFL right now. Measure those up against an average betting total of 44 points for divisional matchups and Under bettors have plenty of overhead when it comes to cashing in on low-scoring grudge matches.

Huge matchups and a huge injuries headline NFL Week 7 betting odds in Las Vegas
The NFL Week 7 slate has a lot going on at once. You have massive divisional matchups, a Super Bowl rematch, and a team trying to recover from losing the Most Valuable Player to the NFL betting odds. We get the inside scooop on the opening odds and early sharp action from Johnny Avello of the Wynn Las Vegas sportsbook.

This trend is a swing in the other direction compared to last season, when NFL divisional games finished with a 53-42-1 Over/Under mark – playing Over the number in 56 percent of those games. You could look for a connection between this stunning 8-20 Over/Under record and the success of underdogs in divisional matchup this season. Teams getting the points against divisional foes are 15-12-1 ATS – covering more than 56 percent of the time. Generally, underdogs aren’t the sharpest offensive clubs and that dialed-up intensity on defense - as well as a familiarity with those opponents - could be helping keep those scores closer than the oddsmakers expect.

This uptick in Under results for divisional meetings has been a steady winner for total players just about every week – save for a 3-2 Over/Under divisional game record in Week 3. The 2017 schedule opened with seven divisional games on the board, with those matchups going 1-6 Over/Under and producing an average combined score of 34.5 points against an average closing total of 43.6 in Week 1. Week 2 had only three divisional games and posted a 1-2 O/U mark. After the aforementioned 3-2 O/U Week 4, divisional games went 2-5 O/U with an average of 39 points per game versus an average closing total of 43.2. Both divisional contest went Under in Week 5 and just this past weekend, Week 6 games between divisional rivals finished 1-3 O/U with only the Monday nighter between Indianapolis and Tennessee playing Over.

Heading into Week 7, there are seven games between divisional opponents on the schedule. Here’s a look at those games and their current line:

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders (+3, 47)
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-3, 38.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts (+3, 43.5)
Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Rams (-3.5, 47.5)
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5, 41)
Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5, 42)
Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (-4.5, 48.5)

The average betting total for those games is 44 points – the exact same average Over/Under number for divisional games this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 7

Sunday, October 22

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TENNESSEE (3 - 3) at CLEVELAND (0 - 6) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (3 - 3) at INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 4) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (2 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 102-73 ATS (+21.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (3 - 3) at MINNESOTA (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NY JETS (3 - 3) at MIAMI (3 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NY JETS is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (2 - 3) at BUFFALO (3 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (4 - 2) at CHICAGO (2 - 4) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
CAROLINA is 81-48 ATS (+28.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (3 - 2) at GREEN BAY (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 118-89 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 118-89 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 183-128 ATS (+42.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (3 - 3) vs. LA RAMS (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS is 178-227 ATS (-71.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 178-227 ATS (-71.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-116 ATS (-47.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 127-179 ATS (-69.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 138-179 ATS (-58.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (2 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 6) - 10/22/2017, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (3 - 2) at NY GIANTS (1 - 5) - 10/22/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
SEATTLE is 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (3 - 2) at LA CHARGERS (2 - 4) - 10/22/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-1 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (3 - 2) at NEW ENGLAND (4 - 2) - 10/22/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) off a division game since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 117-83 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
ATLANTA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 7

Trend Report

Sunday, October 22

CAROLINA @ CHICAGO
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

NEW ORLEANS @ GREEN BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

BALTIMORE @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Baltimore is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

TAMPA BAY @ BUFFALO
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Buffalo's last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games

TENNESSEE @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Tennessee is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Tennessee

JACKSONVILLE @ INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games

NY JETS @ MIAMI
NY Jets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

ARIZONA @ LA RAMS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games
LA Rams is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

DALLAS @ SAN FRANCISCO
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Dallas

CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cincinnati's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

DENVER @ LA CHARGERS
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Chargers is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver

SEATTLE @ NY GIANTS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Seattle
NY Giants is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle

ATLANTA @ NEW ENGLAND
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Atlanta's last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games at home
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 7

Sunday, October 22

Tennessee @ Cleveland

Game 451-452
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
130.532
Cleveland
119.953
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 10 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 5 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Tennessee
(-5 1/2); Over

Jacksonville @ Indianapolis

Game 453-454
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville
127.392
Indianapolis
128.548
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 1
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 3 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+3 1/2); Under

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh

Game 455-456
October 22, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
135.045
Pittsburgh
138.180
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 5 1/2
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+5 1/2); Under

Baltimore @ Minnesota

Game 457-458
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
132.269
Minnesota
133.822
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6
40
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+6); Under

NY Jets @ Miami

Game 459-460
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
132.606
Miami
126.958
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 5 1/2
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 3
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(+3); Under

Tampa Bay @ Buffalo

Game 461-462
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
128.157
Buffalo
138.009
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 10
36
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
N/A

Carolina @ Chicago

Game 463-464
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
134.841
Chicago
129.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Carolina
by 5 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Carolina
by 3
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(-3); Over

New Orleans @ Green Bay

Game 465-466
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
138.979
Green Bay
136.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 2 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 6
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+6); Under

Arizona @ LA Rams

Game 467-468
October 22, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
132.165
LA Rams
131.002
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 3 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+3 1/2); Under

Dallas @ San Francisco

Game 469-470
October 22, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
134.401
San Francisco
121.461
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 13
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6
46
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-6); Over

Seattle @ NY Giants

Game 471-472
October 22, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
139.095
NY Giants
130.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 8 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 5
40
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-5); Over

Denver @ LA Chargers

Game 473-474
October 22, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
128.274
LA Chargers
132.102
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 4
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
by 1
41
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
(-1); Under

Atlanta @ New England

Game 475-476
October 22, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
133.078
New England
138.594
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 5 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 3
56
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-3); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 7

Sunday's games
Titans (3-3) @ Browns (0-6)— Short week for Titans after rare Monday night home game vs Colts. Tennessee scored 37-33-36 points in its wins, 16-14-10 in its losses; they’re 1-2 on road, with only win in Jacksonville. Titans are 1-3-1 in last five games as a road favorite. Winless Cleveland is 0-5 vs spread the last five weeks, 1-2 as home underdogs, losing by 3-3-16 points- they allowed 31+ points in 3 of last 4 games. In last three games, Browns scored only 14 points on seven red zone drives. Browns beat Tennessee 2 of last 3 years; Titans won LY’s meeting 28-26. Tennessee are 4-2 here, losing 28-14 in last visit here, in 2015. AFC South teams are 7-6 vs spread outside the division, 2-3 on road; AFC North teams are 5-6, 2-3 at home.

Jaguars (3-3) @ Colts (2-4)— Jacksonville is +11 in turnovers in its three wins, -1 in its losses; they allowed two special teams TD’s in home loss to Rams LW. Jaguars are 2-1 on road, with wins at Texans/Steelers- 4 of their last 5 games went over. Short week for Colts after Monday night game in Nashville- they’ve been outscored 85-22 in 4th quarter this year, allowing foes 7.4 yds/play in 4th quarter. All three Indy home games were decided by 3 points each. Colts won 7 of last 9 series games; home team won last four. Jaguars lost four visits here, by 20-20-3-4 points- one of their wins over Colts was in London LY. Over is 5-1 in Indy games this season, as have four of last five Jaguar games.

Bengals (2-3) @ Steelers (4-2)— Bengals won last two games after an 0-3 start; they’re 1-1 on road- they led 21-7 at half in Green Bay before Rodgers beat ‘em in OT, Cincy’s first cover in last five games as a road dog. Cincy (-7) has only 4 takeaways in five games. Steelers handed KC its first loss LW; Pitt has only two TD’s on its last 20 drives, scoring 19 points on last five red zone drives, but they’ve kept 5 of 6 opponents to 5.1 ypa or less. Pitt won 7 of last 8 series games, winning last four by 13-2-8-4 points. Bengals are 3-5 SU in last eight visits here. Cincy is 5-12-1 SU in last 18 post-bye games, 4-9 vs spread in last 13 games as a post-bye underdog. Under is 4-1 in Bengal games, 6-0 in Pittsburgh games. Last 6+ years, Steelers are 20-13 as home faves.

Ravens (3-3) @ Vikings (4-2)— Ravens lost 3 of last 4 games after a 2-0 start; they were only team that played LW that didn’t score an offensive TD- they had two special teams TDs but still lost at home to Chicago. Baltimore is 2-0 in true road games, beating Bengals 20-0 (+3), Raiders 30-17 (+2.5). Vikings were held to 9-7 points in their losses; they scored 20+ in their wins. Minnesota is 3-1 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite; they’re 14-5 vs spread as a home fave under Zimmer. Home team won last four series games; Ravens lost 33-31 in only visit here, back in ’09. AFC North teams are 5-6 vs spread outside the division, 3-1 as road underdogs; NFC North teams are 9-7, 2-2 as home favorites. Under is 5-1 in Viking games, 1-3 in last four Raven games.

Jets (3-3) @ Dolphins (3-2)— Jets won last six series games, upsetting Miami 20-6 (+6) in Swamp back in Week 3, Fish ran for only 30 yards, were 1-12 on 3rd down. Jets won last four visits here, by 3-13-13-4 points. Dolphins are 3-2 after rallying from 17-0 halftime deficit to upset Falcons LW; they’ve been held under 300 yards in last four games, but they did beat Titans 16-10 in only home game so far. Miami is 4-11-1 vs spread in last 16 games as a home favorite. Jets covered their last four games (3-1 SU); they’re 1-2 on road this year, winning at Cleveland, losing by 9-25 points. Under Bowles, NY is 3-6-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 3-1 in last four Jet games, 5-0 in Dolphin games this season.

Tampa Bay (2-3) @ Bills (3-2)— Winston (shoulder) was KO’d in Arizona; 34-year old backup Fitzpatrick is 46-69-1 as an NFL starter for 6 other teams. Unsure which one starts here. Tampa Bay lost 34-17 (-2.5), 38-33 (-2) in its two road games; they’re 15-9 in last 24 games as a road underdog. Buffalo won its two home games, 21-12 (-8) over the Jets, 26-16 (+3) over Denver. Bucs are making only 2nd-ever visit to Orchard Park; they lost 33-20 here in ’09, but won 7 of other 9 series games. Buffalo won last two post-bye games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last 7 games as a post-bye favorite. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside their division, 2-3 as underdogs; AFC East teams are 9-5 vs spread, but 0-3 as home favorites.

Panthers (4-2) @ Bears (2-4)— John Fox opposes the team he took to the Super Bowl in 2003. Carolina is 1-4 in Windy City; the one win was an ’05 playoff game. Panthers are 3-0 on road this season, scoring 23-33-27 points; they’ve got only two takeaways in last five games (-7). Carolina is 6-12-1 vs spread in last 19 games as a road favorite. Trubisky split his first two NFL starts, averaging 5.9/5.3 ypa; both Chicago wins this season were OT games. Bears allowed two special teams TD’s LW, including game-tying punt return in last 3:00- they ran ball for 231 yards. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside their division, 2-3 as road favorites; NFC North home dogs are 4-1 vs spread. Last three Panther games went over total; under is 4-2 in Chicago games.

Saints (3-2) @ Packers (4-2)— Absence of Rodgers likely ruins Packers’ season; they’re home underdog to red-hot Saints, who forced 9 turnovers (+6) in winning last three games- their defense scored 3 TD’s LW— Brees’ offense has 10 TD’s on its last 34 drives. Green Bay scored one TD after Rodgers got hurt LW, on an 18-yard drive; this is Hundley’s first NFL start- he was 29-11 in his UCLA days. Over last decade, Packers are 4-2 as home underdogs. Home side won last four series games; Saints lost 42-34/28-27 in last two visits here- last series road win was Saints’ win here in ’06. NFC North home underdogs are 4-1 vs spread. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside the division, 2-3 as road favorites.

Cardinals (3-3) vs Rams (4-2) (@ London)— LA beat Jaguars Sunday, stayed in Jacksonville for next 3 days- they head overseas Thursday. Rams lost 17-10 in England LY- they head to London atop NFC West. Rams scored 27+ points in all four wins, were held to 20-10 points in their losses. Cardinals gave up 34-33 points in last two games; they led Bucs 31-0 LW, before backup QB Fitzpatrick rallied the Bucs. Cardinals ran ball for 160 yards in Peterson’s first game as a Redbird, Arizona’s first cover in six games this year. Arizona won 5 of last 7 series games; Rams won the first meeting the last two years. Arizona is 1-3 vs spread as an underdog this year, are 2-6 in last 8 games when getting points; 4 of their last 5 games stayed under total.

Cowboys (2-3) @ 49ers (0-6)— 49ers haven’t won a game yet, but covered 4 of last 5, losing those games by 3-2-3-3-2 points. This will be Iowa alum Beathard’s first NFL start; his grand father was a great Redskins’ GM. Niners scored 23+ points in 3 of their last 4 games. Cowboys scored 30-31 points in last two games but lost both; suspension of RB Elliott figures to hurt the Dallas run game, exposing their defense even more. Cowboys split their two road games; they’re 7-3 in last 10 games as a road favorite. Dallas won 4 of last 5 series games; 3 of the 4 wins were by 7 or less points- they won last 3 visits here by 3-3-7 points, with last loss in SF in 1997. NFC East teams are 9-8 vs spread, 2-6 as favorites; NFC West teams are 6-9 vs spread, 4-6 as dogs.

Seahawks (3-2) @ Giants (1-5)— Giants ran ball for 152-148 yards in their last two games since re-tooling the offensive line; they’re just 9-29 on 3rd down in those games- their young WR’s will be greatly tested by stout Seahawk defense. NY went over their team over/under in 3 of last 4 games. Seahawks are 1-2 on road, with only win 13-10 in LA; they’ve held 4 of 5 opponents to 18 or less points. Seattle is 4-6-1 SU in last 11 road games, 1-5 vs spread in last six tries as a road favorite- they won last three series games, by 11-23-21 points; 2 of those 3 games were played here. NFC West teams are 6-9 vs spread outside their division, 2-3 as favorites; NFC East teams are 9-8, 7-2 as underdogs. Seahawks are 6-12 SU in last 18 post-bye games (3-1 in last four).

Broncos (3-2) @ Chargers (2-4)— Denver lost its only road game this season 26-16 (-3) in Week 3 in Buffalo; Broncos are 6-3-1 in last ten games as road favorite. Denver is 11-2 in last 13 series games, winning 7 of last 8, including 24-21 home win Week 1 this year- Broncos ran ball for 140 yards. Denver won 5 of its last 6 trips to San Diego. Chargers won last two games, both on road; they’re 0-3 in their temporary home, losing by 2-14-2 points. Only one of Chargers’ four losses was by more than 3 points; they’re 19-42 on 3rd down the last three games, and have 5 takeaways in last two games, after three games with no takeaways. Bolts are 2-8 vs spread in last 10 games as home underdogs. Over is 3-1 in last four Charger games,

Falcons (3-2) @ Patriots (4-2)— Rematch of last winter’s Super Bowl, when Atlanta blew a 28-3 3rd quarter lead; Falcons blew a 17-0 lead to Miami Sunday, their second loss in row after a 3-0 start. Atlanta was outscored 36-7 in 2nd half of last two games, and those were at home; they’ve got road wins in Chicago-Detroit this year, under Quinn, they’re 6-1 as road underdogs. Patriots allowed 33+ points in all three home games this year (1-2, 0-3 vs spread); they’re still 17-11-3 in last 31 games as a home favorite. Pats won last four series games; Falcons’ last series win was here in 1998. NFC South teams are 7-12 outside the division, 2-1 as road underdogs; AFC East teams are 9-5 vs spread, but 0-3 as home favorites. Over is 4-2 in Patriot games this season.