Service Plays Monday 11/6/17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts NBA (15-10-1 ; 6-3-1 L10)

Boston -7.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mario Rojas

Best pick:
(#473) Lions vs Packers (Detroit ML -130) *2000


Secondaries picks
(#501) Celtics vs Hawks (Boston -7.5) *1000
(#053) Wild vs Bruins (Boston +100) *1000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VegasKillers

11/6/2017

Game: Nets/Suns

Pick: Suns -1 (-110)


Recommended

Unit Play (Risk)

11 Units

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Bondi

3* Green Bay

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob
Game Analysis view matchup stats
Lean – Under 43 – GREEN BAY (+2.5) vs Detroit

Brett Hundley did not play well in his first NFL start, gaining just 3.0 yards per pass play against New Orleans. My quarterback model projects Hundley to be about 10 points per game worse than Aaron Rodgers, which obviously drastically limits Green Bay’s play calling in the passing game. The Packers were able to find success on the ground (7.5 yards per rush) against the Saints 30th ranked rush defense but I don’t expect that to continue this week against a Lions defense holding opponents to 3.6 yards per rush (5th).

Detroit’s offense gained 7.0 yards per play last week but I think much of that was situation-based. The Lions had an extra week to prepare for a Steelers defense coming off two massive games against Kansas City and divisional rival Cincinnati. Detroit is still gaining less than 5 yppl on the season and I expect them to continue to play poorly on offense moving forward.

Green Bay’s defense has been unlucky to give up a touchdown on 74% of their opponents’ redzone trips thus far and I expect them to improve going forward given that no team since 2010 has surrendered a rate that high and the Packers’ defense is actually a bit better than average after adjusting for opposing offenses faced. I’ll pass on the side but our metrics like the Under.

[bwj13]

Root!

Millionaire - GB

[batjag]

Executive 200% Packers +2-

[ChiraqHustler]

Green Bay has had two weeks to prepare for this game and I give McCarthy the big nod as a coach who knows how to coach when the chips are down. He knows how to win with what he has and Detroit cannot close a big game to save their life, never have, never will. My sources tell me Green Bays QB Hundley stayed in camp all week to study and work with WR's and Aaron Rodgers was with him the entire time. Detroit's OL line is a triage ward and frankly other than Stafford at QB Detroit really has nothing. Green Bay at home at night on national TV with their back against the wall in a must win game against a team they have beaten 24 out of 25 times at home catching points is too good not to stake a strong position on. Every sharp bettor in Vegas including my main source there is all over the Packers and so am I.

Great breakdown NYK you almost convinced me to switch sides as I like a Lions team in a must win division game with a short number, who has had some tough breaks gone against them to play hard and win this one going away. I get that greenbay is off a bye and so the sharps are on the pack, but judging by yesterday's results the sharps didn't do so well and haven't done so the last couple of weeks. I generally side with the house and go against public money on prime time games but this being a division must win game for detroit play a packers team without their best player makes it a small play on the lions for me.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The New Orleans Group

Monday 11/6

NHL
Wild -110
Capitals regulation -130

NBA
Celtics team total over 105.5

[New York Knight]

[New York Knight]

Great breakdown NYK you almost convinced me to switch sides as I like a Lions team in a must win division game with a short number, who has had some tough breaks gone against them to play hard and win this one going away. I get that greenbay is off a bye and so the sharps are on the pack, but judging by yesterday's results the sharps didn't do so well and haven't done so the last couple of weeks. I generally side with the house and go against public money on prime time games but this being a division must win game for detroit play a packers team without their best player makes it a small play on the lions for me.

That was the write-up for the play ... Tony George's breakdown

[uwinnow]

north coast Marquee UNDER the Total Lions/Packers

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Tony cross
***
october tc team vip nfl set 17
detroit -1 over gb
matthew stafford must start
tier 2 of 4
my profit = 1/2% on tier 1 play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

OC Dooley

2 Units Nets / Suns Under 234.5

[Hombre de Burro]

Teddy Covers 20* NFL GOY:
Packers