Thursday 11-2-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Larry Ness

Nov 02 '17, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Warriors vs Spurs
Play on: Spurs +7½ -115 at Bovada

My 1* Free Play is on the San Antonio Spurs (8:00 EST).
The 5-3 Golden State Warriors are in San Antonio to take on the 4-3 Spurs and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the hungry home side.
San Antonio returns home off a poor road trip and it’s now lost three in a row. The Warriors lost at home to the Pistons and then came out and flattened the Clippers 141-113 on Monday.
Golden State has had two days off to bask in the glory of that big victory and while the team leads the league in scoring (121 points per night), the Warriors are simply terrible on the defensive side of the ball, conceding 114.1 PPG.
San Antonio is struggling without Kawhi Leonard in the lineup, but a little home-cooking is just what the doctor ordered. Note that the Spurs are already 2-0 ATS at home this year (Golden State is a money-burning 2-2 ATS on the road.)
One player to keep your eyes on today is San Antonio big man LaMarcus Aldridge, who has looked sharp in the early going, averaging a team high 23.6 points plus 8.4 boards per contest.
What the Spurs lack on the offensive end (98.1 PPG), they make up for on the defensive side (concede just 98.9.)
Golden State is already 0-1 ATS this year when playing on two days rest and just 1-5 ATS in its last six in the same position.
While I’m not calling for an outright upset, I do definitely think that San Antonio comes in focused and I expect it to keep this one competitive until the final moments. Consider the Spurs in this matchup.
Good luck…Larry

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Scott Rickenbach

Nov 02 '17, 7:05 PM in 35m
NHL | Golden Knights vs Bruins
Play on: OVER 6 -104

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick NHL Thursday OVER the total in Boston Bruins vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:05 ET - The Bruins are seeking revenge for a loss at Vegas two weeks ago. They're catching the Golden Knights at the right time as Vegas has major issues in goal. Recently Oscar Dansk became the third Knights' netminder to suffer an injury! He and Marc-Andre Fleury (concussion) and Malcolm Subban (lower body) are all out for this game. Maxime Lagace has an unsightly .812 save percentage so far and now takes on a revenge-minded Boston club. The Bruins should score plenty here but their issue is also goaltending. With Anton Khubodin out, it falls on the shoulders of Tuukka Rask and he is currently struggling. Rask has lost 5 straight starts and his save percentage is under 90% on the young season. The over is 22-12 when the Bruins are facing a team with a winning record in the first half of a season. Also, the over is 4-1 in Golden Knights games against non-conference opposition this season. Free Pick OVER the total in Boston

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Dave Price

Nov 02 '17, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Lakers vs Blazers
Play on: Blazers -6½ -104 at BMaker

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Portland Trail Blazers -6.5

The Key: I think we are getting a nice price on the Blazers as only 6.5-point favorites over the Lakers tonight. They have failed to cover the spread in 4 consecutive games while going 1-3 straight up in the process. But they should have gone 3-1 as they lost at the buzzer to the Clippers, and lost in OT to the Jazz. Now they take a step down in class against a Lakers team that has only played 2 road games this year. The Lakers lost 81-96 in Utah in their last road game. The Blazers own the Lakers, going 12-0 SU & 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings. They have won 11 of those 12 games by 7 points or more, and that's all we need to cover this 6.5-point spread. Take Portland.

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Hunter Price

Nov 02 '17, 7:05 PM in 35m
NHL | Islanders vs Capitals
Play on: Capitals -132 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Capitals -132

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Jimmy Boyd

Nov 02 '17, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Navy vs Temple
Play on: OVER 54 -110

Free Pick on Navy/Temple OVER
This might feel like a game that won't see a lot of points with Navy's run-first option attack against an anemic Owls offense that is scoring just 20.9 ppg and won't have starting quarterback Logan Marchi. What's getting overlooked is these defenses are far from dominant and I look for a lot of big plays to be allowed by both stop units.
Navy comes in with the nations #1 ranked rushing attack at 376.1 ypg. The Midshipmen are averaging just under 6 yards/carry and we just saw the Owls give up 248 yards on the ground in their last game to Army. The Black Knights finished with 31 points and really didn't have one of their best offensive games.
As for Temple's offense, I think they have got a lot better since the start of the season. They had over 500 yards of total offense against Army and that was with backup Frank Nutile under center in place of Marchi. Nutile was sharp, throwing for 290 yards on 20 of 29 passing and should have another big game here against a Navy secondary that ranks 82nd, giving up 235.6 ypg. More telling stats on the Midshipmen's struggles against the pass is opposing QB's are completing 62.3% against them with an average of 8.6 yards/attempt.
I think we see fireworks from both sides and this one finishing closer to 65 than 55. Note that the OVER is an impressive 14-3 in Navy's last 17 games played in the month of November. Take the OVER!

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Mike Williams

Nov 02 '17, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Lakers vs Blazers
Play on: Blazers -6½ -115 at Bovada

1* on Blazers -6½ -115

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ASA

Nov 02 '17, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Rangers vs Lightning
Play on: Rangers +155 at Bovada

ASA FREE PLAY ON New York Rangers money line (+) over Tampa Bay Lightning, Thursday at 7:35 PM ET

The Rangers seek revenge for a home loss in the most recent meeting (mid-March) and New York had won 4 of the 5 prior meetings with the Bolts. After a very rough start to the season the Rangers appear to have turned the corner as they've won 3 of their last 5 games. The Blueshirts recent success can be attributed to offensive production that has only been poor once in their last seven games. In the other 6 games over the past two weeks, New York has scored an average of 4.5 goals per game. The Rangers are catching the Lightning off of a big divisional win over the in-state rival Panthers! That was a revenging win for Tampa Bay and could leave them a little flat for this game! The Bolts also have a tough match-up with the Blue Jackets (only 4 losses) and may look right past the Rangers (only 4 wins) tonight! When New York gets the goal-scoring rolling like they have been they can be tough to beat. They've won 4 of 6 this season (and 35 of 57 the last 3 seasons) when off of a game where they scored 4 goals or more. The Lightning have lost 31 of 59 (-10.0 net units) when off of a win by a margin of 2 goals or more. FREE PLAY ON New York Rangers money line in early evening action Thursday.

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Info Plays

Nov 02 '17, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Lakers vs Blazers
Play on: Lakers +6½ -105 at Bovada

1* Free Play on Lakers +6½ -105

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TJ Pemberton

Nov 02 '17, 7:05 PM in 35m
NHL | Golden Knights vs Bruins
Play on: Golden Knights +173 at 5Dimes

Free NHL Pick: Vegas Golden Knights +173
The Las Vegas Golden Knights have now lost two straight games heading into Thursday. The Golden Knights are 8-3 on the season and will visit Boston to take on the Bruins. Las Vegas is 7-3 over their last ten games and are 2-2 on the road. Maxime Lagace will get his 2nd start of the season for Vegas. Lagace is 0-2 on the season with 9 goals allowed. Lagace carries a .813 save percentage and a 6.35 goals against average. The Boston Bruins have also lost two straight games heading into this one. Boston is 4-3-3 on the season and 5th in the Atlantic. The Bruins lost 4-3 in overtime in Columbus on Monday and are 3-1-2 on their home ice. The Bruins average 3.00 goals per game which ranks 16th in the NHL. Tuukka Rask will make his 7th start in the net for the Bruins on Thursday. Rask is 1-3-2 on the season with 17 goals allowed. Rask carries a 2.93 goals against average and a .896 save percentage.

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Tony Karpinski

Nov 02 '17, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Lakers vs Blazers
Play on: Lakers +6½ -108 at 5Dimes

The Trail Blazers took a gut-wrenching loss last night in Utah, and now they come home where they have failed to cover three straight. PLaying on back-to-back nights is going to hurt the Blazers. I like the rested and improving Lakers who get the National TV game here on Thursday night.