Sunday 11-5-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358404

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Del Mar - Race #3 - Post: 1:29pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 101

    Rating: 3

    #2 KARMA KING (ML=7/2)
    #1 NATIVE TREASURE (ML=4/1)
    #6 AMERICAN LEAGUE (ML=5/1)


    KARMA KING - The jock and conditioner combination have a beneficial ROI when they team up. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him. NATIVE TREASURE - Roman comes to race again after getting to know the gelding in the last race. I like to wager on this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a solid race within the last month or so. AMERICAN LEAGUE - Just missed hitting the board on October 9th at Santa Anita. With pretty good odds in this race, he has my interest.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #4 INDAVIDUALIST (ML=5/2), #3 MATRICULATE (ML=3/1), #5 IRON ROB (ML=6/1),

    INDAVIDUALIST - Doesn't seem to have enough good aspects to warrant the value. MATRICULATE - Not likely for this participant to make a winning move with no recent success in a short distance race. IRON ROB - This gelding showed very liitle last time. When scrutinizing today's class rating, he will have to record a much better speed figure than in the last race to compete in this dirt sprint.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - NATIVE TREASURE - Claimed after his last two starts, this horse figures to do well in the affair with these horses.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #2 KARMA KING to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358404

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 102

      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $18,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 1 FLY LEXIS FLY 9/5

      # 5 DROUILLARD 7/2

      # 4 SIR VRONSKI 2/1

      FLY LEXIS FLY has a quite good shot to take this race. A solid 106 avg class figure may give this horse a distinct class edge against this group. Could provide positive returns based on formidable recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 98. He has a formidable distance/surface win record - 2 out of 10. DROUILLARD - Has to be given consideration - I like the figures from the last race. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Hernandez in the irons. SIR VRONSKI - Formidable average speed figures in turf route races make this equine a solid contender. Going in a turf route race gives this gelding a very strong shot.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358404

        #18
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.

        Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 79

        FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, FOR EACH $4,000 TO $32,000 2 LBS.


        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        The Walker Group Picks

        # 9 MISS SAFFRON 4/1

        # 8 ENCHANTED GHOST 9/2

        # 3 SIMONELA 8/1

        MISS SAFFRON looks like the bet in here. Potts has this filly racing well and is a competitive selection based on the very good Equibase Speed Figures garnered in sprint races as of late. Make a note that this one runs with second time Lasix today. Looks formidable to be on the lead at the first call. ENCHANTED GHOST - Has run soundly when running a dirt sprint race. Posted a strong speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. SIMONELA - Looks very good to be on or close to the lead at the first call. With a solid 69 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358404

          #19
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA
          ZIA - Race 7

          $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 1st Leg .50 Pick 4


          Optional Claiming $20,000 • 550 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 2:54P
          QUARTER HORSE 550Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 5, 2017 OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
          Contenders

          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line

          Accept
          Odds


          Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * EBW CATALYST: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ABBYS ZOOMER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SOUTHERN TEMPTATION: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/su rface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. SCOOT WITH DA LOOT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
          9
          EBW CATALYST
          5/2

          9/2
          10
          ABBYS ZOOMER
          8/1

          7/1
          6
          SOUTHERN TEMPTATION
          7/2

          7/1
          2
          SCOOT WITH DA LOOT
          15/1

          8/1
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358404

            #20
            When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 5, 2017
            Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

            Preview: Colts at Texans

            Gracenote
            Nov 2, 2017

            Houston was dealt a dose of devastating news when rookie DeShaun Watson suffered a torn ACL at practice on Thursday. The Texans expect to be without their breakout quarterback under center - and possibly for much of next season as well - when they host the struggling Indianapolis Colts on Sunday.

            Watson threw for a career-high 402 yards and four touchdowns in last week's wild 41-38 loss at Seattle but reports out of Houston indicated he tore the ligament in a non-contact drill. With Watson sidelined, the Texans will have to go back to Tom Savage, who lost his starting job midway through the team's season-opener. The Colts, who have also dealt with quarterback issues, made it official on Thursday that Andrew Luck would miss the rest of the season due to lingering shoulder problems. Ravaged by a slew of injuries, especially to its offensive line, Indianapolis has dropped three straight - including last week's 24-23 setback at Cincinnati.
            TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: No line. O/U: None.

            ABOUT THE COLTS (2-6): Playing for Luck, Jacoby Brissett has been nothing less than a warrior getting battered week after week. Despite being sacked a league-high 29 times, Brissett has completed 60.4 percent of his passes and nearly led the team to an upset win at Cincinnati last week before his fourth-quarter pass was picked off and returned 16 yards for a touchdown by Carlos Dunlap with 6:58 to play. The Colts reportedly were in trade talks this week involving several players, among them receivers T.Y. Hilton and Donte Moncrief, cornerback Vontae Davis and running back Frank Gore, but made no deals.
            ABOUT THE TEXANS (3-4): Buoyed by Watson's strong play, the Texans lead the NFL in scoring averaging 30.4 points a game and have surpassed that total for five straight games. DeAndre Hopkins has re-emerged as one of the league's best receivers with six touchdowns over the past four games, including a career-high 224 yards last week. Will Fuller has been equally effective with seven touchdown receptions in just four games after getting his season started late due to injury, but all bets are off without Watson making the throws.

            EXTRA POINTS
            1. Houston has won three straight in the series, including both matchups last season. Also, the last six meetings have been decided by seven points or less.
            2. With his 3-for-3 field goal kicking performance last week, Colts K Adam Vinatieri tied Gary Anderson for the second-most points scored in NFL history with 2,434.
            3. TE Jack Doyle recorded 12 catches in Week 8, the most in a game for any Colts player since Reggie Wayne had 13 receptions against the Packers in 2012.

            PREDICTION: Texans 25, Colts 20


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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358404

              #21
              Trends - Indianapolis at Houston


              ATS TRENDS

              Indianapolis
              • Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 9.
              • Colts are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
              • Colts are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
              • Colts are 31-11 ATS in their last 42 games following a straight up loss.
              • Colts are 28-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
              • Colts are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
              • Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
              • Colts are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
              • Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC South.

              Houston
              • Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
              • Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
              • Texans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf.
              • Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
              • Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
              • Texans are 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
              • Texans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
              • Texans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
              • Texans are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC South.
              • Texans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
              • Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
              OU TRENDS

              Indianapolis
              • Over is 5-0 in Colts last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
              • Over is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games following a ATS win.
              • Over is 4-0 in Colts last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
              • Over is 4-0 in Colts last 4 games in Week 9.
              • Over is 5-1 in Colts last 6 games overall.
              • Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games in November.
              • Over is 4-1 in Colts last 5 games on fieldturf.
              • Under is 4-1 in Colts last 5 vs. AFC South.
              • Over is 6-2 in Colts last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
              • Over is 45-22 in Colts last 67 road games.

              Houston
              • Over is 5-0 in Texans last 5 games overall.
              • Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
              • Over is 5-0 in Texans last 5 games on fieldturf.
              • Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 vs. AFC.
              • Over is 9-0 in Texans last 9 games following a ATS win.
              • Over is 4-0 in Texans last 4 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
              • Over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
              • Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 home games.
              • Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 games in Week 9.
              • Over is 27-10 in Texans last 37 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
              • Under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
              HEAD TO HEAD

              • Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Houston.
              • Colts are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Houston.
              • Underdog is 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
              • Road team is 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
              • Colts are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
              • Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358404

                #22
                When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 5, 2017
                Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, Florida

                Preview: Bengals at Jaguars

                Gracenote
                Nov 2, 2017

                The Jacksonville Jaguars have a very simple formula for winning games - run the ball effectively and play great defense - but they struggle to put those things together with consistency. The Jaguars will try to win consecutive games for the first time this season when they host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday.

                Jacksonville leads the NFL in scoring defense, surrendering an average of 15.7 points, but it allowed an average of 5.8 points in four wins and 29 points in three losses. The Jaguars, who were on a bye last week, added to their defense by trading for former Pro Bowl tackle Marcell Dareus, who is expected to make his team debut on Sunday and said, "I am thoroughly happy just to be a Jag. It feels good to be wanted." The Jaguars weren't the only team active in front of the trade deadline, and the Bengals thought they had a deal in place to send backup quarterback AJ McCarron to the Cleveland Browns in exchange for a pair of draft picks before the deal fell through at the last minute. "AJ is a very valuable member of this team," Cincinnati head coach Marvin Lewis told reporters. "...Frankly, I was relieved I don't have to go through the next step. He's a great kid. He's a true team player. He's a leader."

                TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Jaguars -4.5. O/U: 39

                ABOUT THE BENGALS (3-4): Cincinnati pulled out a win in three of its last four games after dropping three in a row to start the season, and a stretch of three consecutive games on the road beginning Sunday could decide the team's playoff fate. The Bengals earned a 24-23 win over Indianapolis last week behind a pair of touchdown passes from quarterback Andy Dalton, who is turning his season around after a terrible start. Dalton threw two TD passes and four interceptions during the 0-3 start but owns nine TD passes and four picks in the last four games, with three of those recent TD passes going to favorite target A.J. Green.

                ABOUT THE JAGUARS (4-3): Jacksonville beat that same Colts team 27-0 before its bye and will blanket Green with a passing defense that leads the NFL, surrendering an average of just 162 yards. The Jaguars were without rookie running back Leonard Fournette (ankle) in the last game, but he returned to practice this week and is likely to start and make a bid for his third straight 100-yard rushing performance. T.J. Yeldon slotted seamlessly into Fournette's spot at the Colts and rushed for 122 yards and a touchdown on nine carries to keep Jacksonville atop the NFL in rushing offense at 169 yards per game.

                EXTRA POINTS

                1. Bengals CB Dre Kirkpatrick (shoulder) was a full participant in practice on Thursday and is expected to play.

                2. Jacksonville LF Cam Robinson (ankle) was limited in practice on Thursday while WR Marqise Lee (knee) did not participate.

                3. Cincinnati's Brandon LaFell (hamstring) returned to practice but fellow WR Tyler Boyd (knee) remains questionable.

                PREDICTION: Jaguars 28, Bengals 24


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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358404

                  #23
                  Trends - Cincinnati at Jacksonville


                  ATS TRENDS

                  Cincinnati
                  • Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
                  • Bengals are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
                  • Bengals are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  • Bengals are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
                  • Bengals are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

                  Jacksonville
                  • Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.
                  • Jaguars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                  • Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
                  • Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
                  • Jaguars are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win.
                  • Jaguars are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 9.
                  • Jaguars are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  • Jaguars are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
                  • Jaguars are 8-21-2 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
                  • Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
                  • Jaguars are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
                  • Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
                  • Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                  OU TRENDS

                  Cincinnati
                  • Under is 15-3 in Bengals last 18 games in November.
                  • Under is 5-1 in Bengals last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
                  • Under is 11-3 in Bengals last 14 games following a straight up win.
                  • Under is 10-3 in Bengals last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                  • Under is 11-4 in Bengals last 15 games overall.
                  • Under is 19-7 in Bengals last 26 vs. AFC.
                  • Under is 10-4 in Bengals last 14 road games.
                  • Under is 11-5 in Bengals last 16 games on grass.

                  Jacksonville
                  • Over is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                  • Over is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 home games.
                  • Over is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                  • Over is 6-1-1 in Jaguars last 8 games in Week 9.
                  • Over is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games on grass.
                  • Over is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
                  • Over is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
                  • Under is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                  HEAD TO HEAD

                  • Bengals are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
                  • Road team is 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
                  • Over is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings.
                  • Bengals are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Jacksonville.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358404

                    #24
                    When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 5, 2017
                    Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana

                    Preview: Buccaneers at Saints

                    Gracenote
                    Nov 2, 2017

                    The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were expected to be the darlings of the NFC South in the preseason, poised to take over the division while the New Orleans Saints played out the end of Drew Brees' career near the bottom of the standings. The two teams reversed that narrative so far this season, and the first-place Saints will go for their sixth consecutive win when they host the last-place Buccaneers on Sunday.

                    Brees is solid as always, but the big improvement over the last five games for New Orleans has come on the other side of the ball, where rookie cornerback Marshon Lattimore is proving to be an impact player. "We just have that mentality, that dog mentality, everyone in the room has that. Sometimes we want the game on our back," said Lattimore, who intercepted Chicago Bears rookie quarterback Mitchell Trubisky with 1:22 left last week to ensure a 20-12 win. "We want to be out there and seal the game." That surging Saints defense will take on a Tampa Bay offense that failed to find the end zone in a 17-3 home loss to Carolina last week, the team's fourth straight setback. "We've got to play good football on a more consistent basis," Buccaneers coach Dirk Koetter told reporters. "Once we do that, the wins will come. You've got to keep doing things right. We're playing good football in spurts but we're not playing consistently enough in any area."

                    TV:
                    1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Saints -7. O/U: 50

                    ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (2-5): Tampa Bay quarterback Jameis Winston is dealing with a shoulder injury but practiced on Wednesday - the first time he joined the mid-week practice since suffering the injury on Oct. 15. Winston completed 21-of-38 passes for 210 yards and two interceptions in the loss to the Panthers last week, marking the fourth time in the last five games that he failed to complete at least 60 percent of his passes. Winston could be without wide receiver Adam Humphries, who is third on the team with 29 receptions, after he was limited in practice on Thursday due to a rib injury.

                    ABOUT THE SAINTS (5-2): Running back Mark Ingram became the undisputed starter again when New Orleans traded away Adrian Peterson last month and averaged 98 yards in the last three weeks, but fumbled on two straight fourth-quarter drives against Chicago last week. "I sucked. I sucked," Ingram told reporters. "That's the bottom line: I sucked. Two possessions we're about to ice the game, and I sucked. Let the ball go, hurt my team, hurt my coaches. That's the thing about a family, that's the thing about a team: They lift you up, they had my back, and we were able to get the W. But I was whack, I sucked, and I'll be better." The Saints' focus on the running game is keeping some pressure off Brees, who completed 23-of-28 passes for 299 yards last week.

                    EXTRA POINTS

                    1. New Orleans is dealing with injuries along the offensive line to G Larry Warford (abdomen), G Andrus Peat (hip) and T Terron Armstead (shoulder), none of whom practiced in full on Thursday.

                    2. Tampa Bay CB Brent Grimes (shoulder) is doubtful for Sunday but CB Robert McClain (concussion) is expected to play.

                    3. The teams split two meetings in each of the last two seasons.

                    PREDICTION: Saints 27, Buccaneers 17


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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358404

                      #25
                      Trends - Tampa Bay at New Orleans


                      ATS TRENDS

                      Tampa Bay
                      • Buccaneers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
                      • Buccaneers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                      • Buccaneers are 3-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
                      • Buccaneers are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games in November.
                      • Buccaneers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
                      • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South.
                      • Buccaneers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
                      • Buccaneers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
                      • Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                      • Buccaneers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 road games.
                      • Buccaneers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
                      • Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC.

                      New Orleans
                      • Saints are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
                      • Saints are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
                      • Saints are 8-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
                      • Saints are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. NFC South.
                      • Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
                      • Saints are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
                      • Saints are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                      • Saints are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. NFC.
                      • Saints are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 9.
                      • Saints are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                      • Saints are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
                      • Saints are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games in November.
                      OU TRENDS

                      Tampa Bay
                      • Over is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 road games.
                      • Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games in Week 9.
                      • Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
                      • Over is 3-1-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
                      • Under is 11-4 in Buccaneers last 15 games in November.
                      • Under is 10-4 in Buccaneers last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home.
                      • Over is 10-4-1 in Buccaneers last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                      • Over is 11-5 in Buccaneers last 16 games following a straight up loss.
                      • Under is 11-5 in Buccaneers last 16 vs. NFC South.

                      New Orleans
                      • Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                      • Over is 6-1 in Saints last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                      • Over is 11-2 in Saints last 13 vs. a team with a losing record.
                      • Over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games on fieldturf.
                      • Over is 12-4-1 in Saints last 17 home games.
                      • Over is 6-2 in Saints last 8 vs. NFC.
                      • Over is 5-2 in Saints last 7 vs. NFC South.
                      • Over is 27-11 in Saints last 38 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                      • Over is 7-3 in Saints last 10 games overall.
                      • Over is 7-3 in Saints last 10 games in November.
                      HEAD TO HEAD

                      • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358404

                        #26
                        When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 5, 2017
                        Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

                        Preview: Rams at Giants

                        Gracenote
                        Nov 3, 2017

                        The Los Angeles Rams aim to at least maintain a share of first place in the NFC West when they visit the downtrodden New York Giants on Sunday. Los Angeles has won four of its last five games, with the lone setback in that span coming against Seattle - the team with which it is tied for the division lead.

                        The Rams, who are 3-0 on the road this season, are coming off a bye week that was preceded by a thorough 33-0 thrashing of Arizona in which Jared Goff threw for a touchdown and ran for another. New York also is returning from its bye after dropping a 24-7 decision to the Seahawks in Week 7. The defeat was the third in as many home games this season for the Giants, who have allowed at least 24 points in each of their last five losses. New York has dominated the all-time series of late, winning seven straight meetings since being edged by the Rams 15-14 in 2001.

                        TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Rams -3.5. O/U: 42

                        ABOUT THE RAMS (5-2): Todd Gurley, who ranks fifth in the league with 627 rushing yards, is seeking his fourth straight 100-yard performance on the road. The 23-year-old enters the contest third in the NFL with 920 yards from scrimmage and shares the league lead with eight overall touchdowns, including three as a receiver. Goff also has been a beast away from home, throwing for 671 yards and six TDs without an interception.

                        ABOUT THE GIANTS (1-6): New York will be without cornerback Janoris Jenkins, who was suspended indefinitely for violation of team rules. Jenkins has recorded 24 tackles this season while returning his lone interception for a touchdown. Eli Manning needs to throw for 186 yards to become the seventh quarterback in NFL history with 50,000 career passing yards.

                        EXTRA POINTS

                        1. Rams DT Aaron Donald has recorded 31 sacks since 2014, which is the most in the league at his position.

                        2. New York has allowed only two 100-yard rushers this season but has held just one team as a whole (Denver) under 100 yards on the ground.

                        3. Los Angeles K Greg Zuerlein was named the NFC Special Teams Player of the Month for October after recording 51 points on 14 field goals and nine extra points.

                        PREDICTION: Rams 27, Giants 14


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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358404

                          #27
                          Trends - L.A. Rams at N.Y. Giants


                          ATS TRENDS

                          L.A. Rams
                          • Rams are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.
                          • Rams are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 games on fieldturf.
                          • Rams are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
                          • Rams are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
                          • Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
                          • Rams are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
                          • Rams are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                          • Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                          • Rams are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
                          • Rams are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC.
                          • Rams are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 9.
                          • Rams are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

                          N.Y. Giants
                          • Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
                          • Giants are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
                          • Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
                          • Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
                          • Giants are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                          • Giants are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.
                          • Giants are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
                          • Giants are 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a bye week.
                          • Giants are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
                          • Giants are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                          • Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
                          OU TRENDS

                          L.A. Rams
                          • Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
                          • Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                          • Under is 5-1 in Rams last 6 games in November.
                          • Under is 5-1-1 in Rams last 7 games in Week 9.
                          • Under is 9-2 in Rams last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
                          • Under is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
                          • Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                          • Under is 11-3 in Rams last 14 games on fieldturf.
                          • Over is 7-2 in Rams last 9 games overall.
                          • Under is 7-2 in Rams last 9 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
                          • Under is 12-4 in Rams last 16 games following a ATS win.
                          • Over is 5-2 in Rams last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                          • Over is 5-2 in Rams last 7 vs. NFC.
                          • Under is 5-2 in Rams last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
                          • Under is 12-5 in Rams last 17 games following a straight up win.

                          N.Y. Giants
                          • Under is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
                          • Under is 7-1 in Giants last 8 games on fieldturf.
                          • Under is 7-1 in Giants last 8 games following a ATS loss.
                          • Under is 7-1 in Giants last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
                          • Under is 6-1 in Giants last 7 home games.
                          • Under is 6-1 in Giants last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
                          • Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games in November.
                          • Under is 4-1 in Giants last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                          • Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
                          • Under is 11-5 in Giants last 16 games overall.
                          HEAD TO HEAD

                          • Favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
                          • Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
                          • Rams are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358404

                            #28
                            When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 5, 2017
                            Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

                            Preview: Falcons at Panthers

                            Gracenote
                            Nov 3, 2017

                            Despite playing well below expectations, the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons still are right in the thick of the race in the NFC South. One of the underachieving contenders can pick up a huge divisional victory when the Panthers host the Falcons on Sunday.


                            Things haven’t been pretty for either offense lately, but both teams are a game or less behind division-leading New Orleans, and matchups like Sunday’s will be pivotal as the clouded playoff picture begins to take shape. "This one counts for two, a divisional opponent," Carolina quarterback Cam Newton told reporters. "We're expecting big things. All seasons are better when we beat Atlanta. We didn't do it last year." The Falcons have won the last three meetings, with Matt Ryan passing for 362 yards per game with seven touchdowns and one interception in those contests. Atlanta’s high-powered offense still is moving the ball effectively but has had a tough time hanging on to it and punching it into the end zone.
                            TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Falcons -1. O/U: 42.5


                            ABOUT THE FALCONS (4-3): While Atlanta endures the Super Bowl hangover, Ryan seems to be experiencing an MVP hangover. He has only nine touchdown passes and six interceptions through seven games and has struggled in the red zone, as star receiver Julio Jones has just one TD reception. Atlanta’s defense has been solid, holding three of its last four opponents under 300 total yards, but has to create more turnovers after generating only four thus far.
                            ABOUT THE PANTHERS (5-3): Carolina’s offense is a mess after failing to crack 300 total yards for the second straight game and the fifth time this season. Newton has thrown more interceptions (11) than touchdown passes (10), and now the Panthers have traded one of his favorite targets in Kelvin Benjamin, who was dealt to Buffalo. An outstanding defense is responsible for the Panthers remaining in the playoff race, as they rank second in total defense and fifth in scoring defense.


                            EXTRA POINTS
                            1. Ryan has thrown a touchdown pass in 26 consecutive games, the longest active streak in the league, and has an NFL-record stretch of 62 straight contests with at least 200 passing yards.
                            2. Panthers DE Mario Addison has recorded at least one sack in each of his last five games against NFC South opponents.
                            3. Jones has 25 receptions for 538 yards and two touchdowns in his last three contests against Carolina.


                            PREDICTION: Panthers 20, Falcons 17



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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358404

                              #29
                              Trends - Atlanta at Carolina


                              ATS TRENDS

                              Atlanta
                              • Falcons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC.
                              • Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South.
                              • Falcons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                              • Falcons are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
                              • Falcons are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.
                              • Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
                              • Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
                              • Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                              • Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

                              Carolina
                              • Panthers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 9.
                              • Panthers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
                              • Panthers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                              • Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC South.
                              • Panthers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
                              • Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
                              • Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
                              • Panthers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                              • Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
                              OU TRENDS

                              Atlanta
                              • Over is 5-0-1 in Falcons last 6 vs. NFC South.
                              • Over is 14-2-1 in Falcons last 17 vs. NFC.
                              • Over is 13-3-1 in Falcons last 17 games following a straight up win.
                              • Under is 13-3 in Falcons last 16 games in Week 9.
                              • Over is 8-2 in Falcons last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
                              • Over is 19-6-1 in Falcons last 26 games overall.
                              • Under is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 games on grass.
                              • Over is 9-3 in Falcons last 12 games following a ATS loss.
                              • Over is 3-1-1 in Falcons last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                              • Under is 19-7 in Falcons last 26 games in November.
                              • Under is 8-3 in Falcons last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                              • Under is 54-25-4 in Falcons last 83 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

                              Carolina
                              • Under is 7-1 in Panthers last 8 games in Week 9.
                              • Over is 6-1-1 in Panthers last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
                              • Under is 7-2-1 in Panthers last 10 games on grass.
                              • Over is 6-2-1 in Panthers last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                              • Over is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a straight up win.
                              • Under is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 vs. NFC South.
                              • Over is 16-6-1 in Panthers last 23 vs. a team with a winning record.
                              HEAD TO HEAD

                              • Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings.
                              • Home team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
                              • Under is 15-5-2 in the last 22 meetings in Carolina.
                              • Underdog is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
                              • Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Carolina.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358404

                                #30
                                When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 5, 2017
                                Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

                                Preview: Broncos at Eagles

                                Gracenote
                                Nov 3, 2017

                                The Philadelphia Eagles are soaring with a six-game winning streak that has helped them claim the NFL's best record and heighten expectations in the City of Brotherly Love. The Eagles aim to continue their ascent on Sunday, when they host Brock Osweiler and the Denver Broncos.

                                Carson Wentz (NFL high-tying 19 touchdowns, NFC-best 2,063 passing yards) earned NFC Offensive Player of the Month honors after tossing a franchise-best 14 touchdown passes in October. The second-year quarterback will see a new face in the backfield, as Pro-Bowl rusher Jay Ajayi was acquired from Miami prior to the trade deadline for a fourth-round pick in the 2018 draft. Osweiler returns to the starting position he held with the Broncos in 2015 - with a mammoth contract and trips to Houston and Cleveland along the way - after taking over for an ineffective Trevor Siemian, who threw three interceptions in a 29-19 loss to Kansas City on Monday. "It's not one guy, we made the change ... on offense, everyone's got to play better, we've got to coach better, we're all in this together," offensive coordinator Mike McCoy told reporters.

                                TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Eagles -7.5. O/U: 43

                                ABOUT THE BRONCOS (3-4): To take pressure off Osweiler, C.J. Anderson, Devontae Booker and former Chief Jamaal Charles will need to make hay against the league's top-ranked defense after rolling up 177 yards rushing versus Kansas City. An offensive jolt is needed by Denver with tensions at an all-time high in the Rocky Mountains. "There's high tension. We're not winning. We're giving the ball away,” cornerback Chris Harris told the Denver Post. "We're tired of losing the same way. We have to score some points. You can't win if you can’t score. ... We've been fighting uphill the last two years."
                                ABOUT THE EAGLES (7-1): Wentz's most familiar target has been Zach Ertz, who leads all NFC tight ends with 43 receptions and 528 yards while reeling in at least one touchdown pass in four straight games. Ertz's six scoring catches give him one more than Nelson Agholor, who had stepped up with a touchdown reception in three straight games before being limited to just three catches for 26 yards in a 33-10 romp over winless San Francisco. Alshon Jeffery found the end zone versus the 49ers, however, despite having just two receptions for the second straight week.

                                EXTRA POINTS

                                1. Philadelphia has scored 20 or more points in 12 consecutive contests.

                                2. Denver LB Von Miller registered seven sacks in a five-game stretch before being held in check last week.

                                3. Eagles CB Jalen Mills has made two of his team-leading three interceptions in his last three contests.

                                PREDICTION: Eagles 26, Broncos 14


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