Saturday 11-11-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[bmd1803]

Avalanche at Senators 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Mike

Latest Odds : OTT -120 Total 5.5

The Avalanche and the Senators will be facing off again in Sweden here. However, the game is one that is going to be a great matchup as the Senators definitely have a player who is very familiar with the Avalanche team as they have Mat Duchene from the Avs in a trade that happened in the middle of the first period between these two teams and it is definitely something the Avalanche will be looking back on as either a good move or a bad move.


The Avalanche on the season have had a decent offense that has been able to put in 3.4 goals a game on the year. However, the defense for the Avalanche has struggled as the Avalanche defense is giving up 3.4 goals a game on the year.

The Senators on the other hand are scoring goals at a rate of 3.6 goals a game. The defense for the Senators is only slightly better as the Senators defense is giving up goals at a rate of 3.1 goals a game on the season so far.

Recent Betting Trends:
Avalanche are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Senators are 7-2 in their last 9 Saturday games.
Over is 9-2-2 in Avalanche last 13 Saturday games.
Over is 4-1 in Senators last 5 vs. Central.
Free Betting Pick: Ottawa Senators -120
The home crowd is going to be missing for either team here and that makes this a game based off of the pure talent of the players. Look for the NHL International series game 2 to go to Ottawa as the trade of Duchene will hurt the Avs, but so will the way the Senators are going to watch the net. Senators win this one 3-1.

[bmd1803]

Blue Jackets at Red Wings 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Adam

Latest Odds : DET -135 Total 5.5

The Blue Jackets are playing in back to back games, but they do not have to travel far for the games. The game on Friday night was in Columbus and it was against a team the Blue Jackets are familiar with in the Hurricanes. However, the Hurricanes are not a team that usually wears the Blue Jackets out to much so that could help them out coming into face the Red Wings.

Seth Jones is the player who has managed to lead the Blue Jackets for points on the season. Jones, while he does not lead in goals or assist, has taken over the team lead by getting 12 points on the year and is coming into the game sitting on a +8 margin.


For the Red Wings they have Friday off, but that may not help them out that much as they have to figure out what exactly went wrong in the game against the Flames. In the game against the Flames the Red Wings allowed a total of 6 goals to be scored and looked a little bit on the flat side even though they did not even play in back to back games.

The Red Wings are led by Dylan Larkin still on the year when it comes to scoring. Larkin has managed to get a total of 14 points on the year with 12 of those points coming in the form of assist so far.

Recent Betting Trends:
Blue Jackets are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Wings are 7-1 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Over is 5-1 in Blue Jackets last 6 road games.
Over is 2-0-2 in Red Wings last 4 vs. Metropolitan.
Free Betting Pick: Columbus Blue Jackets +125
The Blue Jackets are a strong team and can handle the back to back games. Look for the Blue Jackets to be able to handle a Red Wings team that is still trying to figure out the defense and why it is so bad in some games. Blue Jackets win here 4-1.

[bmd1803]

Islanders at Blues 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Jim

Latest Odds : STL -170 Total 5.5

The Islanders have the offense that is able to hang with almost any team in the league. The downside is the defense is not matching the offense’s production on the season and that has really caused the Islanders to have quite a few issues on the year so far.

The Islanders offense is able to get a total of 3.6 goals a game so far this season. The Islanders defense is what has cost the team some of the wins they should have had on the year as the defense is giving up 3.1 goals a game, but usually gives up that amount when the offense cannot find the net.


The Blues are coming into this game with only 3 losses all season and that has been because of the net play of Jake Allen who has managed to be like a magician for the defense. The Blues are the second rated defense in all the NHL and that is going to make a huge difference as the old football saying goes, which can be applied to hockey here the defense wins the game.

Speaking of the defense for the Blues it is only giving up 2.3 goals a game on the year so far. However, the offense for the Blues is playing decent as well as they are scoring at a clip of 3.3 goals a game.

Recent Betting Trends:
Islanders are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Blues are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
Over is 8-1 in Islanders last 9 overall.
Under is 6-0 in Blues last 6 vs. Metropolitan.
Free Betting Pick: Saint Louis Blues -170
The Islanders defense has been something to cost the Islanders a lot of games this year. However, the Blues are the exact opposite and the defense controls the games and the tempo. Look for the Blues to be able to easily hand the Islanders a big loss here 4-1.

[bmd1803]

Penguins at Predators 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Adam

Latest Odds : NSH -120 Total 5.5

The Penguins season has been one that they have had to learn quite a bit. Yes, the Penguins learned last season how to cope without Crosby on the ice when he was injured, but now he is back and this year the Penguins still are not relying to heavily on the offensive threat they had in Crosby and when he is on the ice, he does not seem to be drawing nearly as much attention as what he used to.

Matt Murray has been the main goalie for the Penguins on the season, but he has had some struggles. Behind him the Penguins do have a lack of quality depth, but they still like to play some good games. Murray has a save percentage of 90.6% this season.


The Predators have found the offense can come to life and it does not have to come from people named Forsberg of Johansen to get the job done all the time. Yes, the Predators are still relying rather heavily on these two key players, but they are not relying on them exclusively to get the job done, which is a good thing for the Preds.

With the Predators they have had Rinne in net most of the season. He has managed to keep his goals against average at a very respectable 2.08 goals a game allowed. However, he is saving 93.4% of the shots that have been sent his way.

Recent Betting Trends:
Penguins are 2-6 in their last 8 Saturday games.
Predators are 20-7 in their last 27 home games.
Under is 7-2 in Penguins last 9 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 3-1-1 in Predators last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Free Betting Pick: Nashville Predators -120
The Predators offense and the defense seem to go together really well so far this year for the Predators. This is contrary to the Penguins who have seen some struggles come up at times. With that being the case the Penguins will lose the game on the struggles of the defense 3-2.

[bmd1803]

Jets at Coyotes 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Mike

Latest Odds : WIN -125 Total 6

Blake Wheeler has finally showed up for the Jets this season and taken his place atop the leaderboard for the points total for the Jets. Wheeler started off very slow this season, but now for the Jets is back on top at 21 points. What is even better for the Jets fans is the fact that Wheeler is leading in only assist this year with 16.

The person Wheeler is typically feeding the puck to for the assist is Mark Scheifele who has managed to pull down 9 goals on the year so far for the Jets. Scheifele could easily build on this lead even more if he was able to continue to play at the high level the fans have come to expect.


The Coyotes season has just been painful to watch for anyone with an interest in hockey. The Coyotes have not really been able to do much of anything. The wins they have managed to get on the season have been pure luck wins and typically were a bounce of a bad puck on the opponent that managed just sneak by the goalie and get into the net for the score.

Recent Betting Trends:
Jets are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. Western Conference.
Coyotes are 1-7 in their last 8 home games.
Over is 5-1-2 in Jets last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
Under is 11-4-2 in Coyotes last 17 vs. Western Conference.
Free Betting Pick: Winnipeg Jets -125
The Jets are going to dominate in this game. The Coyotes have improved some and even against the Blues it was only a 1 goal loss, but the Coyotes have not improved that much. The Jets win this game over the Coyotes 3-1.

[bmd1803]

Canucks at Sharks 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Thomas

Latest Odds : SJ -125 Total 5.5

Vancouver had a game on Thursday night that seen them unable to do much of anything. The Canucks offense was unreliable and the defense just could not help the goalie out at turning away the Ducks offense and that is what cost them the game. This is in contrast to the Sharks who have been off since dropping a game to the Lightning. The game against the Lightning was almost like the Canucks game, but the Sharks have more time off to figure out what went wrong.


On the season the Sharks are scoring goals at a rate of 2.6 goals a game. The defense is giving up the goals at a rate of 2.5 goals a game. So this is a very slim margin for a good team to live off of if they are going to keep winning.

The Canucks are coming into the game with a season average of 2.8 goals being scored per game. The defense for the Canucks is giving up 2.4 goals a game on the year so far. So they do have a better margin for the wins.

Recent Betting Trends:
Canucks are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
Sharks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Canucks last 6 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation.
Under is 15-4-8 in Sharks last 27 Saturday games.
Free Betting Pick: Vancouver Canucks +115
The Canucks loss was not as bad as the Sharks loss. However, the Sharks did have more time off to recover. The difference here is the fact the Canucks are just a better defensive team and that is what will win the game for the Canucks 3-1.

[bmd1803]

Oilers at Rangers 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Adam

Latest Odds : NYR -117 Total 5.5

The Edmonton Oilers (6 - 8 - 1, 13 pts) are on the road for a tough match up against the NY Rangers (8 - 7 - 2, 18 pts). New York will be hosting this game at the Madison Square garden in New York, NY. New York rolls into town off of a nice win over the Boston Bruins while Edmonton just scored an overtime win against the New York Islanders.

Edmonton comes to town a game removed from watching Leon Draisaitl score the game winning goal over the Islanders. Edmonton is the worst offensive team in the NHL this year but it hasn't been due to any laziness on the part of Connor McDavid (6 goals, 12 assists). McDavid has turned in one of the most impressive early-season performances in the league this year. McDavid's excellent play this year hasn't been enough to keep Edmonton in the win column but that could change here.


The NY Rangers are 10th in the NHL in goals scored this season, averaging 3.3 scores per game. Center Mika Zibanejad (8 goals, 10 assists) has been dominant in the early going and his match up with Connor McDavid will easily be the highlight of the night for hockey fans. New York is 5th in the NHL in power play percentage which puts them in a unique position to rack up some goals over Edmonton in what could be a high scoring game.

Recent Betting Trends:
Oilers are 4-10 in their last 14 vs. Eastern Conference.
Rangers are 35-17 in their last 52 vs. Pacific.
Under is 7-0 in Oilers last 7 road games.
Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
Free Betting Pick: New York Rangers -117
The Oilers have had quite a few offensive woes on the season so far. That has really cost the OIlers quite a bit in the way of wins, even with some decent defense. That is what will be the problem in this game as e like NY to defeat Edmonton in this game, 5 - 3.

[bmd1803]

Maple Leafs at Bruins 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Mike

Latest Odds : TOR -115 Total 5.5

The Toronto Maple Leafs are drawing a road match up against the Boston Bruins for this weekend. Boston will be hosting this game at the TD Garden in Boston, MA. Boston and Toronto will be taking each other on for the second night in a row which means both teams should be at the top of their game against one another. Boston has fallen to the middle of the pack in the Atlantic while Toronto continues to pace atop the division.

The Boston Bruins come into this game as one of the most disappointing teams in the NHL. Boston is ranked 16th in the NHL in goals scored this season and that has largely been due to the strong play of David Pastrnak (9 goals, 7 assists). However, even with Pastrnak's strong play the rest of the Bruins have struggled to get things going. Boston is 3rd in the NHL in penalty kill which shows that they have potential for a shut-out defensive effort.


The Toronto Maple Leafs are looking to continue their upward ascent in the Atlantic with a big win here. Toronto is 2nd in the NHL in goals scored per game, racking up 4 per outing. Auston Matthews (10 goals, 9 assists) leads the team in scoring but he hasn't been enough to help overcome Toronto's middling lackluster defense. Toronto is giving up nearly 4 goals per game to opposing teams.

Recent Betting Trends:
Maple Leafs are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
Bruins are 4-13 in their last 17 games playing on 0 days rest.
Over is 5-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 vs. Atlantic.
Under is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 home games.
Free Betting Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -115
The Maple Leafs have a great offense and a defense that is under-performing to say the least. However, the Bruins do not have a good offense and the Bruins have relied on David Pastrnak quite a bit this year. Relying on only a single player for offense will cost the Bruins in this game. We like Toronto to defeat Boston here, 4 - 2.

[bmd1803]

Panthers at Devils 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Thomas

Latest Odds : NJ -130 Total 6

The New Jersey Devils have lost four straight games heading into this weekend. New Jersey is 9-4-2 on the season and 1st in the Metro. The Devils are 5-3-2 over their last ten games and lost to the Oilers on Thursday. New Jersey is 4-3-1 on their home ice.

Keith Kinkaid will make his 5th start of the season for the Devils. Kinkaid is 3-1-1 on the season with 13 goals allowed. Kinkaid carries a 2.88 goals against average and a .903 save percentage.


The Florida Panthers play in Buffalo on Friday night and are riding a five losing streak heading into this weekend. The Panthers are 4-8-2 on the season and 8th in the Atlantic. Florida is 2-6-2 over their last ten games and lost to Carolina in their last games on Tuesday. The Panthers are 1-5 on the road this season.

James Reimer will make his 9th start of the season for the Panthers. Reimer is 3-4-1 on the season with 29 goals allowed. Reimer carries a 4.00 goals against average and a .890 save percentage.

Recent Betting Trends:
Panthers are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Devils are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Atlantic.
Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 34-16-10 in Devils last 60 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Free Betting Pick: New Jersey Devils -130
Both the Devils and Panthers are struggling to find wins right now. The Devils are a much better team and Florida has a tough back-to-back spot with two away games. Back the Devils as they seek their 10th win of the season. Devils win 4-2.

[bmd1803]

Wild at Flyers 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Thomas

Latest Odds : PHI -120 Total 5.5

The Philadelphia Flyers remain at home to host the Minnesota Wild after beating the Blackhawks 3-1 on Thursday. The Flyers are 8-6-2 on the season and are 5th in the Metro. Philadelphia is 4-4-2 over their last ten games and are 4-2-2 on their home ice.

Brian Elliott will make his 10th start of the season in the net for the Flyers. Elliott is 6-3-1 on the season with 29 goals allowed. Elliott carries a 2.90 goals against average and a .903 save percentage.


The Minnesota Wild beat Montreal on the road 3-0 on Thursday. Minnesota is 6-7-2 on the season and 7th in the Central. The Wild are 5-5 over their last ten games and are 3-4-1 on the road this season.

Devan Dubnyk will make his 13th start of the season for the Wild on Saturday. Dubnyk iw 6-5-1 on the season with one shutout. Dubnyk has allowed 32 goals and carries a 2.77 goals against average and a .914 save percentage.

Recent Betting Trends:
Wild are 5-0 in their last 5 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation.
Flyers are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. Central.
Over is 5-1 in Wild last 6 vs. Metropolitan.
Under is 8-2 in Flyers last 10 vs. Central.
Free Betting Pick: Philadelphia Flyers -120
The Wild have lost to the Flyers in five straight meetings and have won just one of their last five trips to Philadelphia. The Flyers are a good hockey team on their home ice and have momentum after taking care of the Blackhawks. Back the home team, Flyers win 4-2.

[bmd1803]

Blackhawks at Hurricanes 11/11/17 - NHL Picks & Predictions

by Thomas

Latest Odds : CAR -130 Total 5.5

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Panthers 3-1 at home on Tuesday. The Hurricanes played in Columbus on Friday night and will host the Chicago Blackhawks on Saturday. Carolina is 5-5-3 on the season and 8th in the Metro. The Hurricanes are 4-4-2 over their last ten games and are 2-2-2 on their home ice.

Scott Darling will make his 11th start of the season for the Hurricanes. Darling is 4-3-3 on the season with 24 goals allowed. Darling carries a 2.35 goals against average and a .910 save percentage.


The Chicago Blackhawks have lost two straight games heading into this weekend. Chicago is 7-7-2 on the season and 6th in the Central. The Blackhawks are 3-6-1 over their last ten games and are 3-4-1 on the road this season.

Anton Forsberg will make his 4th start of the season in the goal for Chicago. Forsberg is 0-1-2 on the season . Forsberg has allowed 11 goals and carries a 4.26 goals against average and a .895 save percentage.

Recent Betting Trends:
Blackhawks are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. Metropolitan.
Hurricanes are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.
Under is 7-1-3 in Blackhawks last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1 in Hurricanes last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Free Betting Pick: Chicago Blackhawks +120
Look for Chicago to bounce back on the road on Saturday. The Hurricanes get caught in a tough back-to-back spot heading into this one. Chicago ranks 2nd in the NHL in goals allowed per game. Back the Blackhawks as Chicago wins 3-2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #8 -AQUEDUCT - 3:47 PM EASTERN POST
The Red Smith Handicap
11.0 FURLONGS TURF GRADE III THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE

#2 MONEY MULTIPLIER
#12 MESSI
#9 HUNTER O'RILEY
#7 SPRING QUALITY

This race which was run as The Edgemere Handicap until 1981. The Red Smith Handicap honors the late sportswriter Walter Wellesley "Red" Smith (1905-1982). A Pulitzer Prize winner in 1976, Smith covered sports for 55 years, most notably for The New York Herald Tribune and later The New York Times, writing a widely syndicated column for both outlets. According to his obituary published in the Times: "He preferred covering sports like baseball, football, boxing and horse playing ('not horse racing,' he emphasized) and disdained what he called 'back and forth' sports like basketball and hockey." The Edgemere Handicap was also the name of a mile and a furlong race on the main track last run here in 1957. Here in the 58th running of The Smith ... #3 GET JETS, a 6-1 shot, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three straight, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his last two outings. Jockey John Velazquez has been in his irons on three previous occasions, hitting the board in each, winning twice, and is back this afternoon here in Ozone Park for his 4th ride, gunning for a "Hat Trick Win!" #12 MESSI, a rare Greman-brade racing in North America, and a 10-1 BOMB, has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five outings, hitting the board in three of those efforts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Churchill Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Optional Claiming - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $68000 Class Rating: 113

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $8,995 THREE TIMES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, RESTRICTED, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $80,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $30,000 TWICE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. $24,000 AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE THEN


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 OAK BROOK 3/1

# 4 REVVED UP 5/1

# 8 FLASHY CHELSEY 5/1

My selection for this event is OAK BROOK. Should best this field here, showing quite good figures of late. Going in a turf route race gives this gelding a competitive shot. Is tough not to consider given the company run in lately. REVVED UP - Has solid Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet for this event. This colt looks strong in this race since McGaughey has a solid win percent with horses going this distance. FLASHY CHELSEY - Is a definite contender - given the 106 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. Solid rider and trainer combo winning 25 percent of their races working together.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Del Mar - Race #9 - Post: 4:31pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 98

Rating: 3

#10 JONNY'S CHOICE (ML=9/2)
#4 TISDALE (ML=7/2)
#8 UCANTHANKMELATER (ML=10/1)
#5 SOUTH TEXAS LINGO (ML=12/1)


JONNY'S CHOICE - Finished out of the money last out at Santa Anita, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 9/2 makes me think he's got a chance. Here is a true horse for the course. Loves the track here at Del Mar. TISDALE - Hess moves this animal here to Del Mar from Santa Anita. Looking at the horse's past performance lines, he has shown the ability to win at different racing venues. A horse coming back this soon after a strong race is a good sign. UCANTHANKMELATER - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a solid outing in the last race within the last month or so. Coming off a fourth place finish at Santa Anita, some may skip this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has decent M/L odds today. SOUTH TEXAS LINGO - Don't often see a positive return on investment like +98. This rider/handler duo has done well together over the last year. This one could be a possible overlay in this race at morning odds of 12/1. Finished fifth in last race at Santa Anita but was close at the finish.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 FREDDIES DREAM (ML=3/1), #6 ROMAN TIZZY (ML=4/1), #3 HEIR OF STORM (ML=8/1),

FREDDIES DREAM - This probable favorite hasn't been to the track in awhile. No morning drills since last race. ROMAN TIZZY - Equibase speed figs tell a story of decreasing form. HEIR OF STORM - Not probable that the speed figure he garnered on October 21st will hold up in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #10 JONNY'S CHOICE to win if you can get odds of 9/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [8,10] Box [5,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
[4,10] with [4,5,8,10] with [4,5,8,10] with [2,4,5,6,8,10] with [2,4,5,6,8,10] Total Cost: $72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating: 3

#3 DIZZY DANCER (ML=9/5)
#2 UNDERWRITE (ML=5/1)


DIZZY DANCER - After the event aboard this animal on Oct 27th, the jockey is going to be in touch with the gelding much better. Morey had been running this gelding at higher levels recently. Did win a $12,500 Claiming race though, on Jul 14th. Could do it again here. When this jock and trainer unite you have to take a look. Velasco and Morey have been wonderful together. UNDERWRITE - This gelding is in nice physical condition, having run a strong race on Oct 21st, finishing second.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CRUSHER (ML=5/2), #5 WOODY'S FOLLY (ML=3/1), #1 ROCKIN ROBIN (ML=8/1),

CRUSHER - You always figure that this equine has a shot to be victorious, but he just misses most of the time. Registered a run-of-the-mill speed rating last out in a $4,000 Claiming race on October 9th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that figure. WOODY'S FOLLY - Hasn't been close at all lately. ROCKIN ROBIN - When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to register a much better speed figure than last time out to compete in this dirt route.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #3 DIZZY DANCER on top if we're getting at least 2/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip