Sunday 11-12-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL opening line report: Early sharp action on Bills as home dogs in Week 10
Patrick Everson

The marquee matchup of Week 10 in the NFL features two teams that should be of playoff caliber, but only one actually playing that way right now. Covers takes a look at opening lines on a quartet of next weekend’s contests, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons (no line)

Defending NFC champion Atlanta won its first three games SU, but hasn’t looked good since then. The Falcons (4-4 SU, 2-6 ATS) are on a 1-4 SU skid, failing to cash in all five of those games. In Week 9, Atlanta had another lackluster offensive effort, unable to score in the middle two quarters of a 20-17 loss at Carolina as a 3-point favorite.

Dallas has won three in a row SU and ATS to get its season back on track. The Cowboys (5-3 SU and ATS) dispatched Kansas City 28-17 Sunday as a 2.5-point home chalk.

Bookmaker.eu is sitting tight on a line for this game, as the Ezekiel Elliott suspended/not suspended chronicles continue this week.

“It feels like the Cowboys are finally catching their stride offensively, and the defense looked like a different, competent unit against Kansas City,” Cooley said. “That said, we have to wait to see what the next chapter is in the Ezekiel Elliott saga, because he certainly is worth something to the line. If he is ultimately suspended, Dallas will be a short underdog at Atlanta.”

New England Patriots at Denver Broncos (+7)

New England is tied for the best record in the AFC and coming off its bye week. The Patriots (6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS) have won four straight (3-1 ATS), including a 21-13 home victory over the Los Angeles Chargers giving 6.5 points in Week 8.

Denver is a hot mess at quarterback, and even its normally reliable defense struggled in Week 9. The Broncos (3-5 SU, 2-5-1 ATS) got trampled at Philadelphia, 51-23 as a 7-point underdog.

“Denver is in one of those situations where one side has given up because the other side isn’t performing,” Cooley said. “The offense is a mess, and there doesn’t seem to be a solution in sight. That said, you have to expect one of the Broncos’ best efforts here on Sunday night. This spread will likely head north, but there will be some value players on the home ‘dog with backs against the wall.”

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (+2.5)

Minnesota has a third-string quarterback and a first-place record heading into Week 10. The Vikings (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS), behind Case Keenum, have won four in a row and five of six, rolling past Cleveland 33-16 as an 11-point favorite in Week 8 before getting a bye this past week.

Washington (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) snapped a two-game SU and four-game ATS slide in Week 9. The Redskins got a late touchdown to upset Seattle 17-14 getting 8 points on the road.

“Early sharp action came in on the Redskins, knocking this down to +2 quickly,” Cooley said. “Hats go off to Jay Gruden and his staff for staying competitive amid all of the injuries. It will be interesting to see if that ragtag offensive line can hold up against one of the best defenses in the league.”

New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills (+2.5)

New Orleans has to be among the bigger surprises this season. The Saints (6-2 SU and ATS) have won six in a row, covering every time after an 0-2 SU and ATS start. In Week 9, Drew Brees and Co. rolled Tampa Bay 30-10 as a 7-point chalk.

Buffalo (5-3 SU, 5-2-1 ATS) went to MetLife Stadium last Thursday night as a 3-point favorite against the New York Jets. But the Bills left with a 34-21 outright loss.

“Everyone is back on the Saints’ wagon with the win streak continuing, but we’re still just not sold on this team being completely turned around from what it’s been in recent years,” Cooley said. “The Buffalo offense will have a new weapon on display, and it feels like this spread should be closer to a pick ‘em. Early smart money was on the Bills.”

That money quickly moved Buffalo to +2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wiseguys are advising that these Week 10 NFL lines are going to move
Art Aronson

The Rams (6-2 SU and 6-2 ATS) have morphed into an offensive power, scoring the most points in the NFC West by a 74-point margin, and the second-most in the NFC.

Game to bet now

Pittsburgh at Indianapolis (+10)

Wasn’t it just a few weeks ago that Ben Roethlisberger was questioning whether he wanted to even play football? Things have certainly changed, as the Steelers now are riding a three-game win streak, have taken complete control of the AFC North and are tied with New England for the best record in the AFC at 6-2.

Pittsburgh will play this one coming off its bye week against a Colts team with a newbie quarterback and in no way prepared to compete against elite teams. The line on this one has already crossed the Rubicon from 9.5 to 10, and is unlikely to change again unless heavy money comes crashing down on one side or the other.

Game to wait on

Houston at Los Angeles Rams (-11)

Deshaun Watson’s season-ending injury, and the Texans' subsequent loss to the Colts this past Sunday, has rocked Houston into considering signing Colin Kaepernick - a move that would do the league a solid by taking pressure off outspoken owner Bob McNair and put an end to the QB’s embarrassing suit against the NFL.

The Texans are in a deep hole at any rate, and now they have to contend with the most surprising team in the league. The Rams (6-2 SU and 6-2 ATS) have morphed into an offensive power, scoring the most points in the NFC West by a 74-point margin, and the second-most in the NFC.

There are some moving parts in this line, not the least of which is to find early betting reaction to LA’s 51-point outburst against the Giants this past Sunday. The line probably hasn’t firmed up yet.

Total to watch

New York Giants at San Francisco (42)

The Niners will eventually turn their team over to Jimmy Garoppolo, so what better place to open up their new toy than at home against one of the worst defensive teams in the entire league? The 42 number is obviously a nod to both team’s offensive shortcomings, but it ignores the fact that neither has shown any interest in stopping opponents. San Francisco is ranked 27th overall defensively, and the Giants are 30th.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Week 10 lines that make you go hmmm...
Peter Korner

When Jacksonville wins, it wins big, with margins of 16, 27, 21, 37 and 22 points in victories this season. Can the Jaguars cover again in Week 10?

Minnesota Vikings at Washington Redskins (-1.5, 42.5)

The early offshore number came out with -2 on the Vikings and that quickly dropped to as low as -1 from the outset. I favor the offshore number, in fact, I made this Minnesota -2.5 to be honest.

As good as Washington looks at times, its season has been an up-and-down affair. A quality win in Seattle doesn’t mask the fact that they can’t seem to win against other top teams in the league. Prior to last Sunday, the Redskins fell to Dallas, Philadelphia and Kansas City, and their lone win was against the cellar-dwelling 49ers.

Minnesota has been pretty much lights out. Winners of four in a row, the Vikings defense has been their calling card. For six games in a row, they have not given up more than 17 points. This makes it a lot easier for the offense. Now, with a week off, both sides of the ball are well rested and ready to go. You have to think these guys are energized for this game.

No matter who you like with a line this low, all your asking for is your team to win. The spread appears to be a non-factor. That’s why I believe the value is with the Vikings. The way this line is moving, you just might want to wait to see if this hits the Pick’em level by game day.

Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5, 41)

Again, the early number coming out from the offshores was -4.5 and that was quickly bet down to the current -3.5. And like Vikings-Redskins game, I agree with the bookmakers on this one. I’m riding the Jaguar Express while it’s hot and made this line closer to -5.5, bordering -6.

Despite Philip Rivers’ mounting passing yardage, the Chargers don’t seem to be scoring a lot. Their offense is mustering less than 19 points per game, averaging only 17 the past three weeks. Certainly, there’s nothing wrong with their defense, but after losing their first four games of the season, their three-game win streak seems a little tarnished beating teams like the Giants, Oakland and Denver. Three teams that total just eight wins for the season.

Jacksonville is hot. Add the return of top running back, Leonard Fournette, and the offense can keep some distance on the scoreboard. As for the defense, the Jaguars have held three of their last four opponents to single digits. When Jacksonville wins, it wins big, with margins of 16, 27, 21, 37 and 22 points.

The momentum appears to be with the Jaguars, who are locked in a two-way tie for first place in the AFC South. Don’t be afraid of the hook - not when this game should be around a touchdown difference.

Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans (-5, 40.5)

Tennessee broke out of the gate at -5.5 and the line has been slowly creeping downwards, in some cases, as low as -4.5 at some books. I’m with the early money on this one. I made this no higher than -3.5 and was thinking -3 (-120) was better.

Cincinnati traditionally is a betting favorite for good reason. And although they don’t always play up to their expectations, the Bengals are a team that has the perception that they can break out at any time. With WR A.J. Green dodging the suspension bullet, the Bengals appear to be at their crossroads for this season. Their two losses in the past five weeks were to quality teams in Jacksonville and Pittsburgh. And if not for those defeats, they’d be in the thick of things in the AFC North. They’ll be in thicker things if they lose this week.

Tennessee is mounting the W’s but peeling back the layers a bit reveals wins against Baltimore, Cleveland and Indianapolis. The Titans’ combined efforts have yielded a mere seven wins total. With an erratic offense, it seems that Cincinnati can stay close all game and even win this one straight up.

After last week’s dismal display, I get the feeling the Bengals will have something to prove and will be highly energized to get this game underway. The value here is with the dog, grabbing as many points as you can.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 10

Sunday, November 12

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MINNESOTA (6 - 2) at WASHINGTON (4 - 4) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 84-115 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 84-115 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 84-115 ATS (-42.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (4 - 4) at CHICAGO (3 - 5) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 183-130 ATS (+40.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (6 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 6) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 103-73 ATS (+22.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (3 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 3) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 89-64 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 28-4 ATS (+23.6 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 2-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 2-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (4 - 5) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 6) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CINCINNATI (3 - 5) at TENNESSEE (5 - 3) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 29-51 ATS (-27.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 14-32 ATS (-21.2 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ORLEANS (6 - 2) at BUFFALO (5 - 3) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (0 - 8) at DETROIT (4 - 4) - 11/12/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 131-172 ATS (-58.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (3 - 5) at LA RAMS (6 - 2) - 11/12/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
LA RAMS is 180-227 ATS (-69.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 180-227 ATS (-69.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 81-116 ATS (-46.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 139-179 ATS (-57.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 60-93 ATS (-42.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DALLAS (5 - 3) at ATLANTA (4 - 4) - 11/12/2017, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (1 - 7) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 9) - 11/12/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 33-57 ATS (-29.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ENGLAND (6 - 2) at DENVER (3 - 5) - 11/12/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-1 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 10

Trend Report

Sunday, November 12

GREEN BAY @ CHICAGO
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Green Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

CINCINNATI @ TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

NEW ORLEANS @ BUFFALO
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Buffalo's last 12 games at home
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

CLEVELAND @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games

PITTSBURGH @ INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

LA CHARGERS @ JACKSONVILLE
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Jacksonville's last 9 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home

NY JETS @ TAMPA BAY
NY Jets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Jets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing NY Jets

MINNESOTA @ WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Washington
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

HOUSTON @ LA RAMS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

NY GIANTS @ SAN FRANCISCO
NY Giants is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
NY Giants is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
San Francisco is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against NY Giants

DALLAS @ ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

NEW ENGLAND @ DENVER
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against New England

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 10

Sunday, November 12

Minnesota @ Washington

Game 251-252
November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
137.462
Washington
134.571
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 3
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 1
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-1); Over

Green Bay @ Chicago

Game 253-254
November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
130.999
Chicago
133.435
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 6
38
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(+6); Under

Pittsburgh @ Indianapolis

Game 255-256
November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
137.137
Indianapolis
129.095
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 8
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
by 10 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indianapolis
(+10 1/2); Under

LA Chargers @ Jacksonville

Game 257-258
November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
131.637
Jacksonville
139.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 8
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 3 1/2
41
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(-3 1/2); Under

NY Jets @ Tampa Bay

Game 259-260
November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Jets
131.994
Tampa Bay
127.567
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Jets
by 4 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Jets
by 2
43
Dunkel Pick:
NY Jets
(-2); Under

Cincinnati @ Tennessee

Game 261-262
November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
128.987
Tennessee
129.725
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 1
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 5
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+5); Under

New Orleans @ Buffalo

Game 263-264
November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
136.164
Buffalo
140.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 4 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+3); Under

Cleveland @ Detroit

Game 265-266
November 12, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
121.425
Detroit
137.966
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 16 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 11
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-11); Over

Houston @ LA Rams

Game 267-268
November 12, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
128.117
LA Rams
148.313
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 20
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 11
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Rams
(-11); Over

Dallas @ Atlanta

Game 269-270
November 12, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
132.555
Atlanta
138.903
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 6 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-2 1/2); Under

NY Giants @ San Francisco

Game 271-272
November 12, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
126.366
San Francisco
121.259
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 5
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 2 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-2 1/2); Under

New England @ Denver

Game 273-274
November 12, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
133.249
Denver
131.245
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 7 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+7 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 10

Sunday's games
Vikings (6-2) @ Redskins (4-4)— Minnesota won last four games, covered last three; they’re 1-1 in true road games, losing in Pittsburgh, winning 20-17 in Chicago. Vikings are 1-6 in last seven post-bye games, 1-7 vs spread in last eight- they held five of last six opponents under their total for that game. Washington evened its record with upset win at Seattle; they were outgained by 143 yards, with three new starters on offensive line. Home side won last four series games; Vikings lost 38-26/26-20 in last two visits here. Average total in last five series games is 57. Three of last four Redskin games went over total. NFC North teams are 12-9 vs spread outsider their division; NFC East teams are 14-10 vs spread, 8-4 as an underdog.

Packers (4-4) @ Bears (3-5)— Green Bay lost its last three games, scoring 10-17-10 points; they aren’t very good without Rodgers, scoring four TD’s on (22) drives in last three losses. Chicago is 6-2 vs spread this year but they’re favored for first time this season here; this is first time in nine years they’re favored over Packers. Green Bay is 12-2 in last 14 series games; they won last seven visits here. Pack (-7) won first meeting 35-14 in Week 4, thanks to +4 TO ratio. Bears outgained Green Bay 308-260. Bears are 2-2 at home, allowing 15.8 ppg- they lost last three post-bye games, by 41-3-26 points. Under is 6-2 in Chicago games this season. NFL-wide, home favorites are 9-11-2 vs spread in divisional games. Since ’07, Bears are 15-28-3 as a home favorite; under Fox, they’re 0-4 as home faves.

Steelers (6-2) @ Colts (3-6)— Pittsburgh won/covered its last three games, allowing three TD’s on last 31 drives; Steelers are 4-1 on road, winning by 3-17-6-5 points- they’re 12-7 in last 19 games as a road favorite, 2-1 this year. Colts lost three of last four games, are 2-2 at home- three of the four games were decided by exactly 3 points. Steelers won last four series games, last three all by 17+ points. Pitt won last three visits here, by 3-3-21 points. Pittsburgh lost its last three post-bye games; they were favored in two of them. Indy won/covered last four pre-bye games. Over is 5-2 in Colts’ last seven games; under is 7-1 in Steeler games this season.

Chargers (3-5) @ Jaguars (5-3)— Jaguars outscored last four opponents 43-6 in second half of game. Chargers won three of last four games after an 0-4 start; LA lost four of last six post-bye games. Bolts are 3-1 as a road underdog this year, losing on road by 3 in Denver, 8 in Foxboro- they won at Giants/Raiders. Three of their five losses are by 3 points or less. Jaguars allowed 7-7-9-0-7 points in their wins, 27-23-27 in their losses; they’re 2-2 at home, 1-1 as a home favorite. Chargers won last six games vs J’ville, beating Jaguars each of the last four years, scoring 31+ points in last three meetings. Bolts won last three visits here. Last three Charger games stayed under total, as did three of last four Jaguar games.

Jets (4-5) @ Buccaneers (2-6)— Winston (shoulder), Evans (WR) are out here; former Jets QB Fitzpatrick gets nod here under center for Tampa Bay- he is 34 years old, has 46-69-1 record as an NFL starter- he went 13-14 with the Jets the last two years. Bucs lost their last five games (0-4-1 vs spread), scoring total of 13 points in last two games (1 TD on 21 drives). Tampa Bay is 2-2 at home (under 3-1). Jets won five of last seven pre-bye games; they’re 1-3 on road, with only win 17-14 at Cleveland- their road losses are by 9-25-3 points. Jets are 10-1 vs Tampa Bay; their only loss to the Bucs was in 1984. Gang Green won its last three visits to Tampa, with last visit here in ’09. Jets have 2+ takeaways in each go their last five games (+5).

Bengals (3-5) @ Titans (5-3)— Cincy is 1-3 on road this year, 1-2 as road underdog, losing road games by 3-15-16 points- their one road win was in Cleveland. Bengals were held to 148 yards on just 37 plays in dismal 23-7 loss to Jaguars LW- they were 1-8 on 3rd down, had only 8 first downs. Tennessee won its last three games, winning last two by FG each; Titans are 3-1 at home, 2-1-1 as home favorites- their home wins are by 6-14-3 points. Cincy won last two series games, 24-17/33-7; they won last two visits to Nashville- their last loss here was in ’04. AFC North teams are 8-9-1 vs spread outside their division, 3-3-1 as road dogs. AFC South teams are 10-7-1, 4-2-1 as a home favorite. Over is 5-2 in last seven Tennessee games.

Saints (6-2) @ Bills (5-3)— New Orleans won its last six games after an 0-2 start; they’re 2-1 in true road games, winning at Carolina/Green Bay- they won last three games despite being -1 in turnovers in all three games. Saints allowed only 8 TD’s on their foes’ last 60 drives. Buffalo is 4-0 at home this season, allowing 17.3 ppg; Saints won last four series games, all by 12+ points; this is their first visit to western NY since 2009- NO won last three visits here, with lone loss in 1983. NFC South teams are 9-15-2 vs spread outside their division, 6-6-1 on road; AFC East teams are 12-7-2, 5-4-2 at home. Last three Buffalo games went over total; under is 5-1 in last six Saint games. Teams coming off of Thursday night games are 10-5-1 vs spread this season.

Browns (0-8) @ Lions (4-4)— Short week for Detroit after rare win in Lambeau Monday night, which makes this a trap game for Lions. Detroit lost its last three home games, allowing 25.7 ppg- they’re 12-5-3 as home favorite under Caldwell, 1-1 this year. Cleveland is 0-9 (2-7 vs spread); they’re 0-2 as road underdogs this year, losing road games by 14-3-16 points. Browns are 1-5 (2-4 vs spread) in last six post-bye games. Detroit won last three series games, by 3-1-14 points; Browns lost 38-37 in their only visit here, in 2009. Browns’ last three road games went over the total. NFC North home teams are 8-5 vs spread outside the division; AFC North road underdogs are 3-3-1. Cleveland is -13 in turnovers this year, which helps explain the 0-8 mark.

Texans (3-5) @ Rams (6-2)— Houston scored 7-14 points in losing both games Savage started this year; they scored 34.7 ppg in other six games, so Watson’s injury is crippling. Texans are are 3-0 vs spread as road underdog this year; all three games were decided by 4 or less points, but they were also all Watson starts. Rams are home for first time in five weeks; they won last three games, by 10-33-34 points. LA is 1-2 as a home favorite- they lost their last two home games, to Seattle, Washington. Wade Phillips coached with the Texans in 2011-13, was interim coach for three games. Road team won all three series games; Texans won 16-13 in St Louis in only road series games, in ’09. Over is 6-2 in Rams games this season.

Cowboys (5-3) @ Falcons (4-4)— Falcons lost four of last five games after a 1-4 start; they’re 1-2 at home, losing to Buffalo/Miami in last two home tilts. Atlanta scored 23+ points in its four wins, 17 or less in four losses- they won last two series games 19-13/39-28; Cowboys’ last series win was in 2009. Teams split last six series games in Atlanta. Dallas won/covered its last three games; they won their last three road games. Cowboys allowed 42-35-35 points in their three losses. Dallas ran ball for 183.4 ypg the last five games; check Elliott’s legal status. Last five Atlanta games stayed under the total; four of last five Dallas games went over. Since 2013, NFL home teams are 5-9 vs spread if they played on road the previous three weeks.

Giants (1-7) @ 49ers (0-9)— Not many 0-9 teams have been favored/pick ‘em in Game 10. 49ers were outscored 51-6 in first half of their last three games; they’re favored for first time this year. This will probably be Beathard’s last start for 49ers; they have bye next week, then Garoppolo figures to take over as the QB. Giants are 3-1 vs spread on road this year, winning at Denver in their last road game. Big Blue’s road losses are by 16-3-2 points, at Dallas/Philly/Tampa- they’ve allowed 400+ yards in their last three games- they allowed 14.1 ypa in rain last week. Big Blue lost field position in its last two games, by 11-14 yards. Giants won six of last eight series games; their last visit to SF was in 2012. Four of last six Giant games went over total.

Patriots (6-2) @ Broncos (3-5)— Denver lost its last four games, giving up 80 points in last two games; their reality is none of its three QB’s are good enough. Broncos allowed TD on defense or special teams in three of last four games- they’re 3-1 at home, but loss was to the 1-7 Giants. New England won its last four games (3-1 vs spread); they’re 3-0 on road, 2-1 as a road favorite, with road wins by 16-5-7 points. Patriots lost six of last eight visits to Denver; they’re 2-3 in last five games with Broncos- two of three losses were playoff games. Since 2013, NFL home teams are 5-9 vs spread if they played on road the previous three weeks. Broncos covered four of last five tries as a home underdog. Last four New England games stayed under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 10
Monty Andrews

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (+5.5, 41.5)

Seahawks' lack of discipine vs. Cardinals' ability to draw flags

The Seattle Seahawks are no longer the best team in the NFC West - shockingly, that monicker now belongs to the Los Angeles Rams. But the Seahawks can begin the climb back to the peak with a victory Thursday against the division-rival Arizona Cardinals. Seattle is favored by nearly a touchdown in this one, but the Cardinals have been far more disciplined this season than the Seahawks - and that might be the kind of advantage that could prove to be an equalizer.

Seattle has gotten in its own way more than any other team in the league this season, racking up a mind-boggling 82 accepted penalties through its first nine games - nine more than the second-place New York Jets. The Seahawks' 673 accepted penalty yards also pace the NFL, and they're a distant 32nd in penalty flag margin (minus-31) and penalty yards differential (minus-232). Seattle picked up a whopping 16 penalties for 138 yards in last weekend's 17-14 home loss to the Washington Redskins.

Winning the penalty flag battle could prove difficult against a Cardinals team that has had an advantage in that area for the majority of the season. While Arizona ranks in the middle of the pack with 55 accepted penalties, the Cardinals have drawn 68 flags - tied with Miami for the most in the league - for 566 yards, fifth-most overall. Arizona's plus-13 flag differential ranks third in the NFL - and a similar edge this weekend could put the Cardinals in position for an upset win.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts (+10, 44)

Steelers' potent pass rush vs. Colts' poor QB protection

The Pittsburgh Steelers are well-rested and ready to get back to their Super Bowl quest - and this week looks like a tasty matchup, as they're giving away double-digit points to the Colts in Indianapolis. Pittsburgh reeled off three consecutive victories heading into its Week 9 bye, and rolls into Indiana facing a Colts team that just learned it will be without franchise quarterback Andrew Luck for the remainder of the season. Look for Pittsburgh's pass rush to capitalize on an Indy O-line that ranks among the league's worst.

Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and the rest of pittsburgh's offense has been up-and-down through the first half of the season, but the defense has been one of the league's most consistently elite units in football. The Steelers come into Week 10 with 26 sacks; only Jacksonville, Carolina and Dallas have more. Pittsburgh has eight sacks during its three-game run, while the Steelers' offensive line has surrendered just one sack over that same span.

Heaven help the Colts, who will send Jacoby Brissett back under center this weekend. Indianapolis quarterbacks have been sacked 36 times so far this season, the highest total in the league; the Colts allowed just 44 sacks all of last season, and even that total was fifth-highest in the NFL. Brissett was taken down three times in last week's stunning win over the Houston Texans - and the Colts won't be so lucky if they can't protect their quarterback against one of the NFL's fiercest pass rushes.

Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars (-4, 41)

Chargers' leaky run D vs. Jaguars' elite ground game

The Jacksonville Jaguars suddenly have division title aspirations as they look to remain atop the AFC South standings with a victory this weekend against the visiting Los Angeles Chargers. Normalcy should return to the Jaguars' locker room after rookie running back Leonard Fournette was benched in Week 9 for a series of team violations. The Jaguars will need Fournette in the fold to take full advantage of the Chargers' questionable run defense.

The Chargers have limited opponents to just 19 points per game so far, but they should consider themselves fortunate in that regard given how much they have struggled against opposing rushers. Los Angeles ranks 28th out of 32 teams in yards per carry (4.6), 29th in rushing first downs allowed per game (7.0) and 31st in rushing yards against per contest (135.1). The Chargers have only given up five rushing scores, but that will change if they don't tighten up against the run.

This might not be the week the Chargers get right. The Jaguars boast the league's most potent rush attack, ranked first in yards per game on the ground (166.5) and second in yards per carry (4.8). And Jacksonville knows where its proverbial bread is buttered; it ranks first in the NFL in rush play percentage (52.9) and first in total rushes per game (34.8). It's no secret what the Jaguars' game plan will be - and the Chargers might not be equipped to do much about it.

Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons (-3, 50.5)

Cowboys' interception avoidance vs. Falcons' flailing secondary

Dak Prescott and Matt Ryan were two of the top quarterbacks in the NFL last season. But, while Prescott has picked up right where he has left off, Ryan is scrambling to regain his 2017 form as he and the Falcons welcome Prescott and the Cowboys on Sunday. While there's still a possibility that the Cowboys will lose running back Ezekiel Elliott to suspension at some point, Prescott's play has put bettors' minds at ease - and should continue to do so against a subpar Atlanta secondary.

The Cowboys registered the third-fewest interceptions in the NFL last season with six - and while they're on pace to surpass that total in 2017, it won't be by much. Prescott has had just four passes picked off through his first eight games of the season; only four teams have fewer interceptions. Prescott's consistency has been remarkable; he has completed between 63.5 and 64 percent of his passes in each of the past three games, without throwing an interception in any of them.

Don't expect Prescott's INT total to climb against the Falcons, who come into Week 10 with a paltry two interceptions - ranking 31st out of 32 NFL teams. Atlanta's one interception return yard - that's right, one - is also 31st in the league. The Falcons also rank in the bottom half of the league in passes defended (33), while Prescott has had just 27 passes defended - tied for seventh-fewest in the NFL. It should be a low-pressure kind of day for Prescott, which could give the Cowboys a pivotal edge.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 3:30 PM ET, Sunday, November 12, 2017
Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

Matchup Edge

TOR	Edge in:	BOS
	Points Per Game
	Field Goal %
	Free Throw %
	Defense
	Rebounding
	Turn Overs
	Bench

Preview: Raptors at Celtics

Gracenote
Nov 11, 2017

Even when their leading scorer heads to the locker room early, the Boston Celtics can still lean on their league-best defense to keep their winning streak alive. The Celtics hope to have Kyrie Irving back at the head of that defense when they try to push their winning streak to 12 straight on Saturday against the visiting Toronto Raptors.

Irving was bashed in the face by an elbow from teammate Aron Baynes, who was turning to box out after committing a foul on defense, and was sent home at halftime on Friday and will be monitored despite not being diagnosed with a concussion during initial testing. "I haven't talked to him," Boston coach Brad Stevens told reporters of Irving after his short-handed team pulled off a 90-87 win over the Charlotte Hornets to run the NBA's longest winning streak to 11 straight. "But he sent a text to a group of us right when we walked back into the coaches' office and it said, 'Way to go. Great win' ... So obviously he watched the end of the game." The Celtics are allowing a league-low 94 points per game but will be tested by a Toronto squad that averaged 120.5 points in back-to-back home wins. "The game is changing," Raptors coach Dwane Casey told reporters after watching his team outlast the New Orleans Pelicans in a 122-118 win on Thursday. "It's 3-pointers. It's a scoring game. You've got to be able to score, but also you have to have some semblance of defense and we didn't."

TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, Sportsnet ONE (Toronto), NBCS Boston

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (7-4): Most of Toronto's scoring is coming from star shooting guard DeMar DeRozan, who led the way with 33 points on Thursday and is averaging 30 over the last four contests to boost his season mark to 24.7. DeRozan is embracing the way Casey wants to open the offense this season and is averaging 2.6 3-point attempts while starting to hit them with some regularity -- 4-of-8 from 3-point range in the last two games. Fellow All-Star Kyle Lowry has never been shy about hoisting the ball up from beyond the arc and is averaging 6.3 3-point attempts but is shooting just 33.3 percent from beyond the arc, his lowest mark since the 2009-10 campaign.

ABOUT THE CELTICS (11-2): Boston trailed by as many as 18 points on Friday and was playing without center Al Horford (concussion) in addition to Irving and Gordon Hayward (ankle), but an inexperienced group held the Hornets to 4-of-20 from the field in the fourth quarter to pull off an improbable win. "I remember during a timeout and Coach had said, 'We're going to win this game and this place is going to go crazy," point guard Terry Rozier told ESPN. "We were definitely down. We were down probably like 15. (Stevens) knew that we were going to win the game and the crowd was going to feed into it. It was going to be crazy, and that's exactly what happened." Shane Larkin came off the bench when Irving went down and finished with 16 points in 17 minutes to earn himself a larger role if Irving has to miss more time.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Celtics G Marcus Smart is shooting 29.1 percent from the floor on the season and is 6-of-27 over the last two games.

2. Raptors C Jonas Valanciunas grabbed double-digit rebounds in each of the last two games after failing to hit double figures in his previous four outings.

3. Toronto took three of the four meetings last season and six of the last eight in the series.

PREDICTION: Celtics 103, Raptors 99

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Toronto at Boston

ATS TRENDS

Toronto

Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Raptors are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 vs. NBA Atlantic. Raptors are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. Raptors are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Raptors are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference. Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Boston

Celtics are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Celtics are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Celtics are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Celtics are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games. Celtics are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall. Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win. Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest. Celtics are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. NBA Atlantic.

OU TRENDS

Toronto

Over is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 Sunday games. Under is 5-1 in Raptors last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 overall. Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games following a ATS loss. Under is 11-4 in Raptors last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 23-9 in Raptors last 32 road games. Over is 18-8 in Raptors last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Boston

Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 vs. NBA Atlantic. Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Under is 5-1 in Celtics last 6 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 overall. Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games following a straight up win. Over is 12-4-1 in Celtics last 17 home games. Under is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Raptors are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Raptors are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Boston. Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 4:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 12, 2017
Where: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan

Matchup Edge

MIA	Edge in:	DET
	Points Per Game
	Field Goal %
	Free Throw %
	Defense
	Rebounding
	Turn Overs
	Bench

Preview: Heat at Pistons

Gracenote
Nov 11, 2017

The Detroit Pistons are winners of four straight and seven of their last eight and will try to cap off a perfect five-game homestand when they host the Miami Heat on Sunday. The Pistons will play nine of their next 11 games away from home after Sunday and are feasting on opponents with a 6-1 record in their new downtown arena.

Detroit is set up to play off the pick-and-roll run by point guard Reggie Jackson and center Andre Drummond with shooters spreading the floor, and the two are opening things up for the rest of the team. "Anything's possible for this team when those guys are playing well," Pistons shooting guard Avery Bradley told reporters after a 111-104 win over the Atlanta Hawks on Friday. "Reggie Jackson's a very good player. Andre's a very good player. When those guys are in pick and roll they open the game up for everybody." The Heat are playing the finale of a six-game road trip and have a chance to go home with a winning record after taking three of the first five, including an 84-74 win at Utah on Friday. "We talked about this road trip, like all other long ones, is an opportunity for you to develop your competitive character," Heat coach Erik Spoelstra told reporters. "We got knocked in the jaw that first night in Denver, but we continued to plug away, stay connected. You can turn those painful times into something you can grow from. But the road trip's not over."

TV: 4 p.m. ET, FS Sun (Miami), FS Detroit

ABOUT THE HEAT (6-6): Shooting guard Dion Waiters sat out two games following the birth of his daughter but was strong in two games since his return, averaging 18.5 points while going 5-of-10 from 3-point range. Waiters scored 12 of his 21 points in the fourth quarter on Friday after struggling in the first three periods. "I don't think he even notices if he's missing or not, once you get to the last three or four minutes," Spoelstra told reporters of Waiters. "He lives for those times and he stepped up and made some big plays, obviously."

ABOUT THE PISTONS (9-3): Drummond, a career 38.8 percent free-throw shooter, worked hard to improve his accuracy from the stripe and was noticeably upset when he slumped on Wednesday and went 0-of-7 in a win over the Indiana Pacers. Drummond bounced back by going 4-of-6 from the line in Friday's win and continues to put in the work. "I was going to have a game where I missed a bunch of free throws," Drummond told reporters. "The next day I went into the gym, figured out what I was doing wrong. I watched film on how I was shooting, and I was doing certain things wrong that I wasn't doing before, and I went back to my routine and I knocked 'em down."

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Pistons SF Stanley Johnson (hip) missed the last two games and is day-to-day.

2. Heat SF Justise Winslow is averaging 5.8 points on 35.5 percent shooting during the road trip.

3. The teams split four meetings last season, with Miami earning a 97-96 win in its last trip to Detroit on March 28.

PREDICTION: Pistons 103, Heat 98

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Miami at Detroit

ATS TRENDS

Miami

Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Heat are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Heat are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Heat are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games. Heat are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 games following a ATS win. Heat are 25-11-2 ATS in their last 38 games following a straight up win. Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Sunday games. Heat are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Heat are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Central.

Detroit

Pistons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games. Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Pistons are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Pistons are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.

OU TRENDS

Miami

Under is 5-0 in Heat last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-1 in Heat last 9 games following a ATS win. Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 overall. Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 road games. Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games following a straight up win. Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. Under is 21-7-1 in Heat last 29 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 20-8 in Heat last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Under is 34-16-1 in Heat last 51 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Detroit

Under is 21-5-1 in Pistons last 27 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1-1 in Pistons last 6 Sunday games. Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games following a straight up win. Over is 4-1 in Pistons last 5 home games. Over is 11-4 in Pistons last 15 vs. NBA Southeast. Under is 9-4-1 in Pistons last 14 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 9-4 in Pistons last 13 games following a ATS loss.

HEAD TO HEAD

Home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Heat are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Detroit.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 6:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 12, 2017
Where: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana

Matchup Edge

HOU	Edge in:	IND
	Points Per Game
	Field Goal %
	Free Throw %
	Defense
	Rebounding
	Turn Overs
	Bench

Preview: Rockets at Pacers

Gracenote
Nov 12, 2017

James Harden and the Houston Rockets will try to extend their impressive runs when they visit the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. Harden scored 38 points - his third straight game with at least 35 - to lead the Rockets to their fifth consecutive win on Saturday, a 111-96 triumph over Memphis.

The five-time All-Star pushed his scoring average to 30.5 points and combined with backcourt mate Eric Gordon (26 points) to make 12-of-25 3-pointers. The Pacers put an end to a four-game slide with a 105-87 victory at Chicago on Friday, their fourth win in six overall that came by at least 17 points. Victor Oladipo scored 25 points and chipped in six rebounds, six assists and two steals to lead the way. "Great road win for us," Oladipo told reporters. "There are some things we still need to get better at. We need to learn each other. This was the first time we had everybody healthy. That's big, too. We took steps in the right direction today."

TV: 6 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet-Southwest (Houston), FSN Indiana

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (10-3): Houston is averaging 120.6 points during its winning streak and enters this one with a 6-1 road record. While Harden and Gordon (23.1 points per game) do the bulk of the damage, veteran reserve P.J. Tucker is proving to be a key offseason acquisition as he posted his second straight double-digit scoring effort in the win over Memphis. Tucker has grabbed 25 rebounds over his last three games and at least one steal in six consecutive contests.

ABOUT THE PACERS (6-7): Indiana gave up an average of 115 points during its losing streak before turning the tables and holding the Bulls to 39.8 percent shooting. "One of our goals tonight was to defend the paint," coach Nate McMillan told the media. "We thought we did a much better job. We held Chicago to 38 points in the paint. We executed the game plan and did a much better job on the defensive end." Bojan Bogdanovic produced season highs in points (22) and 3-pointers (six in nine attempts) while Myles Turner finished with 11 points, nine rebounds and all three of Indiana's blocked shots.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Pacers PG Darren Collison is 4-for-15 from the floor over the last two contests but has committed just one turnover in 58 total minutes.

2. Rockets C Clint Capela is averaging 13.5 boards and 3.5 blocks in his last two games.

3. Houston lost both meetings last season, with Harden shooting only 23.5 percent.

PREDICTION: Rockets 110, Pacers 107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Houston at Indiana

ATS TRENDS

Houston

Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Rockets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Rockets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. Eastern Conference. Rockets are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Rockets are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Rockets are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Central. Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.

Indiana

Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest. Pacers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 Sunday games. Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win. Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Pacers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Pacers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Pacers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest. Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Houston

Under is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 5-0 in Rockets last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 overall. Under is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 vs. NBA Central. Over is 4-1 in Rockets last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Over is 15-5 in Rockets last 20 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes on the previous day. Over is 6-2 in Rockets last 8 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Over is 5-2 in Rockets last 7 Sunday games. Under is 12-5-1 in Rockets last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Indiana

Over is 5-1 in Pacers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 Sunday games. Over is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 6-2 in Pacers last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record. Under is 12-5 in Pacers last 17 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 7-3 in Pacers last 10 home games. Under is 7-3 in Pacers last 10 vs. NBA Southwest.

HEAD TO HEAD

Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Indiana. Rockets are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Indiana.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 7:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 12, 2017
Where: Chesapeake Energy Arena, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

Matchup Edge

DAL	Edge in:	OKC
	Points Per Game
	Field Goal %
	Free Throw %
	Defense
	Rebounding
	Turn Overs
	Bench

Preview: Mavericks at Thunder

Gracenote
Nov 12, 2017

The Oklahoma City Thunder bounced back from a brutal road trip to score a big win at home, and they look to make it two in a row at Chesapeake Bay Arena when they host the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. The Thunder dropped all three games of their recent swing and had lost four in a row overall while averaging 93.3 points before righting the ship in their return home on Friday.

Paul George erupted for a season-high 42 points and Oklahoma City shot a season-best 51.3 percent in a 120-111 win over the Los Angeles Clippers. "It really is just chemistry," George told reporters. "When I got here, one of the talks we had about what was best with offense was the movement. Coach (Billy) Donovan was happy that he could utilize me in that situation of moving and getting some flow in offense, so I'm comfortable with that. It's good for me to get going and move around a little bit." The Mavericks have been a bit more competitive in recent days, first snapping a six-game slide with an impressive win at Washington and then giving Cleveland all it could handle in Saturday's 111-104 loss. Harrison Barnes scored 23 points in the setback and is averaging 24.3 over a four-game span.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, FSN Southwest (Dallas), FSN Oklahoma

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (2-11): Nerlens Noel failed to see any action in Saturday's loss as the young center's role on a last-place squad continues to dwindle. Noel opened the season by making all nine of his shot attempts while averaging 8.5 rebounds and 2.5 blocks over the first two games and started five of the team's first eight contests, but he has been a non-factor in November. Coach Rick Carlisle told reporters on Saturday that Salah Mejri has "earned the minutes" over Noel as the 7-2 Tunisian is averaging eight points on 6-of-7 shooting and eight rebounds over his last two games.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (5-7): Oklahoma City was 0-7 in games decided by 10 points or fewer and 0-6 against Western Conference opponents before the nine-point win over the Clippers. "We made good decisions, we had good ball movement, we made the extra pass," Russell Westbrook, who recorded 22 points and eight assists, told reporters. Carmelo Anthony finished with 14 points and has been held below the 20-point mark in five of his last six games after opening the season with six consecutive 20-point efforts.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Mavericks F Dirk Nowitzki needs eight made baskets to tie Hakeem Olajuwon (10,749) for eighth place on the all-time list.

2. Thunder C Steven Adams (calf) missed Friday's win and is day-to-day.

3. The Thunder have won the last three meetings at home and Westbrook scored 45 points in the most recent matchup in Oklahoma City on Jan. 26.

PREDICTION: Thunder 114, Mavericks 97