Monday 11-13-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 73

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 13 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 13 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, FOR EACH $250 TO $4,500 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 STORMY MAMA 5/1

# 2 MONEY GAME 9/2

# 6 MISS SWISHER 5/1

I've got to go with STORMY MAMA. With a strong jockey who has won at a strong 16 percent clip over the last month. This has to be one of the top selections. Don't overlook this mare in your wagers - very dangerous with Torres aboard. The big drop in class can only aid this horse this time around. MONEY GAME - Is hard not to consider given the company run in lately. Bettors should take a good look at this one as this mare has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. MISS SWISHER - With a solid 65 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 66 speed rating which is one of the most respectable in this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer Park - Race #4 - Post: 8:06pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,100 Class Rating: 48

Rating: 4

#5 I HEART ROMANCE (ML=3/1)


I HEART ROMANCE - Mare had the second fastest workout of the day prepping for this. The October 17th race at Indiana Downs was at a class level of (58). Dropping down in class ranks a significant amount, so she should be in a good position to win. This mare should be in tip-top shape, this far into her form cycle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 FAMILLE TROIS (ML=2/1), #6 AVOIR LA VEDETTE (ML=9/2), #2 CALIMONCO'S HEART (ML=6/1),

FAMILLE TROIS - Didn't finish in the money on October 9th at Mountaineer Park. Followed it up with another lackluster try. AVOIR LA VEDETTE - Doesn't look inspiring to me after the lack of any sort of closing response on October 15th. CALIMONCO'S HEART - This filly hasn't had any recent accomplishments in short distance contests. Tough to wager on her in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #5 I HEART ROMANCE on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 7

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double


Claiming $7,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $16,800 • Post: 3:33P
FOR REGISTERED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 13 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SHEZA FINE JUSTICE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SKYLAR'S A JIGGEN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. NATURAL BLING: Today is a sprint and this i s the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. STAY WITH ME: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
8
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE
10/1

9/2
10
SKYLAR'S A JIGGEN
5/2

9/2
9
NATURAL BLING
8/1

8/1
6
STAY WITH ME
6/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
10
SKYLAR'S A JIGGEN
10

5/2
Front-runner
66

66

89.6

58.8

52.3
6
STAY WITH ME
6

6/1
Front-runner
72

67

69.2

45.8

34.8
7
SINCERE DEVOTION
7

5/1
Stalker
63

56

68.6

54.0

46.0
5
THUNDER MAY
5

20/1
Stalker
47

49

29.9

35.0

19.0
8
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE
8

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
90

70

60.8

61.6

51.6
4
GRADUATION GIFT
4

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
70

64

53.2

58.2

46.2
9
NATURAL BLING
9

8/1
Trailer
74

59

44.2

62.6

56.1
2
ANGELOFTHEMORNING
2

10/1
Trailer
50

50

7.0

41.6

23.1
1
PARRY O PESSIMIST
1

9/2
Alternator/Trailer
65

59

41.0

53.8

38.8
12
STORMY JUSTICE
12

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
58

51

54.7

38.2

18.7
11
LASTOFTHE MONIQNS
11

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
69

57

39.4

47.4

31.4
3
OH SO REWARDING
3

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
59

57

20.4

47.4

31.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Portland Meadows

Portland Meadows - Race 8

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)


Claiming $8,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $6,400 • Post: 3:16P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 13, 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (MAIDEN RACES, CLAIMING, AND STARTER RACES FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. WISE TALE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WISE TALE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. CRIMSON WARLOCK: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). ITALIAN WARRIOR: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
8
WISE TALE
8/1

5/2
4
CRIMSON WARLOCK
12/1

7/1
7
ITALIAN WARRIOR
5/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
WISE TALE
8

8/1
Front-runner
90

89

86.2

84.8

81.8
4
CRIMSON WARLOCK
4

12/1
Front-runner
87

78

83.6

75.0

65.5
2
SILVER CHROME
2

3/1
Front-runner
79

80

62.6

63.6

50.6
6
E Z LARRY
6

8/1
Stalker
78

74

74.2

72.0

59.0
3
BOBBY MAGIC
3

10/1
Stalker
81

87

69.4

80.2

71.2
7
ITALIAN WARRIOR
7

5/2
Alternator/Trailer
96

89

63.4

81.6

76.6
1
MITCH AND JOHN E
1

4/1
Alternator/Non-contender
87

76

69.6

74.0

64.0
5
GRAMSSON
5

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
77

78

59.2

73.8

64.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 1:46pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,500 Class Rating: 77

Rating: 4

#7 MIDDAY PRAYER (ML=8/1)
#5 HAIL TO ROCKNROLL (ML=20/1)
#8 CRAZY DAISY (ML=5/1)
#9 VOUCH FOR KITTEN (ML=15/1)


MIDDAY PRAYER - The recent bullet 36.4 work should put this filly on track for today's contest. Ran in the last race against a much better field at Parx Racing. The move to a lower class rank should suit her well. This filly is tops in earnings per start. Take a long look at this one before the race. HAIL TO ROCKNROLL - Generally accepted handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. Going to run a nice one here. Don't often see a profitable ROI like +373. This jockey/handler twosome has done well together over the last twelve months. You probably want to discount that last contest at Parx Racing on a track listed as good where she finished out of the money. Should do well in this event on a fast track. CRAZY DAISY - She must like the track here. Shipped in to take the top prize on October 17th and she looks tough once again. A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a sharp race is a good sign. Horse has improved at least two Equibase speed figure points in last two races. I look for that trend to continue in today's race. VOUCH FOR KITTEN - A little change in scenery has got to do this one well. Reading the recent past performance lines, it seems like she likes to visit the winner's circle on different tracks. This mare gets a weight break of -9 pounds from last race. This certainly could make the difference right here in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 LEAPT (ML=2/1), #3 MISS KALEM (ML=4/1), #4 MOON SHOCK (ML=6/1),

LEAPT - Oct 18th is the last time we've seen this filly around. Have to be a little bit leery. Pace is so important, and this early speedball is going to have a speed duel on her hands. MISS KALEM - I can't play this repeated non-winner. Gets the assignment fulfilled from time to time. If today's clash shapes up right, all the speedballs will force a severe pace duel early. Too bad this horse is one of those front runners. This filly garnered a fig in her last affair which probably isn't good enough in today's race. MOON SHOCK - Even though victorious in last, didn't finish the way you'd like to see when stepping up to face stronger opponents.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 MIDDAY PRAYER is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [5,8,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
7 with [5,8,9] with [5,8,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
7 with [5,8,9] with [5,8,9] with [5,8,9] Total Cost: $6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 94

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 13, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. RAIL SET AT 28 FEET.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 MYSTORYNMSTIKNTOIT 3/1

# 2 BLACKFORD 6/1

# 4 CALLINGAHARDTEN 7/2

I think MYSTORYNMSTIKNTOIT is a solid choice. Win percentage under similar conditions may be the key for this gelding. The Equibase Speed Figure of 88 from his most recent contest looks competitive in here. Looks very good for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in turf route races as of late. BLACKFORD - Has been racing admirably and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. CALLINGAHARDTEN - Ran a strong last race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Zia Park

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Zia Park, Race 2 (Monday November 13, 2017)

I'M A DANCIN WHO
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

ZIA-2 6.5f DIRT Seven Horses
"A" ALW F/M 3YUP $29,500
P# dd ex p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL

5 I'M A DANCIN WHO 9/5 36% 9/5 Strong Favorite icon
7 SHESAPEACH 10/1 20% 4/1
1 MISS TWISTER 6/1 17% 5/1
2 FROSTY 2/1 14% 6/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, November 13, 2017

NBA (707) ATLANTA HAWKS VS (708) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS

Take: UNDER

Reason: The Atlanta Hawks (2-11) are dead last in the NBA Eastern Conference. The Hawks have lost three straight games as they had to New Orleans tonight. Dennis Schroder leads the team in scoring with a 20.6 ppg average. The Hawks are 24th in the league in scoring (102.5 ppg). The Hawks may be interested in bolstering their sagging team with a trade with the Sixers for Jahlil Okafor. New Orleans is 7-6 this season and in the middle of the Western Conference pack. DeMarcus Cousins leads the team with 28.7 ppg average. Atlanta is 11-23-1 O/U in their last 35 games against the West Conference. They are also 5-12-1 O/U their last 18 away games vs a home winning team. New Orleans is 2-5 O/U their last seven games. I look forward to a lower scoring game here on Monday and therefore will take the UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

MON: Iowa ST -15 CBB

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SCOTT SPREITZER
NCAA-B | Nov 13, 2017
Wyoming vs. Oregon State
Wyoming+6½

I'm recommending a play on Wyoming plus the points on Monday night. The Cowboys had quite a few highs and lows last season. The highs were a 23-win season and a CBI championship. The lows were a a sub-.500 conference record and a bad loss to the Air Force Falcons in the MWC tournament. The Cowboys have three returning starters and a strong supporting cast and we saw a couple on display in Wyoming's season opening win over Chattanooga. Hayden Dalton proved to be too much for the opposition, scoring 30 points and grabbing 13 boards. Dalton didn't even need much help from Alan Herndon or Justin James, who tossed in 16 ppg a season ago. This will change -- Wyoming will need production from all parts, but they own the depth to accomplish a top three or four finish in the MWC. Injury-prone Tres Tinkle is back for Oregon State and we expect a middle of the pack finish in the Pac-12 for the Beavers. Middle of the pack may not sound like a big deal, but this is a team that finished 5-27 last season, including 1-17 in conference play. Every key player is back for OSU this season, but we don't believe they should be laying three-plus buckets in this matchup. Wyoming has been a strong bankroll builder covering 24 of their last 37 games, including a 13-5 ATS mark in their last 18 non-conference games. We're backing them here. We're recommending a play on Wyoming plus the points on Monday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BEN BURNS
NBA | Nov 13, 2017
Lakers vs. Suns
Lakers+2

The Lakers have dropped the first three of their first extended road trip of the year, but should get healthy tonight at Phoenix, where the Suns have finally put a five-game losing streak to bed. It has the look and feel of a pick ‘em game, but the Lakers actually get a point and a half. LA showed some spunk on Saturday night in Milwaukee when it nearly rode Lonzo Ball’s triple-double (19/12/13) to an upset of the young and athletic Bucks, but couldn’t close in the fourth quarter. Ball and the boys look like they’re ready to finally get the job done on the road tonight against a team that is struggling as much as the Lakers are. Take the point(s).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Monday, Nov 13 is:

Michigan -21 over Central Michigan.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Brunson

Monday's comp play is Under the total in the Dolphins-Panthers contest.

True, Miami has played 3 in a row Over the total entering this Monday showdown against Carolina, but for the season the Dolphins have gone Under the total in 5 of their 8 games contested. Not only that, but the 'Fins have been shutout twice already this season, and have been held to 20 points or less in 6 of their 8 games.

Carolina has played 3 in a row Under the total, and the Panthers have also had their issues finding the end-zone, as Carolina has been held to 20 points or less in 5 of their last 8 games.

I have a feeling it is going to be the defenses that dictate the play tonight, and the points will be at a premium.

Let's play Miami and Carolina Under the posted price on Monday night.

2* MIAMI-CAROLINA UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joey Juice

The Cavaliers head to Madison Square Garden with revenge in mind.

The Knicks are still a one-trick pony, and that pony is 7 foot 3 Kristaps Porzingis.

However it doesn't matter how many purple rainbows and unicorns show up at the Garden tonight, you can't deny the value in laying a few points with the Cavaliers against an empty shell of a team like the Knicks.

Too many stars, too many weapons, too many guns. Add to that the fact that Cleveland is actually playing for something, wanting to prove that the Knicks beating them in Cleveland was nothing more than a fluke, and you have all the makings of a double-digit blow out for Cleveland.

Cavs are the free play.

3* CLEVELAND