If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
7 Unit Play. Take #177 Over 51 Alabama at Mississippi St (7:00p.m., Saturday November 11 ESPN)
Almost 365 days ago the Alabama Crimson Tide beat the Mississippi St Bulldogs 51-3 and that game went over the total and Saturday night at the Davis Wade Stadium I see another over ticket cashing between these two teams. Mississippi St is coming off a win last Saturday to UMass 34-23 and the Bulldogs offense is averaging 37.2ppg in their last 4 games and Saturday night I do see them being able to put some points on the board at home. Alabama beat LSU last week at home 24-10 but before that game the Tide scored 86 points in 2 SEC games and the Tide offense will be on point for this game. With Alabama missing some key starters on defense I see the Bulldogs being able to score and move the ball and wouldn't shock me to see a high scoring game at Davis Wade Stadium. Alabama is 4-1 O/U following a ATS loss and the Mississippi St Bulldogs are 5-0 O/U in the month of November.
3 Unit Play. Take #193 Arizona St +3 over UCLA (9:30p.m., Saturday November 11 PAC12)
UCLA Quarterback Josh Rosen will get the start for this game but with Rosen starting he will not have his top wide receiver playing. Arizona St used their running game to beat Colorado last week and the UCLA run defense has been questionable all season long so if they can't slow down the ASU running game the UCLA Bruins will be in trouble all four quarters. With the UCLA Bruins defense giving up yards and points at will and how healthy is Josh Rosen I see the Sun Devils taking control of this game late and squeaking out a close road victory. Arizona St is 5-1 ATS against conference teams and the UCLA Bruins are 1-7 ATS against conference teams. Also, throw in that the road team in this series is also 4-1 ATS.
4 Unit Play. Take #217 Boise St -5.5 over Colorado St (10:30p.m., Saturday November 11 CBSC)
Colorado State Stadium will be jam-packed Saturday night and the Rams will be looking for a home underdog winner. Too bad the Rams will be wishing for a victory because Saturday night the Boise St Broncos come to Colorado winners of 5-straight and this trend continues Saturday night. Colorado St have dropped back-to-back games and if the Rams play like they did against Air Force at home Boise will have no problem covering this number on the road. Usually Boise wins big games on their offense but Saturday night the Boise defense will be the big difference and the Rams will have a hard time moving the ball against Broncos defense. Boise St is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and the Colorado St Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cheetah
NCAAF Week 11 #1
Game: (141) DUKE at (142) ARMY
Date/Time: Nov 11 2017 12:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: DUKE -1.0 (-106)
View Analysis
5% play to -3, 3% to -4 if it pushes through the 3. My number for the game is Duke -6.5 so getting a decent sized edge on a team that had an extra week to prepare for the Army option attack (hostorically really strong angle with 2 weeks to prepare for the option, see Temple upset over Navy or Cincy upset over Tulane last week for examples... or option teams performing under expectation in bowl games etc). Duke to this point has seen an above average SOS (48th toughest) and Army one of the weakest (91st). Outside of Ohio State early in the year (lost by 31), Duke is far and away the next best team they've faced to this point. Duke's biggest weakness is through the air with their passing game, but Army is 103rd in the country in opponent yards per pass attempt (against a bad schedule). Everything lines up for a bigger play on Duke here. Good luck.
Oh my god. This clown loves GOY. He has total 3 GOY this week 2 CFB , 1 NFL (SEA -5.5 won)
Stephen Nover's Sun Belt Conference Total of the Year
*** UNDER 47 (-110) Georgia State vs Texas State Usually you think offense when it comes to the Sun Belt Conference. Not with these two teams, though. Georgia State ranks 116th in scoring at 20.5 points a game. Texas State is even worse at 17.3 points per game. Expect defense to rule here as it's not a fluke the Under has cashed 20 of the last 26 times Georgia State has played, including eight of the past 10 road games. The Panthers have a top-50 defense. They rank in the top three in the conference in scoring defense, total defense and rush defense. Texas State also has a very strong run defense. The under has cashed in 11 of the Bobcats' last 15 games.
Stephen Nover's SEC Total of the Year
*** UNDER 51 (-110) Alabama vs Mississippi State Alabama gives up 9.8 points per game and 243.8 yards a game. That ranks first and second, respectively, in the nation. Those are strong indicators that the Crimson Tide has the best defense in the country. Mississippi State ranks seventh in the nation in total defense giving up just 259.3 yards a game. Both teams stay on the ground a lot - above 62 percent - and play at a slow tempo. These are big pluses for the Under. The Under has cashed the past eight times the teams have played in Mississippi.
Comment