Tuesday 11-14-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 06:39 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #6 - Post: 3:05pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: 3

#5 PARTY TARDE (ML=10/1)
#4 COTTON TOOYAH (ML=6/1)
#3 UNO DUDE (ML=4/1)

PARTY TARDE - That 81 fig this filly garnered in her last affair tells me she's a main player this time out. This filly is in fine form. Ran first on October 18th. COTTON TOOYAH - Was in a $30,000 Claiming race at Gulfstream Park West last out. That event had a class number of 88 and she is moving down in this event. A certain serious competitor. I think this filly is ready to run a good one. She's had enough outings since the vacation and should be fit. Don't throw this horse out due to her last event at Gulfstream Park West where she ended up fifth on a sloppy track. Should improve this time around. UNO DUDE - Was in a $16,000 Claiming race at Belmont Park last out. That event had a class rating of 88 and she is moving down today. A certain solid contender. Another way to identify class is EPS (earnings per start). This horse has the topmost in the group. I think she'll be close at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SHE'S SPOILED (ML=3/1), #1 GRAYCIEZ SPIRIT (ML=7/2), #6 LIZA STAR (ML=5/1),

SHE'S SPOILED - 3/1 odds isn't enough for this entrant when checking the most recent showings. Can't wager on this racer in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint event of late. GRAYCIEZ SPIRIT - Difficult to bet on any animal to turn things around if there is no value to taking the shot. Finished sixth in her most recent performance with a substandard speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field. LIZA STAR - She showed not much at all in the last contest. This filly garnered a speed fig in her last race which likely isn't good enough today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #5 PARTY TARDE to win. Have to have odds of at least 4/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 06:40 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 2

Second Half $2 Early Daily Double (Races 1 &2) ($.50) Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) $2 Trifecta $2 Exacta $1 Trifecta Box $1 Exacta Box ($.50) Superfecta

Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $6,200 • Post: 7:22P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 14 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Trailer. CRAFTY COLONEL is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CRAFTY COLONEL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
2
CRAFTY COLONEL
8/1

8/5

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
9
COWBOY CHEYENNE
9

6/1
Front-runner
72

63

93.8

55.2

48.2
5
ASCANIUS
5

3/1
Front-runner
75

70

67.6

65.4

60.4
1
ABOVE ALL ODDS
1

5/2
Front-runner
66

69

66.2

44.0

34.0
3
QUICK AND FURIOUS
3

6/1
Front-runner
57

62

58.8

51.2

36.2
4
COULD IT BE ME
4

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
66

63

70.2

57.4

49.9
2
CRAFTY COLONEL
2

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
93

86

101.6

68.2

60.7
8
SUMDIVO
8

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
79

66

64.4

43.6

26.6
6
NICKEL BRED
6

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
74

60

61.8

53.8

40.8
7
CAUTION HIGH WATER
7

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
72

61

48.4

54.6

47.6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 06:41 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:22pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,200 Class Rating: 74

Rating: 4

#1 ABOVE ALL ODDS (ML=5/2)

ABOVE ALL ODDS - He must like the track here. He just won over the track after shipping in. Gonzalez rode this horse for the first time in the last race and comes right back today. When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after his last outing, it generally means he's fit. I think the shorter trip will help this gelding stay the trip. That was a powerful win last time out. In my opinion has a good chance to repeat today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ASCANIUS (ML=3/1), #3 QUICK AND FURIOUS (ML=6/1), #9 COWBOY CHEYENNE (ML=6/1),

ASCANIUS - Tough to keep chasing this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. The speed fig last time out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable contender. QUICK AND FURIOUS - In any race of 5 furlongs, I like to back a contender that has been sharp in short distance contests recently. This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two races around the track. COWBOY CHEYENNE - Unlikely that the speed rating he notched on October 17th will be good enough in this race.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - ABOVE ALL ODDS - This gelding has the top speed figure last race with a very good 76. He is the top wager here.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #1 ABOVE ALL ODDS on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with 3

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 06:41 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 3

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta 20 cent Buckeye Pick 6 (Races 3-8)

Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 61 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 1:40P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Front-runner. CAVE WOLF is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CAVE WOLF: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LOUIE'S HIGHWAY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PRADOREY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
CAVE WOLF
5/2

3/1
7
LOUIE'S HIGHWAY
6/1

8/1
1
PRADOREY
10/1

8/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
CAVE WOLF
5

5/2
Front-runner
62

64

37.0

60.7

57.7
4
HAT IN HAND
4

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
64

51

62.0

44.8

37.3
2
BATTLE CROSSING
2

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
63

48

46.2

28.8

15.3
1
PRADOREY
1

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
63

61

78.8

39.9

33.4
7
LOUIE'S HIGHWAY
7

6/1
Alternator/Trailer
68

59

56.8

37.3

29.8
9
TOUCH OF MIDAS
9

20/1
Alternator/Trailer
63

51

33.6

39.8

27.3
6
STORM BOURNE
6

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

52.9

36.3

26.3
8
MY LAST SECRET
8

3/1
Alternator/Non-contender
47

47

43.3

37.2

25.2
3
MCSTUFFINS
3

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

14.2

14.2

0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 06:42 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 68

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 11 EMOTICON 3/1

# 10 BLYDE RIVER 9/2

# 4 PARTNER'S POWER 8/1

EMOTICON is my choice. Should expect a sound attempt with the class drop. This pony is at the top in this group of horses in this race in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Lake has this colt racing well and is a very good selection based on the quite good Equibase speed figs garnered in route races recently. BLYDE RIVER - He has earned very strong figs under today's conditions and should fare well versus this group. Should definitely be carefully examined for this event if only for the quite good Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last competition. PARTNER'S POWER - Should be given a chance based on the very good speed fig put up in the last race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 06:43 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 63

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 MOONLIGHT TA KELA 5/2

# 8 TIMBER CRUISER 2/1

# 2 ATSINA WARRIOR 4/1

My pick for this event is MOONLIGHT TA KELA. The speed figure of 57 from his last race looks quite good in here. Wagerers get an edge when playing this conditioner in a dirt sprint race. His 52 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase speed figs for this event. TIMBER CRUISER - Has been running solidly lately and ought to be up near the front end early on. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Ramgeet in the irons. ATSINA WARRIOR - Overall the speed figures of this racer look strong in this contest. Earned a solid Equibase Speed Figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 06:43 AM

Handicapped by Valuline at Zia Park

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Zia Park, Race 4 (Tuesday November 14, 2017)

ELEUTHEROS
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

ZIA-4 6f DIRT Eight Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 3YUP $9,000
P# ex p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL

4 ELEUTHEROS 7/5 36% 9/5 Strong Favorite icon
8 SLADENS DREAM 3/1 14% 6/1
1 WINE N DIVINE 8/1 13% 7/1
7 MO ED WHO 15/1 13% 7/1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 10:36 AM

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday, November 14, 2017

NBA (505) SAN ANTONIO SPURS VS (506) DALLAS MAVERICKS

Take: OVER

Reason: Your free play for Tuesday, November 14, 2017 is in the NBA contest between the San Antonio Spurs and the Dallas Mavericks. After a dismal start, the Spurs have things on track with four wins in their last five games. The Spurs coming off a 39 point victory over the Bulls. Dallas has just one win in their last nine games and have lost two straight. The Mavs are also just 1-8 ATS their last nine games and 5-16-1 ATS the last 22 overall. The Spurs have been without Tony Parker and Leonard. Parker could return at the end of November with Leonard's return unknown. The Spurs have been a very good over club of late, posting a 21-10 O/U mark their last 31, 11-5 O/U their last 16 road games and 10-4 O/U their last 14 with two days rest. By this year's standards, this is a low total. The Spurs should have no problem scoring and if we can get anything out of the Mavs, this is an OVER.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 12:56 PM

Arthur Ralph Sports

TUES CFB Ohio -12

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 12:56 PM

RED DOG SPORTS
Soccer | Nov 14, 2017
Gois vs. CRB
CRB -115

Our FREE SOCCER PLAY takes place in South America on Tuesday afternoon.
Gois 1
CRB 2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 12:57 PM

JOE DELPOPOLO
NCAA-F | Nov 14, 2017
Ohio vs. Akron
Akron+13 -110

Based on my Stat-Key Power Raking system and predictive math-model Akron should stay within the number here. After a big home win last week by Ohio U we look for a little letdown on the road this week to a below-average team.
Ohio U 32 Akron 21

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 12:57 PM

BEN BURNS
NBA | Nov 14, 2017
Spurs vs. Mavs
Spurs-6

It’s taken a while for Pop to figure out how things would shake down without the likes of Ginobili, Parker and Leonard, but order seems to have been restored after a brutal start. With four wins in their last five, the Spurs head into a road-centric next two weeks with what looks like a layup in Dallas. San Antonio’s veterans had their way with the Bulls in their last game, with eight players padding their stats by scoring in double figures in a 37-point victory. The Spurs should be able to cover the spread pretty easily against a Dallas team that is still trying to figure things out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 12:57 PM

DUSTIN HAWKINS

Free Play on Stanford -16½ -110

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-14-2017, 12:57 PM

LARRY NESS
My 1* Free Play is on the Toronto Raptors (8:05 EST).

Toronto comes in off a tough 95-94 road loss to Boston Sunday. Houston has won six straight, most recently getting by Indiana 118-95.
Note that these team’s split a pair of games last year, with each winning on the others floor.
DeMar DeRozan had 24 points for Toronto in the loss to the Celtics. The Raptors average 108.8 PPG and concede 104.3.
Toronto is a deep team, with DeRozan, Kyle Lowry, big man Jona Valanciunas, Serge Ibaka and Norman Powell.
With a six game win streak under their belts and a 2.5 game lead in the division over the Spurs, there’s no question in my mind that this now finally sets up as a mental letdown spot for the Rockets.
Additionally I’ll point out that Houston is just 15-22 ATS in its last 37 after three or more consecutive SU wins and only 23-30 ATS in its last 53 following a victory by ten points or more.
Toronto has excelled against good offensive teams this year, going 4-2 ATS against clubs that average 106-plus points per contest.
Should be a nail-biter and while I obviously wouldn’t be shocked by an outright upset, I will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can.
Good luck…Larry

Tuesday 11-14-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Tuesday 11-14-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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