Sunday 11-19-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369690

    #31
    NFL opening line report: Eagles open as 3.5-point road favorites vs. Cowboys
    Patrick Everson

    “No one would’ve anticipated Dallas being an underdog in this game prior to the season starting, or even a few weeks ago, but here we are.”

    The team at the top of the NFC East is not the one most people expected through 10 weeks of the season. Patrick Everson checks in on the opening line for a key clash involving that team, along with three other Week 11 games, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

    Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (+3.5)

    Philadelphia is certainly one of the top surprise teams of the year, piling up seven consecutive wins en route to the best record in the NFL. The Eagles (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS) are also coming off their bye week, after dismantling Denver 51-23 as a 7-point favorite in Week 9.

    Dallas, which won the NFC East last year with a 13-3 record, can’t seem to regain that form, and it didn’t get any easier in Week 10 without the now-suspended Ezekiel Elliott. The Cowboys were 3.5-point underdogs at Atlanta and got rolled 27-7.

    “No one would’ve anticipated Dallas being an underdog in this game prior to the season starting, or even a few weeks ago, but here we are,” Cooley said. “Philadelphia has made leaping strides this season and is well above the Cowboys in our power ratings. As we all know, JerryWorld doesn’t exactly provide a home-field edge, so the Eagles deserved to be above the field-goal threshold. However, I do expect this will close at a field goal.”

    In fact, late Sunday night, the line had already ducked down to 3.

    Tennessee Titans at Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)

    Pittsburgh was among the preseason favorites in the Super Bowl futures book, but hasn’t looked much the part this season. Yet the Steelers are still 7-2 SU (5-4 ATS), after rallying from a 17-3 deficit to post a 20-17 victory at Indianapolis as a 10.5-pint chalk.

    Like the Steelers, Tennessee (6-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) has won four in a row (1-2-1 ATS). The Titans got a last-minute touchdown Sunday to top Cincinnati 24-20, though they fell just short at the betting window as 4.5-point favorites.

    “Marcus Mariota looked like his old self this week, while the Steelers slept-walked through an ugly affair,” Cooley said. “Still, we know this Pittsburgh offense can explode any week, and we know that the public is going to back the Steelers through and through. We’ll likely see some serious sharp money on the road ‘dog.”

    New England Patriots at Oakland Raiders (no line)

    New England is definitely rounding into form heading into this neutral-site clash in Mexico City. The Patriots (7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS) flattened Denver 41-16 in the Sunday nighter, easily cashing as a 7-point road chalk.

    Oakland had a bye in Week 10 and is hoping to climb back to .500 in what many observers thought would be a much better season. The Raiders (4-5 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) edged Miami 27-24 in Week 9, pushing as a 3-point road favorite.

    Since the Patriots were in the Sunday nighter, Bookmaker.eu is holding off on the opening line until Monday.

    “If everything goes accordingly, we’ll look to make the Pats around 6-point chalk,” Cooley said. “Something just isn’t right with the Raiders these days.”

    Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks (-3)

    In Week 10, Atlanta finally looked a little more like the team that went to the Super Bowl last year. The Falcons (5-4 SU, 3-6 ATS) pulled away from Dallas in the second half for a 27-7 victory laying 3.5 points at home.

    Seattle comes into this Monday night matchup with a little more rest, having played the Week 10 Thursday nighter. In that contest, the Seahawks (6-3 SU, 3-5-1 ATS) held off Arizona 22-16 to push as a 6-point fave. However, Seattle lost superstar cornerback Richard Sherman for the rest of the year, due to a ruptured Achilles tendon.

    “We’re going to find out very quickly how much the Seahawks miss Sherman. My guess is a ton,” Cooley said. “They already had ample offensive deficiencies, and now there’s a gaping hole in the secondary. If not for Russell Wilson, this would be one of the worst teams in the NFL. On the other side, is Atlanta finally hitting its stride?”
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369690

      #32
      Wiseguys are advising that these Week 11 NFL lines are going to move

      New England is now tied with the Steelers for the best record in the AFC at 7-2, after showing no mercy on Sunday against Denver.

      Each week during the pro football season, Covers Expert Art Aronson of AAA Sports looks at the NFL odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

      Game to bet now

      New England at Oakland (+5.5)

      Lots of commentators would like to take back what they said about the Patriots when the Bill Belichick-led club was treading water at 2-2. New England is now tied with the Steelers for the best record in the AFC at 7-2, after showing no mercy on Sunday against Denver, and now will get the benefit of a neutral field (Mexico City) in a “road” game against the Raiders.

      It’s good to be the king, no? And the Patriots are doing this (five straight wins, three straight covers) with several key players out. It doesn’t seem to matter, as long as their 40-year-old quarterback is upright. NE will start to attract lots of money as the season winds down, and anything under seven is an attractive number.

      Game to wait on

      Los Angeles Rams at Minnesota (-2.5)

      It used to be you could pencil in the Packers to win the NFC North, but Aaron Rodgers’s injury has opened a large door for the Vikings, and Minny has taken full advantage with five straight wins.

      The Vikes have a great opportunity to nail down the division over a five-day period starting Sunday against the Rams. A win, coupled with a victory over Detroit on Thanksgiving, could just about lock down the North.

      And they’re doing it with re-tread QB Case Keenum, who threw for 302 yards and four TDs in the Vikings’ win over Washington on Sunday. If you like the Rams in this one, hang on because bettors will probably jump at 2.5 and some lines will be bet up to a full field goal.

      Total to watch

      Tennessee at Pittsburgh (44)

      Huge game for both division leaders. The Steelers need to keep pace with the red-hot Patriots ahead of their mid-December showdown in Pittsburgh, and the Titans are desperate to get the Jaguars off their backs in a surprising AFC South race (they’re both 6-3).

      While Pittsburgh and Tennessee are both solid and winning, neither has had an offensive burst in the last month. The Titans are averaging under 20 points in their last three games, while Pittsburgh has averaged 22 in its last four.

      Turnovers decide a lot of games in the NFL – especially close games – so expect both teams to keep things pretty conservative in this one. Even at a moderate number like 44, the Under deserves a hard look in this one.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369690

        #33
        Essential Week 12 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Sunday

        Oakland Raiders wideout Amari Cooper has picked up his production of the the last few weeks but he still leads the NFL in receiver drops at 10 this season according to Pro Football Focus.

        Los Angeles Rams at Minnesota Vikings (-2.5, 45.5)

        The Rams own one of the best offenses in the league and a menacing defense led by defensive lineman Aaron Donald. Special teams can get lost in the shuffle sometimes and just like the second last round of your fantasy football draft, people are forgetting about the kicker. Greg Zuerlerin, who also goes by Legatron according to ESPN’s Alden Gonzalez, is on pace to score 203 points this season which would top the single season points record held by LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006.

        Legatron is 28 for 29 on his field goal tries this season and is a perfect 30 for 30 on his extra-point kicks.

        LINE HISTORY: The Vikings opened as 2-point chalk but the line has moved up a half point in their favor. The total opened at 46 and has dropped down to 45.5.

        TRENDS:

        *The Rams are 4-0 ATS in their last four games.
        *The Vikings are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 home games.
        *The over is 4-0 in the Rams’ last four road games.

        Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers (+2, 38)

        Former Ravens tight end Dennis Pitta went on Baltimore radio and told listeners the problem with Baltimore’s offense is that his good friend and former teammate Joe Flacco isn’t set up for success.

        "Right now, Joe has one read, and then he's got to check it down if it's not there," Pitta said. "That's really the offense they have set up for him. It's difficult to play quarterback under those circumstances."

        Flacco is in the midst of his worst season as a pro and sits at No. 31 in the league in passer rating at 72.7.

        LINE HISTORY: The Ravens opened as 2.5-point road faves but the line has been bet down to as low as 1.5 at some shops. The total is also moving down from 38.5 to now 37.5 at a few locations.

        TRENDS:

        *The over is 5-0 in the Ravens’ last five games overall.
        *The Ravens are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye week.

        Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (+3, 41)

        Good news for Lions backers. Detroit should have all five of its preseason projected starters available for the first time this season. The Lions were ranked 29th in Pro Football Focus’ elite pass blocking efficiency after the first four weeks of the season. Only four other teams have allowed more sacks than the Lions at 30.

        LINE HISTORY: No movement on the spread but the total has come down three points after opening at 44.

        TRENDS:

        *The Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games.
        *The Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against Chicago.

        Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints (-7.5, 51)

        The fight with flight Saints have been replaced by the ground and pound unit of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara. The pair are on pace to accumulate the most yards from scrimmage for a running back duo since 1978 according to FiveThirtyEight.

        New Orleans gashed the Bills for 298 rushing yards on 48 carries last weekend. Washington has allowed 139.7 rushing yards per game over its last three contests. Only the Dolphins, Bills, Giants and Bengals have allowed more yards per game over that stretch.

        LINE HISTORY: The Saints have bounced between 7.5 and 8.5-point faves this week. The total has been bet up a point from 50 to 51.

        TRENDS:

        *Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last six games.
        *The Saints are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with losing records.

        Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns (7.5, 37)

        There isn’t much the Browns do well but stopping the run is one thing they do. Cleveland allows the fourth fewest rushing yards per game at 86.4 and a league-best 3.1 yards per carry.

        The Jags might be without their best running back this weekend. Leonard Fournette missed practice on Friday and is questionable to play on Sunday. Jacksonville will force feed backup tailback Chris Ivory if Fournette is a no-go. Quarterback Blake Bortles didn’t do much to instill confidence in the Jags coaching staff after last week’s performance.

        LINE HISTORY: The Jags have floated between 7.5 and 8-point chalk this week. The total opened at 38 but is listed at 37 at most shops heading into the weekend.

        TRENDS:

        *The Browns are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 games.
        *The Jags are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
        *The under is 13-3 in the Browns' last 16 home games.

        Arizona Cardinals at Houston Texans (-1.5, 37.5)

        Blaine Gabbert will start at quarterback for the Cardinals against the Texans but this isn’t just a meaningless, mop-up spot. Gabbert is liked by the Arizona coaching staff as demonstrated by the fact the team held onto Gabbert even though he didn't win the backup QB job in preseason.

        Drew Stanton is out of the picture this weekend because of a twisted knee which gives Gabbert a chance to prove to offensive coordinator Harold Goodwin that he should be in contention for the starter’s job next season.

        LINE HISTORY: The Cardinals opened as 1.5-point favorites offshore and are now getting between 1.5 to 2 points depending on the book. The total opened as high as 45 and is now down to as low as 37.5.

        TRENDS:

        *The under is 7-1 in the Cards’ last eight games.
        *The Cards are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.

        Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins (+1, 41.5)

        This is the game the Bucs and Dolphins were originally scheduled to play in Week 1 but had to delay to this weekend because of Hurricane Irma.

        The Phins sure could have used that bye week right about now to fix their defense. The club has given 112 points in their last three games – all loses – and opponents are averaging 407 offensive yards while converting better than 52 percent on third down.

        LINE HISTORY: The Fish opened as short faves but the line has drifted to the other side with the Bucs now 1-point chalk.

        TRENDS:

        *The Bucs are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
        *The over is 4-0 in Miami’s last four games.

        Kansas City Chiefs at New York Giants (+10.5, 46)

        How bad is it for the G-Men? They are double-digit home dogs for only the fifth time since 1978 according to ESPN Stats and Info. New York covered in each of those previous four instances but it’s hard to imagine a situation uglier this one for the Giants.

        LINE HISTORY: The Chiefs opened as high as 13-point road faves but the line has been bet down to 10.5. The total has moved up two points from 44 to 46.

        TRENDS:

        *The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
        *The Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games.

        Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Chargers (-5.5, 41)

        The Bills decided to make a switch at quarterback by dropping Tyrod Taylor to the bench in favor of rookie Nathan Peterman. He tossed for 2855 yards and 27 touchdowns last season at Pitt and completed 43 of 79 pass attempts for 453 yards and a touchdown in NFL preseason action this past summer.

        The Bolts were worried Philip Rivers wouldn’t be able to play this weekend as he recovers from a concussion from last weekend but he has been medically clear to play.

        LINE HISTORY: The books installed the Chargers are 4-point home faves and moved the spread up a couple points after Buffalo announced it would start a rookie at QB this weekend.

        TRENDS:

        *The Bills are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home.
        *The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
        *The over is 4-0 in Buffalo’s last four games.

        New England Patriots at Oakland Raiders (+7, 54.5)

        The Raiders are rich in offensive playmakers but their receivers are letting down quarterback Derek Carr. Oakland receivers Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree and tight end Jared Cook have a combined 11 drop passes this season according to the Washington Post. Pro Football Focus scores it a little differently with Cooper leading the league in drops at 10 through 11 weeks.
        The Raiders can’t afford a case of the dropsies if they want to keep pace with the Patriots in Mexico City on Sunday.

        LINE HISTORY: The books opened with the Pats giving 5.5 points but the line has crept up to 7.5 at some shops. The total has moved up four points from 50.5 to 54.5.

        TRENDS:

        *The Pats are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against teams with losing records.
        *The Raiders are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games.

        Cincinnati Bengals at Denver Broncos (-2.5, 38)

        The Broncos are on a five-game skid that’s seen them be outscored 68-165 by their opposition. Team president John Elway told reporters he thinks the Broncos went “a bit soft” after going 4-0 in the preseason and then 3-1 to start the year.

        LINE HISTORY: The total opened at 40 and has been bet down to 38. There has been no movement on the spread.

        TRENDS:

        *The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games.
        *The under is 12-5 in the Bengals’ last 17 games overall.

        Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (+5, 48)

        Dallas will be without left tackle Tyron Smith again this weekend as the All-Pro is dealing with groin and back injuries. The Falcons took advantage of the replacement offensive tackle by sacking Dak Prescott eight times last week.

        LINE HISTORY: The Eagles opened as 3.5-point faves but the public has pushed the price up another point to 4.5. The total opened at 47 and is now sitting at 48 at most shops.

        TRENDS:

        *The Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last six games.
        *The over is 5-1 in the Cowboys’ last six games against teams with winning records.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369690

          #34
          NFL

          Sunday, November 19


          Sunday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Eagles at Cowboys

          After throwing for 15 scores in his previous seven games, Prescott used his legs with a play-action touchdown run in Dallas' 27-7 setback to Atlanta last week.

          Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (+5, 48)

          The Dallas Cowboys will enter Sunday night's home tilt versus the surging Philadelphia Eagles without star running back Ezekiel Elliott, and perhaps decorated Pro Bowl offensive tackle Tyron Smith. After seeing his team's offense remain stuck in neutral without both studs last week, quarterback Dak Prescott may need to outduel fellow second-year quarterback Carson Wentz at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.

          After throwing for 15 scores in his previous seven games, Prescott used his legs with a play-action touchdown run in Dallas' 27-7 setback to Atlanta last week. The 24-year-old only threw for 176 yards - and for a 5.87 average - due in large part to constant pressure, with defensive end Adrian Clayborn recording six of his team's eight sacks to disrupt any offensive continuity. While the Cowboys saw their three-game winning streak halted, Philadelphia has emerged victorious in seven in a row and could put a stranglehold on the NFC East title should it avenge last season's 29-23 overtime loss in Dallas. Wentz threw for just 202 yards in that outing, but the 24-year-old has thrown 17 of his NFL-best 23 touchdown passes in the last five games and guides the league's second-ranked offense at 31.4 points per contest.

          TV:
          8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

          POWER RANKINGS:
          Eagles (-5) - Cowboys (-1.5) + home field (-3) = Eagles -0.5.

          LINE HISTORY:
          The Cowboys opened as 3.5-point home dogs against their NFC East rivals and money on the road team has pushed that line to +5 at most shops. The total hit the betting board at 46.5 and was quickly bet up to 48.5 where it currently sits.

          WHAT SHARPS SAY:
          "The Cowboys would have been the favorite in this game one month ago, but Dallas will now be missing several key players in this divisional primetime game and that is why the Cowboys are now a home underdog. Philadelphia is coming off their bye week and it will be interesting to see if they can continue their momentum as they are 7-0 SU (6-1 ATS) in their past seven games. Last season the Eagles started 3-0 SU/ATS, but then went 2-9 SU (3-8 ATS) after their bye week." - Covers Expert Steve Merril

          WHAT BOOKS SAY:
          
"Major sharp money on the Eagles has come in throughout the week. We briefly moved down to -3 right after opening, but Philly money has poured in since. The Cowboys didn't look well without Tyron Smith and Ezekiel Elliott last week, and the betting public is reacting as well." - Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

          INJURY REPORT:


          Eagles - CB Ronald Darby (Probable, Ankle), S Jaylen Watkins (Probable, Hamstring), WR Alshon Jeffery (Probable, Ankle), TE Zach Ertz (Probable, Hamstring), CB Sidney Jones (Questionable, Achilles), K Caleb Sturgis (Doubtful, Quadricep)

          Cowboys - CB Chidobe Awuzie (Probable, Hamstring), WR Dez Bryant (Probable, Ankle), DT Maliek Collins (Questionable, Foot), LB Justin Durant (Questionable, Groin), TE Geoff Swaim (Questionable, Knee), CB Orlando Scandrick (Questionable, Hand), S Jeff Heath (Doubtful, Concussion), OT Tyron Smith (Out, Groin), LB Sean Lee (Mid December, Hamstring), RB Ezekiel Elliott (Eligible Week 16, Suspension).

          ABOUT THE EAGLES (8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS, 6-3 O/U):
          Offseason acquisition Alshon Jeffery has three touchdowns in his last two games and also found the end zone in two of his last three meetings with Dallas. Zach Ertz aims to return from a two-game absence due to an ailing hamstring and pick up where he left off, as the 27-year-old has five touchdowns in his last four contests. Ertz leads all NFC tight ends in receptions (43), yards (528) and TDs (six) this season and reeled in 13 catches for 139 yards and two touchdowns versus the Cowboys last season.

          ABOUT THE COWBOYS (5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS, 5-4 O/U):
          While Elliott's absence is due to his suspension for violating the league's personal conduct policy, Smith could sit out his second straight game as a result of a groin injury that prevented him from practicing on Wednesday and Thursday. Byron Bell received first-team reps in his place in favor of Chaz Green, who started and struggled at Atlanta. Alfred Morris rushed five times on the opening drive last week and finished with 53 yards on 11 carries. Dez Bryant has been slowed by an ailing knee, limiting him to just 39 yards receiving in two of his last three games.

          TRENDS:


          * Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

          * Cowboys are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

          * Over is 14-2 in Eagles last 16 road games.

          * Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

          CONSENSUS:
          The public is siding with the road chalk Eagles at a rate of 74 percent and the Over is getting 73 percent of the totals action.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369690

            #35
            NFL
            Long Sheet

            Week 11


            Sunday, November 19

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DETROIT (5 - 4) at CHICAGO (3 - 6) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            DETROIT is 60-84 ATS (-32.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
            DETROIT is 66-91 ATS (-34.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
            DETROIT is 132-172 ATS (-57.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            DETROIT is 9-27 ATS (-20.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
            CHICAGO is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
            DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
            CHICAGO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
            DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            KANSAS CITY (6 - 3) at NY GIANTS (1 - 8) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
            NY GIANTS are 36-63 ATS (-33.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
            NY GIANTS are 33-58 ATS (-30.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            TAMPA BAY (3 - 6) at MIAMI (4 - 5) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            TAMPA BAY is 63-37 ATS (+22.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
            TAMPA BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
            MIAMI is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after playing on Monday night football since 1992.
            MIAMI is 55-79 ATS (-31.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
            MIAMI is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BALTIMORE (4 - 5) at GREEN BAY (5 - 4) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
            GREEN BAY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
            GREEN BAY is 184-130 ATS (+41.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
            GREEN BAY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA RAMS (7 - 2) at MINNESOTA (7 - 2) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            LA RAMS is 181-227 ATS (-68.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
            LA RAMS is 181-227 ATS (-68.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
            LA RAMS is 82-116 ATS (-45.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
            LA RAMS is 129-179 ATS (-67.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
            LA RAMS is 140-179 ATS (-56.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
            LA RAMS is 66-95 ATS (-38.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
            MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
            MINNESOTA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
            MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ARIZONA (4 - 5) at HOUSTON (3 - 6) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            HOUSTON is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            JACKSONVILLE (6 - 3) at CLEVELAND (0 - 9) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            WASHINGTON (4 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 2) - 11/19/2017, 1:00 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ORLEANS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
            NEW ORLEANS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ORLEANS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
            WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
            WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            BUFFALO (5 - 4) at LA CHARGERS (3 - 6) - 11/19/2017, 4:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
            LA CHARGERS is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CINCINNATI (3 - 6) at DENVER (3 - 6) - 11/19/2017, 4:25 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CINCINNATI is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
            CINCINNATI is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
            DENVER is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DENVER is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
            DENVER is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
            1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW ENGLAND (7 - 2) at OAKLAND (4 - 5) - 11/19/2017, 4:25 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            NEW ENGLAND is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
            NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
            NEW ENGLAND is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
            OAKLAND is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
            OAKLAND is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (8 - 1) at DALLAS (5 - 4) - 11/19/2017, 8:30 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            DALLAS is 2-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369690

              #36
              NFL

              Week 11


              Trend Report

              Sunday, November 19

              DETROIT @ CHICAGO
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
              Detroit is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
              Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

              BALTIMORE @ GREEN BAY
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
              Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
              Green Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore

              ARIZONA @ HOUSTON
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
              Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

              LA RAMS @ MINNESOTA
              LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
              LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
              Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams

              WASHINGTON @ NEW ORLEANS
              Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
              The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games when playing New Orleans
              New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing Washington

              JACKSONVILLE @ CLEVELAND
              Jacksonville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
              Jacksonville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 10 games at home
              Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

              KANSAS CITY @ NY GIANTS
              Kansas City is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
              Kansas City is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
              NY Giants is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
              NY Giants is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City

              TAMPA BAY @ MIAMI
              Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Miami
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

              BUFFALO @ LA CHARGERS
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
              LA Chargers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
              LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

              CINCINNATI @ DENVER
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Denver
              Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
              Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
              Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati

              NEW ENGLAND @ OAKLAND
              New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing New England

              PHILADELPHIA @ DALLAS
              Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
              Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              Dallas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
              Dallas is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
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              Twitter@cpawsports


              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369690

                #37
                NFL ATS Leaders thru Week 10:

                t1. Eagles 7-2 ATS
                t1. Saints 7-2 ATS
                t3. LARams 6-3 ATS
                t3. Vikings 6-3 ATS
                t3. Chiefs 6-3 ATS


                NFL ATS Losers thru Week 10:

                32. Browns 2-7 ATS
                t31. Bucs 2-6-1 ATS
                t31. Broncos 2-6-1 ATS
                t31. Cardinals 2-6-1 ATS
                t28. Giants 3-6 ATS
                t28. Redskins 3-6 ATS
                t28. Falcons 3-6 ATS
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369690

                  #38
                  NFL
                  Dunkel

                  Week 11


                  Sunday, November 19

                  Detroit @ Chicago

                  Game 451-452
                  November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Detroit
                  134.037
                  Chicago
                  133.025
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Detroit
                  by 1
                  35
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Detroit
                  by 3
                  41
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Chicago
                  (+3); Under

                  Kansas City @ NY Giants


                  Game 453-454
                  November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Kansas City
                  138.007
                  NY Giants
                  120.950
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Kansas City
                  by 17
                  50
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Kansas City
                  by 10
                  45
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Kansas City
                  (-10); Over

                  Tampa Bay @ Miami


                  Game 455-456
                  November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Tampa Bay
                  122.884
                  Miami
                  129.230
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Miami
                  by 6 1/2
                  34
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Miami
                  by 1
                  40 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Miami
                  (-1); Over

                  Baltimore @ Green Bay


                  Game 457-458
                  November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Baltimore
                  135.490
                  Green Bay
                  130.409
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Baltimore
                  by 5
                  42
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Baltimore
                  by 2
                  38
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Baltimore
                  (-2); Over

                  LA Rams @ Minnesota


                  Game 459-460
                  November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  LA Rams
                  138.039
                  Minnesota
                  145.046
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Minnesota
                  by 7
                  52
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Minnesota
                  by 2
                  45 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Minnesota
                  (-2); Over

                  Arizona @ Houston


                  Game 461-462
                  November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Arizona
                  130.335
                  Houston
                  128.392
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Arizona
                  by 2
                  48
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Houston
                  by 1
                  38 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Arizona
                  (+1); Over

                  Washington @ New Orleans


                  Game 465-466
                  November 19, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Washington
                  136.788
                  New Orleans
                  143.248
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  New Orleans
                  by 6 1/2
                  53
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  New Orleans
                  by 8
                  50 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Washington
                  (+8); Over

                  Buffalo @ LA Chargers


                  Game 467-468
                  November 19, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Buffalo
                  133.628
                  LA Chargers
                  130.011
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Buffalo
                  by 3 1/2
                  34
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  LA Chargers
                  by 5
                  44
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Buffalo
                  (+5); Under

                  Cincinnati @ Denver


                  Game 469-470
                  November 19, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Cincinnati
                  122.039
                  Denver
                  129.527
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Denver
                  by 7 1/2
                  40
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Denver
                  by 2 1/2
                  39
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Denver
                  (-2 1/2); Over

                  New England @ Oakland


                  Game 471-472
                  November 19, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  New England
                  140.067
                  Oakland
                  128.587
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  New England
                  by 11 1/2
                  49
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  New England
                  by 6 1/2
                  54
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  New England
                  (-6 1/2); Under

                  Philadelphia @ Dallas


                  Game 473-474
                  November 19, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Philadelphia
                  136.700
                  Dallas
                  141.285
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Dallas
                  by 4 1/2
                  58
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Philadelphia
                  by 4
                  47 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Dallas
                  (+4); Over

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                  Twitter@cpawsports


                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369690

                    #39
                    NFL

                    Week 11


                    Sunday's games
                    Lions (5-4) @ Bears (3-6)— Detroit won seven of last eight series games; last four were all decided by 4 or less points. Lions won three of last four visits to Chicago, winning by 2-6-4 points. Detroit won its last two games, scoring 30-38 points; they’re 3-1 on road, with only loss 52-38 in New Orleans- their offense gave up three TD’s that day. Detroit is 2-3 if they score less than 30 points. Bears lost last two games, scoring two TD”s on last 22 drives; Chicago is 2-3 at home, 4-0 as a home underdog- dogs covered all five of their home games. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 9-12-2 vs spread. Four of last five Detroit games went over total; under is 6-3 in Chicago games. Bears stayed under their team total in seven of nine games.

                    Chiefs (6-3) @ Giants (1-8)— Chiefs lost three of last four games after a 5-0 start; they won/covered their last three post-bye games. KC is 3-2 on road, but lost last two away games, at Oakland/Dallas. Chiefs are 2-1 as a road favorite this season. Giants lost last three games, allowing 82 points in last two games; they’re 0-4 at home, scoring 14 ppg- they’re 3-4 vs spread as an underdog this year- their last three losses were by 17-34-10 points. Giants are 10-3 in this series, winning all six matchups played here- KC won last meeting 31-7 in ’13. AFC West favorites are 4-7-1 vs spread outside the division; NC East home teams are 5-8, 1-3 as home dogs. Over is 5-2-2 in Chief games this season, 5-2 in last seven Giant games.

                    Buccaneers (3-6) @ Dolphins (4-5)— Short week for Miami, after its dismal loss in Charlotte Monday night. Dolphins lost last three games, are 2-1 at home, with three games decided by total of 12 points. Bucs snapped 5-game skid with 15-10 win over Jets; they scored total of 28 points in last three games. Tampa Bay won four of last five meetings, with three of less four decided by 3 or less points. Bucs lost three of their four visits to Miami. NFC South underdogs are 3-4-1 vs spread outside the division, 2-2-1 on road. AFC East favorites are 6-4-1, 3-3-1 at home. This game was supposed to be in Week 1, but was moved here because of the hurricanes. Last three Tampa Bay games stayed under total; last four Miami games went over.

                    Ravens (4-5) @ Packers (5-4)— Baltimore lost three of last four games, with two losses by 3 points; they’re 2-2 SU in true road games. Ravens are 3-8-1 vs spread in last 12 games as a road favorite. Baltimore is 12-3 SU/ATS in last 15 post-bye games. Green Bay lost three of last four games; Hundley got his first NFL win Sunday. 7 of last 10 Baltimore TD’s were either scored by the defense, or on drives of 42 or less yards. Ravens are 1-4 vs Green Bay, with only win 48-3 in ’05; they’re 0-3 in Lambeau, losing by 18-8-13 points. AFC North non-divisional faves are 4-7 vs spread, 1-3 on road; NFC North home favorites are 4-2 vs spread. Last five Baltimore games went over total; six of last eight Packer games went over- lot of that was with Rodgers playing.

                    Rams (7-2) @ Vikings (7-2)— Case Keenum was 7-7 as Rams’ starting QB in 2015-16; he was replaced by Goff in Week 10 LY, with Rams 4-5. Minnesota won its last five games, covered last four; they’re 4-1 at home, 2-1 as a home favorite. Vikings were held to 9-7 points in their two losses. Rams won six of last seven games; they’re 4-0 in true road games, scoring 38.5 ppg (14 TD’s on 44 drives). LA is 2-0 vs spread as an underdog this year. Vikings won last four series games, three by 14+ points; Rams lost 21-18 in OT in last meeting here, in ’15. Rams’ last win in Minnesota was in ’06. NFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 3-5 vs spread; NFC North favorites are 5-2, 4-2 at home. Over is 6-3 in Ram games, 3-0 in last three Minnesota games.

                    Cardinals (4-5) @ Texans (3-6)— Stanton got hurt last week, Savage was awful, so this looms as Gabbert vs Yates in battle of 3rd-string QB’s. Cardinals are 3-0 when they allow 15 or less points, 1-5 when they allow more; Redbirds are 2-2 in true road games, winning at Indy/SF, losing at Detroit/Philly. Houston lost its last three games; they were outscored 34-7 in 2nd half of last two games. Texans allowed 8+ yards/pass attempt in each of their last three games. Home side won all three series games; Cardinals lost 30-19 in only visit here, in ’05. NFC West non-divisional favorites are 5-5 vs spread, 2-2 on road; AFC South underdogs are 7-4 vs spread, 3-1 at home. Under is 7-1 in last eight Arizona games, 3-0 in Texan games not started by Watson.

                    Jaguars (6-3) @ Browns (0-9)— Jacksonville won its last three games, allowing 8 ppg; they’re 3-1 on road, 1-1 as road favorite, with wins by 22-21-27 points, with lone loss to Jets in Swamp Stadium. Five of Jaguars’ six wins were by 16+ points; in their last five games, they outscored opponents 57-16 in second half. Cleveland is 2-7 vs spread this year, 2-2 at home; three of their four home losses were by exactly 3 points. Jaguars won last two meetings, 32-28/24-6; teams split last 10 meetings. Jaguars 6-2 in visits to Lake Erie. AFC South non-divisional favorites are 4-6-1, 0-2 on road; AFC North underdogs are 6-4-1 vs spread, 1-0 at home. Under is 4-1 in last five Jaguar games, 1-3 in Cleveland’s last four games.

                    Redskins (4-5) @ Saints (7-2)— New Orleans won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread); they allowed 10+ yards/pass attempt in first two games, then held last seven opponents to less than 5.0 ypa— they’re 2-1 as a home favorite, with home wins by 14-8-20 points, and a loss to the Patriots. Saints ran ball for 150+ yards in four of last five games; that takes heat off their offense and aging QB Brees. Redskins are 2-2 as a road underdog. Washington won four of last five meetings, scoring 40-47 points in last two; they’re 7-0 in last seven visits to Bourbon Street- their last loss in New Orleans was in 1973. NFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 7-3 vs spread; NFC South home favorites are 4-7. Under is 5-2 in Saints’ last seven games, over is 4-1 in Redskins’ last five.

                    Bills (5-4) @ Chargers (3-6)— Peterman makes first NFL start here; Bills were unhappy with Taylor going thru his progressions too slowly. Buffalo lost its last two games, allowing 492 rushing yards, 81 points; they’re 1-3 on road, 2-1 as a road underdog, losing by 6-4-13 points, with the lone win 23-17 in Atlanta. Bills are -1 in turnovers in their losses, +12 in their wins. Chargers lost their last two games; four of their six losses were by 3 or less points. LA is 0-1 as a favorite this season. Chargers won four of last five series games; Bills lost their last five visits to San Diego- last time they beat Bolts in California was 1981. AFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 5-3 vs spread; AFC West favorites are 4-7-1 against the spread, 3-5 at home. Last four Buffalo games went over the total, last four Charger games stayed under.

                    Bengals (3-6) @ Broncos (3-6)— Denver lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread), thanks to a -12 turnover ratio in those games; they lost last two home games, to Giants/Patriots. Broncos desperately need a QB. Bengals lost three of last four games; they’re 1-4 on road, with losses by 3-15-16-4 points. Cincy ran total of 87 plays in its last two games; their opponents ran 162 plays. Denver won six of last seven series games, winning 20-17/29-17 the last two years; Bengals lost their last 10 visits to Denver- their last win here was in 1975. AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 6-4-1 vs spread, 4-4-1 on road; AFC West favorites are 4-7-1 vs spread, 3-5 at home. Last three Bronco games, three of last four Cincinnati games went over the total.

                    Patriots (7-2) vs Raiders (4-5) (Mexico City)— New England won its last five games (4-1 vs spread); they outscored last three opponents 59-16 in first half. Patriots won field position in last three games, by 7-10-14 yards. Oakland won three of last four post-bye games; they covered their last five; Raiders lost five of their last seven games; 2-2 vs spread as an underdog. Oakland has only two takeaways (-9) in their last six games- they allowed 88 points n their last three games. Patriots won last four series games; Oakland’s last series win was in 2002. AFC East favorites are 6-4-1 vs spread, 3-1 on road; AFC West non-divisional underdogs are 5-5. Four of last five Patriot games stayed under total; over is 4-1 in last five Oakland games.

                    Eagles (7-2) @ Cowboys (5-4)— Dallas allowed 8 sacks in Atlanta LW, with LT Smith injured; his replacement allowed 6 of the 8 sacks. They ran ball for only 107 yards with Elliott suspended. Cowboys are 2-2 at home, losing to Rams by 5, Packers by 4- under Garrett, they’re 7-5-2 as a home underdog. Eagles are 1-4 vs spread in last five post-bye games. Philly won its last seven games, covered its last six; they’re 3-1 on road, winning by 13-2-5 points, with only loss 27-20 at Kansas City. Teams split their last eight meetings; Eagles won three of last four visits here, with last two games here going to OT. NFL-wide, divisional home underdogs are 9-8-1 vs spread. Four of last six Dallas games, five of last seven Eagle games went over the total.
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                    Comment

                    • Gmoney121
                      Senior Member
                      • Sep 2017
                      • 461

                      #40
                      FYI........ "WILLIAM HILL FADE SYSTEM"

                      ( He's been even better in the NFL )

                      ** Results are from yesterday Saturday 11-18-2017 - NCAA CFB **

                      - 96% - Arkansas +14 = Winner


                      - 93% - Rice +7' = Winner


                      - 94% - San Jose St +32 = Winner


                      - 97% - Nebraska +28 = Winner


                      - 96% - UL Laf. +3 = Winner


                      - 96% - Vanderbilt +8 = Loser


                      - 98% - Nevada +18 = Loser


                      Total Results for 11-18-2017, NCAA CFB = 5-2 !!!




                      ** The system I created is quite simple:

                      - Play "ON" any UNDERDOG that the public is wagering on that is "ABOVE" 93%,( CFB = 93% / NFL = 90% ) according to WILLIAM HILL'S chart, he posts on Twitter.
                      ​Been doing this since the beginning of the season, in the NFL & NCAA CFB, and have "NOT" lost 1 single week,


                      IT MAY BE DIFFICULT TO SOME, BUT THIS IS SOMETHING THAT I HAVE CREATED WHERE YOU ARE "BLINDLY" WAGERING ON SIMPLE MATHEMATICS. NO OTHER HANDICAPPING OR OPINIONS GO INTO THIS.

                      Comment

                      • Bettenguy
                        Member
                        • Oct 2017
                        • 70

                        #41
                        Originally posted by Gmoney121
                        FYI........ "WILLIAM HILL FADE SYSTEM"

                        ( He's been even better in the NFL )

                        ** Results are from yesterday Saturday 11-18-2017 - NCAA CFB **

                        - 96% - Arkansas +14 = Winner


                        - 93% - Rice +7' = Winner


                        - 94% - San Jose St +32 = Winner


                        - 97% - Nebraska +28 = Winner


                        - 96% - UL Laf. +3 = Winner


                        - 96% - Vanderbilt +8 = Loser


                        - 98% - Nevada +18 = Loser


                        Total Results for 11-18-2017, NCAA CFB = 5-2 !!!




                        ** The system I created is quite simple:

                        - Play "ON" any UNDERDOG that the public is wagering on that is "ABOVE" 93%,( CFB = 93% / NFL = 90% ) according to WILLIAM HILL'S chart, he posts on Twitter.
                        ​Been doing this since the beginning of the season, in the NFL & NCAA CFB, and have "NOT" lost 1 single week,


                        IT MAY BE DIFFICULT TO SOME, BUT THIS IS SOMETHING THAT I HAVE CREATED WHERE YOU ARE "BLINDLY" WAGERING ON SIMPLE MATHEMATICS. NO OTHER HANDICAPPING OR OPINIONS GO INTO THIS.
                        Sounds great What are those teams?

                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369690

                          #42
                          When: 3:30 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
                          Where: Air Canada Centre, Toronto, Ontario

                          Matchup Edge
                          WAS Edge in: TOR
                          Points Per Game
                          Field Goal %
                          Free Throw %
                          Defense
                          Rebounding
                          Turn Overs
                          Bench


                          Preview: Wizards at Raptors

                          Gracenote
                          Nov 18, 2017

                          The Boston Celtics are the talk of the Eastern Conference, which is allowing the Toronto Raptors to fly under the radar a bit as they find their groove. The Raptors will try to run their winning streak to four straight at the expense of another East contender when they host the Washington Wizards on Sunday.

                          Toronto is getting used to a new offense that promotes ball movement and 3-point shooting, and the work is paying off in the form of a three-game winning streak in which it is averaging 120.3 points. The Raptors' lone loss in their last six games was a 95-94 setback at Boston, and they scored 119 points or more in four of their last six contests. Toronto's offense will be taking on a Wizards defense that held each of its last five opponents to 95 or fewer points but is coming off the lone loss in that span -- a 91-88 home setback to the Miami Heat. "We didn't make shots," Washington coach Scott Brooks explained. "We got down on ourselves. When we got down on ourselves, we put our heads down instead of running back and making up for it on the other end."

                          TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, NBCS Washington, Sportsnet One (Toronto)

                          ABOUT THE WIZARDS (9-6): Washington point guard John Wall limped to eight points on 3-of-12 shooting in Friday's loss to Miami while dealing with a swollen knee and is unsure if he will play on Sunday. "I mean, it just came up out of nowhere," Wall told the Washington Post. "It was feeling good and then it just popped up. I trust my training staff and those guys and our doctors to do what's best for me and they'll tell me if I need to sit and what I need to do to get it back right. I've been preparing myself by doing all of the exercises and corrective work they want me to do, so I'm just going to stick with the plan I've been doing." Wall is averaging 19.9 points and 9.3 assists in 14 games but also sat out a trip to Toronto on Nov. 5, when the Wizards earned a 107-96 win.
                          ABOUT THE RAPTORS (10-5): Toronto is dealing with its own injuries to starting small forward Norm Powell (hip) and power forward Serge Ibaka (knee), but leaned on its depth to blow past the New York Knicks 107-84 on Friday. Second-year power forward Pascal Siakam and rookie OG Anunoby filled in and combined for 24 points on 11-of-21 shooting while playing strong defense. "I have all the confidence in the world with our second unit, young guys," Raptors coach Dwane Casey told reporters. "I have confidence they're gonna play well and I have confidence they're not gonna play well at times. One thing that can't be a question and hasn't been a question is their energy and effort. (They) infuse energy into the game."

                          BUZZER BEATERS

                          1. Washington SF Otto Porters Jr. went 4-of-10 from the floor on Friday, snapping a string of 10 straight games shooting better than 50 percent.

                          2. Toronto PG Kyle Lowry is averaging 22 points, 9.5 assists and 9.5 rebounds in the last two games.

                          3. The road team took the last four in the series.

                          PREDICTION: Raptors 112, Wizards 103


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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369690

                            #43
                            Trends - Washington at Toronto


                            ATS TRENDS

                            Washington
                            • Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
                            • Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
                            • Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
                            • Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
                            • Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
                            • Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
                            • Wizards are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
                            • Wizards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
                            • Wizards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
                            • Wizards are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
                            • Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.

                            Toronto
                            • Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
                            • Raptors are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games.
                            • Raptors are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
                            • Raptors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Southeast.
                            OU TRENDS

                            Washington
                            • Under is 7-0 in Wizards last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
                            • Under is 7-0 in Wizards last 7 overall.
                            • Under is 4-0 in Wizards last 4 vs. Eastern Conference.
                            • Under is 5-1 in Wizards last 6 road games.
                            • Over is 7-2-1 in Wizards last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                            • Under is 6-2 in Wizards last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
                            • Over is 5-2 in Wizards last 7 Sunday games.
                            • Under is 5-2 in Wizards last 7 games following a straight up loss.
                            • Over is 5-2 in Wizards last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
                            • Over is 20-9 in Wizards last 29 vs. NBA Atlantic.

                            Toronto
                            • Over is 5-0 in Raptors last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
                            • Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
                            • Over is 15-5 in Raptors last 20 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
                            • Over is 14-5 in Raptors last 19 home games.
                            • Over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
                            • Over is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 Sunday games.
                            • Under is 5-2 in Raptors last 7 games following a ATS win.
                            • Over is 11-5 in Raptors last 16 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
                            HEAD TO HEAD

                            • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto.
                            • Wizards are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
                            • Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
                            • Wizards are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
                            • Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369690

                              #44
                              When: 5:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 19, 2017
                              Where: American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida

                              Matchup Edge
                              IND Edge in: MIA
                              Points Per Game
                              Field Goal %
                              Free Throw %
                              Defense
                              Rebounding
                              Turn Overs
                              Bench


                              Preview: Pacers at Heat

                              Gracenote
                              Nov 18, 2017

                              The Indiana Pacers will try to build off perhaps their best win of the season when they begin a two-game road trip at Miami on Sunday. After falling behind by 22 points past the midway point of the third quarter, the Pacers put forth a furious rally to steal a 107-100 win from the Detroit Pistons on Friday.

                              "Tonight, you saw a team didn't give up," coach Nate McMillan told reporters. "They came out and battled and flipped the switch on Detroit." The comeback avenged one of Indiana's earlier losses and the team has a chance to do the same against the Heat, who picked up their first win of the season at home against the Pacers on Oct. 21. Goran Dragic, who had 23 points in that initial meeting, was held to six on 3-of-11 shooting Friday at Washington but was part of a defensive effort that lifted Miami to a 91-88 victory in the back half of a home-and-home set. Center Hassan Whiteside was absent against Indiana last month but enters the rematch on a roll with four double-doubles in the last five games.

                              TV: 5 p.m. ET, FS Indiana, FS Sun (Miami)

                              ABOUT THE PACERS (8-8): Lance Stephenson scored all 13 of his points in the fourth quarter Friday and chipped in eight rebounds and two assists in 18 quality minutes. "Rebounding and defense got me going, and the crowd got me going," Stephenson told reporters. "Once everybody got involved and the crowd started chanting, that energy sparked the whole building." Leading scorer Victor Oladipo had a rough shooting night by going 6-for-19 but made up for it with a career-high 15 rebounds as Indiana won the battle of the boards for just the second time in its last eight games.

                              ABOUT THE HEAT (7-8): Miami nearly coughed up a 25-point lead in Friday's win but coach Erik Spoelstra and some of his players said that they never felt as if their execution was lacking. "We had a game plan today and I felt like out of all the games we played so far we executed the most on the offensive end, defensive end, halfcourt sets," forward James Johnson told the media after scoring 20 points off the bench. "We were together the whole game." Swingman Justise Winslow had 10 points, seven rebounds and two steals in just 18 minutes, but his limited playing time was a reflection of a quick hook by Spoelstra following some defensive lapses, prompting Winslow to say: "I've got to do a better job of being ready."

                              BUZZER BEATERS

                              1. Pacers PG Darren Collison is averaging 23 points while shooting 14-for-23 over the last two games.

                              2. Heat SG Dion Waiters made multiple 3-pointers in six consecutive contests.

                              3. Miami won six straight meetings at home.

                              PREDICTION: Heat 104, Pacers 102


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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369690

                                #45
                                Trends - Indiana at Miami


                                ATS TRENDS

                                Indiana
                                • Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Southeast.
                                • Pacers are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 vs. Eastern Conference.
                                • Pacers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
                                • Pacers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 Sunday games.
                                • Pacers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win.
                                • Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

                                Miami
                                • Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
                                • Heat are 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS win.
                                • Heat are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
                                • Heat are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
                                • Heat are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
                                • Heat are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games.
                                • Heat are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
                                • Heat are 0-10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games.
                                • Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.
                                • Heat are 0-4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
                                OU TRENDS

                                Indiana
                                • Under is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 Sunday games.
                                • Over is 15-3 in Pacers last 18 road games.
                                • Under is 4-1 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
                                • Under is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 vs. NBA Southeast.
                                • Under is 8-3 in Pacers last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
                                • Under is 5-2 in Pacers last 7 games following a straight up win.

                                Miami
                                • Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
                                • Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
                                • Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
                                • Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 Sunday games.
                                • Under is 8-2 in Heat last 10 games following a ATS win.
                                • Under is 7-2 in Heat last 9 overall.
                                • Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
                                • Under is 15-7 in Heat last 22 games following a straight up win.
                                HEAD TO HEAD

                                • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
                                • Home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
                                • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Miami.
                                • Pacers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami.
                                • Pacers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
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