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Paul Leiner:I have a big card today featuring a 2500* College Football winner and 500* College Hoops play. I have been waiting all week for tonights CFB game. This one will hit by at least 10 points. Thanks and goodluck.
2500* CFB Over 67.5 Texas A&M/Mississippi 500* CBB George Mason -11 100* CFB Utah State -10 100* CFB Arizona State -7
(3% play) NAVY +18 (at Notre Dame) - 3:30 pm ET (NBC) #395
-Navy has three losses this season, but all three of those losses have come by 10 points or less
-offense is averaging 6.5 yards per play versus defenses that give up just 6.0 yards per play
-Midshipmen defense is allowing just 26 points per game on 4.1 yards per rush on the road
-Notre Dame comes into this game off a crucial loss at Miami; tough spot to bounce back
-offense scored 8 points last week, and they only scored 27 points on Navy in loss last season
-Irish defense is in bad current form after giving up 78 total points in their last two games
Play NAVY (+) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) OVER 68 (Texas A&M/Mississippi) - 7:00 pm ET (time-change) (espn2) #413
-Texas A&M played their best offensive game of the season last week; expect that to carry over
-offense is averaging 32.1 points per game vs. defenses that only give up 26.4 points per game
-Aggies' defense is giving up 35 points per game on 6.2 yards per play on the road
-Mississippi also played their best offensive game of the season last week; expect another one
-offense is averaging 43.3 points per game on 8.1 yards per play at home this season
-Rebels' defense is giving up 35.6 ppg on 6.4 yppl vs. offenses that average 28.5 ppg on 5.8 yppl
-Missouri has won four straight games by an average of +37.3 points per game
-offense is averaging 37.9 points per game on a whopping 7.4 yards per play this season
-Tigers' defense is giving up only 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.8 yards per play
-Vanderbilt is 0-6 SU in SEC play; those six losses came by an average of -26 points per game
-offense is only averaging 20.3 points per game on 5.4 yards per play at home this season
-Commodores' defense is giving up 30.7 points per game vs. offenses that only average 26.3 ppg
BIG 12 GAME OF THE WEEK
(341) TEXAS at (342) WEST VIRGINIA
4% WEST VIRGINIA -3.0 (-106)
A very difficult spot for the Longhorns. Texas is playing their third game as a visitor over the last four weeks and while they are playing for a new head coach in his first Austin campaign the squad is playing a club that is still in the fight for a possible Big 12 title, albeit a road where they need help. Texas is playing for bowl eligibility but they are outmanned offensively in this road tilt and while a 5-5 teams shouldn't be looking ahead the 'Horns are thinking, to some degree, about their intrastate event next week at home versus Texas Tech. West Virginia was conservative in the second half of their 28-23 win vs. the Wildcats in their last game, knowing that Kansas State is suffering through a plethora of offensive injuries and are handcuffed.
Morgantown is excited, as are the players, to be in a position to win their eighth game of the year while waiting on the results of the rest of the league later in the afternoon.
BIG 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK
(387) KANSAS STATE at (388) OKLAHOMA STATE
3% Total Over 65.0 (+104)
If there is a coach in the college football landscape that knows how to make adjustment with injured personnel it is Bill Snyder. The longtime Wildcast bench boss has a terrific record against ranked teams on the road, especially those that he knows he has to score against, and that would be Gundy's Cowboys.
Regardless of who Synder has starting behind center, be it third teamer, this game sets up as a dog and over event. Snyder has a history of beating up on Gundy's defensive unit covering five of the last six versus Oki State, and doing so by putting points on the board.
SEC GAME OF THE WEEK
(323) KENTUCKY at (324) GEORGIA
3% KENTUCKY 21.5 (-108)
Make no mistake about this SEC event. The Bulldogs offense was exposed a week ago by Auburn. Georgia will get back to their bread and butter this week against the Wildcats running the football. It is, in my opinion, the best way to overcome the early stages of this game that is surely to see Georgia with a hangover from last weeks ass-kicking at the hands of the Tigers.
Georgia has dominated this series straight up but last year the 'Cats took the 'Dogs to the wire in a 27-24 loss in Lexington. Coach Smart has been vocal this week about getting beat up in the trenches by Auburn and UGA's ambition in this contest will be to control the clock and grind it out on the ground.
Kentucky does enough to garner the underdog cover on Saturday.
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