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2-Unit Play. Take #516 St. Joseph's (-3.5) over Princeton (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 18) The Tigers lost at Butler. They lost at home to BYU. And now they have to face an ornery St. Joe's team. The Hawks are a team that should be improved this season. They are a little beat up. But they lost at Toledo and were taken to OT against Illinois-Chicago. However, both of those games were on the road. And I think that they will get a boost from playing on their home floor. The Hawks beat Princeton by eight points on the road last year. That was actually a better Princeton team, as they are now without three of their top six players. St. Joe's also beat the Tigers by 12 points at home back in 2016. So the Hawks have had the upper hand. And I expect that they will here as well. 1-Unit Play. Take #525 Oakland (-1.5) over Toledo (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 18) Let's keep rolling with Oakland. They have wrecked their first two opponents. And while those two games were at home I've seen enough to know this team is legit and is going to be a tough out. Kendrick Nunn is absolutely no joke. And he is going to be the best player on the floor in most of the games that Oakland plays. Including this one. I'm still unsure about Toledo. They lost their two best players from a .500 team and I don't know how consistent we should expect them to be here. Look, Oakland is hot. Nunn is a stud. And the fact that Oakland isn't even catching points in a true road game tells you who the books think is the better team. Let's take a small shot. 2-Unit Play. Take #529 Nevada (-10.5) over Pacific (10 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 18) 2-Unit Play. Take #544 Boston College (+9) over Texas Tech (Noon) I do like this Texas Tech team. However, I think that Boston College can hang around with them here. This is a vastly improved B.C. team in Jim Christian's fourth season. They are much better than the team that didn't win an ACC game two season's ago. Jerome Robinson is a true go-to guy and I think they have enough decent role players around them to keep this game within reach. Texas Tech was not a team that did well against other major conference teams last year. And they are inconsistent enough defensively that I think Boston College will be able to score some points early - if Tech isn't ready to play - and score some points late - if Tech gets up big I can see them letting the Eagles back into the game. I just think that the Red Raiders are slightly overvalued. I think that the Eagles are improved and that they are the more motivated team in this one. I don't think they have the size to pull the upset. But I think they have the scrappiness to make the points hold up. 1-Unit Play. Take #546 Northwestern (-7.5) over LaSalle (2:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 18) 1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #551 Mercer (-3) over Drexel (6 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 18) AND Take #560 Elon (-11.5) Over Concordia (4 p.m.) Drexel pulled a surprise upset against Houston on Friday thanks to a solid comeback - they were down 10 early and down 9 with nine minutes to play - and I think they are going to have a letdown here. Mercer is a really experienced team that is very good at putting the ball in the hole. They just walked over a Liberty team - in a true road game - that had just beaten Wake Forest. Drexel lost at home to Bowling Green. I don't see them stringing together back-to-back wins. And if Mercer wins this one they are a good enough free throw shooting team - No. 6 in the country last year - that I think they can beat this number late. 1-Unit Play. Take #564 Detroit (-4) over Seattle (2 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 18) 1-Unit Play. Take #579 Fairfield (+23) over Purdue (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 18) Purdue is coming off a great win at Marquette that we cashed in as our top play on Tuesday. Now they are back home as a monster favorite. But they are also packing their bags for a trip to the Bahamas for the tournament at Atlantis. I don't know if Fairfield will have their clear and undivided attention, as the Stags have zero chance of winning this game and the Boilermakers know it. Fairfield lost by 21 at N.C. State and actually beat Boston College last year in their two big nonconference games. I think that they are going to take this game a little more seriously than the Boilermakers and I think they can make enough shots to lose by 18-21 points here
3 Unit Play. Take #513 Over 194.5 Sacramento at Portland (10:05p.m., Saturday November 18)
Yes these two teams played last night and the Kings won 86-82 but I don't see the same outcome tonight in the Moda Center. Portland has won back-to-back home games and tonight revenge will be served by the Blazers and tonight I see a lot more offense from the Blazers. The Blazers shot 37% from the field and 7-25 from 3-point last but tonight at home I see bigger numbers and the Blazers bench will play a lot better as well. Sacramento is 4-1 O/U in their last 5 road games and the Blazers last 5 Saturday night games 4 of them have gone over.
4 Unit Play. Take #347 Air Force +17.5 over Boise St (10:15p.m., Saturday November 18 ESPN2)
The Boise St Broncos get this game at home (Albertsons Stadium) and if the Broncos can't slow down the running game of Air Force this game will be close from kick off. The last two meetings between these two teams the winner has won by a touchdown and now you are telling me in Boise, Idaho the Broncos are -17.5 favorites. Air Force comes into this road game losing back-to-back home games against Wyoming and Army while the Broncos have rung off 6-straight victories. Last weekend Boise received a miracle cover against Colorado St and throw in that Boise St is only 2-12 ATS in their last 14 home games I see the Air Force Falcons keeping this game close and respectable. Air Force is also 5-0 ATS in this series and the underdog is also 5-0 ATS.
3 Unit Play. Take #359 South Alabama -4.5 over Georgia Southern (3:00p.m., Saturday November 18)
So the home team Georgia Southern Eagles are a horrendous 0-9 SU and 2-6-1 ATS this year and Saturday late afternoon I see the Jaguars of South Alabama having no problem stealing this road game. South Alabama won last week at home against Arkansas St 24-19 and Jags jumped all over the Red Wolves early and this Saturday I see the same. Jaguars QB Cole Garvin has a great game last weekend and this weekend he should be able to pick apart the Eagles defense. Georgia Southern is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and the Eagles are 3-9 ATS against conference opponents.
4 Unit Play. Take #365 Arizona +2 over Oregon (7:00p.m., Saturday November 18 PAC12)
Arizona sophomore QB Khalil Tate has been nothing but brilliant the past 6-weeks and Saturday night on the road he should provide another stellar game and the Wildcats continue to pile up PAC-12 wins. Arizona has won 5 out 6 games and in that winning streak 2 of those wins were on the road (Cal 45-44 & Colorado 45-42). Oregon is one win away to become bowl eligible but Saturday night at home I don't see them getting that one win. The Ducks have dropped 4 out 5 games and at times their offense has been M.I.A. and if Oregon does not have QB Justin Herbert again for this conference battle I see the Ducks going down at home.
7 Unit Play. Take #383 Over 46.5 Utah at Washington (10:30p.m., Saturday November 18 ESPN)
A little confused on this total Saturday night in Husky Stadium. The Washington Huskies at home are averaging 46.2ppg and as long as its not pouring cats & dogs Saturday night I see this total flying over. Utah comes into this road game trending OVER games and their last 3 games all 3 of them have gone OVER and 4 out 5. I know the Washington Huskies defense is really good but I see the Utah Utes putting up over two touchdowns. The last two years both meetings went over the total and the winner of this matchup scored 30 plus points. The Utah Utes defense has been giving up points lately and normally the Utes 'D' is one best ?D's? in the conference but so far they have given up points and yardage at will. Saturday night Huskies QB Jake Browning has a big game through the air and the Huskies put up big points at home. The Utah Utes are 4-1 O/U in their last 5 conference games and the Utes are 5-1 O/U following a ATS loss. Washington is 7-2-1 O/U following a ATS loss and I believe this game goes over and we cash another 7-Unit College Football play.
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