Saturday 12-2-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Fresno State at Boise State
When: 7:45 PM ET, Saturday, December 2, 2017
Where: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Boise State Broncos are ranked 62 on offense, averaging 403.8 yards per game. The Broncos are averaging 149.3 yards rushing and 254.4 yards passing so far this season.
The Fresno State Bulldogs are ranked 70 on offense, averaging 394.4 yards per game. The Bulldogs are averaging 159.7 yards rushing and 234.8 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Boise State Broncos are 5-1 at home this season, 7-1 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.
At home the Broncos are averaging 30.7 scoring, and holding teams to 19.3 points scored on defense.
The Fresno State Bulldogs are 4-2 while on the road this season, 7-1 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.
On the road, the Bulldogs are averaging 20.7 scoring, and holding teams to 21.7 points scored on defense.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Fresno State at Boise State

ATS Trends
Fresno State

Bulldogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Bulldogs are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
Bulldogs are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bulldogs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games on fieldturf.
Bulldogs are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games.
Bulldogs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Bulldogs are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.

Boise State

Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Broncos are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Broncos are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
Broncos are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games.

OU Trends
Fresno State

Under is 8-0 in Bulldogs last 8 games overall.
Under is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 road games.
Under is 4-0-1 in Bulldogs last 5 games in December.
Over is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-0 in Bulldogs last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 10-1 in Bulldogs last 11 conference games.
Under is 18-7-1 in Bulldogs last 26 games following a straight up win.
Over is 7-3 in Bulldogs last 10 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

Boise State

Under is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-1 in Broncos last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 14-5 in Broncos last 19 home games.
Under is 5-2 in Broncos last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 25-12 in Broncos last 37 games following a ATS loss.

Head to Head

Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Bulldogs are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Boise State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, December 2, 2017
Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina

Preview: Miami vs. Clemson
Gracenote
Nov 30, 2017

Clemson has won five straight games since its lone slip-up of the season, but Miami has just one chance to atone for its only mistake. The Tigers and Hurricanes look to stake their final claim to a spot in the four-team College Football Playoff when they square off in the ACC Championship on Saturday in Charlotte, N.C.


Clemson’s national title defense seemingly took a hit with a 27-24 loss at Syracuse on Oct. 13, but the team has climbed back to the top of the College Football Playoff rankings with five straight victories, including a 34-10 rout of rival South Carolina last week. “Four quarters, man,” Clemson coach Dabo Swinney told reporters. “We're four quarters away from having a chance to go back to the playoff." The Hurricanes were in position to do the same before last week’s 24-14 loss at Pittsburgh ruined their bid for a perfect season. Miami slipped to No. 7 in the playoff rankings, meaning even with a win over the Tigers, it might need some help to get into the four-team field.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ABC. LINE: Clemson -9.5


ABOUT MIAMI (10-1, 7-1 ACC): As everyone knows thanks to their gaudy “turnover chain,” the Hurricanes thrive on takeaways – they have forced 29 turnovers while committing only 12. The defense has been up to virtually every challenge, but the question is whether the offense can bounce back from last week’s sub-par performance. The Hurricanes will be without two of their top three receivers as Ahmmon Richards tore the meniscus in his left knee during practice Wednesday and will need surgery, further depleting a corps that also lost tight end Christopher Herndon IV to a season-ending knee injury against Pitt.

ABOUT CLEMSON (11-1, 7-1): One of the nation’s top defenses did it again last week, holding the Gamecocks to 207 total yards – the seventh time this season the Tigers have allowed fewer than 250, including each of the last three contests. The dominant defense overshadows an offense that ranks in the top 25 nationally in total yards (459 per game) and scoring (35.2 points). Leading rusher Travis Etienne (720 yards, 12 touchdowns) is nursing a leg injury, but even if he’s not 100 percent, the Tigers have plenty of weapons beginning with quarterback Kelly Bryant, who has passed for 2,426 yards with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions while rushing for 639 yards and 10 scores.


EXTRA POINTS

1. Clemson has won 55 straight games when holding opponents under 23 points, a streak that dates to 2010.

2. Miami QB Malik Rosier has accounted for 30 touchdowns (25 pass, five rush), matching Vinny Testaverde’s school record set during his Heisman Trophy season of 1986.

3. The Tigers have won a school-record 10 straight games against top-25 opponents.


PREDICTION: Clemson 27, Miami 20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 7 Miami vs No. 1 Clemson.
ATS Trends
Miami

Hurricanes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Hurricanes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.

Clemson

Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.
Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in December.
Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Tigers are 6-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Tigers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Tigers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
Tigers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Tigers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.

OU Trends
Miami

Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games in December.
Under is 4-0 in Hurricanes last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 5-0 in Hurricanes last 5 neutral site games.
Under is 8-1 in Hurricanes last 9 games overall.
Under is 8-1 in Hurricanes last 9 games on grass.
Under is 7-1 in Hurricanes last 8 conference games.
Under is 6-1 in Hurricanes last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Hurricanes last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-2 in Hurricanes last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

Clemson

Under is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Under is 5-1-1 in Tigers last 7 conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 games overall.
Under is 6-2-1 in Tigers last 9 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Tigers last 8 games following a straight up win.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games in December.

Head to Head

Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Hurricanes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, December 2, 2017
Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

Preview: Ohio State vs. Wisconsin
Gracenote
Nov 29, 2017

Despite being the lone remaining power-conference school with an unblemished record and boasting the top defense in the country, No. 3 Wisconsin is finding respect hard to come by because of a relatively light schedule. The Badgers will get one last shot at improving their resume in hopes they can lock down a spot in the College Football Playoff when they meet seventh-ranked Ohio State on Saturday in the Big Ten Championship game in Indianapolis.

None of Wisconsin's first 12 wins this season have come against opponents who finished the regular season ranked in the coaches' poll, which has consistently been the major argument keeping the Big Ten West champions from seeing its name listed among the top four teams in the CFP rankings before securing the No. 4 spot Tuesday. While losses from the top two teams in the last CFP poll - Alabama and Miami (Fla.) - over Thanksgiving weekend certainly helped their cause in that regard, the Badgers took care of business on their end and completed their first unbeaten regular season since 1912 following a 31-0 rout of Minnesota last Saturday. The Buckeyes, who are seventh in the CFP, are headed to the Big Ten Championship for the first time since crushing Wisconsin 59-0 in 2014 en route to winning the inaugural CFP national championship. Ohio State has won three straight since getting pummeled 55-24 at Iowa on Nov. 4 to keep its playoff hopes alive and defeated arch-rival Michigan 31-20 last weekend.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Ohio State -6.5

ABOUT OHIO STATE (10-2, 8-1 Big Ten): J.T. Barrett (2,728 yards passing, 672 yards rushing and 42 total touchdowns) is listed as probable for the championship game after he aggravated a cartilage injury in his right knee before and during this last weekend's victory over the Wolverines. Before leaving the game for good in the third quarter, Barrett joined Dan LeFevour of Central Michigan (2006-09) as the only players in FBS history to throw for 100 TDs and run for 40 more. Freshman J.K. Dobbins (1,190 yards rushing) spearheads the conference's top-ranked ground attack (250.3 yards), while sophomore Mike Weber (602) has run for 109 yards per game over his last three outings and leads the Buckeyes with 10 rushing TDs, half of which have come during the winning streak.

ABOUT WISCONSIN (12-0, 9-0): Running back and Doak Walker Award finalist Jonathan Taylor ranks third in FBS with a Big Ten-best 1,805 rushing yards and needs only 120 over the remainder of the season to break the FBS freshman record held by Oklahoma's Adrian Peterson set in 2004. Butkus Award finalist T.J. Edwards (67 tackles - 45 solo and 11 for loss - and four interceptions) and cornerback Nick Nelson (school-record 20 pass breakups) were honored as consensus all-conference selections Tuesday and lead the top total defense in FBS (236.9 yards allowed). Sophomore quarterback Alex Hornibrook is 19-2 as a starter and ended an eight-game streak of throwing an interception against Minnesota, finishing 15-of-19 for 151 yards and three touchdowns.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Wisconsin is only the seventh team in the modern era of the Big Ten (since 1946) to begin a season 12-0, although all seven instances have occurred over the last 23 years.

2. Dobbins is 48 yards shy of breaking Maurice Clarett’s school rushing record by a freshman of 1,237 yards (2002).

3. The Badgers have outscored opponents 226-58 in the second half this season and 192-86 before intermission.

PREDICTION: Wisconsin 31, Ohio State 23

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 7 Ohio State vs No. 3 Wisconsin

ATS Trends
Ohio State

Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
Buckeyes are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Buckeyes are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Wisconsin

Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Badgers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Badgers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Badgers are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Badgers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games.

OU Trends
Ohio State

Over is 8-0 in Buckeyes last 8 games following a straight up win.
Over is 9-1 in Buckeyes last 10 conference games.
Over is 8-1 in Buckeyes last 9 games overall.
Over is 8-1 in Buckeyes last 9 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-1 in Buckeyes last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-1 in Buckeyes last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-2 in Buckeyes last 8 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 35-17 in Buckeyes last 52 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Wisconsin

Over is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games in December.
Under is 4-1 in Badgers last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 7-2 in Badgers last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 12-5-1 in Badgers last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Over is 9-4 in Badgers last 13 conference games.

Head to Head

Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Wisconsin.
Home team is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
Buckeyes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting action very heavy as NCAAF Championship Week pointspreads hit the board
Patrick Everson

“The Badgers are undefeated. Buckeyes signal caller J.T. Barrett is banged up. Wisconsin covered the number in four straight. No wonder 67 percent of early bettors are on the Badgers and the points.”

Conference championship week has arrived in college football, which could lead to easy decisions or utter chaos for the committee deciding on the four-team College Football Playoff. All we’re concerned with is the betting angle on these games. So with that, here’s a look at the opening lines and early action on the Power Five conference finals, with insights from Dave Mason, brand manager for offshore sportsbook BetOnline.ag.

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers (-2.5)

Auburn had a fantastic finish to the regular season, charting two impressive home wins, over an unbeaten Georgia squad in Week 11, then another unbeaten in Alabama in Week 13. The Tigers (10-2 SU, 6-4-2 ATS) bested ‘Bama 26-14 Saturday as a 6-point home underdog, two weeks after upending Georgia 40-17 catching 2.5 points at home.

The upset of the Tide gives Auburn a rematch against Georgia, with the winner of the SEC title game assuredly in the CFP. The Bulldogs (11-1 SU, 8-4 ATS) bounced back from the loss to the Tigers with blowout wins the last two weeks. Georgia rolled Kentucky 42-13 as a 23.5-point home chalk, then dumped host Georgia Tech 38-7 laying 11.5 points on Saturday.

“No surprise that the SEC championship is taking on more bets than any other game on the betting board,” Mason said. “As a matter of fact, there are twice as many bets on this game than the second-most-bet-game – the ACC championship. After knocking off No. 1 Alabama last week and then-No. 1 Georgia with ease a few weeks ago, 68 percent of early bettors are on Auburn minus the points.”

That helped move the line to Auburn -3.

Miami Hurricanes vs. Clemson Tigers (-7.5)

Miami had a great chance to enter the ACC final undefeated, but stubbed its toe badly in Week 13. The Hurricanes (10-1 SU, 5-6 ATS) went to Pittsburgh as a 12-point fave and barely even scored a dozen points, losing 24-14.

Clemson won five in a row SU following its shocking loss at Syracuse, and cashed in its last three games. On Saturday, the Tigers (11-1 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) coasted past South Carolina 34-10 giving 12.5 points on the road.

“With Miami losing its first game of the year, in addition to Clemson covering each of its last three games, it’s not surprising that 82 percent of early bettors are on the defending champs,” Mason said. “Tons of early action, as this is the second-most-bet game so far.”

That helped jack up this line from the opener of Clemson -7.5 to -9 by Sunday night.

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers (+6.5)

Wisconsin got through the regular season unscathed and now hopes to lock up a CFP bid in the Big Ten final. The Badgers (12-0 SU, 8-4 ATS) dispatched Minnesota 31-0 as a hefty 18.5-point favorite Saturday.

Ohio State is hoping to win this week and sneak into the CFP despite having two losses, including a 55-14 shellacking at Iowa, where Urban Meyer’s troops were 21-point faves on Nov. 4. The Buckeyes (10-2 SU, 5-7 ATS) outlasted archrival Michigan 31-20 on Saturday, but fell short of cashing as 12.5-point chalk.

“The Badgers are undefeated. Buckeyes signal caller J.T. Barrett is banged up. Wisconsin covered the number in four straight. OSU is 1-4 ATS in its last five,” Mason said. “No wonder 67 percent of early bettors are on the Badgers and the points.”

Based on that action, the line ticked down to Ohio State -6.

Texas Christian Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners (-6)

After a shocking home loss to Iowa State, Oklahoma won seven in a row to reach the Big 12 title game, with the last five victories all by 18 points or more. The Sooners (11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) went off as 23-point favorites Saturday at West Virginia and won 59-31.

Texas Christian also lost to Iowa State, though on the road, and TCU’s second loss came at Oklahoma on Nov. 11, 38-20 as a 6-point pup. The Horned Frogs (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) bounced back with two easy wins, including Saturday at home against Baylor, 45-22 as a heavy 24.5-point chalk.

“Considering that the Sooners have covered in four out of their last five, including the win over TCU a few weeks back, it’s not surprising that the majority of early bettors are on Oklahoma,” Mason said, noting the line moved to Sooners -6.5. “This is by far the most-lopsided-bet game so far, as the bet count is about 20/1 in favor of Oklahoma.”

Stanford Cardinal vs. Southern California Trojans (-3.5)

Even with a win this week in the Pac-12 title game, Southern Cal has virtually no chance of reaching the CFP. The Trojans (10-2 SU) have been among the worst spread-covering outfits in the nation, which they demonstrated again in their Nov. 18 regular-season finale, a 28-23 win over UCLA as a 14.5-point home favorite.

Stanford has absolutely no shot at the CFP, but did finish the regular season with style. The Cardinal, who won a tiebreaker with Washington to reach the Pac-12 final, dumped Notre Dame 38-20 getting 3 points at home Saturday night.

“After opening USC -3.5, early bettors took the points with Stanford, and the line moved very quickly to the Trojans as field-goal favorites,” Mason said. “Since the line movement, more bets are on USC, with only 30 percent of the bettors taking Stanford. This lopsided bet count is a little surprising, since the public didn’t back USC too much during the second half of the season. Perhaps the Trojans’ 42-24 thrashing of the Cardinal back in September is still on the minds of the masses. Of the Power Five conference championship games, this one is getting the fewest bets by far.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College football's biggest betting mismatches: Championship week edition
Monty Andrews

TCU's Kenny Hill was one of the most accurate passers in the nation in 2017, completing two-thirds of his attempts while throwing multiple interceptions just once all season.

Pac-12 Championship

Stanford Cardinal vs. USC Trojans (-3, 57.5)

Cardinal's ball-hawking prowess vs. Trojans' turnover troubles

Things looked bleak early in the season for Stanford, but wins in eight of their final nine games have the Cardinal facing the USC Trojans for Pac-12 supremacy this Friday night. Stanford running back Bryce Love might be on the outside looking in for the Heisman Trophy, but it was still a sensational season for the 5-10 dynamo, who racked up nearly 1,900 yards on the ground. But the focus here isn't on Love: rather, it's on the significant advantage Stanford has in the turnover department.

Stanford has one of the most dangerous secondaries in the nation, finishing the regular season tied for 10th among FBS teams in interceptions (16). Combine that with eight fumble recoveries in 12 games, and the Cardinal finished tied for 11th in total turnovers gained with 24. Stanford won the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin in last weekend's 38-20 victory over the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and forced two turnovers in their earlier meeting with the Trojans, a 42-24 setback in their second game of the season.

USC dominated that initial matchup despite losing the turnover battle, but will need to be better in that department if it hopes for a similar result this Friday. The Trojans finished outside the top 100 nationally in total turnovers allowed with 22 - 10 fumbles lost and 12 interceptions. USC turned the ball over a combined five times in its two regular-season losses to Washington and Notre Dame - and if it can't do a better job against the Cardinal, it could have one more loss on its 2017 ledger.

Big 12 Championship

Oklahoma Sooners vs. TCU Horned Frogs (+7, 62.5)

Sooners' so-so pass defense vs. cool Kenny Hill

TCU will have revenge on its mind Saturday afternoon as the Horned Frogs square off against the Oklahoma Sooners for the Big 12 Championship. The Sooners racked up 38 first-half points en route to a 38-20 triumph over the Horned Frogs back on Nov. 11, part of a seven-game winning streak that has Oklahoma in the mix for the national title. But to get there, the Sooners will need to be better in the pass defense department - and they should get a stiff test this weekend from TCU quarterback Kenny Hill.

Oklahoma doesn't have many weaknesses, but its QB pressure and overall secondary performance represent areas that could use some improvement. The Sooners finished in the lower half among FBS teams in sacks per game at 1.92, and intercepted just seven passes all season; only 21 teams had fewer INTs. Oklahoma didn't let those deficiencies prevent them from emerging as the team to beat in the Big 12, but it could be a different story this weekend.

Only five teams threw fewer interceptions than the Horned Frogs this season, who had just five INTs in 12 games. Hill was one of the most accurate passers in the nation in 2017, completing two-thirds of his attempts while throwing multiple interceptions just once all season. Oklahoma limited him to 13-of-28 passing in one of his rare off games, but he still racked up 270 yards and a touchdown in that encounter - and if he's given time to operate this weekend, TCU will make a game of it.

SEC Championship

Georgia Bulldogs vs. Auburn Tigers (-2.5, 49)

Georgia's red-zone rampage vs. Auburn's downfield defensive problems

One of the weekend's marquee matchups pits SEC East champion Georgia against SEC West champ Auburn. The Tigers injected themselves into the national title picture with last weekend's 24-16 triumph over the formerly top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide, and will lock up a spot in the College Football Playoff semifinal with a victory over the Bulldogs. But it won't be an easy encounter this weekend, with Georgia boasting the top red-zone scoring offense in the nation.

The Bulldogs are known for boasting one of the country's top defenses - ranking fifth among FBS in scoring defense (13.8 points per game), but they were as tenacious as any team in Division I when they reached the opponent's 20-yard line, scoring 33 touchdowns and adding 11 field goals in 45 total trips - good for an absurd 97.8-percent success rate. Twenty-three of those TDs came courtesy the run - no surprise, considering that RBs Nick Chubb and Sony Michel combined for 26 rushing scores this season.

Auburn didn't allow many red-zone chances this season - teams reached the Tigers' 20-yard line just 26 times all season. But the Tigers were below-average when it came to allowing points on those red-zone opportunities, permitting opponents to score 84.6 percent of the time. Like Georgia, Auburn is one of the top defensive teams in Division I - but if the Bulldogs get inside the Tigers' 20, it could spell major problems for them in what is expected to be a tightly-contested affair.

ACC Championship

Clemson Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes (+9.5, 47.5)

Clemson's third-down dominance vs. Miami's drive-extension woes

Clemson is in the enviable position of holding down the nation's No. 1 seed heading into the final game before the College Football Playoff participants are chosen. That makes the goal for this weekend simple: Win the ACC championship game against the Coastal Division-champion Miami Hurricanes, and you're in. And to that end, Clemson will look to take advantage of a sizeable edge when it comes to the Hurricanes facing third down situations.

Clemson forced more than its share of punts during the regular season, ranking sixth in the country in third-down conversion rate against at 28.6 percent. Prior to South Carolina's 6-of-15 performance on third down last week, the Tigers held its previous four opponents - Georgia Tech, N.C. State, Florida State and the Citadel - to a combined 13-for-58 on third-down chances. It's no wonder that the Tigers racked up 27 punt returns on the season, ranking in the top 10 nationally.

Miami overcame a difficult start to the season - at least from a weather perspective - to reel off 10 consecutive victories before dropping a 24-14 stunner to host Pittsburgh last weekend. And you could make the case that the Hurricanes' third-down struggles finally caught up with them; they went just 4-of-15 in that situation against the Panthers, and rank 121st out of 129 FBS teams in overall third-down conversion rate (30.7 percent). More struggles this weekend could mean disaster for Miami.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 2

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IDAHO (3 - 8) at GEORGIA ST (6 - 4) - 12/2/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
IDAHO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 1-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 6) at APPALACHIAN ST (7 - 4) - 12/2/2017, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GA SOUTHERN (2 - 9) at COASTAL CAROLINA (2 - 9) - 12/2/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TROY (9 - 2) at ARKANSAS ST (7 - 3) - 12/2/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TROY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S ALABAMA (4 - 7) at NEW MEXICO ST (5 - 6) - 12/2/2017, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 91-122 ATS (-43.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 43-71 ATS (-35.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTH TEXAS (9 - 3) at FLA ATLANTIC (9 - 3) - 12/2/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (10 - 1) at UCF (11 - 0) - 12/2/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 76-104 ATS (-38.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AKRON (7 - 5) vs. TOLEDO (10 - 2) - 12/2/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 83-56 ATS (+21.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (11 - 1) vs. AUBURN (10 - 2) - 12/2/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-1 against the spread versus AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-1 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (9 - 3) at BOISE ST (9 - 3) - 12/2/2017, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 139-101 ATS (+27.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 139-101 ATS (+27.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 97-71 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 88-58 ATS (+24.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
FRESNO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
FRESNO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 1-0 straight up against BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (10 - 1) vs. CLEMSON (11 - 1) - 12/2/2017, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (10 - 2) vs. WISCONSIN (12 - 0) - 12/2/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 182-140 ATS (+28.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 182-140 ATS (+28.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 119-90 ATS (+20.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 165-126 ATS (+26.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 68-43 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 1-0 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MASSACHUSETTS (4 - 7) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (7 - 4) - 12/2/2017, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (4 - 7) at FLORIDA ST (5 - 6) - 12/2/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (10 - 2) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 1) - 12/2/2017, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 2-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 3-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Conference Championship Week

Trend Report

Friday, December 1

STANFORD @ SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Stanford is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Stanford's last 8 games
Southern California is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern California's last 6 games


Saturday, December 2

MASSACHUSETTS @ FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Massachusetts is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Massachusetts is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida International is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games

LOUISIANA-MONROE @ FLORIDA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 20 games
Florida State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Florida State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

NORTH TEXAS @ FLORIDA ATLANTIC
North Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

AKRON @ TOLEDO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Akron's last 10 games
Akron is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Toledo is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Toledo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

MEMPHIS @ CENTRAL FLORIDA
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Central Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

TEXAS CHRISTIAN @ OKLAHOMA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas Christian's last 8 games
Texas Christian is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas Christian

GEORGIA SOUTHERN @ COASTAL CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games on the road
Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 6 games
Coastal Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games

IDAHO @ GEORGIA STATE
Idaho is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Idaho's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia State's last 5 games at home

LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE @ APPALACHIAN STATE
Louisiana-Lafayette is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Appalachian State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Appalachian State is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

GEORGIA @ AUBURN
Georgia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Georgia is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Auburn
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Auburn's last 9 games

SOUTH ALABAMA @ NEW MEXICO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of South Alabama's last 8 games
South Alabama is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 7 games

TROY @ ARKANSAS STATE
Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Troy is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Troy

FRESNO STATE @ BOISE STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games
Fresno State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Fresno State
Boise State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

MIAMI-FL @ CLEMSON
Miami-FL is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami-FL's last 9 games
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami-FL

WISCONSIN @ OHIO STATE
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wisconsin is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
Ohio State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Conference Championship Week


Friday, December 1

Stanford @ USC

Game 303-304
December 1, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
97.609
USC
107.080
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 9 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 3 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(-3 1/2); Over


Saturday, December 2

Idaho @ Georgia State

Game 305-306
December 2, 2017 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Idaho
63.523
Georgia State
70.865
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia State
by 7 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 5
46
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(-5); Under

LA-Lafayette @ Appalachian St

Game 307-308
December 2, 2017 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
68.046
Appalachian St
79.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 11 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 15
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(+15); Over

Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina

Game 309-310
December 2, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
65.641
Coastal Carolina
71.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Coastal Carolina
by 5 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 3
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
(+3); Under

Troy @ Arkansas St

Game 311-312
December 2, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Troy
83.135
Arkansas St
85.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 2 1/2
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
Pick
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
Over

South Alabama @ New Mexico St

Game 313-314
December 2, 2017 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
60.552
New Mexico St
76.153
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Mexico St
by 15 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Mexico St
by 9 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico St
(-9 1/2); Under

North Texas @ Florida Atlantic

Game 315-316
December 2, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
79.001
Florida Atlantic
92.421
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 13 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 10
74 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(-10); Under

Memphis @ Central Florida

Game 317-318
December 2, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
94.986
Central Florida
105.575
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 10 1/2
83
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 7
81
Dunkel Pick:
Central Florida
(-7); Over

Akron @ Toledo

Game 319-320
December 2, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
73.871
Toledo
90.486
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 16 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 21 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(+21 1/2); Over

Georgia @ Auburn

Game 321-322
December 2, 2017 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
110.590
Auburn
110.477
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
Even
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 2 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(+2 1/2); Over

Fresno State @ Boise State

Game 323-324
December 2, 2017 @ 7:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
88.835
Boise State
94.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 5 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 9 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(+9 1/2); Over

Miami-FL @ Clemson

Game 325-326
December 2, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
103.351
Clemson
110.378
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 7
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 9 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(+9 1/2); Over

Ohio State @ Wisconsin

Game 327-328
December 2, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio State
119.978
Wisconsin
105.630
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 14 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 6
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-6); Under

Massachusetts @ FIU

Game 329-330
December 2, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
77.290
FIU
79.616
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
FIU
by 2 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
Pick
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
Over

LA-Monroe @ Florida State

Game 331-332
December 2, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Monroe
74.509
Florida State
93.316
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 19
85
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 27
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Monroe
(+27); Over

TCU @ Oklahoma

Game 333-334
December 2, 2017 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
106.560
Oklahoma
111.591
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 5
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 7
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(+7); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Conference Championship Week

Weekend’s 13 best games
Pac-12 title game, Santa Clara, CA
USC didn’t have bye week all season, but had last week off, so they should be well-rested here. Stanford played rival Cal/Notre Dame last two weeks; they won last three games- three of their last five games were decided by 3 or less points. USC ran ball for 307 yards in 42-24 home win over Stanford Sept 9, just their 3rd win in last ten games with the Cardinal. Stanford beat USC 41-22 in Pac-12 title game two years ago, which was Trojans’ only appearance in this game. Pac-12 North teams are 6-0 vs Pac-12 South teams in this event, with Stanford 3-0, winning by 3-24-19 points. Stanford is 1-2 vs spread as an underdog this year; USC is 4-7 as a favorite.

Idaho was +6 in turnovers, hammered Georgia State 37-12 at home LY, in teams’ first meeting. This is Vandals’ last I-A football game; they drop down to I-AA next year. Idaho lost its last three games, scoring total of 17 points in last two- they’re 4-1 vs spread as road underdogs this year, losing away games by 9-47-3-7 points, with win at So Alabama. Georgia State won three of its last four games, with wins by 8-4-3 points. Panthers are 1-1-1 vs spread as a favorite this year. Under is 7-1 in last eight Idaho games, 4-1 in State’s last five games.

UL-Lafayette lost three of last five games; they allowed 50-34-34 points in last three. Cajuns are 1-5 when they allow 220+ rushing yards- they’re 2-3-1 as road underdogs this year. Appalachian State won its last two games 27-6/31-10, running ball for 579 yards; ASU won all three of its games vs ULL, winning by 24-21-19 points (2-1 vs spread). Mountaineers are 2-1 as home favorites this season. Last three ULL games went over the total; under is 5-3-1 in last nine ASU games. Sun Belt home favorites are 9-15 vs spread this season.

Georgia Southern won its last two games after an 0-9 start, scoring 86 points; they covered four of last five games. Eagles are favored over a I-A team for first time this season- they’re 0-5 on road this year, with 27-6 loss the closest of the five games. Coastal Carolina is 2-9 in its first year of I-A football, beating Idaho LW after a 9-game losing streak. Chanticleers scored 17 or less points in three of their last four games- they’re 1-3 at home this year, beating UMass in opener. Four of last six Coastal games went over total; over is 7-2 in last nine GSU games.

Arkansas State won its last four games with Troy, scoring 35+ points in all four games. Troy lost its opener at Boise State, then won nine of last 10 games, losing as an 18-point favorite to South Alabama. Trojans won their last four road games, including a SU win at LSU. Arkansas State won six of its last seven games, with only loss to USA; Red Wolves are 3-0 at home, thanks to a home game with Miami being cancelled by the hurricane in September. Three of last four Troy games went over total; four of last five ASU games stayed under.

C-USA title game. Boca Raton
Florida Atlantic ran ball for 447 yards, passed for 357 more in 69-31 thrashing of North Texas Oct 21, in game that was 41-7 at half- that was FAU’s first win in last five tries vs North Texas, but tams’ previous meeting was in 2014. FAU won its last eight games, seven by 18+ points; they’re 6-2 vs spread in last eight games. North Texas is 5-0 wince the loss at FAU; they’re 4-2 vs spread as an underdog this season. Over is 5-2 in last seven FAU games, 6-3 in Mean Green’s last nine. FAU ran ball for 318+ yards in five of last seven games.

AAC title game, Orlando
Central Florida ran ball for 350 yards, gained 603 yards and pounded Memphis 40-13 Sept 30; Knights are 10-0 vs Memphis, 2-3 vs spread in last five. Memphis is 7-0 since the UCF loss, 6-1 vs spread- they scored 41+ points in last five games. UCF won wild 49-42 game with USF last week, when Bulls tied game in last 2:00, but UCF ran ensuing kickoff back for GW score. UCF covered only once in its last five games- they’re 3-0 vs spread this year when spread was single digits. Six of last eight UCF games, four of last five Memphis games went over total.

MAC title game, Ford Field, Detroit
Toledo ran ball for 303 yards, pounded Akron 48-21 at home Oct 21. Rockets covered six of last seven games overall- they won six of last eight games with Zips, beating them 48-17 LY. Toledo is 7-3 vs spread as a favorite this season. Akron won three of last four games since the Toledo loss; Zips are 3-3 vs spread as a double digit underdog this season. Akron was held to 17 or less points in four of its five losses. Under is 9-2 in Akron games this season, 3-1 in last four Toledo games. This is first MAC title game since ’05 for Zips, ’04 for Toledo.

SEC title game, Atlanta
Auburn beat Georgia 40-17 Nov 11, outgaining Dawgs 488-230, running ball for 237 yards; Tigers are only 3-9 in last 12 games vs Georgia. Auburn won its last five games overall- they won Iron Bowl last week, have to bounce back here with another strong effort. Georgia’s 20-19 win at Notre Dame in September is only game they played all year that was decided by less than 14 points- their loss to Auburn is their only loss this season. Dawgs lost SEC title game in 2011-12; they last won it in 2005. Auburn won its last appearance here, over Missouri in 2013.

Mountain West title game, Boise
Fresno State (+6.5) upset Boise 28-17 at home last Saturday; Bulldogs won eight of last nine games after losing at Alabama/Washington in September. Fresno won its last four games overall, allowing 14.5 ppg- they’re 5-0 vs spread as an underdog. Boise State had won seven in a row before last week; Broncos are 4-1 vs spread this year in games with single-digit spread. Boise is in Mountain West title game for first time in three years; Fresno won it in 2013, lost it the next year. Under is 7-0-1 in last eight Fresno games, over is 3-2 in last five Boise games.

ACC title game, Charlotte
Clemson beat Miami 58-0 in teams’ last meeting two years ago; Tigers won ACC title game last two years, 45-37/42-35. Hurricanes are in this game for first time- ‘canes lost at Pitt LW, but still have shot at national playoff. Miami is 4-1 vs spread in games where spread was single digits. Clemson won its last five games since their loss at Syracuse, when QB Bryant got hurt- they covered last three games, Tigers are 3-0 vs spread in games with single-digit spread. Eight of last nine Miami games stayed under total; under is 6-2-1 in last nine Clemson games.

Big 14 title game, Indianapolis
Unbeaten Wisconsin gets into playoff with upset win here; Badgers held 11 of 12 opponents to 17 or less points- they’re underdog for first time this year. Wisconsin is in Big 14 title game for 5th time in seven years- they lost 59-0 to Ohio State three years, lost 38-31 to Penn State LY. Ohio State won last three games, outscoring foes 131-37; they beat rival Michigan 31-20 LW. Buckeyes haven’t been in Big 14 title game the last two years. Eight of last nine Ohio State games went over total; over is 7-5 in Wisconsin games.

Big 12 title game, Dallas
Oklahoma (-6) beat TCU 38-20 at home three weeks ago- game was 38-14 at the half. Sooners outgained TCU 533-424. Oklahoma won its last seven games since a 38-31 home loss to Iowa State Oct 7- they covered four of last five games. TCU is 3-2 in its last five games after a 7-0 start, losing to Iowa St/Sooners; Horned Frogs got senior QB Hill back from injury LW- he missed the Texas Tech game two weeks ago. Over is 6-4 in Sooners’ last ten games; seven of last eight TCU games stayed under. This is first Big X title game since 2010; Sooners won five of last seven Big X championship games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ohio State quarterback J.T. Barrett had arthroscopic knee surgery Sunday. WILL be able to play Saturday vs Wisconsin.
Line: Buckeyes -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College football conference championship game rematches: What's new and what's not
Ashton Grewal

Georgia gets a second crack at Auburn in the SEC Championship Game on Saturday afternoon three weeks to the day after it was thumped 40-17 at Jordan-Hare Stadium. Will the Dawgs bark back?

Conference championship week in college football this year is, to borrow a Yogi Berra line, like déjà vu all over again. Seven of the conference championship games this weekend are rematches of conference games from earlier this season.

Ashton Grewal examines the replays in the power conference title games to try and find out what’s changed for the teams involved since the last meeting, what’s the same, and what bettors should expect in the rematch.

SEC championship game

Teams: Auburn Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs
Odds: Auburn -2.5, over/under 49
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, Georgia (Neutral field)

Last game when and where: Week 11 at Auburn
Last game odds: Georgia -2.5, over/under 48
Last game result: Auburn 40 – Georgia 17

Story of the first game: Auburn held Georgia to a season-low 46 rushing yards on 32 carries while it gained 246 yards on the ground itself against one of the best run defenses in the country.

What’s different this time: A neutral field should help Georgia, as should the health of Auburn star running back Kerryon Johnson who hurt his shoulder in the Iron Bowl last weekend. Westgate SuperBook oddsmaker Ed Salmon says Johnson is worth about a half point to the spread. Vegas sees Auburn as the better team this time around.

What’s the same: The playoff stakes for the Tigers. Auburn had to win out in the regular season to have any shot at securing a place in the college football playoff and it will have to beat Georgia a second time to make it inside the top four rankings.

Georgia’s ATS dominance. The Bulldogs went right back to creaming the opposition after their setback against Auburn. UGA went 2-0 ATS after the game against Auburn and finished the season with an 8-4 mark against the spread.

Big 12 Championship Game

Teams: Texas Christian Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Odds: Oklahoma -7, over/under: 63.5
Location: AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas (Neutral field)

Last game when and where: Week 11 at Oklahoma
Last game odds: Oklahoma -6, 63.5
Last game result: Oklahoma 38 – TCU 20

Story of first game: The Sooners found the end zone in five of their first seven possessions and took a 38-14 lead into halftime. TCU played better in the second half but never got back in the game. Oklahoma ran for 200 yards on the ground against the third best rush defense in the country.

What’s different this time: The game will be played on a neutral field but it’s safe to assume Oklahoma’s fan base will travel better than TCU’s.

OU’s stock has gone up in the betting market while TCU’s has dropped since their first matchup. The books opened with the Sooners giving seven points in the Week 11 showdown and bettors backed the Frogs which brought the spread down to OU -6 by kickoff. This time, oddsmakers installed OU as 6.5-point chalk on a neutral field and the market is bringing the number up to a touchdown spread.

What’s the same: The Sooners’ dominance against Big 12 opposition. Lincoln Riley’s team averaged a 14.3- point differential per game in conference play. TCU’s offense is decent but not in the same league as Oklahoma.

Pac-12 Championship Game

Teams: Southern California Trojans vs. Stanford Cardinal
Odds: USC -4, over/under: 58.5
Location: Levi’s Stadium – Santa Clara, California (Neutral field)

Last game when and where: Week 2 at USC
Last game odds: USC -3.5, 54.5
Last game result: USC 42 – Stanford 24

Story of the first game: The Trojans converted 10 of their 12 third downs and racked up 307 rushing yards, 28 first downs and 623 total offensive yards. USC’s nine possessions ended in touchdowns (six), interceptions (two) or victory formation kneels (one).

What’s different this time: Stanford made a switch at QB when it elected to bench Keller Chryst for redshirt freshman K.J. Costello in Week 10. The Cardinal’s passing game has been more accurate with Costello under center and he’s coming off a four-TD-toss performance against the Fighting Irish.

The health of Stanford running back Bryce Love is the real question mark in this rematch. He was completely healthy in Week 2 but he’s been struggling with a sore ankle for the past few weeks.

What’s the same: It was a weird year in the Pac-12 and the winner of this game probably has no shot of making the college football playoff. But USC was the preseason favorite to win the conference and Stanford was the third choice behind USC and Washington.

Trojans quarterback Sam Darnold was picked off twice in the first game against Stanford and USC's turnover problems continued throughout the season. The Trojans averaged 1.8 giveaways per game which puts them in the bottom rung of teams in the country.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 7:30 PM ET, Saturday, December 2, 2017
Where: Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, Ohio

Matchup Edge

MEM	Edge in:	CLE
	Points Per Game
	Field Goal %
	Free Throw %
	Defense
	Rebounding
	Turn Overs
	Bench

Preview: Grizzlies at Cavaliers

Gracenote
Dec 2, 2017

The Cleveland Cavaliers attempt to stretch the NBA's longest active winning streak to 11 games when they host the sinking Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday. Cleveland's run is the franchise's best since a 12-gamer during the 2014-15 campaign, while the Grizzlies are looking to halt a 10-game skid - also currently the longest in the league.

The Cavaliers are averaging 112.5 points during their winning streak and are now beginning a stretch during which six of their next eight games are at home. LeBron James is off to a strong start - averages of 28 points, 8.5 assists and 8.1 rebounds - and was named Eastern Conference Player of the Month for October/November. The Grizzlies fired coach David Fizdale after the eighth consecutive loss and fell for the second time under interim coach J.B. Bickerstaff with Friday's 95-79 setback against San Antonio. Memphis' losing streak is the franchise's worst since it dropped 12 straight during the 2008-09 campaign.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FSN Southeast (Memphis), FSN Ohio (Cleveland)

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (7-14): Memphis has lost all eight games since point guard Mike Conley was lost with a left Achilles injury, and he told reporters on Friday that he probably will miss at least three more weeks. "It's tough," Conley said. "Anything that has to do with your heel takes longer to heal. I just have to give it time." Marc Gasol is under the microscope as he was benched for the fourth quarter of Fizdale's final game, and his rift with the former coach was at least partially to blame for the surprise firing.

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (15-7): Cleveland struggled over its first dozen games as it adjusted to the departure of high-scoring guard Kyrie Irving. The chemistry has improved with James leading the way, but veteran guard Dwyane Wade - one of the team's newcomers - cautions against the notion that the Cavaliers have hit their stride. "I don't think we're there yet, but it's definitely good," Wade told reporters. "You know, we was 5-7 at one point. Now we're 15-7. We're playing good basketball but even the games that we haven't played great, we found ways to win. We played great in certain moments of the game. So, we're not there yet from a standpoint of where we're watching and we're looking at the streak, but 10 in a row to end this month, it was a good win."

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The Grizzlies are 4-16 when visiting Cleveland.

2. Cavaliers G Iman Shumpert (left knee) underwent arthroscopic surgery on Friday and will miss six-to-eight weeks.

3. Memphis PF Brandan Wright (groin) departed Friday's contest and is doubtful to play against Cleveland.

PREDICTION: Cavaliers 116, Grizzlies 84