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Asa
7* Georgia Tech
7* Georgia Tech
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Re: 12-31-08
Nsa
CFB LSU vs Georgia Tech 7:30 20* LSU +4.5
CFB Minnesota vs Kansas 6:00 10* Minnesota +9
CFB Boston College vs Vanderbilt 3:30 10* Boston College -3.5
CFB Pittsburgh vs Oregon St 2:00 10* Oregon St -2.5
CFB Air Force vs Houston 12:00 10* Air Force +4
CBB Wisconsin @ Michigan 2:00 10* Wisconsin +2.5
NBA Orlando @ Chicago 2:05 10* Orlando -6.5 -
Re: 12-31-08
JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Vanderbilt (CFB) Music City Bowl – AiS shows an 87% probability that Vanderbilt will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and a 64% probability that they will win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 40-14 ATS for 74% since 1997. Play against neutral field favorites in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences and with an inexperienced QB as starter. Vanderbilt is not a strong passing team, but BC is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus poor passing teams averaging 5.75 or less passing yards/att. since 1992. Vanderbilt is in a series of strong angles noting they are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games after playing their last game on the road since 1992; 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992. Vanderbilt head coach Johnson is in a solid role noting he is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after playing their last game on the road. Let’s face it Vanderbilt’s 6-6 record is superior BS’ winning record. Vanderbilt came out of the SEC Conference where every week is a war of attrition. Moreover, Vanderbilt is playing in its’ first bowl game since 1982 and they have a significant reason to show the country that they belong in a bowl game on New Year’s Eve. The Vanderbilt program is on the rise and a win here would certainly go a long way for an even better recruiting season. Even better for the Commodores is that they are playing at LP Field, home of the NFL Titan, and just 3 or so miles away from the Vanderbilt University. A victory against the Eagles would give the Commodores their first winning season since 1982 and just their fourth seven-win season the past 50 years. BC does not have this type of motivation after losing to Va Tech in the ACC Championship game. A loss like that one, where the reward was a trip to the Orange Bowl singes for a long time and even after a month they could be quite flat. I also think the Vandy defense will be a significant factor in this game as well given their speed. BC is starting a redhirt freshmen at QB in Dominique Davis. He will make only his third career start for the Eagles with Chris Crane unable to return from a fractured collarbone. Davis was intercepted twice in the ACC title game. Vandy will get Jared Hawkins back, who is their lead rusher. But Jamie Graham, who also has played receiver, may get the start. Graham, a redshirt freshman who also plays on the basketball team, has his own goal. ``I'd rather my ring say champion rather than just Vanderbilt,' he said. That sums up the team’s focus. Take Vanderbilt for 15*.Comment
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Re: 12-31-08
JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 7* graded play OVER Air Force/Houston and a 3* OVER play on the first half line – AiS shows an 84% probability that 65 or more points will be scored in this game. This pits two different teams. Air Force runs the ball and Houston passes the ball and both will have large success against the respective defenses. AiS shows a 90% probability that Houston will gain a MINIMUM of 6.5 yards per play. Note that Houston is 13-4 OVER (+8.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 24-6 OVER for 80% since 2002. Play over with neutral field teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 in minor bowl games played in December. AF is a strong 9-2 OVER (+6.8 Units) versus good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better over the last 2 seasons. Houston is the nation’s most prolific offense averaging 575 yards and 41 points per game and the second leading passing attack. As we have seen so many times in years past, a poor defense nearly always accompanies a high powered offense. The reason is simple in that the defense has to play far more downs and far more time than if it was a more balanced team chemistry. AF will run the ball well and may actually throw more passes than normal – perhaps as many as 15 based on the AiS projections. AF is led by true freshman Tim Jefferson and he is the first AF QB in years that actually does possess a duel threat capability. So, look for him to pass earl in this game. Houston’s offense racked up 641 yards against Tulane, 700 against UTEP, and 634 against Rice in their last 3 games. This is a rematch from 9/13 where AF defeated Houston 31-28. With a touch of revenge added in, Houston will be looking to score on every possession and AF will keep stride with them. I also like the first half play on the total as well for 3* amount.Comment
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Re: 12-31-08
JOHN RYAN
Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Kansas as they face Minnesota in the Insight Bowl set to kick off at 6:00 EST.– Kansas has an 87% probability of scoring 35 or more points, gaining a minimum of 350 net passing yards in this game. Note that Minnesota is just 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play since 1992; 16-41 ATS (-29.1 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992. Kansas is a solid 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Kansas is also in a solid power type role for this game noting they are 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=120 rushing yards/game since 1992; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.Comment
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Re: 12-31-08
KELSO
3 Units Air Force (+3½) over Houston
12:00 PM -- Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter
Air Force by 3-4
Sunny. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 50.
3 Units Pittsburgh (+2½) over Oregon State
2:15 PM -- Brut Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, TX
Pittsburgh by 3-4
Sunny. Winds blowing from the Southeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.
3 Units Boston College (-3½) over Vanderbilt
3:30 PM -- Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl - LP Field, Nashvil
Boaton College by 7-10
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the North at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 40.
3 Units Kansas (-9) over Minnesota
6:00 PM -- Insight Bowl - Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Kansas by 13-14
Clear. Winds blowing from the East at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
College Bowl Power Play100 Units Georgia Tech (-4) over LSU
7:30 PM -- Chick-fil-A Bowl - Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Georgia Tech by 13-14Comment
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Re: 12-31-08
Bob Balfe
College Football
Air Force +3.5 over Houston
Two teams with different styles will face off this afternoon in the Armed Forces Bowl. Air Force runs the ball very well while Houston is great throwing the ball. Look for Air Force to keep the ball on the ground and to chew up the clock limiting the amount of time Houston get the ball. Air Force has a better defense and should throw off the timing of the Cougar offense. This is the Armed Forces Bowl. Houston doesn't have any army. Take Air Force.
Pittsburgh +2 over Oregon State
Oregon State will be remembered this year for the team that beat USC, but today will be without both Rogers brothers that account for a lot of their offense. Pittsburgh has a great running back in McCoy and should run the ball well. This should be a close game, but in the end the running game for Pitt should come out on top. Take the Panthers.
Boston College -3.5 over Vanderbilt
This is practically a home game for Vanderbilt, but this team did not play that well at home down the stretch and record wise jumped out of the gates early because they were beneficent of a lot of opponent turnovers. Boston College has won 8 straight bowl games and the only way Vanderbilt has a shot is if Boston College beats themselves. Look for BC to do enough to get their 9th straight bowl win.
Kansas -9 over Minnesota
Minnesota is a lot like Vanderbilt. This team started hot, but still has a long way to go. When you turn the ball over a lot it gets in your head that you are still that same old Gophers team. Kansas has a better offense and should put up a lot of points. Both defenses stink, but I do not see Minnesota trading points all night. One or two key turnovers will put this game out of reach. Take Kansas.
LSU +4 over GTech
LSU has been horrible against the spread this year while GTech has covered a lot for the public. These trends have a way of balancing out especially in bowl games. This game is being played in the Georgia Dome and we will see just how much speed LSU has. The Tigers have superior athletes and should slow down the high powered running game of the Yellow Jackets. LSU will make up for a very disappointing season tonight.
NBA Basketball
Magic -6 over Bulls
NCAA Basketball
DePaul +7.5 over Notre DameComment
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