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1-Unit Play. Take #519 Western Kentucky (-1.5) over Ohio (2 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 10)
I watched Ohio play at Maryland this week and was less than impressed. This team has no size and their guard play is solid, but not spectacular. The Bobcats already have a home loss to Iona so they are not as unbeatable as they once were in their own gym. Western Kentucky won this matchup last year and now they are much better this season, with a serious influx of talent for Rick Stansbury. This WKU team already has wins over SMU and Purdue, two Top 25 teams. This is their first true road game and they will certainly meet resistance. But these guys look good out of the gate and I'll back their talent and momentum against this short line.
1-Unit Play. Take #526 Purdue (-27) over IUPUI (7 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 10)
2-Unit Play. Take #530 South Dakota (-11.5) over Eastern Washington (2 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 10)
We hit with South Dakota over Drake the last time out. We will go back to the well here. This team is rock solid and they can score against anyone, especially a team that doesn't play much defense (like EWU). Eastern Washington has been on the road for a month. This is going to make nine games in a row that they've been on the road. They have a new coach, several new starters, and they haven't had much success, so I don't imagine that morale is very high. The Eagles have been blown out by 16, 19 and 10 points their last three times out and this team has been awful offensively. South Dakota's last three wins have been by 28, 19 and 28 points. I will look for another blowout.
4-Unit Play. Take #535 Missouri State (-12.5) over Oral Roberts (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 10)
Oral Roberts is awful. They are a fringe D-I team at best and these guys are just going to repeatedly get rolled. They lost at UNLV by 26 and then came home and lost to a D-II team by eight. There's no reason they shouldn't get wrecked here. Missouri State looks like one of the top teams in the Missouri Valley. They've won their last seven games and every win has been by double-digits, including a 20-point win at South Dakota State and a 13-point win at North Dakota State, two tricky places to get a win. Oral Roberts is allowing teams to make nearly 50 percent of their shots on the season. Missouri State has been hot and they are far and away the better team in this one.
2-Unit Play. Take #538 Northern Kentucky (-15) over Eastern Kentucky (6 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 10)
NKU is coming off a really ugly loss at East Tennessee State. I think these guys are going to be pissed off and they will want to take it out on an in-state rival. Eastern Kentucky already lost to Western Kentucky by 32 and EKU is just not the same program that it was a few seasons ago. EKU has also been routed by Eastern Washington and Prairie View, and their lone win this month came in overtime over Jacksonville. Northern Kentucky is a team that shoots the ball very well, especially in their own gym, where they are making 49.2 percent of their shots overall and 40 percent of their 3-pointers. NKU is 25-10 ATS in its last 35 games and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games.
6-Unit Play. #528. Take Under 155.5 Gonzaga vs. Washington (Sunday @ 8pm est)
We roll with the Under here as like the fact that Gonzaga comes off a rare loss to Villanova and by 16 points at that, it's a great opportunity for them to bounce-back defensively which is typically what they do after a loss. Plus, this Washington taem has a new coach, new defensive scheme and just beat Kansas away from home which is fantastic and they remember giving up 90+ points in their last game so this is a great opportunity for them to step up defensively against a Gonzaga team to test their benchmark as to how far they have come. This is a great public fade as well and as Gonzaga comes off a loss and Washington comes off a huge win, this is a let down offensively for them, we like this game to likely go under the posted total today.
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