Thursday 12-7-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 05:57 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $60000 Class Rating: 84

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 BOGULATOR 5/2

# 5 TANZANIA ROAD 5/1

# 6 GREATREVIEWS 6/1

BOGULATOR is the top bet in this race. With a very good 89 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this contest. Is a strong contender based on figs earned recently under today's conditions. The class fig of today's contest is much lower than her last affair. TANZANIA ROAD - Is difficult not to examine given the company run in lately. Should best this group here, showing strong figs of late. GREATREVIEWS - Mott has this filly moving well and is a respectable choice based on the very strong Equibase speed figs recorded in route races recently. Must be given a shot here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 05:58 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Fair Grounds - Race #4 - Post: 2:34pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: 3

#8 AMERICAN HALO (ML=3/1)
#1 HAYNESFEST (ML=9/2)
#3 DOT NOTATION (ML=8/1)

AMERICAN HALO - The jockey and trainer combination have a lucrative ROI when they work together. The Oct 11th affair at Keeneland was at a class level of (88). Dropping to a lower level drastically, so she should be in a good position. HAYNESFEST - I know she'll be way back, but she's got a terrific move at the top of the stretch. Beschizza and Sharp perform well when they unite. It's hard to beat a +21 return on investment for a rider and handler. I expect a lot from this race horse. Her speed ratings under similar conditions are tops in this field. DOT NOTATION - This horse looks like a possible overlay right here in this race at M/L odds of 8/1. Finished fifth in last race at Delaware Park but was close at the end. Earned a nice turf fig on October 5th at Delaware Park. A repeat in this field, and this one has a great shot to win. I like the fact that this filly's last speed fig, 63, is tops in this field. It is my opinion that fillys run better the 2nd time they get Lasix. Schultz puts this filly on it for the second time today, so give this one a look.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ANGELINTHEMORNING (ML=7/2), #4 HIGHSNOBITY (ML=8/1), #9 SPANISH ANGEL (ML=8/1),

ANGELINTHEMORNING - Not a good 'fit' in this race. HIGHSNOBITY - Not the best 'spot' in this race. SPANISH ANGEL - Not probable that the speed fig she garnered on Nov 10th will hold up in this event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#8 AMERICAN HALO is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,3,8] with [1,3,8] with [1,3,7,8,9] with [1,3,7,8,9] Total Cost: $36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 05:58 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #3 - Post: 1:45pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 96

Rating: 3

#6 BLUE'S LUCKY GIRL (ML=8/1)
#4 SEA MISTRESS (ML=9/2)
#5 ASTRA STAR (ML=4/1)
#1 EMMA NAMED ME (ML=5/1)

BLUE'S LUCKY GIRL - Delia has this mare placed in the perfect event. SEA MISTRESS - Finished fifth at Golden Gate Fields last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 9/2 in this race, she looks like a possible contender. Ranked numero uno in earnings per race. Another indicator that this horse is the class of the field. ASTRA STAR - Antongeorgi and his horse make quite a duet. Together they've been winning at a clip of 80 percent. Finished out of the money last out at Golden Gate Fields, but was within 5 lengths of the winner. Opening at 4/1 makes me think she's got a chance. Multiple wins over the surface right here at Golden Gate Fields. Maybe, another trip to the winner's circle right here. Last race out, finished fourth on the soft turf at Golden Gate Fields. Expect better in this field. This racer loves the track here at Golden Gate Fields. EMMA NAMED ME - This thoroughbred coming off a solid race in the last 30 days is a strong challenger in my opinion.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SEA MYRTLE (ML=5/2), #2 ROIANNA (ML=3/1),

SEA MYRTLE - This entrant likes to hit the board, but doesn't usually win. Forget the top spot. ROIANNA - On a downward moving cycle. Equibase speed figures keep declining.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #6 BLUE'S LUCKY GIRL on top if we're getting at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,6] Box [5,6] Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 05:59 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $33300 Class Rating: 85

FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 7 ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 OUR BRUCE EDWIN 3/1

# 3 COUZINS GONE WILD 6/1

# 7 CATTLE DRIVE 12/1

I think OUR BRUCE EDWIN is a solid choice. With a sound 74 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Cora in the irons. Cora has one of the best jock ROI's on the grounds, returning to players +52 percent. COUZINS GONE WILD - Is tough not to examine based on speed figures which have been very strong - 71 avg - of late. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. CATTLE DRIVE - He has been running admirably and the speed figures are among the top in this field. Win percentage with this rider and trainer combo - 15 percent - strong.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 05:59 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 1

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 5 (Races 1-5)(.50 Cent Minimum)

Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $12,100 • Post: 7:07P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Front-runner. VALENTINE NIGHT is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DAUGHTEROFDEFENCE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. IC Y DAWN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. VALENTINE NIGHT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
1
DAUGHTEROFDEFENCE
2/1

9/2
4
ICY DAWN
6/1

5/1
3
VALENTINE NIGHT
3/1

6/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
VALENTINE NIGHT
3

3/1
Front-runner
66

65

54.2

53.4

44.9
1
DAUGHTEROFDEFENCE
1

2/1
Stalker
77

66

44.6

66.2

63.2
4
ICY DAWN
4

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
77

66

61.2

66.8

62.3
5
CLEARLY BEST
5

9/5
Trailer
67

63

44.8

58.1

48.6
6
CHALKING IT UP
6

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
76

71

68.1

55.6

50.1
2
DAZZLING LION
2

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
77

70

51.8

53.0

44.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 06:00 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway Park

Turfway Park - Race 7

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double

Optional Claiming $50,000 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Age 2 • CR: 87 • Purse: $20,400 • Post: 9:15P
FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $18,600 AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $40,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Front-runner. POURMEANOTHERONE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ARAWAK: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. OVER RIDER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KING VALERO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at th e distance/surface.
1
ARAWAK
7/5

5/2
3
OVER RIDER
7/2

7/1
5
KING VALERO
8/1

9/1
4
POURMEANOTHERONE
8/1

10/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
POURMEANOTHERONE
4

8/1
Front-runner
55

72

68.3

68.3

58.3
1
ARAWAK
1

7/5
Stalker
88

89

74.9

82.5

80.5
5
KING VALERO
5

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
76

68

75.8

76.8

69.3
6
TRES EQUIS
6

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
64

74

74.0

70.1

60.6
3
OVER RIDER
3

7/2
Trailer
79

84

60.7

75.0

66.5
9
MOMMA'S GIFT
9

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
66

63

67.9

60.7

45.7
7
GUNNY ROO
7

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
78

70

54.0

56.9

50.4
8
HOLDING FAST
8

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
62

63

52.8

52.8

38.8
2
ONLYATTHESHOE
2

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
66

56

52.0

52.0

35.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 08:06 AM

Arthur Ralph Sports

THURS Purdue -15 CBB

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 08:06 AM

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Thursday, Dec 7 is:

LA Lakers +7.5 over Philly 76ers.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 08:06 AM

CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL) Falcons
(CBB) Iowa St
(NBA) Jazz

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 08:06 AM

LARRY NESS

My 1* Free Play is on the Oklahoma City Thunder (10:05 EST).

The 11-12 Oklahoma City Thunder get ready to take on the 9-14 Nets and for a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors the Thunder.
OKC won its third straight in a 100-94 win over Utah on Tuesday, while the Nets come in off a home and home split with the Hawks, most recently winning 110-90 on Monday.
So far the Thunder average 102 PPG, while conceding just 98.8. Russell Westbrook averages 22.5 points, 9.3 boards and 9.9 assists per game, while Carmelo Anthony chips in 18.5 points and 6.5 boards per game.
The Nets average 109.8 PPG and concede 112.3. D’Angelo Russell leads the nightly chage with 20.9 points, plus 5.7 asissts per contest.
I’ll point out that OKC is 2-1 ATS in its last three after three or more consecutive SU wins, while Brooklyn is already just 1-3 ATS this season off an upset win as an underdog.
The Nets don’t play any defense and I think that’s going to be an issue facing Westbrook and company, who seem determined now at this point to put the foot on the gas after a shaky start to the 2017/18 campaign. Consider laying the points in this matchup.
Good luck…Larry

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 08:06 AM

RED DOG SPORTS
Soccer | Dec 07, 2017
Athletic Bilbao vs. FC Zorya Lugansk
Athletic Bilbao-125

This soccer match takes place on Thursday afternoon in the Europa League. I think they win 2-1.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 08:07 AM

MARTIN GRIFFITHS
Soccer | Dec 07, 2017
1. FC Koln vs. Red Star Belgrade
Red Star BelgradePK -135

All my picks are based on interpretation of statistics, context and personal judgement. Each selection is primarily based on available value for long-term profits and not short priced easy favourites. Ultimately, I use my own analysis in combination with intelligent based software.
Recommended stakes are a percentage of starting bank and given as points, as an example, 1pt would be 1% of the bank.
Selection
Koln are in dreadful form, they are bottom of the Bundesliga, they lost to Red Star Belgrade at home earlier in the competition, they have won just once in their last 5 games and that was against the Arsenal B side.
Red Star has won 8 and drawn 3 of their last 11 games, they have home advantage and while they only need to draw this game they will want to get the win in front of their home fans.
Red Star +0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 08:07 AM

SCOTT SPREITZER
NBA | Dec 07, 2017
Thunder vs. Nets
Nets+7½

The Thunder & Nets hook-up in Mexico City late Thursday night and we're backing the underdog. OKC stormed back in a win over Utah last time out, using a 32-14 fourth quarter to make-up for what had been a struggle for most of the first three quarters. But OKC failed to cover the spread again. While they have won three in a row SU, the Thunder haven't covered a number since November 22, losing six in a row ATS. One of the main culprits is Carmelo Anthony. The former Knick is struggling with his shot, to say the least. Even in the win last time out, Carmelo made just 6 of 19 shots, including missing all five treys. Anthony is shooting a career low, 41% on the season. The problem is, he still takes too many shots and until he passes on a few looks, or starts making his attempts, he's a detriment to this team and makes it ultra tough to back when laying this many points. Brooklyn continues to make backers money, playing competitive basketball and covering eight of their last nine games. We're recommending a play on the Nets plus the points on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-07-2017, 08:07 AM

DUSTIN HAWKINS

Free Play on Texas-Arlington +3½ -105

Thursday 12-7-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 12-7-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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