Wednesday 12-13-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:50 PM EASTERN POST
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $67,000.00 PURSE

#2 PORTFOLIO MANAGER
#5 GORGEOUS CHARLI
#1 CURTIS
#4 CINDERELA EL CROME

#2 PORTFOLIO MANAGER, the pace profile leader in this allowance field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt , and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, hitting the board in three of those efforts, including "POWER RUN WINS" in both his last start, as well as in his 3rd race back. #5 GORGEOUS CHARLI takes a class drop (-7), and has hit the board in five straight, with four of those board hit efforts, including a win in his 3rd race back, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 2

Daily Double (Races 2-3) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) Superfecta (.10 min.)


Claiming $10,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 6:07P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. HONEST TINA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * HONEST TINA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surf ace. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
6
HONEST TINA
5/2

5/2




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
HONEST TINA
6

5/2
Front-runner
69

72

70.1

61.7

57.7
7
RWANDA
7

3/1
Front-runner
64

54

64.0

39.5

32.0
1
LINE RUNNING LASS
1

15/1
Front-runner
49

45

50.0

28.4

14.9
5
WATCH MY STEAM
5

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
68

71

68.1

57.2

50.2
4
SHAKEITIFULUVME
4

12/1
Alternator/Stalker
57

56

50.4

47.2

35.7
9
TOGA'S MARGROCK
9

9/2
Alternator/Trailer
69

68

57.2

61.0

56.5
8
TAMY'S SHOT
8

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
50

46

53.2

31.0

16.5
2
SWEET SILVER
2

4/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

42.4

43.2

31.2
3
FATHER OF STORMS
3

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
58

60

28.4

42.2

28.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 400y on the Dirt. Purse: $4200 Class Rating: 59

QUARTER HORSE 400Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 FAST PRIZE ELLA 3/1

# 4 YAWLS DANNY 5/1

# 9 SAINTLY PRIZE 6/1

FAST PRIZE ELLA is my choice. Has been running solidly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. With Ortiz getting the mount, watch out for this horse. YAWLS DANNY - He has been racing soundly recently while recording solid speed figures. Trainer has sharp win rate (26 percent) at this distance and surface. SAINTLY PRIZE - Can't overlook the connections here, a 23 winning percentage, one of the most respectable at getting into the winner's circle.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating: 4

#4 OSCURA (ML=7/2)
#9 BABY ISABELLA (ML=10/1)


OSCURA - This mare should give a strong account of herself in today's race. BABY ISABELLA - I seem to always make money betting Breen horses on the grass. That barn has a powerful win pct for this distance/surface.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 BARBADOS KITTEN (ML=8/5), #10 STARSHIP ROCKETTE (ML=4/1), #5 REINA LA KELSY (ML=6/1),

BARBADOS KITTEN - Today's event is 7 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a short distance contest in the last couple months. Not the greatest of signs. This chalk horse may be out of shape without any recent drills. STARSHIP ROCKETTE - Should have at least hit the board in the last couple months in a sprint race to be worth the risk at small odds in a sprint. This filly showed very liitle last time out. Quite unimpressive speed figure last time around the track at Belmont Park at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's event. REINA LA KELSY - No accomplishments for this entrant in a sprint race over the last two months tells me that this filly is in a thorny situation Hasn't been coming close at all recently.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - BABY ISABELLA - Finished a disappointing fourth at Gulfstream Park West on Nov 24th. But that was on the soft turf. Expect much better in today's event.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 OSCURA is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #6 - Post: 8:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating: 3

#7 CHEROKEE SKY (ML=7/2)
#3 CHRISTMAS EVE (ML=10/1)
#9 EXCHANGING EMBER (ML=15/1)


CHEROKEE SKY - Not much pace in this race other than this pony. This horse is not the morning line choice, yet she finished ahead of today's chalk in their last race together. CHRISTMAS EVE - Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the first try on November 8th. Should be in touch with the horse even better in today's contest. Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier field than in the last race at Penn National. When this jock and conditioner work together you have to take a look. Hernandez and Houghton have been terrific together. EXCHANGING EMBER - This rider and handler have a favorable ROI when they are put together. Filly is a first timer whose last three morning drills were on this track. The addition of Lasix might make this equine wake up and run well in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #12 NOISY RIPPLES (ML=3/1), #5 DEPUTIZED (ML=8/1),

NOISY RIPPLES - This filly finished out of the top three on October 19th and wasn't close to victory last race out either. No picnic to play this entrant in today's event. Make her show you something in a sprint event before you invest in her in a race of 5 1/2 furlongs. DEPUTIZED - Should have at least finished in the money in the last 60 days in a sprint affair to be any kind of value at short odds in a sprint. 8/1 is too short of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back efforts. Improbable that the speed fig she earned on November 8th will hold up in this event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 CHEROKEE SKY is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
7 with [3,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,7,9] with [3,7,9] with [3,6,7,8,9] with [3,6,7,8,9] Total Cost: $36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway Park

Turfway Park - Race 7

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double


Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $18,500 • Post: 9:15P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $30,000).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Class. RIVER'S EDGE is the Dominant Class of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RIVER'S EDGE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distan ce/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. INSURGENT: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and t he horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
3
RIVER'S EDGE
2/1

5/2
4
INSURGENT
10/1

4/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
INSURGENT
4

10/1
Front-runner
81

83

99.0

68.4

65.4
7
J DUB
7

6/1
Front-runner
80

78

78.0

54.2

45.7
2
BUNZLAUER
2

8/1
Alternator/Front-runner
75

74

62.2

60.0

48.0
6
LAST SPRING
6

9/2
Alternator/Front-runner
81

75

38.9

48.3

40.3
9
STEFAN O'EISHEN
9

12/1
Stalker
73

74

77.4

71.1

63.6
5
WITNESSADREAM
5

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

83.1

63.9

53.9
3
RIVER'S EDGE
3

2/1
Trailer
96

94

45.6

90.3

84.3








Unknown Running Style: STEVE AND AARON (20/1) [Jockey: Figueroa Sergio - Trainer: Baca Roberto A], CHIFFRE (20/1) [Jockey: Sullivan Carson - Trainer: Cross Jr Kenny R].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 99

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 13, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $11,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 PARCHED 8/5

# 1 PERCY FAWCETT 9/2

# 6 JAM N ADDY 9/5

My selection in this race is PARCHED. Has run soundly when running a turf route race. With a strong rider who has won at a respectable 22 percent clip over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top picks. He looks solid in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. PERCY FAWCETT - Overall the Speed Figures of this horse look strong in this contest. Will most likely compete soundly in the early pace contest which bodes well with this field. JAM N ADDY - Has garnered strong speed figures in turf route races in the past. This racer has a terrific win percent in turf routes.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

WED: Under the total 152 Illinois/Longwoord

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, December 13, 2017

NBA (705) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER VS (706) INDIANA PACERS

Take: over

Reason: Your free play for Wednesday, December 13, 2017 is in the NBA contest between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers. The Thunder (12-14 S/U, 8-18 ATS) take on the Pacers (16-11 S/U, 17-10 ATS) tonight. The Thunder have struggled on the road, going 0-9 ATS in their last nine road games. The Pacers average 109 points on the season while allowing 106.4 ppg. OKC averages 101.8 ppg and just 99.3 ppg on the road. The Pacers have been a very good OVER club, going 21-8 O/U in their last 29 vs the NBA Northwest. Most important, these teams have gone over in 12 of their last 14 meetings in Indiana and 21 of the last 28 overall. Pacers should get their average or above here tonight. Play the OVER here tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Wednesday, Dec 13 is:

Western Kentucky +7.5 over Wisconsin.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RED DOG SPORTS
Soccer | Dec 13, 2017
Leicester vs. Southampton
Leicester +280

This match takes place Wednesday in the Engalnd Premier League. Nice value on Leicester at +280 on the road at Southampton. Leicester has won 3 in a row and sit at 6-5-5 while Southampton is 4-6-6 (-3 goal difference) and only scored 16 goals in 16 matches.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SCOTT SPREITZER
NCAA-B | Dec 13, 2017
Portland State vs. Oregon
Oregon-13

I'm laying the points with the Oregon Ducks on Wednesday night. Portland State may be hot, covering spreads night in, night out, but they're making the leap to another level tonight without the element of surprise and the line tells us how much it really means. PSU faced Duke this season and played extremely well for a while before the Blue Devils won 99-81 as a 24.5 point favorite. The Vikings caught Duke by surprise...but there will be no surprise here. In fact, Dana Altman can use that game as an example not to take PSU lightly. Also, to go along with line value thanks to Portland State's current run, we have an underdog that will be willing to play at the better program's pace. PSU averages 91 ppg. Oregon averages 88 ppg at home and will push the tempo. And while PSU allows teams to make 48% of their FGA overall, Oregon holds their visitors to 36% shooting and should also dominate a weak rebounding opponent. Pointspread value, along with desired tempo, and better talent should add up to a win and cover by the Pac-12 entry. I'm laying the points with Oregon on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Clippers vs. Magic Preview and Predictions

By Gracenote for Scores and Stats07:00 PM
by Gracenote on 12/12/2017

The Los Angeles Clippers are beginning to figure out how to play without star power forward Blake Griffin, just in time for a four-game road trip. The Clippers will begin their trek on the east coast by visiting the Orlando Magic on Wednesday.

Los Angeles dropped four straight after losing Griffin to a knee injury that is expected to keep him out for two months, but recovered to win the final two of a three-game homestand and hit the road with some momentum. "(Coach) Doc (Rivers) said before the game, 'We've been dealt a (crummy) hand with injuries,'" small forward Sam Dekker told the Los Angeles Times after a 96-91 win over the Toronto Raptors on Monday. "Every night, we feel like we have a new starting lineup, a new injury, a new this or that. But he said to stay resilient and keep working hard good things will happen." The Magic are missing their own power forward with Aaron Gordon (concussion) day-to-day and are losers of 13 of their last 16 games following a promising start. Orlando dropped a 117-110 decision at Atlanta on Saturday despite a combined 60 points from Nikola Vucevic and Jonathan Simmons.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, FS Prime Ticket (Los Angeles), FS Florida (Orlando)

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (10-15): Los Angeles, which is also without starting point guard Patrick Beverley (knee) for the rest of the season, got a boost recently from the return of small forward Danilo Gallinari (glute) and another on Sunday when guard Milos Teodosic (plantar fasciitis) played for the first time since Oct. 21. Teodosic was limited to 21 minutes in the win but scored 12 points and buried a key 3-pointer in the closing minute. Gallinari scored 25 points in a 113-112 win over Washington on Saturday but reaggravated the injury in that game and is day-to-day after sitting out Monday.

ABOUT THE MAGIC (11-17): Vucevic recorded a triple-double with 31 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists while going 13-of-18 from the floor on Saturday. "We had some guys down and I wanted to try to carry this team any way I can," Vucevic told reporters. "For me personally, if I try to force things, if I try to take a lot of shots and (freeze) other guys out, it will go the other way for me. I like to play within the flow of the offense. I feel like the way we play, I will get a lot of looks as the game goes on. Just trying to make the right play." Vucevic is averaging 23.6 points and 13.2 rebounds over the last five games.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Clippers C DeAndre Jordan grabbed at least 17 rebounds in four of the last five games.

2. Magic SG Evan Fournier (ankle) sat out Saturday and is day-to-day.

3. Los Angeles took the last seven in the series, including three in a row at Orlando.

PREDICTION: Magic 110, Clippers 107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thunder vs. Pacers Preview and Predictions

By Gracenote for Scores and Stats
by Gracenote on 12/12/2017

Paul George is set to make his return when the Indiana Pacers host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. George orchestrated a trade away from Indiana in the summer to join what he thought would be a winning situation, but it's the Pacers who enter Wednesday's clash with a better record.

George and the Thunder fell for the second time in three games to drop two games below .500 with a 116-103 loss at home to the Charlotte Hornets on Monday, and the team is still struggling to jell consistently. "For all the talent we have, obviously this is not where we want to be," George told reporters. "But we're going to remain optimistic about the future and what we can do. Once we find a way to really do it night in and night out, it's no panic mode, but we have to start playing better." George is averaging 20.6 points on 41.8 percent shooting for Oklahoma City while the main piece coming back to the Pacers in the trade that sent him away, shooting guard Victor Oladipo, is enjoying a breakout campaign and averaging 24.5 points on 48.5 percent shooting. Oladipo put up a career-high 47 points in a 126-116 overtime victory over the Denver Nuggets on Sunday that gave Indiana its fourth straight win.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN, FS Oklahoma, FS Indiana

ABOUT THE THUNDER (12-14): Russell Westbrook is trying to will Oklahoma City to victories and put up 30 points and seven assists on Monday, but the team could not overcome a terrible third quarter. The Thunder were outscored 40-22 in the period after holding the Hornets to 18 points in the second, and the inconsistency is becoming commonplace. "Twenty-six games. It's an 82-game season," Westbrook told reporters. "It's up to us, honestly. We just have to figure it out and play the same way every night."

ABOUT THE PACERS (16-11): Oladipo was named the Eastern Conference Player of the Week for the second time this season on Monday and is averaging 31.8 points on 53.8 percent shooting in five games this month. "Y'all might be surprised, but I put in the work," Oladipo told reporters. "I work every day. I have no limit to how hard I work. I'm trying to be great. There's no in between and I can't settle for anything less." That desire for greatness led Indiana to wins in 10 of its last 13 games and a spot among the top five in the East.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. Another player that came over in the George trade, C Domantas Sabonis, is leading the Pacers in rebounding (8.5).

2. Thunder SG Andre Roberson (ankle) sat out Monday and is day-to-day.

3. Oladipo scored 35 points while George was held to 10 but Indiana fell 114-96 at Oklahoma City on Oct. 25.

PREDICTION: Pacers 116, Thunder 112