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2-Unit Play. Take #514 Miami (+5.5) over New Orleans (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 23)
The Pelicans aren't a good road bet and laying points to a decent Miami team is not the right play. Don't be surprised to see Miami win this game outright. The Pelicans are both 1-4 ATS in their last five games after a straight up win and an ATS win. Even better is the fact that New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus the Southeast Division, while the Heat are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games versus the Southwest Division. Take the points in this one.
4 Unit Play. Take #509 Over 205.5 Chicago at Boston (7:35p.m., Saturday December 23)
The Chicago Bulls are playing their best basketball as of late winning 7 out 8 and covered 6-straight games and their offense has been outstanding. In those 8 games the Bulls are averaging 111.2ppg and tonight I see both the Bulls and Celtics putting up big offensive numbers. The Celtics have been struggling a bit losing back-to-back games and their offense have looked lost but tonight I see this game being a bit fast and this total flying over. Bulls last 6 road games 5 of them have gone over and the last 26 meetings in Boston between these two teams 20 of them have gone over
4 Unit Play. Take #79 Under 5.5 -135 Los Angeles Kings at San Jose (10:05p.m., Saturday December 23)
When these two Pacific division teams do battle on the ice the UNDER is always one of the best bets on the board. Last 7 meetings between these two teams 0-3-4 O/U and most of the totals were posted at 5 so tonight getting 5.5 I believe is outstanding value. Kings last two games both of them have gone UNDER and the Kings only gave up a total of 2 goals. I know the Sharks have been scoring goals as of late but tonight I see a tight and hard fought game and tonight I see another low scoring game between these two division rivals. The Kings are 0-4-1 O/U in their last 5 division games and the San Jose Sharks are at home against the Kings are 0-3-2 O/U
4 Unit Play. Take #2572 Vegas Golden Knights -125 over Washington Capitals (8:05 PM, Saturday, December 23)
The Vegas Golden Knights will look for their fourth win in a row and their eight win their last nine games when they take on the Washington Capitals at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV on Saturday night. Marc-Andre Fleury (5-1-1, 2.25 GAA, .932 save %) will get the start in goal for the Golden Knights and he will be opposed by Braden Holtby (20-7-0, 2.64 GAA, .919 save %), who is scheduled to get the call between the pipes for the Capitals. Vegas has posted a 5-1 record in their last six games following a win and they have gone a perfect 5-0 in their last five games played on a Saturday night for whatever reason. The Capitals, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone just 1-4 in their last five games following a game where played in OT and they have lost five of their last seven games where they were playing in the second game of a back to back. Throw in the fact that the Golden Knights are a lights out 14-3 in their last seventeen home games and we're going to lay the short price with them here to get the home win in Vegas on Saturday night.
These are all your NHL plays for today. Your next NHL update will be Sunday, December 24, 2017
#510 - NBA - 10 units on Boston -7
#515 - NBA - 10 units on LA Clippers & Memphis Over 196
#519 - NBA - 10 units on Denver +9
#520 - NBA - 10 units on Denver & Golden State Under 216.5
No, it would mean the “sharps” are on App St and to take them. Having only 27% of the tickets, but 85% if the money means that basically all the big bets are backing App St.
NCAA BB 2017-18 | 78-60-2 +49.08 units (GOYs 2-1 | NCAA - W | B1G - W | ACC - L)
NCAAF 2017-18 | 89-71-4 +41.25 units (GOYs 1-3 | B1G - L | P12 - L | SEC - W | ACC - L) All Comps. Soccer 2017-18 | 16-16-1 +9.07 units
NFL 2017-18 | 24-35-2 -30.77 units
NHL 2017-18 | 5-11 -23.25 units
NBA 2017-18 | 9-12 -2.4 units
MLB 2018 | 11-13 -1.79 units 2017-18 Overall | 232-218-9 +41.19 units *As of 5.3.18*
Yeah, I've never really tracked it, but that's pretty much the "fade the public" angle. If theres a drastic disparity like that between the % of tickets and the % of money, your looking at a TON of very large bets on one side, and a lot of small public bets on the other. Not trying to tell anyone what side to bet, but what you're likely seeing is the public reacting to seeing an 11-2 conference champion being a short(ish) fav (-6), against an 8-4 Sun Belt team. I'm guessing very few of those public bettors know that it's a rematch of last years bowl, and App St won outright.
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