Service Plays Saturday 12/23/17

[Gmoney121]

Yeah, I've never really tracked it, but that's pretty much the "fade the public" angle. If theres a drastic disparity like that between the % of tickets and the % of money, your looking at a TON of very large bets on one side, and a lot of small public bets on the other. Not trying to tell anyone what side to bet, but what you're likely seeing is the public reacting to seeing an 11-2 conference champion being a short(ish) fav (-6), against an 8-4 Sun Belt team. I'm guessing very few of those public bettors know that it's a rematch of last years bowl, and App St won outright.

Sorry for the clutter, all.

[riverednutz]

ROJAS
Best pick:
(# 569) San Francisco vs Nevada (Nevada -6 1st half) *2000


Secondaries picks:
(# 505) Nets vs Pacers (Brooklin +10) *1500
(# 513) Pelicans vs Heat (Miami +5.5) *1000
(# 519) Nuggets vs Warriors (Denver +8.5) *1000

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SportsPicksDaily Sports

NFL
2* Under Ravens/Colts
1* Packers

NBA
Clippers
Under Clippers/Grizzlies
Warriors

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFAC

Full nba

Golden st under 215 750
Denver +8.5 500
Charlotte pk 500

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr B

1* packers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hsw

app st.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR Tipps BBC
Minn 1st Half
Minn team toal over
GS over
Lakers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Strike Point Sports

3-Unit Play. #531 Take Tennessee (+1.5) over Wake Forest (12:30 p.m., Saturday, December 23)The better team is getting points here. UT let a win get away from them last time out at home. That was UNC. They've had some great success in the non-conference so far, and they wrap up that portion of their schedule here with a victory before SEC play next week.

3-Unit Play. #552 Take North Carolina (-7.5) over Ohio State (1:30 p.m., Saturday, December 23)The Buckeyes are going to get a pissed off North Carolina team here. After losing to Wofford in Chapel Hill, UNC gets a great opportunity to bounce right back and not let that loss stew too much with a quick turnaround. Ohio State has been an underdog just twice in 13 games this season. It's justified here. Carolina has Cam Johnson now in the rotation, and that's one more weapon for Roy Williams' team. The Tar Heels cash minus the number in New Orleans.

6-Unit Play. #550 Take Missouri (-4) over Illinois (8 p.m., Saturday, December 23)In this year's version of Bragging Rights, its showing two teams slowly starting to go in opposite directions. Illinois come into tonight's game in St. Louis losers of five of their last seven, and its clear this team is struggling more as the competiton improves. Missouri is riding a five-game winning streak entering tonight's contest and winning by a dominant margin of 16 points during their streak. The Tigers have just two losses on the year, Utah and West Virginia, but these two teams have a combined record of 18-4. Illinois is 0-4 in games this season as an underdog and are also 0-4 in their four games away from Champaign this season. So while this game isn't a distinct advantage for either side location wise, it's clear who has the edge. Consider that Illinois also won this game last year by nine and its another tick toward Missouri when you factor in revenge. Simply put, the Tigers are the better team also playing better right now. Mizzou shoots nearly 50 percent from the field as a team and nearly 40 percent as a team from the three-point line. Cuonzo Martin has his team playing confident basketball with the results showing. Here is another one, as the Tigers come through with a double digit victory in the Show Me State.

3-Unit Play. #566 Take Hawaii (+5.5) over Davidson (12:30 p.m., Sunday, December 24)This is a good Hawaii team. 7-3 on the year, and all three losses have been to very good competition. Coming off a loss last night to undefeated Miami, give me the Warriors plus the points to bounce back with an outright win over Davidson here.

[Johnny Capone]

Well said Gmoney!!!

[Johnny Capone]

Yeah, I've never really tracked it, but that's pretty much the "fade the public" angle. If theres a drastic disparity like that between the % of tickets and the % of money, your looking at a TON of very large bets on one side, and a lot of small public bets on the other. Not trying to tell anyone what side to bet, but what you're likely seeing is the public reacting to seeing an 11-2 conference champion being a short(ish) fav (-6), against an 8-4 Sun Belt team. I'm guessing very few of those public bettors know that it's a rematch of last years bowl, and App St won outright.

Sorry for the clutter, all.

Well said Drop!!

[Gmoney121]

Yeah, I've never really tracked it, but that's pretty much the "fade the public" angle. If theres a drastic disparity like that between the % of tickets and the % of money, your looking at a TON of very large bets on one side, and a lot of small public bets on the other. Not trying to tell anyone what side to bet, but what you're likely seeing is the public reacting to seeing an 11-2 conference champion being a short(ish) fav (-6), against an 8-4 Sun Belt team. I'm guessing very few of those public bettors know that it's a rematch of last years bowl, and App St won outright.

Sorry for the clutter, all.

••• Absolutely outstanding post !!! I had a gut feeling that was a good way to use William Hill’s chart. YOU, MY FRIEND, JUST CEMENTED IT FOR ME. !!!!