Tuesday 12-26-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369819

    #1

    Tuesday 12-26-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369819

    #2
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Fair Grounds - Race #5 - Post: 3:05pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $38,000 Class Rating: 68

    Rating: 4

    #9 GIRL THIRSTY (ML=8/1)
    #6 B'S TEN (ML=9/2)


    GIRL THIRSTY - Green rode this animal for the first time last race out and comes right back this time. When Green and Hodges are put together on animals the return on investment has been terrific at +75. Have to make this filly a solid contender; she comes off a sharp outing on Dec 7th. B'S TEN - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier group than last out at Fair Grounds. Lone speed horses can be tough to run down. Here's a lone speedball facing sluggish sorts today.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #8 STAR PERFORMER (ML=4/1), #4 CARSON'S PROSPECT (ML=6/1), #3 PEACE TREATY PAT (ML=6/1),

    STAR PERFORMER - Just don't think she is pegged at the proper price at the probable odds. CARSON'S PROSPECT - She showed not much at all in the last affair. This filly garnered a fig in her last affair which probably isn't good enough today. PEACE TREATY PAT - This closer should have a rough go of it to be along in time with an absence of pace in this race. Don't feel this pony will make an impact today. That last speed fig was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's Equibase class figure.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - B'S TEN - My analysis says you can ignore the last race at Fair Grounds. Contested on a track listed as good, this filly obviously didn't take to the going.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Put your money on #9 GIRL THIRSTY on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [6,9]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369819

      #3
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 9.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 74

      FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 7 SKYRISE 6/1

      # 4 EIGHTY AND SUNNY 3/1

      # 5 PAMPLED 8/5

      SKYRISE is my choice. EIGHTY AND SUNNY - Ought to be given consideration for this event if only for the quite good speed fig garnered in the last contest. Has been moving in the most competitive company of the group recently. PAMPLED - Earning some good dough in dirt route races. Could provide positive dividends based on quite good recent Speed Figures with an average of 78.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369819

        #4
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.

        Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $32500 Class Rating: 82

        FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.


        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        The Walker Group Picks

        # 12 COSITA RICA 8/1

        # 4 MICHELLE'Z LAUGH 20/1

        # 5 BIG LIZ 8/1

        COSITA RICA looks to be a decent contender and the potential return justifies the dangerous nature of the long odds. Have to take notice when any horse makes a quick major improvement. With a solid ROI of +11 this trainer has shown solid results with entries running at this distance and surface. Is a very strong contender based on figs garnered recently under today's conditions. MICHELLE'Z LAUGH - Could best this group of animals based on the speed fig - 68 - of her last contest. Has a strong shot in this event if you like back class.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369819

          #5
          F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

          Laurel Park - Race 6

          EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 6-7) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 50 cent PICK 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


          SO $25,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 3:00P
          (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING $25,000 TO $20,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLD CLAIMING $25,000 TO $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $20,000 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $18,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (WINNERS PREFERRED).
          Contenders

          Race Analysis
          P#
          Horse
          Morn
          Line

          Accept
          Odds


          Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FERGIE'S LADY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PATRIOTIC ENDEAVOR: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. KEEP YOUR DISTANCE: Horse rank s in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FERGIE'S LADY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. FOLLOW THE PETALS: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. PRINCESS PALOMAR: Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
          3
          PATRIOTIC ENDEAVOR
          5/2

          6/1
          7
          KEEP YOUR DISTANCE
          7/2

          7/1
          8
          FERGIE'S LADY
          12/1

          7/1
          2
          FOLLOW THE PETALS
          3/1

          8/1
          6
          PRINCESS PALOMAR
          6/1

          9/1




          P#

          Horse (In Running Style Order)

          Post

          Morn
          Line

          Running Style

          Good
          Class

          Good
          Speed

          Early Figure

          Finish Figure

          Platinum
          Figure
          8
          FERGIE'S LADY
          8

          12/1
          Front-runner
          85

          75

          63.5

          70.9

          58.4
          7
          KEEP YOUR DISTANCE
          7

          7/2
          Stalker
          86

          84

          70.4

          76.3

          69.8
          6
          PRINCESS PALOMAR
          6

          6/1
          Stalker
          84

          81

          46.5

          75.8

          69.8
          1
          SO INNOCENT
          1

          20/1
          Alternator/Stalker
          77

          79

          54.3

          58.0

          47.5
          3
          PATRIOTIC ENDEAVOR
          3

          5/2
          Trailer
          89

          85

          67.0

          86.6

          82.6
          5
          FAIRE MI
          5

          15/1
          Trailer
          75

          73

          60.8

          65.0

          50.0
          2
          FOLLOW THE PETALS
          2

          3/1
          Trailer
          86

          81

          51.4

          79.6

          75.6
          4
          AIDEN'S RAG DOLL
          4

          8/1
          Alternator/Non-contender
          79

          70

          54.8

          59.4

          46.9
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369819

            #6
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            Bar

            Santa Anita - Race #1 - Post: 12:00pm - Maiden Special - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $54,000 Class Rating: 102

            Rating: 4

            #1 RIVER BOYNE (IRE) (ML=3/1)
            #9 FENGARI (ML=5/1)


            RIVER BOYNE (IRE) - This colt has the top turf figure in his last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here racer has a good chance. This horse should make a move turning for home. Great late early speed I do like foreign invaders that have showed signs of true class at a major foreign track. I like the hard fact that this colt's last rating, 106, is tops in this group. The improved speed figures over the last three races is great. Mullins drops him in this race ready to win. FENGARI - Came home in sizzling time last time around the track. A positive sign.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #10 BIG BUZZ (ML=5/2), #8 EROTIC (ML=5/1), #5 ORBIT RAIN (ML=6/1),

            BIG BUZZ - Hard to take this questionable contender at the odds after the result (ninth) in the last event. EROTIC - Finished fourth in his most recent race with a pedestrian fig. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field. ORBIT RAIN - Tough to wager on any horse to turn things around if there is no value to taking the risk. Garnered a run-of-the-mill speed rating in the last race in a Maiden Special race on November 23rd. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig.

            Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - RIVER BOYNE (IRE) - I scan the TrackMaster Platinum PPs for this type of horse. Has the top Power Rating by at least 5 points.





            STRAIGHT WAGERS:
            #1 RIVER BOYNE (IRE) is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better

            EXACTA WAGERS:
            Box [1,9]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            None

            SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
            Skip

            SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
            Skip
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369819

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

              Sunland Park - Race 6

              .50 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)/$1 Exacta/Trifecta/.10 Superfecta


              Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 54 • Purse: $11,700 • Post: 2:37P
              FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
              Contenders

              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line

              Accept
              Odds


              Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SKIPPITY DO DOM is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SKIPPITY DO DOM: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MISS CHARLY HUSTLE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TEARS FOR BELLE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surf ace. PLEASURER STORM: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races.
              3
              SKIPPITY DO DOM
              5/1

              3/1
              1
              MISS CHARLY HUSTLE
              5/2

              8/1
              2
              TEARS FOR BELLE
              6/1

              9/1
              5
              PLEASURER STORM
              7/2

              10/1




              P#

              Horse (In Running Style Order)

              Post

              Morn
              Line

              Running Style

              Good
              Class

              Good
              Speed

              Early Figure

              Finish Figure

              Platinum
              Figure
              3
              SKIPPITY DO DOM
              3

              5/1
              Alternator/Front-runner
              56

              56

              52.1

              51.2

              45.7
              1
              MISS CHARLY HUSTLE
              1

              5/2
              Stalker
              55

              52

              45.8

              45.8

              40.8
              2
              TEARS FOR BELLE
              2

              6/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              58

              48

              62.9

              39.9

              32.9
              8
              IT'S A TRAIN
              8

              10/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              56

              48

              60.4

              36.7

              28.7
              6
              JEWEL OF THE WEST
              6

              8/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              43

              48

              54.0

              39.8

              28.8
              5
              PLEASURER STORM
              5

              7/2
              Trailer
              52

              54

              42.2

              42.2

              33.2
              4
              DANAS LOVE
              4

              12/1
              Trailer
              49

              47

              30.3

              22.1

              9.6
              9
              LIFE HAPPENS
              9

              15/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0

              0

              48.2

              26.6

              12.6
              7
              MODJESKA HEAT
              7

              15/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              45

              40

              37.9

              30.3

              15.3
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369819

                #8
                Handicapped by Valuline at Turf Paradise

                Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
                Turf Paradise, Race 1 (Tuesday December 26, 2017)

                OASIS WELLS
                (For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

                TUP-1 5f DIRT Seven Horses
                "A" CLM 3,000 F/M 3YUP $7,000
                P# dd ex q p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL

                5 OASIS WELLS 6/5 42% 7/5 Strong Favorite icon
                3 TWO STEPS OF GLORY 8/5 29% 5/2
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369819

                  #9
                  Arthur Ralph Sports

                  TUES CFB No.Ill + 4 1/2
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369819

                    #10
                    BIG AL

                    Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, Dec 26 is:

                    Dallas Mavs +5 over Toronto Raptors.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369819

                      #11
                      CAPPERS ACCESS
                      (CFB)
                      W. Virginia
                      Duke
                      UCLA
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369819

                        #12
                        SCOTT SPREITZER
                        NBA | Dec 26, 2017
                        Bulls vs. Bucks
                        Bulls+6½

                        I'm recommending a play on the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday. Chicago recently ran off seven straight wins and they're on a current 9-1 ATS run. The Bulls lost their last two games, dropping a close, 3-point loss to the Cavaliers before getting clocked by Boston. We felt they were in a tough spot against the Celtics and we had Boston on Saturday. But with that situation behind them, we expect Chicago to give Milwaukee all they can handle tonight. The Bulls are a different team with Nikola Mirotic on the floor. The big winning streak began with his return after he missed the entire season up to that point. Mirotic leads the team in scoring and is co-leader in rebounds per game with Lauri Markkanen, averaging almost eight per night. Everybody's life gets easier up front when Mirotic is healthy, including Robin Lopez. Giannis Antetokounmpo is listed as probable for the Bucks tonight, suffering from a sore knee. We don't mind if he plays or not. The Greek Freak played extremely well in Milwaukee's 115-109 loss to Chicago on December 15, but everyone besides him and Khris Middleton were rendered ineffective. The Bucks had no answer for Mirotic that night and they're 22nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency. We expect more of the same from the Bulls' interior in this one. The Bucks have dropped four of their last six and we'll go against them here. We're recommending a play on the Bulls plus the points. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369819

                          #13
                          LARRY NESS

                          My 1* Free Play is on the San Antonio Spurs (8:35 EST).

                          The Nets come in having lost five of their last six, most recently a deflating 123-119 OT setback in Indiana, while the Spurs enter off a 108-99 win over the Kings on Saturday.

                          Brooklyn has no problem scoring, averaging 107.6 PPG. The problem is on the defensive end where it concedes 110.2. D’Angelo Russell leads the nightly charge with 20.9 points and 5.7 assists per game. Russell though recently underwent surgery and is out indefinitely.

                          San Antonio averages 101.1 PPG and concedes just 98. Big man LaMarcus Aldridge averages 22.2 points and 8.4 boards per night.

                          I’ll point out though that the Nets are just 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 118 points or more in their previous outing, while the Spurs are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games against a team with a losing road record.

                          Brooklyn struggles on the road and San Antonio is always especially tough at home. The Spurs are getting healthier and I expect them to take advantage of this favorable matchup and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

                          Consider the Spurs in this one.

                          Good luck…Larry
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369819

                            #14
                            TOMMY BRUNSON

                            Tuesday's comp play winner with be for the Raptors and the Mavericks to fall just Under their posted total of 209 points.

                            Yes, Dallas has eclipsed the posted price in each of their last 3, but remember that in the 5 games prior, the Mavericks had landed Under the total each time.

                            Toronto brings a 5-3 Under run their last 8 games into the Metroplex tonight, and series numbers show the last pair holding Under the total, and 7 of the last 9 series meetings overall Under the posted price.

                            With both teams taking a little time off yesterday to celebrate the holiday, expect a slower than usual start for both clubs, and expect the Under to be the way to go.

                            Raptors-Mavericks Under the total.

                            3* TORONTO-DALLAS UNDER
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369819

                              #15
                              JOEY JUICE

                              Chicago has started to show some actual signs of life. They have won seven of their last 9, after starting the year a dismal 3-20. It is no secret that he Bulls have been a much better team since the return of Mirotic. They will be even better when LaVine gets his chance.

                              Milwaukee needs to get back on track as the Central Division has become a dog fight with both the Pistons and Pacers ahead of Milwaukee right now.

                              When the Bulls play away from home, the games tend to go over, they are 4-0 with the Over in their last 4 road games. In fact, the over is 6-1 in their last 7 when the Bulls opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. More importantly, the Bulls have gone over in 5 of their last 6 overall. Finally the Bulls have gone over in 13 of their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

                              Milwaukee has seen the over go 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest, 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, and 13-2-1 in their last 16 overall.

                              Bottom line, when the Bucks have Bledsoe in the mix, they have been going over the totals, and this one goes that way as well.

                              Over is the free pick.

                              2* CHICAGO-MILWAUKEE OVER
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