Sunday 12-31-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #7 - AQUEDUCT - 3:34 PM EASTERN POST
The Alex M. Robb Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#7 CONTROL GROUP
#5 CAN YOU DIGGIT
#6 EXTINCT CHARM
#1 SEA RAVEN

The Alex M. Robb was inaugurated in honor of Mr. Alex M. Robb for his contributions to New York State breeding. In 1932, Mr. Robb became associated with New York breeder Willis Sharpe Kilmer and took charge of his racing and breeding interests. In 1942, Robb became first Executive Secretary of the Thoroughbred Racing Association and in 1946 was invited by George D. Widener to be Secretary Treasurer of Westchester Racing Association and General Manager of Belmont Park. When the New York tracks merged in 1955 he stayed with the New York Racing Association, and in 1962 was invited by Ashley T. Cole to rehabilitate New York breeding and was named Director of the Thoroughbred Breeders Service Bureau. Alex M. Robb passed away in 1985. Here in the 39th running of The Robb, #7 CONTROL GROUP, the pace profile leader, has won 4 of 6 starts in his career to date racing at today's distance of 9.0 furlongs on the dirt, including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" in his last four starts. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Rudy Rodriguez send him to the post for the "Sunday Feature" ... they've hit the board with54% of nearly 350 entries saddled as a team to date. #5 CAN YOU DIGGIT, a 4-1 shot, has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five starts, hitting the board in three of those efforts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 4

Pick 4 (4-7) / Pick 3 (4-6) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 4-5


Claiming $4,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 43 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:00P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NOT WON $10,000 SINCE MARCH 31, 2017. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLASIFICADOS EN $4,000 Y DEBUTANTES ALLOWED3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * CECILIA IZABEL: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse racing off a layoff of 90 + days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
3
CECILIA IZABEL
2/1

5/2




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
MUJER INVISIBLE
5

10/1
Stalker
47

43

39.2

40.8

35.3
7
DIVA DEL SOL
7

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
48

36

44.4

18.6

10.6
1
ISLA DEL ENCANTO
1

15/1
Alternator/Stalker
54

7

32.8

20.4

11.9
3
CECILIA IZABEL
3

2/1
Trailer
60

49

30.2

46.4

44.4
4
GOZADERA
4

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
31

32

23.6

20.6

11.6
6
BLANQUIZADA
6

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
12

0

30.4

6.6

0.0
2
TUTZY
2

3/1
Alternator/Non-contender
45

43

20.7

17.8

8.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds - Race 8

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta Daily Double


Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 77 • Purse: $38,000 • Post: 4:35P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000 IN THEIR LAST 3 STARTS). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT 5 AND 1/2 FURLONGS.).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. LIL VIE is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LIL VIE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. NONIKAS THUNDER: Horse has a 4F worko ut since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
1
LIL VIE
7/2

2/1
14
NONIKAS THUNDER
5/1

6/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
9
SMOKIN HOT MOMMA
9

20/1
Front-runner
0

0

80.6

33.2

20.2
4
WILDCAT BEAUTY
4

20/1
Front-runner
0

0

72.6

44.2

31.7
8
DANCE
8

20/1
Front-runner
66

58

56.2

46.2

35.2
1
LIL VIE
1

7/2
Stalker
81

70

83.6

67.3

63.8
13
QUERCETA
13

15/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

57.8

55.9

43.4
12
WILL YE GO LASSIE
12

15/1
Trailer
0

0

45.5

67.3

60.8
2
DRIFT AWAY
2

10/1
Trailer
0

0

22.8

60.7

50.2
14
NONIKAS THUNDER
14

5/1
Trailer
79

71

20.7

65.8

58.3
7
HEY PAIGE
7

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

64.5

41.7

30.2








Unknown Running Style: WARRIOR'S WAY (15/1) [Jockey: Sutherland Chantal - Trainer: Heitzmann Eric L], BERNIN MIDNIGHT (8/1) [Jockey: Theriot Jamie - Trainer: Stall Jr Albert M], STRIKE MY FANCY (8/1) [Jockey: Pedroza Marcelino - Trainer: Proctor Thom

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #4 - Post: 2:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 80

Rating: 4

#7 ENCRYPT (ML=6/1)
#5 PUNCH NEPHEW (ML=12/1)


ENCRYPT - Toledo and Shuman getting together are a punter's friend. Rode this horse on December 16th and Toledo is yet again in the irons in today's race. Faced tougher last time out at Laurel. Based on class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of contenders. PUNCH NEPHEW - The return on investment when Hamilton and Capuano get together is terrific.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 KOPPER WIRED (ML=3/1), #6 GIN FUZZ (ML=7/2), #1 CENT COMM (ML=4/1),

KOPPER WIRED - This gelding showed little last time out. This horse doesn't have a tenacious character. Always finishes in the place and show spots. GIN FUZZ - A 'bounce' is likely to happen for this equine this time around. May rebound next time. CENT COMM - This runner has been a bummer for the bettors as the favorite time and time again.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #7 ENCRYPT to win if we can get at least 2/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 69

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 PARTNER'S POWER 10/1

# 8 INDY STRIKE 5/2

# 3 MIDNIGHT WITH LUTI 5/1

PARTNER'S POWER is my choice and is a formidable value-based bet given the 10/1 line. Don't let this gelding slip past you. Could prove victorious at high odds. INDY STRIKE - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Vazquez running at this distance are the most competitive in this group of horses. Has to be given consideration based on the competitive speed figure recorded in the last contest. MIDNIGHT WITH LUTI - He has been running solidly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the strongest in this group. Have to wager on this money-making rider and conditioner tandem.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $54000 Class Rating: 86

FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 Z Z TIGER 5/2

# 9 TRIBAL DANCE 8/1

# 1 JUDICIAL 5/1

Z Z TIGER looks very good to best this field. Will almost certainly come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the lead recently. Overall the Equibase speed figs of this pony look solid in this race. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the best class figs of this field. TRIBAL DANCE - Has been running well lately and ought to be up on the front end early on. Conner has recent return on investment numbers which make this horse a strong wager. JUDICIAL - Always tough to beat Glatt and Roman working together, winning 33 percent of their races. When this jockey and trainer team up, players often make money.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #5 - Post: 2:41pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating: 4

#5 SENNA (ML=9/2)


SENNA - This gelding is in good condition, having run a nice race on December 19th, finishing third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN (ML=5/2), #4 TOCCET'S CHARM (ML=3/1), #9 EVENING CONCERTO (ML=7/2),

CARLSBAD MOUNTAIN - Trying to beat this horse this time around at the reward of 5/2. TOCCET'S CHARM - Run-of-the-mill speed fig in the last race at Turf Paradise at 1 1/16 miles. Don't think this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's race. EVENING CONCERTO - No value in throwing a few bucks at this mount. Probably won't improve off that December 19th contest. Showed very little in the last clash. Really don't expect improvement today. When looking at today's class figure, he will have to notch a much better speed fig than in the last race to vie in this dirt route.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #5 SENNA on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 31, 2017
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Preview: Bears at Vikings
Gracenote
Dec 29, 2017

The Minnesota Vikings used a victory over the Chicago Bears to ignite an eight-game winning streak that sent the team on its way toward the NFC North title. The Vikings have even bigger fish to fry on Sunday, as they'll bid to secure a first-round bye with a victory over the visiting Bears at U.S. Bank Stadium.

"I think this is the first time in my career where you can officially say this game counts as more than one," Minnesota tight end Kyle Rudolph said. "... This week counts as two wins, essentially. If we can go out and get a win, it guarantees us that we get next week off." The Vikings are bidding for their fourth season sweep of the Bears since 2000, although they could also receive a first-round bye if Carolina falls to Atlanta. Chicago has won two of three in what has been another difficult season under the watch of John Fox, who has heard rumblings about his job after posting a 14-33 mark at the helm in the Windy City. "I don't worry about it. I've never had trouble getting employment in this league and I'm not going to start worrying about it now," Fox said.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Vikings -11.5. O/U: 39.5

ABOUT THE BEARS (5-10): Rookie Mitchell Trubisky believes there is a night-and-day difference from when he made his NFL debut against Minnesota in Week 5 until now. "In every area ... leadership ... just reading defenses," the second overall pick said. "Preparation ... how to carry yourself as a pro and just getting comfortable within this offense is probably the main thing (I've done). Just letting the game slow down and just playing, instead of thinking." Trubisky completed just 12 of 25 passes for 128 yards with a touchdown and one interception in the first meeting, but has settled in to throw for a franchise rookie-best 2,015 yards.

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (12-3): Jerick McKinnon totaled his second-best career total in scrimmage yards with 146 in the previous encounter with Chicago, highlighted by a 55-yard touchdown run. Fellow running back Latavius Murray stepped in for flashy rookie Dalvin Cook and had 12 carries for 31 yards before slowly taking the reins in the backfield. A potent running game and stifling defense helped Case Keenum emerge victorious despite completing just 14 of 25 for 139 yards and a touchdown in Saturday's 16-0 win over Green Bay. Stefon Diggs found the end zone in back-to-back weeks, but was limited to just one catch for four yards in the previous meeting with the Bears.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Minnesota S Harrison Smith was named NFC Defensive Player of the Week after recording two interceptions versus Green Bay.

2. Chicago RB Jordan Howard, who has an NFL fifth-best 1,113 rushing yards, ran for two touchdowns last week and has 262 scrimmage yards and four rushing TDs in his past three games.

3. Vikings DE Everson Griffen has recorded six of his career-high 13 sacks in his past seven home games.

PREDICTION: Vikings 24, Bears 14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Chicago at Minnesota

ATS Trends
Chicago

Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Bears are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Bears are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17.
Bears are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC North.
Bears are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Bears are 0-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC.

Minnesota

Vikings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Vikings are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17.
Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Vikings are 11-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Vikings are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Vikings are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win.
Vikings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Vikings are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games in December.
Vikings are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Vikings are 42-16 ATS in their last 58 games overall.
Vikings are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games on fieldturf.
Vikings are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win.
Vikings are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.
Vikings are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 vs. NFC.

OU Trends
Chicago

Under is 5-0 in Bears last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games in December.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 vs. NFC.
Under is 5-2 in Bears last 7 games on fieldturf.
Over is 5-2 in Bears last 7 vs. NFC North.

Minnesota

Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 home games.
Under is 12-3-1 in Vikings last 16 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 19-7 in Vikings last 26 vs. NFC North.
Under is 10-4 in Vikings last 14 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 games in Week 17.

Head to Head

Under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.
Home team is 22-8 ATS in their last 30 meetings.
Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Minnesota.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 31, 2017
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Preview: Cowboys at Eagles
Gracenote
Dec 29, 2017

The Philadelphia Eagles clinched the NFC's top seed and home-field advantage throughout the postseason on Christmas night, but the team hasn't looked the part in narrow victories over non-playoff-bound teams. The Eagles aim to give the fickle faithful at Lincoln Financial Field reason for optimism heading into the playoffs in the regular-season finale against the rival Dallas Cowboys.

Philadelphia, which is the top scoring team in football, looked out of sorts by mustering just 13 points and 216 total yards on offense while going 1-for-14 on third-down conversions against what has been a forgiving defense in Oakland last week. "I didn't play good enough," quarterback Nick Foles said on the heels of a 19-10 win over the Raiders. "I have to play cleaner and, obviously, play better. Third down is a big thing with a quarterback: pinpoint accuracy, making good decisions. I'll look at the film. I'll improve." Dak Prescott sang a similar tune while placing the results of his sophomore campaign against those of last season, when he received NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year honors. "Having a first year like I did, I think you almost want to take things for granted," Prescott said. "And then you come in the second year and a lot of things just go against you and it's tough. On the field, off the field -- you have to battle through it, and I feel like I've done that. I've given my all, I'll learn from it and get better."

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Cowboys -3. O/U: 39.5

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (8-7): Prescott's low point this season came in a disastrous outing against Philadelphia in a 37-9 rout on Nov. 19, in which he threw a career-high three interceptions and lost a fumble that was returned for a touchdown on his way to a personal-worst 30.4 passer rating. Prescott saw his fifth multi-interception game come to fruition on Sunday, with Justin Coleman returning the ball 30 yards for a touchdown in Seattle's 21-12 win that ended both Dallas' three-game winning streak and any slim chance for the playoffs. Ezekiel Elliott returned from a six-game suspension with 97 yards on 24 carries on Sunday, moving him within 120 of joining Hall of Famer Tony Dorsett as the only running backs in franchise history to begin their careers with consecutive 1,000-yard seasons.

ABOUT THE EAGLES (13-2): Tight end Zach Ertz has recorded 27 receptions for 264 yards and two touchdowns in his last four games and figures to be busy for however long he plays on Sunday as Philadelphia attempts to re-establish its offensive rhythm. "I don't think we're in panic mode by any means," the 27-year-old Ertz said. "I think we've got a lot of good players on the team and I think we have a lot of guys with a lot of pride that are going to figure this thing out." Ertz reeled in 13 catches for 139 yards and two scores in his last home game versus Dallas, although he had just two catches for eight yards in the first meeting this season. Alshon Jeffery had a touchdown reception in that encounter and found the end zone seven times in seven games before being held without a catch on two targets versus the Raiders last week.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Philadelphia QB Nate Sudfeld is expected to receive his first action of the season after Foles and the rest of the starters depart.

2. Dallas LB Sean Lee has 41 of his team-leading 93 tackles in the last three games.

3. Eagles rookie DE Derek Barnett had two sacks and a forced fumble in the first encounter versus the Cowboys.

PREDICTION: Cowboys 21, Eagles 13

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Dallas at Philadelphia

ATS Trends
Dallas

Cowboys are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC East.
Cowboys are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.
Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 17.
Cowboys are 5-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cowboys are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
Cowboys are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

Philadelphia

Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Eagles are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC East.
Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in December.
Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Dallas

Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 10-1 in Cowboys last 11 games in December.
Under is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 vs. NFC.
Over is 26-8-3 in Cowboys last 37 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 18-6 in Cowboys last 24 road games.
Under is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games in Week 17.
Under is 8-3 in Cowboys last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 13-5 in Cowboys last 18 games on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 vs. NFC East.

Philadelphia

Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.
Over is 11-3 in Eagles last 14 vs. NFC East.
Over is 40-14-1 in Eagles last 55 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 19-7 in Eagles last 26 games in December.
Over is 35-17 in Eagles last 52 games following a ATS loss.

Head to Head

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia.
Road team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 31, 2017
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Preview: Jets at Patriots
Gracenote
Dec 28, 2017

The New England Patriots have the No. 1 seed within their grasp and can clinch home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs by beating the visiting New York Jets on what is expected to be a frigid Sunday afternoon. The Jets are a bitter rival of the Patriots, who had to overcome a 14-point deficit in a 24-17 win over New York in Week 6.

New England knows the value of securing home field -- it has advanced to the Super Bowl in five of the six seasons in which it had the No. 1 seed and hoisted the Lombardi Trophy three of those times (2003, 2014, 2016). Coach Bill Belichick was peppered with questions about the Patriots' surprise signing of veteran Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker James Harrison earlier this week but left no doubt where his focus is. “Well, we’re playing the Jets this week,” Belichick said. “I don’t really know what that has to do with it. Maybe I’m missing something. I don’t know.” New York, which has dropped three in a row and eight of 10 since a three-game winning streak, has struggled on the road this season with its lone victory coming over winless Cleveland (17-14) in Week 5.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Patriots -15.5. O/U: 44

ABOUT THE JETS (5-10): Starting quarterback Josh McCown was lost for the season in Week 14 at Denver and backup Bryce Petty has struggled in his place, completing only 47.4 percent of his passes (36 of 76) for 312 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions. Christian Hackenberg, a second-round pick out of Penn State in 2016, has yet to take a snap in the NFL but reportedly has been working with the first team in practice this week and may see the field against New England. Tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins had eight catches for 46 yards and a TD in the first meeting while Jermaine Kearse and Robby Anderson combined for eight receptions for 155 yards. Defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson is expected to be inactive for the third straight game.

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (12-3): Tom Brady leads the NFL with 4,387 yards passing, but he has four touchdowns and four interceptions over the past three games and completed only 52.8 percent of his passes in the earlier matchup against the Jets. One potential concern for New England -- star tight end Rob Gronkowski, who snagged both of Brady's scoring passes in Week 5, was not at the portion of practice open to the media on Thursday, although he's not listed on the injury report. Running back Dion Lewis was named AFC Offensive Player of the Week after scoring twice and setting season highs with 129 yards on 24 carries in last week's 37-16 win over Buffalo. The Patriots rank among the bottom fourth in the league with an average of 119.7 yards rushing allowed.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Brady has 11 TD passes and zero interceptions in his last five home games versus New York.

2. Jets RB Bilal Powell, who missed the earlier matchup, has rushed for a TD in three of his last four games.

3. The Patriots have won lost 11 of the last 13 regular-season meetings.

PREDICTION: Patriots 26, Jets 16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - N.Y. Jets at New England

ATS Trends
N.Y. Jets

Jets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC East.
Jets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf.
Jets are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
Jets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
Jets are 6-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Jets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Jets are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Jets are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 games in December.
Jets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Jets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

New England

Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Patriots are 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in December.
Patriots are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Patriots are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win.
Patriots are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Patriots are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games in Week 17.
Patriots are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC.
Patriots are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC East.
Patriots are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 home games.
Patriots are 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games overall.
Patriots are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games following a straight up win.
Patriots are 79-38-2 ATS in their last 119 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

OU Trends
N.Y. Jets

Over is 5-0 in Jets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1 in Jets last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-1 in Jets last 6 games in Week 17.
Under is 8-2 in Jets last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Jets last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Jets last 7 vs. AFC East.
Under is 5-2 in Jets last 7 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-2 in Jets last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 11-5 in Jets last 16 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

New England

Under is 6-0 in Patriots last 6 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Patriots last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games in December.
Under is 4-1 in Patriots last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
Over is 24-7 in Patriots last 31 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 8-3 in Patriots last 11 games overall.
Over is 48-20 in Patriots last 68 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 66-31 in Patriots last 97 games on fieldturf.
Over is 51-25 in Patriots last 76 home games.

Head to Head

Home team is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Jets are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in New England.
Jets are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New England.
Over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, December 31, 2017
Where: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Preview: Browns at Steelers
Gracenote
Dec 28, 2017

The Pittsburgh Steelers have secured a first-round bye and still have an outside shot at the No. 1 seed when they host the winless Cleveland Browns in Sunday's regular-season finale. Steelers coach Mike Tomlin is unsure how much he will play his starters versus Cleveland, which is trying to avoid becoming the second NFL team to finish 0-16.

Pittsburgh's only chance at wresting the top overall seed from New England is to have the Patriots lose at home to the New York Jets. Tomlin said it will likely be an "11th-hour decision" as to how much playing time to give his starters but insisted there will be no "empathy" toward the plight of the Browns factoring into his thoughts. "More important than anything is we lay a foundation of our plan and get going in terms of things we need to do to play well. That's always been our mentality," Tomlin insisted. "Those are things (playing) we'll decide later in the week." Cleveland is 1-30 under coach Hue Jackson, who said he expects to be back next season regardless of whether the Browns join the 2008 Detroit Lions as the only teams in history to go winless in a 16-game season.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Steelers -11. O/U: 38

ABOUT THE BROWNS (0-15): Cleveland has lost five in a row to Pittsburgh, including a 21-18 setback at home in the season opener, and it's hard to envision that streak ending after the team has been limited to 10 points or fewer in four of the past six games. Quarterback DeShone Kizer has had a rocky rookie season with nine touchdowns versus a league-worst 21 interceptions, including two picks in each of the last three games. Running back Isaiah Crowell rushed for a career-best 152 yards in the 2016 regular-season finale against Pittsburgh, but he was held to 33 yards on 17 carries in the Week 1 loss. The defense has been stout against the run, yielding 97.1 yards per game.

ABOUT THE STEELERS (12-3): Star wide receiver Antonio Brown, who has 101 receptions and NFL-best 1,533 yards, already has been ruled out for the second straight game with a calf injury. Despite his absence, Pittsburgh rolled over Houston 34-6 last week as Ben Roethlisberger threw for 226 yards and two scores, including one to promising rookie JuJu Smith-Schuster, who has 32 of his 49 receptions over his past six games. Running back Le'Veon Bell, the NFL's third-leading rusher with 1,291 yards, managed only 32 in the season opener and could be a candidate to sit out or see limited time. Pittsburgh's defense ranks second in the league with 50 sacks.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Roethlisberger has thrown as least two TD passes in seven straight games versus Cleveland.

2. Browns WR Josh Gordon has been quiet since returning from his suspension, but he has 21 catches in his last two versus the Steelers.

3. Pittsburgh went to the Super Bowl (2008, 2010) the last two times it earned a first-round bye.

PREDICTION: Steelers 23, Browns 16