NCAAB
Friday, January 5
Toledo won four of its last five games with Akron; Zips lost by 17-14 points in last two visits here. Akron lost its last four D-I games; they’re #323 experience team that is 0-3 in true road games, losing by 13-22-12 points. Zips are turning ball over 21% of time. Toledo won three of last four games, but lost MAC opener 104-94 at Buffalo; Rockets are thin team (#346 in bench minutes) that is shooting 40.8% on arc (#21). Last 4+ years, Akron is 8-8 vs spread as MAC road underdogs; Toledo was 6-3 as a home favorite LY, after being 12-21-1 the previous four years.
Elon/Northeastern split their six CAA meetings, last three of which were all decided by 4 or less points. Elon won two of three visits here. Elon won its last three games, scoring 79.3 ppg; they won first two CAA games by 15-3 points. Huskies lost two of last three games; they’re 3-6 vs teams in top 200, turning ball over 20.9% for season. Northeastern is #257 experience team. Elon is 2-5 in true road games, winning at Boston U, Indiana State. Last two years, Elon is 8-6 as CAA road underdogs; last 5+ years, Northeastern is 15-21-1 as home favorites.
Wright State won five of last six games, winning first two Horizon games by 4-8 points. Raiders are 2-4 in true road games, but are 5-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200- they’re turning ball over 20.6% of time. Detroit lost its last nine games, dropping first two Horizon games by 12-8 points. Titans are 2-11 vs D-I teams; their defensive eFG% is #323 in country. Wright State won seven of last eight games with Detroit; they’re 3-2 in last five visits to Motor City. Last four years, Wright St is 4-6 as road favorites; Detroit is 5-9 as home underdogs.
Wisconsin won its last three games with Rutgers by 22-20-12ot points; they lost 67-62 in last visit here, three years ago. Badgers won their last five games after a 4-7 start; they’re 1-2 in true road games, with only win by a point at Penn State. Wisconsin is playing 6th-slowest pace in country. Rutgers lost its last three games after a 10-3 start; Knights are 1-4 vs top 100 teams- they upset Seton Hall on this floor. Last four years, Badgers are 13-14 as Big 14 road favorites; Rutgers is 10-13 vs spread under Pikiell as home underdogs.
Oakland won three of last four games; they’re #38 experience team that is playing pace #15. Grizzlies are 6-0 at home, but are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 24-43-13 points. Northern Kentucky won its first two Horizon games by 18-35 points; Norse is 0-4 in true road games, 0-3 vs teams in top 125- their best win is over #128 Iona. Oakland won three of four games with Northern Kentucky in Horizon play; teams split two games played here. NKU is 2-5 as a Horizon League road favorite; last four years, Oakland is 3-3 as home underdogs.
Charleston won four of last five games with Drexel; Cougars lost three of last four visits here. Charleston won its last four games, winning first two CAA games by 11-15 points; they’re 3-2 in true road games, 7-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Drexel lost five of its last four games; they gave up 98.5 ppg in losing first two CAA games, by 15-20 points. Dragons are 4-1 at home, but loss was to #242 Bowling Green. Charleston was 4-1 as CAA road favorites LY, after being 1-11 previous four years. last three years, Drexel is 9-11 as home favorites.
Wm & Mary won its last four games with Delaware, winning by 15-21 points in last two visits here. Tribe is 9-4 vs schedule #111; they won first two CAA games by 3-8 points- they’re 3-4 in true road games. W&M is shooting 43.5% on arc, #2 in country. Delaware won four of last five games, with two OT wins in there; Blue Hens are 1-5 vs top 200 teams- their best win was over #199 Cal-Bakersfield. Rebuilding Delaware is #318 in experience. Last 4+ years, Wm & Mary is 22-14 vs spread on CAA road; last three years, Delaware is 9-11 as home underdogs.
Northwestern is 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with lone win in OT over #88 Illinois. Wildcats lost by 15 at home to Nebraska in last game- they gave up 68 points in a half to Oklahoma. Penn State is 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with only win by 4 at #84 Iowa; Lions are #249 experience team that forces turnovers 22.3% of the time. Northwestern won three of last four games with Penn State; they won last four visits here. Last three years, Northwestern is 12-9 as Big 14 road underdogs; Penn State is 7-10 in its last 17 games as home favorites.
Oregon won five of its last six games; they won by 7 at Fresno State in only true road game this season. Ducks are 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with lone loss to UConn in PK80 event. Oregon State won seven of last nine games; four of its last five games were decided by 3 or less points. OSU is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 5-2 points. Oregon won seven of last eight games with the Beavers; Ducks won five of last seven visits to Corvallis, splitting last four. Last three years, Oregon is 10-6-1 as Pac-12 road favorites; under Tinkle, Beavers are 11-5-1 as home dogs.
This is Monmouth’s first home game since Dec 6; Hawks lost six of last seven games with only win over banged-up Yale; Hawks lost first two MAAC games by 2-13 points. Manhattan won its first two league games by total of 8 points; they’re 1-3 in true road games, with OT win at Marist. Monmouth won its last three games with Manhattan, winning last two meetings here by 9-11 points. Underdogs covered last five series games. Last three years, Manhattan is 10-12 as MAAC road dogs; last four years, Monmouth is 13-19-1 as home faves.
Fairfield is 0-5 in true road games, losing by 3 at Manhattan in its MAAC road opener; Stags are 2-5 vs top 200 teams- they’re #250 experience team that is shooting only 30.9% on arc. Rider won three of last four games; they’re 7-3 vs teams ranked outside top 150, but Broncs shoot only 64% on foul line (#328). Rider plays pace #34, very fast. Fairfield won its last four games with Rider, winning last two visits here, by 5-9 points. Last 4+ years, Fairfield is 20-13-1 as MAAC road underdogs; last three years, Rider is 12-9 as home favorites.
This is Iona’s first home game since Dec 12. Gaels are 7-7 this year; they won 20+ games the last eight years. Iona won nine of last ten games with St Peter’s; Peacocks lost their last seven games at Iona- they lost two of last three visits here in OT. Iona is 7-3 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Peacocks won three of last four games; they’re 1-5 in true road games, with only win at Lafayette by 4. Last 2+ years, St Peter’s is 11-3 as MAAC road underdogs; last three years, Iona is 8-16-2 as home favorites. St Peter’s plays 6th-slowest pace in country, force turnovers 22.1% of time.
Canisius is 5-3 vs Quinnipiac in MAAC play; they’re 3-1 in four visits here, winning by 12-2-10 points. Griffins won last four games after a 4-7 start; they’re 1-6 in true road games, with win at Robert Morris. Canisius is #277 experience team that turns ball over 22.4% of time. Quinnipiac won its last two games by total of three points after a 3-9 start; all Bobcat wins are by 1 or 2 points. Five of their last six games were decided by either 1 or 2 points. Last four years, Canisius is 14-5 as MAAC road favorites; Quinnipiac is 5-10 in last 15 games as home underdogs.
Friday, January 5
Toledo won four of its last five games with Akron; Zips lost by 17-14 points in last two visits here. Akron lost its last four D-I games; they’re #323 experience team that is 0-3 in true road games, losing by 13-22-12 points. Zips are turning ball over 21% of time. Toledo won three of last four games, but lost MAC opener 104-94 at Buffalo; Rockets are thin team (#346 in bench minutes) that is shooting 40.8% on arc (#21). Last 4+ years, Akron is 8-8 vs spread as MAC road underdogs; Toledo was 6-3 as a home favorite LY, after being 12-21-1 the previous four years.
Elon/Northeastern split their six CAA meetings, last three of which were all decided by 4 or less points. Elon won two of three visits here. Elon won its last three games, scoring 79.3 ppg; they won first two CAA games by 15-3 points. Huskies lost two of last three games; they’re 3-6 vs teams in top 200, turning ball over 20.9% for season. Northeastern is #257 experience team. Elon is 2-5 in true road games, winning at Boston U, Indiana State. Last two years, Elon is 8-6 as CAA road underdogs; last 5+ years, Northeastern is 15-21-1 as home favorites.
Wright State won five of last six games, winning first two Horizon games by 4-8 points. Raiders are 2-4 in true road games, but are 5-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200- they’re turning ball over 20.6% of time. Detroit lost its last nine games, dropping first two Horizon games by 12-8 points. Titans are 2-11 vs D-I teams; their defensive eFG% is #323 in country. Wright State won seven of last eight games with Detroit; they’re 3-2 in last five visits to Motor City. Last four years, Wright St is 4-6 as road favorites; Detroit is 5-9 as home underdogs.
Wisconsin won its last three games with Rutgers by 22-20-12ot points; they lost 67-62 in last visit here, three years ago. Badgers won their last five games after a 4-7 start; they’re 1-2 in true road games, with only win by a point at Penn State. Wisconsin is playing 6th-slowest pace in country. Rutgers lost its last three games after a 10-3 start; Knights are 1-4 vs top 100 teams- they upset Seton Hall on this floor. Last four years, Badgers are 13-14 as Big 14 road favorites; Rutgers is 10-13 vs spread under Pikiell as home underdogs.
Oakland won three of last four games; they’re #38 experience team that is playing pace #15. Grizzlies are 6-0 at home, but are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 24-43-13 points. Northern Kentucky won its first two Horizon games by 18-35 points; Norse is 0-4 in true road games, 0-3 vs teams in top 125- their best win is over #128 Iona. Oakland won three of four games with Northern Kentucky in Horizon play; teams split two games played here. NKU is 2-5 as a Horizon League road favorite; last four years, Oakland is 3-3 as home underdogs.
Charleston won four of last five games with Drexel; Cougars lost three of last four visits here. Charleston won its last four games, winning first two CAA games by 11-15 points; they’re 3-2 in true road games, 7-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Drexel lost five of its last four games; they gave up 98.5 ppg in losing first two CAA games, by 15-20 points. Dragons are 4-1 at home, but loss was to #242 Bowling Green. Charleston was 4-1 as CAA road favorites LY, after being 1-11 previous four years. last three years, Drexel is 9-11 as home favorites.
Wm & Mary won its last four games with Delaware, winning by 15-21 points in last two visits here. Tribe is 9-4 vs schedule #111; they won first two CAA games by 3-8 points- they’re 3-4 in true road games. W&M is shooting 43.5% on arc, #2 in country. Delaware won four of last five games, with two OT wins in there; Blue Hens are 1-5 vs top 200 teams- their best win was over #199 Cal-Bakersfield. Rebuilding Delaware is #318 in experience. Last 4+ years, Wm & Mary is 22-14 vs spread on CAA road; last three years, Delaware is 9-11 as home underdogs.
Northwestern is 1-5 vs top 100 teams, with lone win in OT over #88 Illinois. Wildcats lost by 15 at home to Nebraska in last game- they gave up 68 points in a half to Oklahoma. Penn State is 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with only win by 4 at #84 Iowa; Lions are #249 experience team that forces turnovers 22.3% of the time. Northwestern won three of last four games with Penn State; they won last four visits here. Last three years, Northwestern is 12-9 as Big 14 road underdogs; Penn State is 7-10 in its last 17 games as home favorites.
Oregon won five of its last six games; they won by 7 at Fresno State in only true road game this season. Ducks are 10-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with lone loss to UConn in PK80 event. Oregon State won seven of last nine games; four of its last five games were decided by 3 or less points. OSU is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 5-2 points. Oregon won seven of last eight games with the Beavers; Ducks won five of last seven visits to Corvallis, splitting last four. Last three years, Oregon is 10-6-1 as Pac-12 road favorites; under Tinkle, Beavers are 11-5-1 as home dogs.
This is Monmouth’s first home game since Dec 6; Hawks lost six of last seven games with only win over banged-up Yale; Hawks lost first two MAAC games by 2-13 points. Manhattan won its first two league games by total of 8 points; they’re 1-3 in true road games, with OT win at Marist. Monmouth won its last three games with Manhattan, winning last two meetings here by 9-11 points. Underdogs covered last five series games. Last three years, Manhattan is 10-12 as MAAC road dogs; last four years, Monmouth is 13-19-1 as home faves.
Fairfield is 0-5 in true road games, losing by 3 at Manhattan in its MAAC road opener; Stags are 2-5 vs top 200 teams- they’re #250 experience team that is shooting only 30.9% on arc. Rider won three of last four games; they’re 7-3 vs teams ranked outside top 150, but Broncs shoot only 64% on foul line (#328). Rider plays pace #34, very fast. Fairfield won its last four games with Rider, winning last two visits here, by 5-9 points. Last 4+ years, Fairfield is 20-13-1 as MAAC road underdogs; last three years, Rider is 12-9 as home favorites.
This is Iona’s first home game since Dec 12. Gaels are 7-7 this year; they won 20+ games the last eight years. Iona won nine of last ten games with St Peter’s; Peacocks lost their last seven games at Iona- they lost two of last three visits here in OT. Iona is 7-3 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Peacocks won three of last four games; they’re 1-5 in true road games, with only win at Lafayette by 4. Last 2+ years, St Peter’s is 11-3 as MAAC road underdogs; last three years, Iona is 8-16-2 as home favorites. St Peter’s plays 6th-slowest pace in country, force turnovers 22.1% of time.
Canisius is 5-3 vs Quinnipiac in MAAC play; they’re 3-1 in four visits here, winning by 12-2-10 points. Griffins won last four games after a 4-7 start; they’re 1-6 in true road games, with win at Robert Morris. Canisius is #277 experience team that turns ball over 22.4% of time. Quinnipiac won its last two games by total of three points after a 3-9 start; all Bobcat wins are by 1 or 2 points. Five of their last six games were decided by either 1 or 2 points. Last four years, Canisius is 14-5 as MAAC road favorites; Quinnipiac is 5-10 in last 15 games as home underdogs.
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