Friday 1-12-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Friday: Take OHIO U Pick'em over Kent

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High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Friday: Rider Broncs - 12 1/2

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Free Selection from Kenny Towers

Ov 5.5 Cal/FL - NHL -

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Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor FREE Play for Friday, January 12, 2017

01/12 04:35 PM NBA (807) BROOKLYN NETS VS (808) ATLANTA HAWKS

Take : Hawks

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Roz Wins

Roz's Friday, January 12, 2018, Free Pick

1/12 07:35 PM NBA (817) HOUSTON ROCKETS VS (818) PHOENIX SUNS

Take : Rockets

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Tony Brown

Tony's *5 Nba free play

Utah vs. Charlotte, 01/12/2018 19:00 EDT

Total: -110/+207 Under

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Fp: Utah known for it's defense and both teams not high on scoring I don't think we see 200 points making the under my Nba free play

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Brandon Lee

Jan 12 '18, 9:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Nuggets
Play on: OVER 205 -103

10* FREE NBA PICK (Grizzlies/Nuggets OVER 205)
I'll take my chances here that Denver and Memphis eclipse this small total tonight. I think the fact that the Nuggets just failed to score 100 points at home in a loss to Atlanta and the Grizzlies having the perception of a limited offensive team that plays great defense, has created value here with this total.
The Nuggets simply didn't show up against the Hawks. They are still averaging 110.9 ppg on 48% shooting at home on the season. Memphis is only allowing 102.4 ppg on the season, but are giving up 110.8 ppg over their last 5, a stretch in which they have the 4th worst defensive efficiency in the league.
While the defense has struggled of late, the Grizzlies come in having scored 100+ in 6 straight games. Denver is mediocre at best on defense and just allowed the Hawks to put up 110 on them on their home floor. They are giving up 106.1 ppg on the season and 108.4 ppg over their last 5.
OVER is 15-4 in the Nuggets last 19 home games after 2 or more losses and 11-1 in their last 12 home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Give me the OVER 205!

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John Martin

Jan 12 '18, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Blazers vs Pelicans
Play on: Pelicans -2 -110 at Bovada

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New Orleans Pelicans -2
The New Orleans Pelicans aren’t getting much respect from the books tonight as only 2-point home favorites over the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. There’s a good chance Anthony Davis returns from an ankle injury tonight as he has been upgraded to questionable after sitting out last game. But they still have enough to win this game even if he doesn’t suit up. The Pelicans have gone 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with the Blazers. They split the two meetings in Portland earlier this season despite Davis playing a combined five minutes in the two games. The home team is 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this series, and the Pelicans have won 3 of their last 4 home meetings with the Blazers. Give me the Pelicans.

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Jack Jones

Jan 12 '18, 9:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Nuggets
Play on: Grizzlies +7½ -105 at 5Dimes

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Memphis Grizzlies +7.5
The Memphis Grizzlies have been a nice money maker over the last couple weeks. They have gone 3-3 SU but 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. They have gotten healthy and Tyreke Evans has really given them a spark as he is playing arguably the best basketball of his career.
I think the Grizzlies will be able to go on the road tonight and hang with the Denver Nuggets, who have left a lot to be desired here of late. Denver is 0-3 SU & 0-2-1 ATS in its last three games overall. The Nuggets lost 98-106 at Sacramento, 114-124 at short-handed Golden State, and 97-110 as 9.5-point home favorites against Atlanta.
Memphis is 8-2 straight up in its last 10 meetings with Denver. The Grizzlies have gone 4-1 straight up in their last five trips to Denver. Now they don’t even have to win this game to cover, they just have to stay within 7.5 points.
Plays against home favorites (Denver) after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) against a bad team (25% to 40%) are 45-18 (71.4%) ATS since 1996. The Nuggets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Bet the Grizzlies Friday.

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Teddy Davis

Jan 12 '18, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Nebraska vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -7½ -107 at 5Dimes

This might seem like a big number, but I trust Penn St here at home. This team just has a lot more talent than Nebraska. Sure, Penn St is 2-3 in the conference, but with a little luck they could easily be 4-1 or even 5-0. They lost by 1 to Wisconsin by 6 @ Maryland and by 4 @ Indiana last game.
I know Nebraska has covered 3 straight in the conference, but they beat a bad Wisconsin team last time out and their other win I'm disregarding as they thumped Northwestern on the road but they were without McIntosh for that game.

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Totals Guru

Jan 12 '18, 6:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Marquette vs Butler
Play on: OVER 157 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Marquette vs Butler over 157 -110

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Doug Upstone

Jan 12 '18, 8:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Wisc-Milwaukee vs Illinois-Chicago
Play on: OVER 134½ -120

On this Friday night in the Horizon League, Play Over on road teams like Milwaukee, when the total is between 130 and 139.5 points, off a road loss by three points or less, playing their third game in a week. In the last five years this system is 31-10.

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Scott Spreitzer

Jan 12 '18, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Warriors vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks +6 -105 at Bovada

I'm taking the points with the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday. Golden State will likely be without Steph Curry (ankle) tonight and while they own a deeply talented squad able of overcoming one or two injured players, the fact is, this line is a little high as far as we're concerned. GSW is basically playing out the regular season only truly concerned about staying healthy and readying themselves for another championship run once the postseason arrives. They aren't quite as indifferent about the regular season as the Cavaliers, but they also only tend to "drop the clutch" every once in a while. In fact, they've covered just six of their last 16 games. Milwaukee has won 12 of their last 16 home games and the "Greek Freak" is on fire, nailing 61 percent of his shots in 2018 (six games). All five starters reached at least 14 points in their 110-103 win over Orlando last time out. The Bucks are on an 8-2-1 ATS run against teams with a winning record and while the common assumption would be that Golden State bounces back well off a loss by more than 10 points, the fact is they're just 3-9 ATS in this situation. We're grabbing the points with the Bucks on Friday night as they look to extend their head-to-head spread run to 11-3-1. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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Larry Ness

Jan 12 '18, 8:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Warriors vs Bucks
Play on: Bucks +6 -105 at Bovada

My 1* Free Play is on the Milwaukee Bucks (8:05 EST).
I think we’re going to witness a very competitive battle between these non-conference opponents on Friday night.
Golden State comes in off a 125-106 loss to the Clippers in its latest action, while Milwaukee comes in off a 110-103 home win over Orlando on Wednesday. Not surprisingly, this sets up as a “revenge” scenario for the home side after the Warriors took both meetings last year.
Golden State averages 115.7 PPG and it concedes 106.6. Kevin Durant had 40 points in his team’s latest loss to LA.
Milwaukee averages 106 PPG and it concedes 106 as well. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 26 points and seven boards in his team’s latest victory.
I’ll point out that Golden State is just 9-10 ATS this season against teams with winning records and only 4-5 ATS this year after allowing 115 points or more in its previous outing, while Milwaukee is 10-8 ATS against clubs with winning records and 7-6 ATS against good offensive teams which average 106-plus points per game.
With a tough matchup tomorrow night in Toronto, followed by a game in Cleveland, clearly it’s not too hard to imagine Golden State getting caught “looking ahead” here as well.
While I’m not calling for the outright upset, everything does indeed point to a very tight game. Consider the Bucks in this one.
Good luck…Larry

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Matt Josephs

Jan 12 '18, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Cleveland State vs Oakland
Play on: OVER 156 -110

Oakland wraps up a four game home stand and has lost three of their last four overall. The Grizzlies have been awful defensively as of late allowing 80 or more in four straight and seven of their last eight. They can do so because of a really potent offense led by Kendrick Nunn, Jalen Hayes and Martez Walker who average over 60 points per game combined. They've gone over in seven of their last nine games. Cleveland State is coming off an 85-84 loss at Detroit. This is a team that has allowed 85, 111, 81, 79, 78, 72, 72, 70 and 67 on the road. They've gone over in four of five and five of their last seven games. It's not so much their offense, but their true lack of defense that has allowed them to do so. The Vikings have some talent with Kenny Carpenter, Bobby Word and Tyree Appleby. To me, Oakland will do a lot of the lifting.