Monday 1-15-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 08:46 AM

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:18 PM EASTERN POST
The Damon Runyon Stakes
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#7 JAYE JAYE
#5 EMPIRE LINE
#3 EVALUATOR
#1 SMOOTH MOVE

Well folks ... The Damon Runyon Stakes is named for the world famous newspaperman who chronicled Broadway doings and the lives of sports figures and gamblers for several decades. The musical "Guys and Dolls" is based on several of his short stories. Racing was one of his hobbies and he campaigned a modest string of horses. Runyon died in 1946. Here in the 39th renewal of "The Runyon," #7 JAYE JAYE is undefeated in a two race career to date, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start. #5 EMPIRE LINE, the morning line favorite, has scored with "POWER RUN WINS" in both his last start, as well as in his "first asking."

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 08:48 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES SINCE MMM NAN, 2017 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 14, 2017 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 R GIRL SHE GONE 3/1

# 3 MY IRON LADY 10/1

# 8 SUGADADEZE 10/1

R GIRL SHE GONE looks formidable to best this field. Has to be carefully examined against this group of animals displaying competitive numbers recently and an average speed figure of 73 under similar conditions. Will most likely come out strong - I have liked the way this mare has moved speedily to the lead recently. She has competitive class ratings, averaging 83, and has to be given a chance for this event. MY IRON LADY - Seems to have a quite good class edge based on the recent company kept. Is worth serious consideration and may be a wager - strong Equibase speed figs (65 average) at today's distance and surface recently. SUGADADEZE - The duo of Hernandez/Rivera has one of the strongest ROI percentages in this group. This pony is ranked high in this group of horses in earnings per start at the distance/surface.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 08:48 AM

Handicapped by Valuline at Fair Grounds

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Fair Grounds, Race 1 (Monday January 15, 2018)

BIG KICK
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

FG-1 1mi-70 DIRT Six Horses
"A" CLM 15,000 4YUP $21,000
P# dd ex p3 t s ML WP TVL

1 BIG KICK 8/5 36% 9/5 Strong Favorite icon
6 LIBERTY LANE 5/1 29% 5/2
3 CHARMING DEPUTY 6/1 14% 6/1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 08:49 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields

Golden Gate Fields - Race 7

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 min) $1 Rolling Super High Five

Starter Allowance $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Ages 4 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $10,500 • Post: 3:55P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS IN 2016-2018. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 1, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $3,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Trailer. IT GIRL is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * MATTER OF LUCK: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or four th start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BELLANZA: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ANNISQUAM: Today is a sprint and th e horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TIZFIT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
1
MATTER OF LUCK
2/1

5/1
2
BELLANZA
5/2

5/1
5
ANNISQUAM
6/1

7/1
4
TIZFIT
6/1

10/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
BELLANZA
2

5/2
Front-runner
90

85

101.4

81.6

77.1
3
ULTIMATE GAME
3

9/2
Front-runner
86

79

97.8

69.8

59.8
5
ANNISQUAM
5

6/1
Front-runner
91

85

89.4

69.8

63.3
4
TIZFIT
4

6/1
Stalker
84

79

79.6

82.4

75.4
7
GRACEE HUNNY
7

20/1
Stalker
73

67

46.8

61.0

47.5
1
MATTER OF LUCK
1

2/1
Alternator/Stalker
93

84

88.6

82.8

79.8
6
IT GIRL
6

6/1
Trailer
83

77

49.8

71.8

60.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 08:49 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - SO - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $27000 Class Rating: 97

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $16,000 OR LESS SINCE JULY 1, 2016 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE DECEMBER 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (IF

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 ZEVEN 5/1

# 7 ARTHEMISA 4/1

# 4 TERI'S BIG HEART 12/1

I think ZEVEN is a formidable choice. Is a key contender - given the 92 speed figure from her most recent race. ARTHEMISA - Has very strong Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. Has the looks of a profitable play. TERI'S BIG HEART - She has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the top in this group. Profitable rider and handler team, with a +9 return on investment.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 08:50 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #9 - Post: 4:31pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,500 Class Rating: 47

Rating: 4

#2 MURRAY HILLBILLY (ML=7/2)

MURRAY HILLBILLY - The ROI when Quinones and Zielinski team up is outstanding. I like to play this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp outing within the last month. This filly should be at the fitness peak, this far into her form cycle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SHE'S FLAT OUT (ML=5/2), #9 THE LAST CARD (ML=3/1), #5 KINDA SHY (ML=8/1),

SHE'S FLAT OUT - This filly hasn't had any positive results in short distance events in the last couple of months. THE LAST CARD - Somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last out at Mahoning Valley Race Cour at 5 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this racer will improve too much in today's event. KINDA SHY - Improbable that the speed figure she recorded on December 20th will hold up in this event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #2 MURRAY HILLBILLY on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 09:22 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,300 Class Rating: 63

Rating: 3

#3 EIGHTY AND SUNNY (ML=6/5)
#7 SUM CANDY (ML=7/2)

EIGHTY AND SUNNY - Trainer Diodoro moves this thoroughbred down the ladder based on class to face a weaker class today. Look for a sharp effort with this class drop. This gelding is in nice physical condition. Ran second on December 26th. SUM CANDY - Have to make this gelding a serious competitor; he comes off a strong effort on Dec 31st. This animal wins a lot of cash per race around the track. I believe he can increase the lifetime total in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 I'MROCKINGTHISLIFE (ML=4/1), #1 SPECTACULAR ONE (ML=9/2),

I'MROCKINGTHISLIFE - This entrant didn't go to the lead and didn't make up any ground in the lane last time he ran. Finished fifth on January 2nd after the long layoff. Doubtful if there will be a reversal of fortune in this event. SPECTACULAR ONE - This racer ran a common speed rating last time around the track. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably get beat today running that rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 EIGHTY AND SUNNY to win if you can get at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 12:24 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, January 15

Charlotte @ Detroit

Game 701-702
January 15, 2018 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
114.572
Detroit
121.998
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 7 1/2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 3
205
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-3); Under

Toronto @ Philadelphia

Game 703-704
January 15, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
117.443
Philadelphia
122.791
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 5 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
N/A

Milwaukee @ Washington

Game 705-706
January 15, 2018 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
119.311
Washington
120.784
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+5 1/2); Over

San Antonio @ Atlanta

Game 707-708
January 15, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
119.879
Atlanta
116.452
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 3 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 8 1/2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+8 1/2); Over

New York @ Brooklyn

Game 709-710
January 15, 2018 @ 3:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
117.556
Brooklyn
116.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 1
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 2 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+2 1/2); Over

Miami @ Chicago

Game 711-712
January 15, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
119.762
Chicago
118.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 1 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+1 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ Memphis

Game 713-714
January 15, 2018 @ 5:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
113.412
Memphis
117.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 4 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-2); Under

Golden State @ Cleveland

Game 715-716
January 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
128.229
Cleveland
120.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 8
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 5
231
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-5); Under

Sacramento @ Oklahoma City

Game 717-718
January 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
114.312
Oklahoma City
121.445
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 12
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+12); Over

Indiana @ Utah

Game 719-720
January 15, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
117.606
Utah
118.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
N/A

Houston @ LA Clippers

Game 721-722
January 15, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
127.814
LA Clippers
119.203
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 8 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 12:27 PM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, January 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (16 - 25) at DETROIT (22 - 19) - 1/15/2018, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 51-65 ATS (-20.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 112-160 ATS (-64.0 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (29 - 12) at PHILADELPHIA (19 - 20) - 1/15/2018, 1:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (22 - 20) at WASHINGTON (25 - 18) - 1/15/2018, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 39-18 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 399-467 ATS (-114.7 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (29 - 15) at ATLANTA (11 - 31) - 1/15/2018, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1027-897 ATS (+40.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 823-698 ATS (+55.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 91-52 ATS (+33.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 343-281 ATS (+33.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 418-335 ATS (+49.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
ATLANTA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (19 - 24) at BROOKLYN (16 - 27) - 1/15/2018, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (25 - 17) at CHICAGO (16 - 27) - 1/15/2018, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
MIAMI is 68-54 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 67-97 ATS (-39.7 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (15 - 27) at MEMPHIS (13 - 28) - 1/15/2018, 5:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
MEMPHIS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.
MEMPHIS is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (35 - 9) at CLEVELAND (26 - 16) - 1/15/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 97-68 ATS (+22.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 57-29 ATS (+25.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-8 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-6 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (13 - 29) at OKLAHOMA CITY (23 - 20) - 1/15/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 185-145 ATS (+25.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=98 points/game since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (23 - 20) at UTAH (17 - 25) - 1/15/2018, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (30 - 11) at LA CLIPPERS (21 - 21) - 1/15/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 12:27 PM

NBA

Monday, January 15

Pistons won five of last six games with Charlotte; home side won nine of last ten series games. Hornets are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits here. Five of last seven series games went over total. Hornets split their last 10 games; they’re 5-8-2 as road underdogs. Six of their last eight games stayed under total. Detroit lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as home favorites. Six of their last nine games stayed under total.

Raptors won nine of their last ten games with Philly; they covered three of their last four visits here. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Toronto won six of its last eight games; they’re 7-6 vs spread as road favorites- six of their last seven games went over total. 76ers won four of their last five games; they’re 2-1 vs spread as home underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total.

Wizards won three of last four games with Milwaukee; under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Bucks are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Washington won six of its last eight games; they’re 7-11 as home favorites. Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Milwaukee is 3-5 in its last eight games; they’re 8-10 as road underdogs, 5-2-1 vs spread if they played nite before. Bucks’ last four games stayed under the total.

Spurs won nine of last ten games with Atlanta, covering five of last six; San Antonio covered three of last four visits here. Four of last six series games went over total. San Antonio split its last eight games; they’re 6-9 as road favorites. Over is 3-1 in their last four road games. Atlanta lost five of its last six games; they’re 7-8 as home underdogs. Three of their last four games went over.

Knicks won five of last seven games with Brooklyn; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five games in Barclays Center. Three of last four series games went over. New York lost 10 of last 12 games; they’re 6-11 as road underdogs, 2-6 vs spread if they played day before. Five of their last six games went over total. Brooklyn lost four of its last five games; they’re 3-4 as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over total.

Miami won seven of its last nine games with Chicago; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to the Windy City. Five of last six series games stayed under the total. Miami won its last seven games; they’re 9-4 vs spread as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. Chicago is 13-7 in its last 20 games, 5-2 as home favorites; eight of their last nine games went over total.

Lakers won three of last four games with Memphis; home side won eight of last ten series games. LA is 1-3 vs spread in its last four visits to Memphis. Over is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Lakers won their last four games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. LA is 10-7 as road underdogs. Memphis lost three of its last four games; they’re 2-9 as home favorites. Grizzlies’ last three games stayed under the total.

Warriors won six of last seven games with Cleveland; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four series games. Four of last five series games went over. Golden State won seven of its last eight games; they’re 7-4 in last 11 tries as road favorites. Six of their last eight games went over total. Cleveland lost seven of last nine games; they’re 4-2 vs spread as underdogs this year (all on road). Three of their last four games went over.

Thunder/Kings split their last ten games; Sacramento covered three of last four visits here. Five of last seven series games went over the total. Sacramento lost four in row, seven of last eight games; they’re 8-11-1 as road underdogs. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Oklahoma City is 3-5 in its last eight games; they’re 6-12-1 as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Jazz won three of their last four games with Indiana; four of last five series games went over the total. Pacers are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to SLC. Indiana won four of its last five games; they’re 7-7 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Utah lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 7-9 as home favorites. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Clippers won four of their last six games with Houston; over is 4-2 in last six series games. Rockets covered three of last five series games played here. Houston won its last three games, by 9-9-17 points; they’re 12-8 vs spread on road. Over is 9-5-1 in their last 15 games. Clippers won their last four games; they’re 13-10 vs spread at home. Last seven Clipper games went over the total.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 12:28 PM

NBA

Monday, January 15

Trend Report

CHARLOTTE @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Charlotte's last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

TORONTO @ PHILADELPHIA
Toronto is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Philadelphia
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

MILWAUKEE @ WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 22 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

SAN ANTONIO @ ATLANTA
San Antonio is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Atlanta
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing San Antonio

NEW YORK @ BROOKLYN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 8 games at home

MIAMI @ CHICAGO
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games

LA LAKERS @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

SACRAMENTO @ OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Oklahoma City is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Sacramento

GOLDEN STATE @ CLEVELAND
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Golden State

INDIANA @ UTAH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games at home
Utah is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Indiana

HOUSTON @ LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 12:28 PM

NBA Betting roadmap: How to handle teams returning from London
Al McMordie

The Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers traveled "across the pond" to play a game in London, England this past Thursday.

The NBA Trade Deadline is less than four weeks away, so the rumors have started to swirl. In the middle of such rumors is LeBron James' Cavaliers, who have lost seven of their last nine games, and now sit in third place in the Eastern Conference, behind Boston and Toronto.

Certainly, there is pressure on Cleveland's management to upgrade its roster, lest it risk losing James to Free Agency in the off-season. But they may be unwilling to part with either of their two 2018 first-round picks, which would hamper any effort to acquire talent.

Let's take a look at this week's upcoming action.

Spread Watch

This has been the strangest of seasons for the San Antonio Spurs. On the surface, of course, everything looks normal. The Spurs are 28-15 straight-up, and they are 22-18-3 ATS. They own the 5th best record in the league, and are likely on their way to their 21st consecutive season of winning at least 60 percent of their games. But what's missing this season is any long-term consistency and that's obviously related to the fact that six of their best nine players have missed significant playing time. Kawhi Leonard (35 games missed), Tony Parker (26), Danny Green (11), Rudy Gay (9), Manu Ginobili (8) and Kyle Anderson (8) have all been sidelined for significant portions of this season, which has greatly harmed the Spurs' ability to find any sort of rhythm.

Indeed, San Antonio's longest win streak this season is just four games and its longest point spread win streak this season is just three games! To put these streaks into perspective, consider that the Spurs have had 88 separate win streaks of at least five games since the 1997-98 season, but this year they have had none. And they've had 72 separate point spread win streaks of at least four games since 1997-98. But, once again, they've had zero this season.

The good news is that sometimes INCONSISTENCY can be a gambler's friend. For example, the Spurs are 10-6-1 ATS this season off a point spread loss, while they're 9-11-2 ATS off a point spread win. Thus, by simply betting on the Spurs to do the opposite against the spread from the result of their previous game, one would be 21-15-3 ATS this season. In this way, the Spurs' inconsistency can certainly be used to our advantage - at least until the point in the season when they're finally healthy, and have found some cohesion. But that's likely weeks away, at this point.

This upcoming week, the Spurs will host Denver, on Saturday, before embarking on a 3-game road trip to face Atlanta, Brooklyn and Toronto. With the Spurs off a blowout loss this past Thursday at the Lakers, I would lay the points with San Antone on Saturday vs. the Nuggets.

Total Watch

The Chicago Bulls' best player (by far) this season has been Nikola Mirotic. He's averaging 17.4 points and 7.0 rebounds per game and his PER is 23.03. Unfortunately for the Bulls, he missed the season's first 23 games while he recovered from facial fractures sustained in an altercation with his teammate, Bobby Portis, in the preseason. Chicago started the season 3-20 straight-up and 10-12-1 ATS without Mirotic. But since he returned, it has gone 12-7 SU and 14-5 ATS.

A big reason is that Chicago's offense has greatly improved - it averaged 95.6 ppg in its first 23 games, but 110.2 ppg since. And one area which has been greatly affected is Over/Unders. Prior to Mirotic's return, Chicago went 'Over' the total in just nine of its 23 games (39.1 percent). However, it's sailed 'Over' the total 15-3-1 since.

This week, the Bulls will host Detroit, Miami and Golden State. Of these, the game on Wednesday vs. the Warriors looks like the best candidate to be high-scoring. Golden State has played six of its last seven games 'Over' the total. Moreover, these two teams combined for 237 points earlier this season.

Schedule Watch

The Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers traveled "across the pond" to play a game in London, England this past Thursday. The Celtics won that game, 114-103, as a 1.5-point favorite. The NBA's "International Series" games dates back to 1984, when the Nets and Suns met in Milan for a preseason game. The first regular season games outside of the USA/Canada was in 1990, when the Suns and Jazz opened the season with two games in Tokyo, Japan.

Overall, since 1990, the NBA has played 12 games in Japan, eight in England, and seven in Mexico. The games in Mexico, of course, are played in a regular time zone, while those in England and Japan are not.

The knee-jerk reaction might be to play AGAINST the two teams immediately upon their return from Japan or England, under the theory that they might be a bit out-of-whack from the travel. Not surprisingly, such a knee-jerk reaction has proven to be wrong. Indeed, NBA teams have actually over-performed in their first game back (as well as their second game back), as they've gone 18-6 SU and 16-8 ATS in their initial game (and 17-7 SU and 15-7-2 ATS in their 2nd game). And we've seen somewhat similar results in the NFL, as those teams have gone 23-18-1 ATS in their game following a trip to London (although all but six of those teams had a bye week in between).

One of the best situations in an NBA team's initial game back is when it was playing with at least four days' of rest, as that situation has gone 8-2 ATS. Boston will be playing with four days' of rest when it hosts New Orleans on Tuesday, and I would lay the points with the Celtics.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 12:29 PM

College basketball Monday betting primer and odds
Ashton Grewal

Bill Self and his Jayhawks are 0-4 straight up in their last four trips to Morgantown and 2-8 against the spread in their last 10 games against Bob Huggins and the West Virginia Mountaineers.

It’s a big day Monday for college hoops fans with top ranked teams squaring off in important conference games that could go a long way in impressing the selection committee come March.

Here are some betting tidbits on the three biggest games:

Duke Blue Devils at Miami Hurricanes (+4)

The biggest challenge for Miami will be keeping pace offensively with the Blue Devils. Duke ranks first in all of college basketball in offensive efficiency with 1.22 points per possession and the team averages 93.2 points per game on 51.1 percent shooting from the field.

Duke’s defense is dreadful but the Hurricanes don’t have nearly as much fire power as their opponent. Miami’s leading scorer, Dewan Huell, averages just 13.6 points and its star freshman, Lonnie Walker, averages just 8.6 points per game.

The Over is 12-3 in Duke’s 15 lined games this season.

Kansas Jayhawks at West Virginia Mountaineers (-7.5)

Kansas isn’t an underdog too often in Big 12 games and this is its largest dog tag since February 2004 when oddsmakers had the team getting the same 7.5 points on the road against Texas.

Close observers of the Jayhawks wouldn’t gripe about this spread though. Coach Bill Self is dealing with a dearth of talent the likes of which hoop heads in Lawrence haven’t seen in more than a decade. Star recruit Billy Preston is still ineligible to play leaving the Jayhawks with just eight scholarship players on their roster.

Point guard Devonte Graham has played 190 out of the 200 total minutes of game play in the Jayhawks’ first five Big 12 games.

“I’m trying to rest him, but right now we can’t play without him,” Self told reporters the Saturday before last. “This might be the hand we’re dealt and the hand he’s dealt all year long. I hate to say that we might need to play zone or run a different offense so he can rest some when he’s on the court. He’s worn out.”

The Jayhawks are 0-4 straight up in their last four trips to West Virginia and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against WVU.

Maryland Terrapins at Michigan Wolverines (-7)

Michigan is coming off its first double-digit win at MSU since 1997, so there might be a bit of a letdown here in this spot. The Wolverines improved to No. 19 in the nation in defensive efficiency – something Big Blue supporters aren’t accustomed to seeing. Michigan finished 172nd in the same stat category last season.

The season-ending injury to sophomore forward Justin Jackson hasn’t slowed down the Terps. Maryland is 7-2 straight up and 4-2 ATS since losing Jackson. The Over is 8-2 in the Terps’ last 10 lined games.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 01-15-2018, 12:30 PM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, January 15

Youngstown St @ Wright State

Game 723-724
January 15, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Youngstown St
42.101
Wright State
57.724
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wright State
by 15 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wright State
by 13
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Wright State
(-13); Over

Butler @ Providence

Game 725-726
January 15, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Butler
65.486
Providence
68.284
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Providence
by 3
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Providence
by 1
147
Dunkel Pick:
Providence
(-1); Over

Maryland @ Michigan

Game 727-728
January 15, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maryland
66.229
Michigan
70.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 4
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 7
136
Dunkel Pick:
Maryland
(+7); Under

Duke @ Miami-FL

Game 729-730
January 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
72.338
Miami-FL
71.490
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Duke
by 1
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Duke
by 4
155
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(+4); Under

Florida State @ Boston College

Game 731-732
January 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
68.719
Boston College
68.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
Even
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 3 1/2
154
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(+3 1/2); Under

Minnesota @ Penn State

Game 733-734
January 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
58.624
Penn State
64.729
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 6
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 7 1/2
148
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+7 1/2); Under

Cleveland State @ Northern Kentucky

Game 735-736
January 15, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland State
42.612
Northern Kentucky
63.598
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Kentucky
by 21
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Kentucky
by 17 1/2
142
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Kentucky
(-17 1/2); Over

Oakland @ Illinois-Chicago

Game 737-738
January 15, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
57.823
Illinois-Chicago
50.404
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 7 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
by 3
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-3); Over

WI-Milwaukee @ Green Bay

Game 739-740
January 15, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
WI-Milwaukee
47.552
Green Bay
42.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
WI-Milwaukee
by 5
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
WI-Milwaukee
by 2
140
Dunkel Pick:
WI-Milwaukee
(-2); Under

DePaul @ Marquette

Game 741-742
January 15, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
DePaul
55.348
Marquette
69.428
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marquette
by 14
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marquette
by 10 1/2
160
Dunkel Pick:
Marquette
(-10 1/2); Under

Illinois @ Nebraska

Game 743-744
January 15, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
59.812
Nebraska
62.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
by 2 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 5 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Illinois
(+5 1/2); Over

Oklahoma State @ Baylor

Game 745-746
January 15, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
65.737
Baylor
68.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 3
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 6
139
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma State
(+6); Over

Kansas @ West Virginia

Game 747-748
January 15, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas
68.767
West Virginia
77.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 9
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 4 1/2
158
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-4 1/2); Under

VMI @ Western Carolina

Game 749-750
January 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
VMI
35.318
Western Carolina
48.825
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Carolina
by 13 1/2
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Carolina
by 10
138
Dunkel Pick:
Western Carolina
(-10); Under

Chattanooga @ Mercer

Game 751-752
January 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chattanooga
44.713
Mercer
56.698
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mercer
by 12
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mercer
by 15
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chattanooga
(+15); Over

New Hampshire @ UMass Lowell

Game 753-754
January 15, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Hampshire
47.228
UMass Lowell
48.904
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UMass Lowell
by 1 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Hampshire
by 2 1/2
148 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UMass Lowell
(+2 1/2); Over

Bucknell @ Colgate

Game 755-756
January 15, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bucknell
54.712
Colgate
53.661
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bucknell
by 1
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bucknell
by 4 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Colgate
(+4 1/2); N/A

Monday 1-15-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Monday 1-15-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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