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When this season began the clear strength of the Philadelphia Eagles was their defensive line. Then Wentz became their biggest strength. Now it's their defensive line again. NOBODY has been able to stop this crew from reeking havoc with QB's. This is a deep team on the line and they are going to get to Brady. Brady does not do well when he is pressured so we think this is absolutely the key to the win and we do think Philly will win the game outright. Yes I will have some money line money on this one. We saw how they Pats barely beat the Jags and it was not all about "The Hand." Jacksonville's D had a lot to do with the Narrow Patriots win. Foles may not be Wentz but he's not that bad and is getting better and better with each game. The Eagles, unli™ke the Jags are a team that is built to play with the lead. They are not likely to fold on Sunday. We are also expecting Philly to create some turnovers as well, just like they have all year. This was an easy selection for us and is a 3* Play at any number you can get...Props hitting all week and should be played for 1% each unless otherwise noted. Your Lines on these will vary from Book to Book. I am going to post what I think are Consensus Lines..
Super Bowl LII Prop Bets
1) Under 9.5 Points 1st Quarter -110
2) Will Zach Ertz will Score a TD. YES +145
3) Total Sacks by Both Teams Over 4.5 -115
4) Patriots Over 1.5 Field Goals -140
Well here we are. This is the one game each year that ends up being the poster child for the term paralysis of analysis. You will, over the time leading up to kick off hear so many varying opinions you will get dizzy. There will be legitimate football insiders who will clash in their predictions. Happens every year. So welcome to this guys opinion. While I have the absolute utmost respect for Tom Brady and Coach B. I cannot get past the stubborn fact that their defense simply is not in reality all that good this time around. They finished 29th overall in the league in total defense and that is simply not an ideal recipe for winning another Lombardi trophy. On the flip side this Eagles defense seems to be peaking at the exact right time. They basically abused the Vikings in that title game. They also held on against a very explosive Falcons team. The Patriots have a proven knack for coming from behind and have proven it. I will not be shocked if they pull the win out but no way am I comfortable laying these points to a red hot Eagles team playing with a swagger right now. Lets take just a moment and look at the Patriots history in the super bowl. And let's go back away's and check the good and bad. Yes, last year they won by 6 over the Falcons but it took a miracle to do it. In my view a combination of gritty play from Brady and company along with some choking by the Falcons. Sorry. In 2015 they beat Seattle by four points when they held up on the goal line, remember that. I stand by my opinion had Lynch gotten the ball on the last play that would have ended differently. In 2012 they lost to the Giants outright 21-17. In 2008 they also lost to the Giants. In 2005 they beat the Eagles but only by 3 points 24-21. In 2004 they beat the Panthers but by only 3 points 32-29. In 2002 theÚy beat the Rams but only by 3 points 20-17. There is a common theme here, they play close games fellas. No reason in the world against this Eagles team we should anticipate anything different in my own view. Nick Foles has stepped in under tough circumstances and improved game by game. Doug Pederson has worked some magic with Foles. I could go on and on but the bottom line here is I do think the Eagles will have success moving the chains on this Patriots defense and I am very confident the Eagles defense will hound Brady all game long. A lot of these games turn into blow outs but nothing here suggests that to me. I expect a close battle that will likely go down to the wire. I am going Triple on the Eagles plus the points.
Now, I have won 10 of my last 12 super bowl plays. That is very solid but it is not 100%. My long term clients know I don't deal in BS like locks. Never have. PLEASE do not wager more than you can afford on any one event, super bowl or not. Not trying to preach, quite the opposite. Trying to help. Please also check back as I likely will add some props as well as we draw closer to game day.
Many thanks as always and best of luck to all of us. Enjoy the big game.
Prop Wager: Bovada, Will both teams make a field goal of 33 yards or more in the game. I say play the No at +125.
Prop Wager: Will a special teams or defensive touchdown be scored? Yes, +180
Super Bowl Highest Rated release is up with 4 Perfect systems and Multiple Power Angles and Historical data up now along with all the props. In Hoops we have the PAC 12 Play of the Month and a 5* NBA Side. NCAAB Total of the year cashes on Saturday. NCAAB Comp play below.
The NCAAB Comp play for Super Bowl Sunday is on Tulane plus the 2-3 points. Tulane is much better this year then in years past and already stunned Temple on the road as a 10 point dog. The Green Wave are 3-0 straight up a as home dogs and 3-0 at home with a 140-145 point total. They have won 9 of 12 here this year. Temple is off their biggest win in Years shocking Wichita St last out. Temple may bounce big here and even with Home loss revenge they have failed to cover 4 of 5. They are 0-2 on he road with a 140 to 145 point total and have failed to cover 14 of 19 as a favorite. This line shoots up to +3.5 and we will unit rate this play. Ride the Green Wave tonight. On Super Sunday we have a Huge Highest Rated Release going with 4 amazing perfect systems and over a dozen angles and historical Super Bowl specific indicators. In Hoops we have the PAC 12 Game of the Month and a 5* Perfect system NBA Play. Congrats to those with us on Saturday cashing our NCAAB Total of the Year. Message or see us on facebook to jump on now. For the NCAAB Free pick. Play on Tulane plus the 2-3 points. Rob V- GC Sports
UNDER 9.5 Points in the first quarter
OVER 4.5 Receptions for Patriots Danny Amendola
Will Patriot’s kicker Gostkowski’s first kickoff go for a touchback? No
Will Eagles have a 4th down conversion in the game? Yes
First TD scored by the Eagles? – TE Zach Ertz at +425
First TD scored by the Patriots? – WR Danny Amendola at +700
good luck to all. have a great Super Bowl Sunday! Swami
Maddux
#102 - NFL - 10 units on New England Moneyline -200
#102 - NFL - 10 units on Philadelphia & New England Under 24 (1st Half)
Prop Bets (Worth 5 units each)
Eagles Team Total Under 21.5 -115
LeGarrette Blount Under 7.5 Rushing Attempts -150
Rob Gronkowski Longest Reception Over 24.5 Yards -150
Totals 4 You "Total Domination" for Sunday, February 4th
2018 Super Bowl LII Super Total of the Year!!!!!
Philadelphia/New England under 48 1/2
Please note: due to the discount, guarantees do not apply to this package
February's NBA East Daytime Dominator of the Month!!!!! Milwaukee/Brooklyn over 209
NBA Best Bets Atlanta/New York over 212
Memphis/Toronto under 208
Los Angeles/Oklahoma City over 214
Charlotte/Phoenix over 219 February's NCAA Basketball on FOX Total of the Month!!!!!
Seton Hall/Villanova under 157
NCAA Best Bets
Georgia Tech/Boston College under 135 1/2
Illinois/Ohio State over 143
Wisconsin/Maryland under 132 1/2
Arizona State/Washington State over 157 1/2
Risked 5 units to win 4.95*Philadelphia Eagles +4 -101*vs New England Patriots
Risked 5 units to win 8.75*Philadelphia Eagles +175*vs New England Patriots
6-Unit Play. #102. Take New England Patriots -4.5 over Philadelphia Eagles (Sunday @ 6:30pm est)
At the end of the day, you don't go against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots and we love the fact that society loves the feel good story here in the Eagles and the cold weather element is a big Eagles edge - but we simply don't think so. There is no better game planner than Bill B and we love that the Pats probably played the best team in the playoffs outside of the Patriots in the Jaguars whose defense is sick and we love the fact that the line has dropped all the way down as well to -4.5. Note, the Patriots came out of the gates very sluggish in there last game and the Vikings were simply not ready for the moment whereas the Patriots will be. Bill B is well aware of Jim Schwartz as is Tom Brady and what they like to run and note that Brady is much more experienced and talented than Case Keenum. The Eagles are way overvalued here and we believe Nick Foles great run comes to an end (as remember, this same staff dealt with Foles when he was terrible before Wentz as well). Patriots get it done here by a a score of 27-17 and the Pats defense plays great defensively.
2-Unit Play. Take Over 4.5 Quarterback Sacks (-140) Philadelphia Eagles vs. New England Patriots (Sunday @ 6:30pm est) (Bovada Prop)
This game will be based on the Eagles Pass Rush if they have any chance as well as the Patriots pass rush if they have any chance and we like both defenses to take plenty of chances and that bodes well as both these DC's are super aggressive and are going to become head coaches with Patricia headed to the Lions and Schwartz being closely looked at by any teams, a little selfishness goes in here as well and we like the Over.
2-Unit Play. Will there be a Roughing the Passer called in the Game? Yes. Bovada Prop.
Just too much aggressiveness and emotions will be running in the game for both teams and the Eagles know that Brady is hurt a little bit and they will have a little nasty in him and will get after them and with the nation watching the Refs will protect these quarterbacks as they usually do.
When two teams at entirely different talent levels meet in the Super Bowl, the result is usually a line that's pushed closer than it should be because the underdog gets a lot of credit simply for making it to the Super Bowl. But this Eagles team isn't nearly as talented as the Patriots, who have been here before. The quarterback play will make all the difference here, and you can't expect Nick Foles to repeat his performance from last week. Lay the points, the Patriots win in convincing fashion.
Released TODAY THURSDAY 2/1/18
MARQUEE SINGLE: Total Players With Rush Attempts (O/U 8.5 Players): OVER -140
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Will There Be a Special Teams or Defensive TD? YES +170
MARQUEE SINGLE: Team With Most Rushing Yards in Super Bowl: Eagles (-9.5 yds, Even)
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Team With Longest Kickoff Return in Super Bowl: Patriots (-120)
MARQUEE SINGLE: Receiving Yards for NE’s Danny Amendola (O/U 56.5 Yards) OVER -110
MARQUEE TRIPLE: Will There Be a 2-point Conversion Attempt? YES +135
Released Tuesday 1/30/18
MARQUEE SINGLE: Most Net Yards in the Super Bowl: Eagles +110
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Team to Score Last in the First Half: Patriots -115
MARQUEE SINGLE: Will New England’s Trey Flowers record a sack? NO -140
MARQUEE DOUBLE: Shortest Made Field Goal in Super Bowl (O/U 26.5 Yards): OVER -110
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