Wednesday 1-24-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan

Jan 24 '18, 9:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Stanford vs USC
Play on: Stanford +10 -106 at 5Dimes

The Play and How to Play it:
The Play: Stanford (759)
The Matchup: STANFORD (11 - 9) at USC (15 - 6)
Start Time: Wednesday, 1/24/2018 9:00 PM
SIM grading: 5 stars on a 3 to 10 star grading scale.
Recommended Strategy: Place a 5 star wager on Stanford using the line, which currently shows Stanford installed as a 10 point road dog. The line right now does not impact how you play this game. Whatever your line ends up being for this play is valid.
Game Intelligence Analytics
Play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (STANFORD).
Off a home loss against a conference rival.
And is now facing an opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins.
81-37 over the last 5 seasons for 68.6% and has made $4030 wagering $100 per play.
SIM Matching Game Situations
Stanford
Perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams making 37% or more of their attempts after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
USC
20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games revenging a same season loss to opponent.
Methodologies and Subscriptions
If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports. The first set of Combinatorial Algorithms has been applied to the NFL and have no doubt helped propel our NFL plays to an amazing 46-24 ATS record in 2017 and also 15-5 ATS for 70% winners in College Hoops and on a 6-2 ATS run in the NBA.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Jan 24 '18, 7:35 PM in 12m
NBA | Raptors vs Hawks
Play on: Hawks +6 -105 at 5Dimes

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Hawks +6
The Atlanta Hawks have gone 4-2 in their last six games overall with home wins over San Antonio, New Orleans and Utah, as well as a road win at Denver. They are proving they can play with anyone over the last couple weeks, especially at home. I expect the Hawks to give the Raptors a run for their money at home here tonight as 6-point underdogs. The Raptors have gone 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall with road losses at Philadelphia and Minnesota, as well as narrow home wins over Detroit by 5 and San Antonio by 3. The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. Give me the Hawks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Jan 24 '18, 9:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Auburn vs Missouri
Play on: Missouri -2 -103 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on Missouri -2 -103

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Don Anthony

Jan 24 '18, 8:05 PM in 42m
NBA | Spurs vs Grizzlies
Play on: Grizzlies -105 at 5Dimes

10* FREE PLAY OF THE DAY
Memphis Grizzlies ML -105
Taking a shot with the Grizzlies tonight as they have been dynamite against the number at home. They have covered 7 straight and they are taking on the Spurs, who are in a terrible "Spurs" spot. San Antonio just beat LeBron at home and now have to play a back to back on the road against the lowly Grizzlies. The Spurs have been known to lay down in these type of spots and it would not surprise me to see them sleep walk through this one, given the fact they are an awful 1-7 ATS on the second of a back to back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

Jan 24 '18, 8:00 PM in 37m
NCAA-B | Louisville vs Miami-FL
Play on: Louisville +3½ -105 at BMaker

I'm recommending a play on Louisville plus the points on Wednesday. Louisville has bounced back from its debacle at Kentucky and since won five of six games, including road games at Florida State and Notre Dame. The Cardinals held their last two opponents, Boston College and Notre Dame, to a combined 19-of-67 from 3-point range. Louisville is led by Deng Adel, who is averaging 16.8 points and eight rebounds in conference play while shooting 54.4 percent. Miami has lost three of its last five games that included some awful offensive numbers including 37.5 percent shooting against Georgia Tech, 38.1 against Clemson and 37.2 versus Duke. The Hurricanes are 7-15 ATS their last 22 home games and 4-13 ATS after an ATS win. Louisville is on a 5-1 ATS run and holding opponents to a .386 shooting percentage. Amazingly, this is Miami's only third lined true home game as its early non-conference schedule was filled with non-board schools. We like the underdog here and we recommending taking the points with Louisville on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Jan 24 '18, 7:35 PM in 12m
NBA | Raptors vs Hawks
Play on: OVER 214½ -103

Free Pick on Raptors vs Hawks over 214½

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Jan 24 '18, 8:05 PM in 42m
NBA | Rockets vs Mavs
Play on: Rockets -6½ -110 at BMaker

Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Houston Rockets -6.5
The Key: The Houston Rockets are fully healthy right now and showing what they are capable of at full strength. They are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. They just beat the Timberwolves by 18, the Warriors by 8 and the Heat by 9 in their last 3 games. Now they hit the road to take on the Dallas Mavericks, who are one of the worst teams in the Western Conference at 16-31. The Rockets are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Mavericks, winning the last 3 by 16, 16 and 22 points. Houston is 15-3 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 11-2 ATS in road gams when playing 6 or fewer games in 14 days over the last 2 years. Take Houston.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Jan 24 '18, 8:00 PM in 37m
NCAA-B | Louisville vs Miami-FL
Play on: Miami-FL -4 -109 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Miami-FL -4 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Jan 24 '18, 9:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Air Force vs Utah State
Play on: Air Force +9 -103 at 5Dimes

1* on Air Force +9 -103

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

Jan 24 '18, 10:35 PM in 3h
NBA | Celtics vs Clippers
Play on: UNDER 217 -103

Take Boston – LA Clippers UNDER (#717-718)
We’ve seen heavy Over money pour in on Wednesday morning, pushing this total up to 217, even higher at some shops. Based on Boston’s current form, this total is waaaaaaay out of whack with current realities.
The advanced metric numbers clearly show Boston as the best defensive team in the NBA; the only team in the league to allow less than a point per possession. Let’s not forget that the Celtics literally have an elite defender at every position. Based on the ‘real +/-‘ advanced metric defensive stats, the likes of Terry Rozier, Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown, Jayson Tatum, Al Horford and Aron Baynes all rank among the top players in the league at their respective positions defensively.
Here’s the quote from 76ers head coach Brett Brown after the 76ers 89-80 win against the Celtics last week, a game that stayed more than 40 points Under the total. 'This team that we just played today is the best defensive team in the NBA and we felt all of that. When you look at their individual defensive players to a man, they're as strong positionally as any team in the NBA.''
But here in January, the Celtics have been the single worst OFFENSIVE team in the NBA, scoring less than 98 points per 100 possessions. Their two young studs on the wing, Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum, combined to score just 13 points in their loss to the Lakers on this floor last night. Despite the Clippers notable defensive weaknesses, the Celtics aren’t primed to take advantage.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Jan 24 '18, 9:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Temple vs Cincinnati
Play on: Temple +14 -108 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on Temple +14 -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule

Jan 24 '18, 8:00 PM in 37m
NCAA-B | Evansville vs Valparaiso
Play on: Valparaiso -3½ -105 at 5Dimes

Evansville vs Valparaiso Free Pick January 24, 2018

It's been tough sledding for the Valparaiso Crusaders in their first season in the Missouri Valley Conference. They have lost six of eight games in conference play, and they are coming off a 70-54 home loss to conference leaders Loyola-Chicago. Tonight's home game against the Evansville Aces looks like a good spot for the Crusaders to get back on track, as the Aces are just 1-6 on the road this season. Evansville comes in averaging just 63.2 points over it's last five games, and 61.4 points per game on the road. Their last game was a 66-53 loss at Bradley, and they shot just 31.6 percent from the field. Dating back to the beginning of last season, Valparaiso has won 22 of it's last 26 home games. Granted this year's team isn't as good as the team that was tied for first in the Horizon League last year, this still looks like a "get right game" at home versus one of the bottom feeders of the Missouri Valley Conference.

Take VALPO.

GL,

Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

Jan 24 '18, 9:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Air Force vs Utah State
Play on: OVER 141½ +102

On Wednesday night, Play Over on teams like Air Force when the total is between 140 and 149.5 points, after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%). In the past 20 years, these teams are 31-9.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Jan 24 '18, 8:00 PM in 37m
NCAA-B | Indiana State vs Southern Illinois
Play on: Southern Illinois -2 -102 at 5Dimes

10* Free NCAAB PICK (Southern Illinois -2)
I think we are getting a gift here from the books with the Salukis only a 2-point home favorite here against the Sycamores. This looks like an even matchup on paper, as both teams have similar overall and conference records. The key here is home court advantage and how much different these two teams play based on location.
Indiana State is just 3-7 on the road compared to 7-3 at home. On the flip side of this the Salukis are 9-2 at home compared to just 3-7 on the road. Southern Illinois is outscoring opponents by 11.3 ppg at home and a big reason for that is their defense. They are holding teams to just 62.5 ppg and 40% shooting from the field.
With this spread we basically just need the Salukis to win outright and they are 16-4 SU in the last 20 meetings at home against the Sycamores. Indiana State is also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a win by more than 20 points and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after going to straight games holding opponents under 37% shooting from the field. Give me Southern Illinois -2!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer

Jan 24 '18, 8:05 PM in 42m
NBA | Rockets vs Mavs
Play on: UNDER 218½ -108

Take Under the Total in the game between the Houston Rockets and the Dallas Mavericks. Dallas (16-31) has played 4 straight games Under the Total on their home court. The Mavericks have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Houston (33-12) has played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. And in their last 8 games on the road, the Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games for the Rockets. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.