Service Plays Tuesday 2/13/18

[Calidreaming]

Sean Michaels 100 play on Toledo

any c Jordan or big al? Thanks

[Wellngood76]

Bill ScoutsPicks
10 Units GOY #536 Eastern Michigan-5.5

[IronCity]

Steve Merril NCAA top play

Mizz -2 over TAM

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Billy Hill from Banker Sports

(5-2)
Big One Total on Milwaukee and Atlanta OVER 209

12.5

[swaminator]

Golden Contender (Rob V)

St Bonaventure -2

that's the free comp play from page 1!

The College basketball comp play is on St. Bonaventure at 7:00 eastern. The Bonnies are eaying 2 here tonight at La Salle and they are ranked 43 in the RPI Scale compared to 188 for La Salle who us 1-6 vs top 100 ranked teams, 3-10 vs teams over .500 and 5-20 long term vs an opponent that averages 77 or more points per game. St. Bonaventure is 24-3 vs losing teams and 5-1 after scoring 80+ points in their last game. So we have no problem laying the small number here. Play on St. Bonaventue. On Tuesday the NCAAB Game of the Month leads a strong college card the NBA Total of the week with a 100% League wide scoring system headlines the NBA Card. Message to jump on. For the NCAAB free pick. Play on St. Bonaventure. RV- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fast Eddie from Banker Sports

Road Best Play on Arkansas -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

sports insights


atlanta +7.5
tennessee -10.5
mizzou under 139

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cal Sports

4%

[CBB] (523) Maryland at (524) Nebraska Time: 7:00 PM EST

Nebraska -1.5 (-108)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Resource

Feb 13: NBA: Cleveland - Oklahoma City
Back: Cleveland +2 Odds: 1.91
Risk: 10 Units Return:

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob - NBA

**Atlanta (+7.5) over MILWAUKEE

Rotation #503 – 5:05 pm Pacific

The absence of John Henson didn’t hurt Milwaukee in Saturday’s 7 point win at Orlando thanks to dismal 8 of 30 (26.7%) 3-point shooting from a Magic team that has made 35.4% of their long range shots for the season, but the fact that the Bucks only covered the spread by 2.5 points in that game despite that randomly bad shooting by their opponent is an indication that my assessment that they are significantly worse without Henson is correct. I didn’t play against the Bucks in that game but I will do so tonight since I think Atlanta is underrated with their rotation.

Let’s start with Milwaukee without Henson. Obviously, Giannis Antetokounmpo is the star of the Bucks and he has a very good plus-minus of +173 points in the 1888.5 minutes he’s been on the court this season (+4.4 points per 48 minutes). However, the Greek Freak has a -25 plus-minus in 809.0 minutes when he’s on the court this season without Henson, who actually leads the Bucks in plus-minus at +176 points in 1317.4 minutes (+6.4 points per 48 minutes). I rate the bucks as a below average team without Henson and their recent good form since firing Jason Kidd has more to do with luck than an actual change in level of play, as the 27.5% on 3-point shots allowed in those 10 games is mostly due to variance, as the best perimeter defensive teams in the league tend to allow around 33% from long range. I do think the Bucks are probably a bit better under their new coach but they are still worse than average without Henson playing tonight.

Atlanta, meanwhile, is not a bad team as they are currently constructed. Not only are the Hawks better than they were early in the season without Ilyasova (2-12 without him this season) but getting rid of Marco Bellinelli and not playing rookie DeAndre Bembry has also helped. Belinelli was the worst defensive player on the Hawks and he is 2nd to last on the team in plus-minus per 48 minutes, as Atlanta was outscored by 192 points in the 1209.7 minutes he was on the court this season (-7.6 per 48 minutes). The worse play on the team in PM per 48 is Bembry, who has a plus-minus of -74 points in just 311.4 minutes (-11.4 per 48). When either Belinelli or Bembry (or both) were on the court the Hawks were outscored by 196 points in 1327.2 minutes, which is -7.1 points per 48 minutes. When both have not been in the game the Hawks have a PM of just -37 points in 1413.8 minutes, which is only -1.3 points per 48 minutes. I actually rate the Hawks at 1.7 points worse than an average team as long as Bembry continues to sit at the end of the bench and I’d favor Milwaukee by just 3 points in this game with Henson out against tonight. I’ll take Atlanta in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 points or more and for 1-Star down to +6.

**DALLAS (-6.5) over Sacramento

Rotation #510 – 5:35 pm Pacific

Sacramento beat me on Sunday with a good effort at Minnesota but I still have the Kings rated as the worst team in the league and a few points worse than their season rating with effective backup PG Frank Mason out. The Kings were only outscored by 1.0 points per 48 minutes when Mason was on the court and the Kings are just 12-19 ATS this season when Mason has played fewer than 10 minutes. Sacramento is also just 17-28-3 ATS this season when either useless big man Zach Randolph or Kosta Koufos play, including 4-11 ATS with Mason out. Sacramento has been outscored by 10.2 points per 48 minutes when either ineffective big man has been on the court (the Kings are only -1.3 points per 48 when both are on the bench) and they are playing more together (outscored by 25.3 points per 48 minutes playing together) with PF Labissiere out. My ratings based on current rotations, favor the Mavs by 9 ½ points in this game and I’ll take Dallas in a 2-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. #512. Take Denver Nuggets -6 over San Antonio Spurs (Tuesday @ 10:35pm est)
The public is heavily on the Spurs here and why not, they had a great game at Utah despite having half of their team out. Having said that, the Nuggets lost by a bucket to these Spurs the last time they played and this is a game they will get up for. This is a high quality public fade as the public is nearly on the Spurs to a tune of 70% here. The Nuggets that is 30-26, in the playoff hunt, continues to have motivation to play well day in and day out, has won 4 of their last 5 games including big wins of 17 against Charlotte, 7 against Golden State and 3 against the Thunder in a thriller. Let's roll with Denver with revenge, a high quality public fade and Spurs team that is ready to end the first half and get some rest. Denver might win this one going away this evening.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joey Cassano

Maryland +2
LaSalle +1
Pitt +8.5

[havoc3011]

Millerlocks

7:08 PM EST NBA

MIAMI HEAT VS. TORONTO RAPTORS

PICK: MIAMI HEAT +7.5 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:08 PM EST NBA
HOUSTON ROCKETS VS. MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES

PICK: MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES +2.5 (-105)

RISK: 11 UNITS

8:08 PM EST NBA
ATLANTA HAWKS VS. MILWAUKEE BUCKS

PICK: ATLANTA HAWKS +7.5 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

9:00 PM EST NCAAB
LSU VS. ALABAMA

PICK: UNDER 142.5 (-110)

RISK: 11 UNITS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alan Boston
Pitt
Miami-Fl

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VIP Sports Picks Las Vegas

POD: Maryland/Nebraska Over 142.5